Small Craft Advisory 84, NWS Northern Indiana

872 
WHUS73 KIWX 291502
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1002 AM EST THU NOV 29 2012

LMZ043-292315-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121130T0000Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
1002 AM EST THU NOV 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

097 
WHUS73 KIWX 292146
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
446 PM EST THU NOV 29 2012

LMZ043-300000-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121130T0000Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
446 PM EST THU NOV 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

216 
WHUS73 KIWX 300019
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
719 PM EST THU NOV 29 2012

LMZ043-300130-
/O.EXP.KIWX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121130T0000Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
719 PM EST THU NOV 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
319 AM EST THU NOV 29 2012

.SHORT TERM.../TODAY-FRI NGT/
WK SHRTWV OVER MN THIS MORNING WILL CONT MOVG RAPIDLY SE ACROSS THE
GRTLKS TODAY. HIGH CLOUDS IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD PERSIST
OVER THE AREA PAST DAYBREAK, THEN CLEAR OUT BY MIDDAY. WK CDFNT OVER
THE UPR GRTLKS WILL SINK SOUTH TO SRN MI TONIGHT AND THEN STALL OUT
AS A WK SHRTWV OVER THE ROCKIES MOVES EAST IN THE ZONAL FLOW ACROSS
THE PLAINS TO THE MID MS VALLEY TONIGHT AND TO THE LWR GRTLKS FRI.
STILL APPEARS SOME OVER-RUNNING PRECIP WILL OCCUR NORTH OF THE
STALLED BOUNDARY AS THE SHRTWV APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. MOST LIKELY THIS PRECIP WILL FALL NORTH OF OUR
AREA BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO LEAVE A SLIGHT CHC OF RW- ACROSS THE FAR
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA FOR FRIDAY. RIDGING ALOFT WILL ONCE
AGAIN BUILD INTO THE AREA FRI NGT PROVIDING FAIR WX. GENERAL TREND
TOWARD RIDGING/INCRSG HEIGHTS SHOULD TRANSLATE TO A CONTD SLOW
WARMING TREND. GUIDANCE CONSENSUS SEEMS TO CAPTURE THIS TREND WELL
AND FOLLOWED WITH NO SGFNT CHANGES.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

UNSEASONABLY MILD PATTERN ANTICIPATED THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE ADVECTS NEWD WITHIN LOW LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW. A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
(WITH PACIFIC ORIGINS) IS PROGGED TO TRACK THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST
AND GREAT LAKES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. WEAK SUPPORT
ALOFT MAINLY BYPASSES NORTH BUT STILL COULD SEE LIGHTER
SHOWERS/DRIZZLE ACCOMPANY THE ATTENDANT SFC TROUGH. CONTINUED WITH
MID CHC POPS HERE GIVEN WEAK FORCING/HIGH MOISTURE SETUP.

THE NEXT MORE PRONOUNCED SHORTWAVE LOOKS TO TAKE A FARTHER NORTH
TRACK AND PHASE WITH NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY YIELDING A MORE
IMPRESSIVE CYCLONE/NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALY ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL
CANADA BY MONDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO DOWNSTREAM AMPLIFICATION AND
RIDGING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY WITH AN EVEN MORE IMPRESSIVE SURGE OF WARMTH/MOISTURE DURING
THIS TIME. EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AND SUBSTANTIAL CLOUD COVER
ON MONDAY...BUT DID OPT TO RETAIN SLIGHT CHC POPS FOR A FEW SHOWERS
GIVEN STRONG LOW LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION. 00Z GUIDANCE OVERALL
CONTINUED TO TREND FASTER WITH COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE NOW PROGGED TO
MOVE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT INTO VERY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. LINE OF
SHOWERS (ISO THUNDER?) WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT BUT ONLY HIGH
CHC POPS WARRANTED AT THIS TIME GIVEN ENSEMBLE DIFFERENCES WRT
TIMING. MORE TYPICAL EARLY DECEMBER WX IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF
THIS COLD FRONT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY
FALLING DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. PROGRESSIVE UP AND DOWN PATTERN
LOOKS TO CONTINUE BEYOND THE LONG TERM PERIOD WITH TEMPS RETURNING
BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LATE NEXT WEEK BEFORE ANOTHER STRONGER
SYSTEM/COLD FRONT SLAMS THROUGH AROUND DEC 8-9 (NEXT WEEKEND).

&&

.AVIATION... /06Z TAFS/
SHRTWV DROPPING SE ACROSS MN SPREADING CIRRUS INTO NRN INDIANA EARLY
THIS MORNING WHICH SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT 15Z. SKC THEN
EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS WK SYSTEM.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER KY WILL MOVE EAST TODAY CAUSING SW WINDS TO
CONT ACROSS NRN INDIANA WITH SPEEDS INCREASING INTO THE TEENS DURING
THE DAY.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JT
LONG TERM...STEINWEDEL
AVIATION...JT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
420 AM EST THU NOV 29 2012

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-300930-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
420 AM EST THU NOV 29 2012 /320 AM CST THU NOV 29 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-300930-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
420 AM EST THU NOV 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE