Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Northern Indiana

July 5, 2012Fulton County, Ohio

NWS Northern Indiana issued this special weather statement at Jul 5, 2012, 5:41 PM EDT for Fulton County, Ohio. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 5, 2012, 5:41 PM EDT (21:41 UTC)
Expired: Jul 5, 2012, 6:15 PM EDT
In force: 34 min
Issued by: NWS Northern Indiana

County Fulton County, OH

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 279 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -270 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2299 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 277 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 345 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 5, 4:55 PM EDT, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 4:55 PM EDT, 46 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
455 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

..DANGEROUS HEAT TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...

.UPDATE...

ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR WESTERN AREAS EARLY
THIS EVENING. BOUNDARY OVER EASTERN WI AND NORTHEAST IL HAS FIRED A
FEW STORMS AND TRAJECTORIES SUGGEST THEY COULD MAKE IT INTO WESTERN
AREAS IF THEY HOLD TOGETHER OFF OF BOUNDARY. ISOLATED SEVERE WIND
GUSTS POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM AS DCAPE VALUES QUITE HIGH AND ONGOING
STORMS IN THE REGION HAVE PRODUCED STRONG WIND GUSTS VERY EARLY ON
DURING DEVELOPMENT WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

INTENSE HEAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WITH TORRID
RIDGE BUILDING FURTHER ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY. HIGH AND LOW
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD EXPECTED TO BE NEAR RECORD LEVELS.
UNCOMFORTABLE AND DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX VALUES DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND OPPRESSIVE VALUES AT NIGHT WILL PROVIDE NO RELIEF.

WEAK SHORT WAVE SEEN ON WATER VAPOR WILL BUCKLE EASTERN PORTION OF
RIDGE SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING. THIS FEATURE COUPLED WITH RESIDUAL
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND INCREASING INSTABILITY IN NORTHEAST HAS
ALLOWED CONVECTION TO FIRE. GIVEN RECENT RADAR/SATELLITE TRENDS AND
INSTABILITY IN PLACE HAVE ADDED TSRA CHANCES TO EASTERN CWA THIS
EVENING. BULK SHEAR IN THE 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE AND DCAPES IN 1000 TO
1500 J/KG RANGE COULD SEE A FEW ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING
WINDS PRIMARY HAZARD. PASSAGE OF SHORT WAVE AND LOSS OF HEATING WILL
ALLOW ANY STORMS TO DIMINISH WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE THIS MORNINGS READINGS
WHICH MEAN MID TO UPPER 70S.

CORE OF RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FRIDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE AND DRY
PROFILES LIMITING CLOUDS AND ALLOWING FOR A DEEP MIXED LAYER UP TO
800MB OR HIGHER. COMBINED WITH SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS THIS WILL
ONCE AGAIN ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB QUICKLY WITH ALL TIME RECORDS
WITHIN REACH AT MANY LOCATIONS. WITH LAST TWO DAYS SEEING HIGHS IN
THE 98 TO 102 RANGE WITH MOISTURE AND CLOUDS IN AREA...EXPECT HIGHS
ON FRIDAY TO REACH THE 102 TO 107 RANGE WITH HEAT INDEX READINGS 110
TO 115. WITH RIDGE IN PLACE AND VERY WARM MID LAYERS NO TRIGGER SEEN
FOR CONVECTION OTHER THAN ANY RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES WHICH COULD
CONVECT LATE IN HEAT. THIS WOULD LIKELY BE IN FAR NORTHEAST BUT WITH
CHANCES ONLY AROUND 10 PERCENT WILL CONTINUE WITH NO MENTION IN
FORECAST.

OPPRESSIVE LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT EXPECTED WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S AND
SOME AREAS LIKELY NOT GETTING BELOW 80. NO CHANGES TO EXCESSIVE HEAT
WARNING THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM...
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...VERY HOT CONDITIONS WILL BE OVER THE FCST
AREA FOR ONE MORE DAY SATURDAY. HAVE RAISED HIGHS SEVERAL DEGREES
OVER NEARLY ALL LOCATIONS SATURDAY...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR NORTHWEST.
THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BE ABLE TO MOVE SOUTH A LITTLE FASTER OVER THE
OPEN WATERS THAN LAND...REACHING BERRIEN AND LAPORTE COUNTIES BY
LATE AFTERNOON. FOLLOWED THE GENERAL NCEP MODEL TREND FOR A SLOWER
FRONTAL PASSAGE ARRIVAL TIME ADVOCATING WARMER TEMPERATURES. FAVOR
THE NAM/MET WITH MUCH HOTTER TEMPS BASED ON PAST PERFORMANCE AND
ONGOING COOL GFS/MAV/MEX BIASES. FT WAYNE SHOULD BE NEAR THEIR ALL
TIME RECORD HIGH OF 106 DEGREES SATURDAY. CONCERN ALSO FOR THE
CHANCE FOR STORMS WITH STRONG WINDS GIVEN CONSIDERABLY LARGE D CAPE
VALUES...PROBABLY IN THE 1400 TO 1800 J/KG RANGE. IF MOISTURE IS
ABLE TO POOL A LITTLE MORE SOUTH OF THE FRONT...STORMS MAY BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD. OTHERWISE...KEPT A CHANCE FOR LINGERING STORMS THRU
SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH DRY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL...BUT DRIER AIR SHOULD SPREAD
OVER THE REGION FROM SOUTHEAST CANADA.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN THROUGH PERIOD. VERY LOW CHANCE FOR
ISOLATED TSRA IN HEAT OF AFTERNOON WITH A FEW WEAK BOUNDARIES BUT
PROBABILITIES REMAIN 10 PERCENT OR LESS THUS NO NEED FOR INCLUSION
INTO FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ SATURDAY FOR
     INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034.

