River Flood Warning 5, NWS Jackson, MS

201 
WGUS84 KJAN 180101
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
701 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...


  BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC035-190701-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0005.120219T1200Z-120220T0300Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.120219T1200Z.120219T1200Z.120219T1200Z.NO/
701 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 5:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLAND APPROXIMATELY
  5 MILES UP AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE SITE WILL OCCUR.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL OCCUR.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST TIME  DATE

BLACK CREEK
BROOKLYN       20  11.6 FRI 06 PM  10.5  20.0  19.4  20.0 06 AM 02/19

$$

496 
WGUS84 KJAN 181553
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
953 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012




...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-192153-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0005.120220T0000Z-120220T1500Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.120220T0000Z.120220T0000Z.120220T0000Z.NO/
953 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLAND APPROXIMATELY
  5 MILES UP AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE SITE.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

BLACK CREEK
BROOKLYN       20   9.9 SAT 09 AM  17.8  19.0  12.4  20.0 06 PM 02/19

$$

394 
WGUS84 KJAN 182109
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
309 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-200309-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0005.120220T0000Z-120220T2100Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.120220T0000Z.120220T0000Z.120220T0600Z.NO/
309 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO A CREST NEAR FLOOD
  STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 20 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLAND OCCURS
  APPROXIMATELY 5 MILES UP AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE SITE.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLAND OCCURS NEAR THE RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

BLACK CREEK
BROOKLYN       20  10.9 SAT 03 PM  18.7  19.6  14.0  20.0  6 PM 2/19

$$

DL

729 
WGUS84 KJAN 191627
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1027 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI...

 
  BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-191657-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120220T2100Z/
/BKNM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1027 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN.
* AT 9:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 18.5 FEET THIS
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL OCCUR.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

BLACK CREEK
BROOKLYN       20  17.5 SUN 10 AM  17.9  14.8  12.3  18.5 06 PM 02/19

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
230 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SOME SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST AND HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED FOR
SATURDAY...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WILL BE A STORM SYSTEM THAT THE WILL GIVE OUR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES A CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER FROM A SQUALL LINE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ALSO OF CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AS AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES. THIS WILL BE
FOLLOWED BY TEMPS AND POPS.

LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN CLOSED UPPER LOW MOVING TOWARD THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE SOUTHWEST...WHICH WILL AFFECT THE REGION
OVER THE WEEKEND. MEANWHILE A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES WERE
MOVING IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM FROM AROUND THE UPPER LOW. THIS WAS
PROVIDING ISENTROPIC LIFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. LIGHT SHOWERS WERE NOTED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND OFF
THE LOUISIANA AND MS COASTAL WATERS. THE AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WAS
STILL ON THE DRY SIDE IN THE LOW LEVELS. IT WILL REQUIRE SOME
ISENTROPIC LIFT TO FILL THE MOISTURE COLUMN FOR THE RAINS TO START
ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.

FOR TONIGHT ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL SLOWLY BUT GRADUALLY FILL THE
MOISTURE COLUMN FROM THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
THE CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL OPEN AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND COME INTO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY EARLY SATURDAY. ONLY EXPECTING ENOUGH
ISENTROPIC LIFT TO BRING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
HALF OF THE REGION. SREF PROGS ALSO SHOW SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING
AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST AND SOUTH. WILL PUT FOG IN THE
GRIDS UNTIL 12Z AS RAINS INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION. ISENTROPIC
OMEGA WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS TO
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE WAS PRETTY GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW AND THE DYNAMICS OF
THIS SYSTEM.  THERE WILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY...SHEAR...AND STRONG
DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR SOME SEVERE STORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS SHOWS THAT A SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE
OVER THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
DYNAMICS FOR SOME BOW SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS ALONG AND HEAD OF THE
LINE. THE PRIMARY RISK WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.
THE LINE SHOULD EXIT THE REGION BY EARLY EVENING AS THE SURFACE LOW
TRACKS INTO ALABAMA. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH ELEVATED INSTABILITY FOR
RUMBLES OF THUNDER ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. ANOTHER ISSUE WILL BE
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF OF THE
REGION. MODELS DO POINT TO SOME GOOD LIFT AND Q-G FRONTOGENETIC
FORCING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY INTO THE EVENING AS THE
SURFACE LOW PASSES BY. SO HAVE PUT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 12Z
SATURDAY UNTIL 06Z SUNDAY FOR THE SOUTH HALF OF THE REGION. MOSTLY LIKELY
THE WATCH WILL BE LIFTED BEFORE 06Z ON SATURDAY EVENING. WITH THE
GROUND SOIL SATURATED FROM THE RAINS OF THE LAST SEVERAL WEEKS...LOW
LYING AREAS WILL BE PRONE TO RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. AS WE GO
LATER INTO SATURDAY NIGHT THE RAINS WILL DECREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE REGION. THE
LAST OF THE LIGHT RAIN WILL END ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY
MORNING AS THE UPPER TROUGH EXITS THE REGION. ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST AS
SHORT WAVE RIDGING COMES FROM THE WEST. AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE CONCERN
STUCK CLOSE TO NAM FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN WENT WITH A BLEND
OF MAV AND MOS GUIDANCE FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. AS
FAR AS POPS ARE CONCERN WENT CLOSE TO MAV GUIDANCE./17/

