Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2012
Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood watch at Mar 20, 2012, 4:36 AM CDT for 9 parishes in Louisiana; 44 counties in Mississippi; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas. It took effect at Mar 21, 2012, 3:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 25 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 20, 2012, 4:36 AM CDT (09:36 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 21, 2012, 3:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 22, 2012, 4:03 AM CDT
- In force
- 25 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Flood severity
- None
All 55 counties
Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 16 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 19 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -290 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1602 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 75 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 100 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
414 WGUS64 KJAN 200936 FFAJAN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 436 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS TO THE ARKLAMISS STARTING WEDNESDAY MORNING... ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ034-040-041-047-053- 059>061-201745- /O.NEW.KJAN.FF.A.0004.120321T1200Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WASHINGTON- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-WARREN-CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... GREENVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...VICKSBURG... PORT GIBSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE 436 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS ON WED MORNING. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD COME TO AN END WEDNESDAY EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ035-042-043-048-049-054>056-062>066-072>074-201745- /O.NEW.KJAN.FF.A.0004.120322T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HUMPHREYS-YAZOO-MADISON MS-HINDS-RANKIN-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH- LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR- FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELZONI...ISOLA...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON... RICHLAND...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO... NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE... LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS... HATTIESBURG 436 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS ON WED MORNING. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD COME TO AN END EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ BK
7 follow-up statements
604 WGUS64 KJAN 202033 FFAJAN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 333 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS TO THE ARKLAMISS STARTING EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ034-040-041-047-053- 059>061-210445- /O.EXT.KJAN.FF.A.0004.120321T0800Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WASHINGTON- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-WARREN-CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... GREENVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...VICKSBURG... PORT GIBSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE 333 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM CDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * FROM 3 AM CDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF AND END SOMETIME WEDNESDAY EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ035-042-043-048-049-054>056-062>066-072>074-210445- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.120322T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HUMPHREYS-YAZOO-MADISON MS-HINDS-RANKIN-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH- LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR- FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELZONI...ISOLA...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON... RICHLAND...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO... NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE... LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS... HATTIESBURG 333 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS ON WEDNESDAY. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF AND END SOMETIME THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ 5/40
010 WGUS64 KJAN 210939 FFAJAN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 439 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS TO THE ARKLAMISS STARTING THIS MORNING... MSZ048-054-062-211745- /O.EXT.KJAN.FF.A.0004.120321T0939Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HINDS-COPIAH-LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACKSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS... HAZLEHURST...WESSON...BROOKHAVEN 439 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS THIS MORNING. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ034-040-041-047-053- 059>061-211745- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WASHINGTON- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-WARREN-CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... GREENVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...VICKSBURG... PORT GIBSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE 439 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS THIS MORNING. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS MAY TAPER OFF WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY THIS EVENING...ENDING ELSEWHERE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ035-042-043-049-055-056-063>066-072>074-211745- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.120322T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HUMPHREYS-YAZOO-MADISON MS-RANKIN-SIMPSON-SMITH-LAWRENCE- JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELZONI...ISOLA...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND... MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...MONTICELLO... NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE... LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS... HATTIESBURG 439 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT AREAS EAST OF I-55 THIS EVENING. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF AND END SOMETIME THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ BK
682 WGUS64 KJAN 211650 FFAJAN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1150 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS TO THE ARKLAMISS STARTING THIS MORNING... MSZ035-042-043-049-055-056-063>066-072>074-220100- /O.EXT.KJAN.FF.A.0004.120321T1800Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HUMPHREYS-YAZOO-MADISON MS-RANKIN-SIMPSON-SMITH-LAWRENCE- JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELZONI...ISOLA...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND... MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...MONTICELLO... NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE... LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS... HATTIESBURG 1150 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A GREENVILLE MISSISSIPPI TO LAUREL MISSISSIPPI LINE INCLUDING EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF AND END SOMETIME THURSDAY MORNING. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF SW MISSISSIPPI DUE TO ONE TO TWO INCH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES ALONG A POTENT LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY MAKING THERE WAY ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. EXCESSIVE TRAINING OF STORMS LOOKS PROBABLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS..POSING AN INCREASED RISK TO ADDITIONAL FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ034-040-041-047-048-053- 054-059>062-220100- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WASHINGTON- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-WARREN-HINDS-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS- FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... GREENVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...VICKSBURG... JACKSON...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON... FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN 1150 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS THIS MORNING. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS MAY TAPER OFF WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY THIS EVENING...ENDING ELSEWHERE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF SW MISSISSIPPI DUE TO ONE TO TWO INCH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES ALONG A POTENT LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY MAKING THERE WAY ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. EXCESSIVE TRAINING OF STORMS LOOKS PROBABLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS..POSING AN INCREASED RISK TO ADDITIONAL FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ ALLEN