MI...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR MIZ077>081.

OH...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR OHZ001-002-
     004-005-015-016-024-025.

LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...LASHLEY
LONG TERM...SKIPPER
AVIATION...LASHLEY

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 4:55 PM EDT, 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
455 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

LMZ043-046-062100-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
455 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

INZ007-009-MIZ079>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-062100-
STEUBEN-DE KALB-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-
DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGOLA...AUBURN...GARRETT...STURGIS...
THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...
WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...
OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
455 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT
INDEX READINGS OF 105 TO 115 ARE EXPECTED. OVERNIGHT HEAT INDEX
READINGS WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE UPPER 70S TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR NORTHEAST
INDIANA...NORTHWEST OHIO AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING.
AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WIND THE
PRIMARY HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY. PEAK
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 105 TO 115 ARE EXPECTED.
OVERNIGHT HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER
80S FRIDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

INZ004>006-008-016>018-023>027-032>034-MIZ077-078-062100-
ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...
GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...PERU...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...
DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...
NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...
CASSOPOLIS
455 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN INDIANA
AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT
INDEX READINGS OF 105 TO 115 ARE EXPECTED. OVERNIGHT HEAT INDEX
READINGS WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE UPPER 70S TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY. PEAK
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 105 TO 115 ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S AND
LOWER 80S FRIDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

INZ003-012>015-020-022-062100-
LA PORTE-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...
ROCHESTER...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT
455 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012 /355 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT
INDEX READINGS OF 105 TO 115 ARE EXPECTED. OVERNIGHT HEAT INDEX
READINGS WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE UPPER 70S TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR NORTHWEST INDIANA
THIS EVENING. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE WITH
DAMAGING WIND THE PRIMARY HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY. PEAK
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 105 TO 115 ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S AND
LOWER 80S FRIDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 5, 4:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 5, 4:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 5, 4:39 PM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
439 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE SHADYSIDE          41.83N  84.53W
07/05/2012                   HILLSDALE          MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF POWER LINES DOWN NEAR BIRD LAKE. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

NG

Local storm report, Jul 5, 4:42 PM EDT, 59 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
442 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HILLSDALE               41.92N  84.63W
07/05/2012                   HILLSDALE          MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF HILLSDALE.

&&

NG

Special weather statement, Jul 5, 5:09 PM EDT, 32 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
509 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

OHZ005-016-025-052145-
ALLEN OH-HENRY OH-PUTNAM OH-
509 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES...

AT 506 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LEIPSIC...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF OTTAWA...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  OTTAWA...
  PANDORA...
  GILBOA...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4086 8396 4113 8413 4122 8392 4116 8387
      4090 8387
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 331DEG 11KT 4110 8397

Special weather statement, Jul 5, 5:41 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
541 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-052215-
DEFIANCE OH-FULTON OH-HENRY OH-HILLSDALE MI-WILLIAMS OH-
541 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD WESTERN FULTON...EASTERN
WILLIAMS...NORTHEASTERN DEFIANCE...NORTHWESTERN HENRY AND
SOUTHEASTERN HILLSDALE COUNTIES...

AT 537 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORMS 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAYETTE...OR 16 MILES NORTHEAST
OF MONTPELIER...MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH.

WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  ARCHBOLD...
  FAYETTE...
  WEST UNITY AND ZONE...
  ELMIRA AND TEDROW...
  BURLINGTON...
  PETTISVILLE...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4145 8409 4137 8437 4178 8454 4183 8436
      4172 8436 4171 8436 4171 8424
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 339DEG 26KT 4172 8438

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 5, 6:05 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Allen	25 min
Jul 5, 6:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Allen	48 min
Jul 5, 7:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Adams	28 min
Jul 4, 8:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Putnam	26 min
Jul 4, 8:34 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Allen	26 min
Jul 5, 3:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Fulton	37 min
Jul 5, 5:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Putnam	36 min
Jul 5, 6:07 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Van Wert	23 min
Jul 5, 6:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Van Wert	28 min
Jul 5, 7:03 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Van Wert	12 min
Jul 5, 7:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Van Wert	23 min
Jul 5, 3:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Hillsdale	24 min
Jul 5, 3:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Hillsdale	47 min
Jul 5, 4:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Hillsdale	25 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.