Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2012

Flash Flood Watch 9, NWS Jackson, MS

September 29, 201247 counties in Mississippi; 9 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood watch at Sep 29, 2012, 4:02 AM CDT for 47 counties in Mississippi; 9 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas. It took effect at Sep 30, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 25 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 29, 2012, 4:02 AM CDT (09:02 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 30, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 1, 2012, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
25 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity
None
All 58 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 24 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2012-09-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 112 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2012-09-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -16 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
112 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1538 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

339 
WGUS64 KJAN 290902
FFAJAN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
402 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>045-047>050-
053-054-059-060-291715-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.A.0009.120930T0500Z-121001T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-WARREN-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...
BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ
402 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... 
  NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. 

* FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL 7PM SUNDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS
  A SURFACE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION AND COMBINES WITH HIGH
  MOISTURE. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

CME
7 follow-up statements
093 
WGUS64 KJAN 291524 AAA
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1024 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>045-047>050-
053-054-059-060-292330-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0009.120930T0500Z-121001T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-WARREN-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...
BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ
1024 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  MISSISSIPPI. 

* FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT INTO 
  SUNDAY AS A SURFACE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION AND COMBINES 
  WITH HIGH MOISTURE. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

17
754 
WGUS64 KJAN 292009
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
309 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>045-047>050-
053-054-059-060-300415-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0009.120930T0500Z-121001T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-WARREN-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...
BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ
309 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  MISSISSIPPI. 

* FROM MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

 NATCHEZ HAS ALREADY REPORTED AROUND 2.4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH THIS
 SYSTEM. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WATCH AREA LATER
  TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS A SURFACE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION AND
  COMBINES WITH HIGH MOISTURE. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
  WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

17
862 
WGUS64 KJAN 300317
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1017 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>045-047>050-
053-054-059-060-301130-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0009.120930T0500Z-121001T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-WARREN-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...
BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ
1017 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  MISSISSIPPI. 

* FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA AS
  OF LATE EVENING...WITH HEAVIEST RAINFALL IN THE NATCHEZ TO BUDE
  AREA WHERE AROUND 3 INCHES HAS FALLEN SO FAR. 

  EXPECT RAINFALL TO INCREASE OVER THE WATCH AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO
  SUNDAY MORNING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS OVER THE
  ARKLAMISS. THE HEAVIER RAIN WILL BE SLOWEST TO MOVE INTO THE GOLDEN
  TRIANGLE REGION. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
  HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

$$
419 
WGUS64 KJAN 301036
FFAJAN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
536 AM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

MSZ046-051-052-055>058-061>066-072>074-301845-
/O.EXA.KJAN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-121001T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-FRANKLIN MS-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE KALB...SCOOBA...NEWTON...UNION...
DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...
MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...
MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...
PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
536 AM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
  MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS SOME OF THE WATCH AREA
  SINCE YESTERDAY. MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH 2 TO 4
  INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS.

LOOK FOR RAINFALL TO EXPAND OVER THE WATCH AREA TODAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS OVER THE ARKLAMISS. THE HEAVIER RAIN WILL
BE SLOWEST TO MOVE INTO THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE REGION. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>045-047>050-
053-054-059-060-301845-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-121001T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-WARREN-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...
BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ
536 AM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS SOME OF THE WATCH AREA
  SINCE YESTERDAY. MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH 2 TO 4
  INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS.

LOOK FOR RAINFALL TO EXPAND OVER THE WATCH AREA TODAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS OVER THE ARKLAMISS. THE HEAVIER RAIN WILL
BE SLOWEST TO MOVE INTO THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE REGION. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

CME
540 
WGUS64 KJAN 301534
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1034 AM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
302345-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-121001T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
1034 AM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. 

* UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING

* MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS SOME OF THE WATCH AREA
  SINCE YESTERDAY. SOME OF OUR HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE AS
  FOLLOWS: BAYOU LAFOURCHE IN RICHLAND PARISH 3.93 INCHES...MONTEREY
  IN CONCORDIA PARISH 2.94 INCHES...MACON LAKE IN CHICOT COUNTY 2.84
  INCHES...BUDE 2.80 INCHES...MARION 2.64 INCHES...BEEKMAN IN
  MOREHOUSE PARISH 2.43 INCHES ...HATTIESBURG 2.33 INCHES AND NATCHEZ
  2.27 INCHES.