972 WGUS64 KJAN 212010 FFAJAN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 310 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS TO THE ARKLAMISS STARTING THIS MORNING... ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ034-035-040-041-212115- /O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WASHINGTON- HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK... ANGUILLA 310 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVIER RAIN AXIS HAS PUSHED EAST OF THIS REGION AS THE COLD FRONT AND DRIER HAVE PUSHED INTO THE REGION. WHILE SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE...RAINFALL RATES AND THUS ACCUMULATION RATES WILL BE LOW. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ANY EXCESS RUNOFF AND INUNDATED LOW-LYING AREAS TO CONTINUE TO RECEDE. $$ MSZ030>033-038-039-044>046-050>052-057-058-220415- /O.EXB.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120323T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA- KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN... WEIR...STARKVILLE...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...FOREST...MORTON... NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...BAY SPRINGS... HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA 310 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A GRENADA MISSISSIPPI TO NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI LINE FOR A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF AND END SOMETIME THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ026>029-036-037-220415- /O.EXA.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-HOLMES-ATTALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...DURANT... TCHULA...LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO 310 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A STARKVILLE MISSISSIPPI TO COLUMBIA MISSISSIPPI COVERING MUCH OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF AND END SOMETIME THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ055-056-063>066-072>074-220415- /O.EXT.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120323T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SIMPSON-SMITH-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION- LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE... RALEIGH...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD... COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG... LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 310 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THIS REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF AND END SOMETIME THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ042-043-047>049-053-054-059>062-220415- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ YAZOO-MADISON MS-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON- ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON... CANTON...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND... PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...FAYETTE... NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN 310 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS MAY TAPER OFF WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY THIS EVENING...ENDING ELSEWHERE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ ALLEN
806 WGUS64 KJAN 212040 FFAJAN FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 340 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS TO THE ARKLAMISS CONTINUING THIS AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON... MSZ030>033-038-039-044>046-050>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-220445- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120323T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA- KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE- LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN... WEIR...STARKVILLE...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...FOREST...MORTON... NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG... QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON... PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 340 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A GRENADA MISSISSIPPI TO NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI LINE FOR A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF AND END SOMETIME THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ026>029-036-037-042-043-047>049-053-054-059>062-220445- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-HOLMES-ATTALA-YAZOO-MADISON MS- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS- LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...DURANT... TCHULA...LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL... BRANDON...RICHLAND...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST... WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE... BROOKHAVEN 340 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REPEATEDLY MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS THE GROUND SATURATES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAINS MAY TAPER OFF WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY THIS EVENING...ENDING ELSEWHERE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ ALLEN
411 WGUS64 KJAN 220255 FFAJAN FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 955 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS TO THE ARKLAMISS CONTINUING THIS AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON... MSZ030>033-038-039-044>046-050>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-221100- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120323T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA- KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE- LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN... WEIR...STARKVILLE...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...FOREST...MORTON... NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG... QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON... PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 955 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS COULD BRING AN ADDITIONAL TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL AS WE GO THROUGH THURSDAY. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND THIS ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUN-OFF AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ026>029-036-037-042-043-047>049-053-054-059>062-221100- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-HOLMES-ATTALA-YAZOO-MADISON MS- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS- LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...DURANT... TCHULA...LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL... BRANDON...RICHLAND...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST... WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE... BROOKHAVEN 955 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. * UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD BRING AN ADDITIONAL TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL AS WE GO THROUGH THURSDAY. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND THIS ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUN-OFF AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ EC
845 WGUS64 KJAN 220903 FFAJAN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 403 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012 MSZ030>033-038-039-044>046-050>052-056>058-064>066-072>074-221715- /O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120323T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KJAN.FF.A.0005.120322T0903Z-120322T2100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA- KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE- JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN... WEIR...STARKVILLE...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...FOREST...MORTON... NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...TAYLORSVILLE... RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL... SHUBUTA...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 403 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES FROM YESTERDAY. THE NEW ACTIVITY TODAY COULD BRING AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES TO SOME AREAS. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUN-OFF AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FLOOD SAFETY PROCEDURES AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING BE OBSERVED OR WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. && $$ MSZ026>029-036-037-042-043-047>049-053-054-059>062-221015- /O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120322T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-HOLMES-ATTALA-YAZOO-MADISON MS- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS- LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...DURANT... TCHULA...LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL... BRANDON...RICHLAND...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST... WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE... BROOKHAVEN 403 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL HAS PUSHED EAST OF THE AREA. $$ MSZ055-063-221015- /O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120323T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SIMPSON-LAWRENCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...MONTICELLO... NEW HEBRON 403 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA. $$ CME
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Mar 20, 4:34 AM CDT, 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 20, 4:34 AM CDT, 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
434 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...