.LONG TERM...MODEL SOLUTIONS HAVE PULLED BACK SOMEWHAT ON THE DEGREE
OF COLD ADVECTION EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW AND MODELS HAVE
RAISED MOS LOWS A LITTLE FOR MONDAY MORNING. HAVE TWEAKED SUNDAY
MORNING LOWS A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER FOR A FEW SPOTS WHILE KEEPING
GENERAL TREND OF MEX MOS.

A BAND OF RELATIVELY UNORGANIZED MOISTURE LIFTS INTO WRN ZONES LATE
MONDAY AND CROSSES MUCH OF THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT...ASSOCIATED WITH
A WAVE THAT LIFTS THIS WAY IN SWLY FLOW ALOFT. A FEW SPOTS OF LIGHT
RAIN OR SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE PRIMARY
EFFECT WILL BE WARMER TEMPERATURES DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND LOW LEVEL
SLY FLOW. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FOR TUESDAY WHEN THE
NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE BETTER FORCING WILL
REMAIN TO OUR NORTH AND LITTLE IS EXPECTED IN THE WAY OF
INSTABILITY. THE FRONT BECOMES MORE DIFFUSE AS IT MOVES INTO THE
ARKLAMISS REGION BUT WILL BE ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES FOR THE AREA...ESPECIALLY FOR TUESDAY NIGHT...AS DEEPER
MOISTURE INCREASES OVER THE AREA AND LIGHT ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPS.
SRN STREAM UPPER TROUGHING WILL PERSIST TO OUR WEST AND A WAVE WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY TO STALL THE SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA AND FORM A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION OVER SRN ZONES BY
TUESDAY EVENING. NLY FLOW AND WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION IS FORECAST TO
THE W OF THIS SYSTEM BUT HAVE INCREASED MEX MOS LOWS SLIGHTLY SOUTH
AND EAST IN CONSIDERATION OF CLOUD COVER AND CONTINUING 850 MB SWLY
FLOW. THE SURFACE TROUGH EDGES EAST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY BUT THE
NEXT SURFACE TROUGH FOLLOWS QUICKLY ON ITS HEELS THURSDAY. CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT WE WILL SEE THE SRN FRINGES OF THIS FEATURE
THURSDAY...THE STRONGER PORTION AND BETTER FORCING REMAINING WELL TO
OUR NORTH./03/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS WILL PREVAIL AT
SITES FOR MUCH OF THE DAY AND INTO TONIGHT.  WINDS WILL BE
NORTHEASTERLY TODAY BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS...BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE EASTERLY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THEY WEAKEN TO AROUND 5
KNOTS. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL EXIST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...WHERE
MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASES OVER THE AREA. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOWER CIGS WILL
PROVIDE IFR-MVFR CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION. WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE AROUND 5-10 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS NEAR STORMS./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       50  60  41  59 /  27  89  99  12
MERIDIAN      49  60  46  58 /  15  88 100  15
VICKSBURG     50  59  39  59 /  32  91  95  10
HATTIESBURG   55  65  47  62 /  30  95  99   8
NATCHEZ       54  61  40  59 /  53  95  76   8
GREENVILLE    47  55  38  53 /  14  87 100  11
GREENWOOD     47  56  39  54 /   8  85 100  15

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
     FOR MSZ043>066-072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
     FOR LAZ016-023>026.

AR...NONE.

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

17/03

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
248 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

MSZ055>058-062>066-072>074-182100-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
248 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS
NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. WE ARE EXPECTING A SQUALL LINE
OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO CROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND PERHAPS EVEN A TORNADO OR TWO.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND
SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO
FLOODING CONCERNS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. AS A RESULT...A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

LAZ016-023>026-MSZ043>054-059>061-182100-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-MADISON MS-
LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
248 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS A
STORM SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST AFFECTING THE OUTLOOK AREA. DUE TO THE
RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS...ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLOODING CONCERNS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. AS A
RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-MSZ018-019-025>042-182100-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-
LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
248 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AFFECTING THE REGION FROM
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALING AROUND
AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME...LEADING TO THE PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADS...AS WELL AS IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

17