* LOOK FOR RAINFALL TO CONTINUE OVER THE WATCH AREA TODAY AS A LOW
  PRESSURE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS OVER THE ARKLAMISS. THE HEAVIER RAIN
  WILL BE SLOWEST TO MOVE INTO THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE REGION. RAINFALL
  TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE.

$$

17
924 
WGUS64 KJAN 302016
FFAJAN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
316 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025>037-040>042-
047-010430-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-121001T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-
CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...MAYERSVILLE...
ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...YAZOO CITY...VICKSBURG
316 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL
  MISSISSIPPI. 

* UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY

* MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS SOME OF THE WATCH AREA
  SINCE YESTERDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE RANGED FROM TWO TO AROUND
  FOUR INCHES.
  

* LOOK FOR RAINFALL TO CONTINUE OVER THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THIS
  EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS OVER THE ARKLAMISS.
  TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ024-026-MSZ038-039-043>046-048>066-072>074-010000-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-121001T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...VIDALIA...
FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...
RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...
PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...
RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...
CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...
HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...
RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL...
SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...
BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...
COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...
LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
316 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.

* UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING

* MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS SOME OF THE WATCH AREA
  SINCE YESTERDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE RANGED FROM ONE TO THREE
  INCHES.

* LOOK FOR RAINFALL TO TAPER OFF BY EARLY THIS EVENING. RAINFALL
  TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

17
058 
WGUS64 KJAN 010006
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
706 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

LAZ024-026-MSZ038-039-043>046-048>066-072>074-010115-
/O.EXP.KJAN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-121001T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...VIDALIA...
FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...
RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...
PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...
RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...
CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...
HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...
RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL...
SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...
BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...
COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...
LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
706 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AS WELL AS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI HAS EXPIRED.

$$

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025>037-040>042-
047-010600-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-121001T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-
CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...MAYERSVILLE...
ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...YAZOO CITY...VICKSBURG
706 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHERN PORTION OF NORTHEAST
  LOUISIANA AND NORTHERN PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

* UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY

* MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS SOME OF THE WATCH AREA
  SINCE YESTERDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE RANGED FROM THREE TO AROUND SIX
  INCHES.

* LOOK FOR RAINFALL TO CONTINUE OVER THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THIS 
  EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS OVER THE 
  ARKLAMISS. TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER 
  AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


17

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Sep 28, 9:40 PM CDT, 6 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 28, 9:40 PM CDT, 6 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
940 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.UPDATE...
DECREASED POPS IN SOME AREAS BUT LEFT SOME HIGHER POPS IN FOR
SOUTHWEST DUE TO HIGH RES MODELS INDICATING SOME SHOWERS DEVELOPING
NEAR 12Z AND INCREASED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
TWEAKED LOWS SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT DUE TO DEWPOINT TRENDS BUT STAYED
CLOSE TO MAV GUIDANCE. TWEAKED HOURLY DEWPOINT AND SKY GRIDS
OVERNIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TRENDS. DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AND
MOISTURE PLUME OVER TEXAS IS STREAMING INTO THE AREA INTO TOMORROW.
H5 HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO FALL AS THIS UPPER DISTURBANCE BEGINS TO
APPROACH THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. INCREASED ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND
MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BEGIN TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE IN THE SOUTHWEST DUE TO BACKED SURFACE WIND FLOW AND
WILL AID IN SHOWERS DEVELOPING NEAR 12Z. A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE
IN PLACE WITH PWATS NEAR 2.1-2.2 INCHES...WHICH WILL AID IN HEAVY
RAIN POTENTIAL TOMORROW NIGHT AND EVENING. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SOME PATCHY FOG IN THE SOUTHEAST...BUT WILL WILL BEGIN TO LIFT
AFTER SUNRISE. REST OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. /DC/