...A LOW RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS LATER TODAY OVER THE WEST
AND THEN ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AREAS WEDNESDAY...
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...
PLENTY TO TALK ABOUT OVER THE NEXT 48 HRS AS A DEEP LOW PRESSURE
CENTER OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS CONTINUES TO CUT OFF FROM THE POLAR
JET AND BEGINS TO STALL OVER NORTH TX/OK THROUGH THUR. AS IS THE
CASE IN THESE CUT OFF LOW SCENARIOS THE MODELS STRUGGLE WITH THE
FINER DETAILS...IN THIS CASE THOSE DETAILS ARE CENTERED ON A LINE OF
CONVECTION CURRENTLY DRAPED FROM DE QUEEN AR BACK TOWARD SAN
ANTONIO. UNCERTAINTY IN JUST HOW FAST THIS LINE WILL SHIFT EAST
TODAY IS RATHER HIGH LEAVING LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS OUR WEST/SOUTHWEST LATER TODAY. MORE ON THAT
IN A SEC.
IN THE MEANTIME...AN IMPRESSIVE 5-6MB SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
CONTINUES TO LIE ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS TONIGHT IN BETWEEN STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS.
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS MORNING WILL ALLOW SURFACE HEATING TO MIX
DOWN ROBUST 35-40KT 925-850MB WINDS THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. INHERITED
WIND ADVISORY WAS EXPANDED TO ALL AREAS FROM 10AM TO 6PM THIS
AFTERNOON ACCORDINGLY. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SUSTAINED WINDS
IN THE 20-30KT RANGE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40KTS...ESPECIALLY THIS
AFTERNOON.
AS MENTIONED...CONFIDENCE IN THE EVOLUTION OF ONGOING CONVECTION TO
OUR WEST IS LOW DUE IN PART TO A COUPLE DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS OFFERED
BY THE REGIONAL/GLOBAL MODELS AND HIGH RES SUITES. ONE CAMP THAT
INCLUDES THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF/NAM/NSSL WRF OFFERS A SLOWER OVERALL
SOLUTION THAT FAILS TO SHOW ANY VIGOROUS CONVECTION/SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL ACROSS OUR NORTHEASTERN LA PARISHES UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...WHILE A FASTER CAMP COMPOSED OF THE HIGH RES ARW/NMM/AND
ESPECIALLY THE SPC WRF ALL SHOW THE LINE MAKING IT INTO THESE AREAS
BY 5-6PM THIS AFTERNOON. IN EITHER EVENT...THE MODELS DO HINT AT A
GENERALLY WEAKER TREND AS IT MOVES THIS FAR EAST/WITH THE EXCEPTION
BEING THE SPC WRF AND RELATED NMM WHICH ARE FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE. OPTED
TO CONTINUE MENTION OF SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THE HWO/GRAPHICS FOR
OUR FAR SOUTHWESTERN AREAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON TAPERING IT BACK TO
ALIGN WITH THE SPC SLIGHT RISK AREA. DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR
TWO WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK...ALTHOUGH SOME POTENTIAL FOR QUARTER
SIZE HAIL WILL EXIST. WHILE A GENERALLY WEAKER TREND IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT...SOME RISK WILL PERSIST OUT THERE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
FOCUS REALLY THEN TURNS TO THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL AS WE HEAD INTO
WEDNESDAY AS THE MODELS SHOW THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM NEAR THE MS RIVER BY SUNRISE WED. THE FRONT/CONVECTION ALONG
IT IS NOT GOING TO BE IN ANY HURRY TO SHIFT EAST...AND IN FACT WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED IF IT ENDS UP BEING SLOWER THAN OFFERED BY THE 00Z
NWP GUIDANCE. NEARLY SOUTHERLY STORM MOTIONS PARALLEL TO THE
BOUNDARY AND SLOW SYSTEM MOVEMENT WILL ENHANCE RISK FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY WITH PW VALUES OF 1.6IN+ NEAR OR ABOVE THE
99TH PERCENTILE FOR MID-LATE MARCH. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
POSTED FOR AREAS WEST OF AN INDIANOLA TO BOGUE CHITTO LINE FOR THE
DAYTIME WED...WHICH IS THEN EXPANDED TO THE JACKSON METRO AND DOWN
TOWARD HATTIESBURG FOR WED NIGHT. THIS AREA SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS...AS THESE AREAS WILL HAVE BETTER CHANCES
TO SEE DEEP CONVECTION DURING THIS TIME...AND THAT BY THE TIME THE
RAINS REACH EASTERN MS THE SYSTEM SHOULD HAVE SOME FORWARD PROGRESS
LIMITING THE TIME THE HEAVY RAINS LINGER ACROSS EASTERN MS. THIS MAY
VERY WELL CHANGE IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS SLOW WHICH WOULD PROBABLY
MEAN A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FURTHER NORTH/EAST.
AS FOR SEVERE POTENTIAL WED...THE MODELS DO HINT AT SOME INSTABILITY
BUILDING INTO OUR CWA AHEAD OF THE FRONT HOWEVER LAPSE RATES LOOK TO
BE ON THE DOWNWARD TREND OUT AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION WHICH SHOULD
PRECLUDE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE UPDRAFTS. IT WILL PROBABLY TURN OUT
THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WILL BE ACROSS OUR THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF
THE CWA AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WILL PUT THESE THOUGHTS IN THE HWO.
THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WED APPEARS TO BE THE BIGGER CONCERN AT
THIS POINT. /BK/
.LONG TERM...THE FOCUS OF THE MED RANGE/LONG TERM WILL INITIALLY BE
ON THE SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW/COOL FRONT AND THE RAINFALL IT WILL
BRING UNTIL LATE THURSDAY. AFTER THAT...THE FOCUS WILL SHIFT TO
DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
FOR THU/THU NGT...FORECAST MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON
THE SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED
COOL FRONT. RECENT RUNS HAVE SHOWN A STRONG TREND TO A MORE
SLOW/STEADY EASTWARD PUSH AND THE RAINS EXITING THE AREA FROM WEST
TO EAST BY THU AFTERNOON/EVE. AT THE START OF THE THU PERIOD...LOOK
FOR ACTIVITY TO BE ONGOING AND LIKELY LOCATED WITHIN THE I-55
CORRIDOR AND POINTS TO THE EAST OF THAT. SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN MAY EXIST FOR SOME AREAS...BUT WILL WAIT UNTIL A CLEARER
PICTURE EXISTS ON EVOLUTION BEFORE EXPANDING/EXTENDING ANY TYPE OF
FLOOD WATCH. AS WE PROGRESS INTO THU NGT...THE UPPER LIFT AND LOW
LEVEL MOIST AXIS WILL SHIFT MORE TO THE EAST. INSTABILITY WILL BE
VERY LIMITED AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE TOUGH TO COME BY. STILL...HAVE
MENTIONED TSRA OVER THE EASTERN AREAS THU.
FORECAST SPECIFICS...POPS FOR THU HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FROM THE PREV
FORECAST. THE MAIN CHANGES WERE TO LOWER VALUES OVER THE W/NW AND
INCREASE VALUES OVER THE E/SE. CENTRAL SECTIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE
LIKELY CATEGORY. THE OTHER TREND WAS TO PROGRESS THE BACK EDGE(END
OF PRECIP) INTO THE WESTERN AREAS FOR THU AFTERNOON. TEMPS THU WILL
BE MAINLY IN THE MID 60S. GUID WAS LOWERED ACROSS THE EAST HALF TO
REFLECT THE IMPACTS FROM PRECIP/CLOUD COVER. POPS FOR THU NGT WERE
OVERALL LOWER THAN PREV FORECASTS WHICH IS FOLLOWING THE SUPPORT BY
THE MODELS. STILL...THE HIGHEST POPS WERE OVER THE EAST HALF. AS FOR
TEMPS FRI-SUN...A TREND TOWARD THE COOLER EURO AND ENSEMBLE MEAN WAS
USED FOR HIGH TEMPS.