&&

.AVIATION...AFTN CONVECTION MOVED INTO SOUTHERN MS BUT REMAINED JUST
SOUTH OF HBG. A FEW SHOWERS ALONG A WEAK COLD FRONT IN NORTHERN MS
SHOULD DISSIPATE BEFORE AFFECTING GLH-GWO-GTR TONIGHT. MOSTLY MID
AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS VFR CONDS PREVAIL INTO SAT
MORNING. BRIEF MVFR VSBYS WL BE PSBL AT HBG 29/10-13Z. SHRA CHANCES
WILL INCREASE THROUGH DAY SAT STARTING NEAR KHEZ AND SPREADING N/E
TOWARDS HBG/JAN BY LATE AFTNG. MODELS INDICATE CEILINGS DROPPING TO
MVFR CONDS BEFORE 00Z SUN. WIDESPREAD SHRA AND AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
MVFR/IFR CONDS APPEAR LIKELY SAT NGT THROUGH ALL OF SUN. /22/ALLEN/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012/

SHORT TERM...(THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS A SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPS ALONG A FRONTAL
SYSTEM OVER SOUTH TEXAS...AND STRENGTHENS BY LATE SATURDAY/SUNDAY AS
IT MOVES TOWARDS THE EAST. AS THE SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO TRACK OUR
WAY LATE SATURDAY...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
CWA...WITH PWATS SURPASSING 2 INCHES ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS AND
DEWPOINTS APPROACHING THE UPPER 60S. LATEST GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED THE
TRACK OF THE LOW FURTHER NORTH...SO IT APPEARS MORE OF THE CWA WILL
HAVE A GOOD CHANCE OF SEEING DECENT AMOUNTS OF RAIN. IT LOOKS AS
THOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT. AS
THERE WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY...WIDESPREAD THUNDER IS
NOT EXPECTED TO BE AN ISSUE. /27/

LONG TERM...A SIMILAR THEME EXISTS FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST WITH
AN INITIAL WET PERIOD FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHTLY COOLER/DRIER STRETCH OF
DAYS. THE MAIN CHANGE THIS GO ROUND HAS TO DO WITH A SLOWER TIMING
THUS RESULTING IN PRECIP LINGERING INTO PART OF MON.
OVERALL...CONFIDENCE REMAINS ABOVE AVG WITH THIS FORECAST.

THE SLIGHTLY SLOWER TIMING WILL RESULT IN LINGERING PRECIP
CHANCES...ESP FOR THE FIRST HALF OF MON ACROSS THE EAST HALF.
OVERALL...THE SFC LOW WILL BE PUSHING OFF TO THE E/NE AN ALLOWING
COOLER/DRIER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. LOOK FOR MOST OF THE WORK
WEEK TO BE DRY. TEMPS WILL BE COOLER AS WELL WITH READINGS JUST
BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S...HIGHS LOWER 80S.
/CME/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       69  85  68  77 /  14  60  66  86
MERIDIAN      66  86  67  80 /  13  53  66  79
VICKSBURG     67  84  68  77 /  20  68  78  90
HATTIESBURG   70  86  70  84 /  21  71  70  74
NATCHEZ       68  83  70  78 /  27  69  81  90
GREENVILLE    67  83  64  72 /  17  60  47  90
GREENWOOD     67  84  65  73 /  14  58  39  87

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

DC/22/ALLEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 28, 3:09 PM CDT, 12 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
309 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ035>066-072>074-292015-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-
COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
309 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL APPEARS LIKELY BETWEEN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
NIGHT AS A SLOW MOVING FRONT AND UPPER DISTURBANCE IMPACT THE AREA.
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOCATIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS REGION COULD RECEIVE
1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 5 INCHES
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR. PLEASE STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES AS A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED DURING THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED ON SUNDAY.

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>034-292015-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-
309 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

ALLEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 29, 1:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAdams, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln55 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2012Flash Flood Watches in Louisiana, 2012Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every flash flood watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.