FOR FRI AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE ITS
SLOW EASTWARD PUSH. AS THIS OCCURS...NW FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP AS
MID LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. THIS WILL ALLOW THE
COOLER/DRIER AIR TO FILTER INTO THE AREA AND LINGER INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL SUPPORT COOLER MORNINGS THAN WE HAVE BEEN
SEEING...BUT STILL READINGS LOOK TO REMAIN ABV AVG. HIGHS WILL ALSO
BE A BIT LOWER THAN RECENT READINGS...BUT ALSO HOLDING ABV AVG. /CME/
&&
.AVIATION...PATCHY MVFR STRATUS IS CROSSING THE REGION TONIGHT AND
WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AIRFIELDS UNTIL 13-5Z WHEN A TREND TOWARD
VFR CONDS IS XPCTD. SRLY/SERLY SFC WINDS WILL BE QUITE GUSTY TODAY
WITH OCSNL GUSTS TO NEAR 40KTS PSBL BETWEEN 15Z AND 00Z. SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 20-30KTS APPEAR LIKELY LIKELY ALONG WITH THE HIGHER GUSTS.
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE A BIT THIS EVENING BUT SRLY BREEZES WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE NIGHT. A FEW SHWRS/TSRA PSBL ACROSS NE LA/SW AND W MS
TODAY AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT OFF TO OUR WEST. LINE OF TSRA
MAY BEGIN IMPACTING AREAS WEST OF THE RIVER BY THIS EVENING BUT IS
STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. /BK/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 85 65 76 56 / 15 8 76 84
MERIDIAN 86 61 83 63 / 2 3 37 63
VICKSBURG 84 67 70 49 / 38 53 88 84
HATTIESBURG 86 63 80 63 / 12 6 58 75
NATCHEZ 80 66 68 50 / 46 57 87 79
GREENVILLE 85 64 70 51 / 41 53 88 88
GREENWOOD 86 65 77 53 / 13 10 73 86
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR MSZ034-040-041-047-053-059>061.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR MSZ035-042-043-048-049-054>056-062>066-072>074.
LA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.
AR...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR ARZ074-075.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR ARZ074-075.
&&
BK/CME/Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 19, 3:36 PM CDT, 13 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 336 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ034-040>043-047>049-053- 054-059>062-202045- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WASHINGTON- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE- COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- 336 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH 25 TO 30 MPH GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING BUT STRONG WINDS WILL REDEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING. 20 TO 25 MPH WINDS WILL BE IN STORE FOR TUESDAY AHEAD OF A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE REGION. 35 TO 45 MPH WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA FOR TUESDAY. GUSTY WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON...TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISKS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH BUT TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL CAN NOT BE RULED OUT IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS WEEK AS A SLOW MOVING SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. HIGH RAINFALL RATES MAY PRODUCE FLOODING PROBLEMS FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AND A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MSZ018-019-025>027-035-036-055-063-064-202045- BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES- SIMPSON-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS- 336 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH 25 TO 30 MPH GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING BUT STRONG WINDS WILL REDEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING. 20 TO 25 MPH WINDS WILL BE IN STORE FOR TUESDAY AHEAD OF A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE REGION. 35 TO 45 MPH WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA FOR TUESDAY. GUSTY WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS WEEK AS A SLOW MOVING SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. HIGH RAINFALL RATES MAY PRODUCE FLOODING PROBLEMS FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AND A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MSZ028>033-037>039-044>046-050>052-056>058-065-066-072>074-202045- MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 336 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH 25 TO 30 MPH GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL REDEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH 30 MPH GUSTS THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS WEEK AS A SLOW MOVING SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. HIGH RAINFALL RATES MAY PRODUCE PONDING WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. 03
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2012Flash Flood Watches in Louisiana, 2012Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every flash flood watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.