Small Craft Advisory 18, NWS Northern Indiana

539 
WHUS73 KIWX 111650
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1150 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

LMZ043-120100-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
1150 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
  GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS BACKING WEST SUNDAY 15
  TO 20 KNOTS AND CONTINUING SUNDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES: 10 TO 14 FEET TODAY GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 10 FEET
  SUNDAY...THEN 4 TO 8 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ046-120100-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1150 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS 
  THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. GUSTS TO 40 
  KNOT GALES THIS MORNING. 

* WAVES: 12 TO 16 FEET TODAY...SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 12 FEET 
  TONIGHT...THEN TO 6 TO 10 FEET SUNDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

875 
WHUS73 KIWX 112028
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
328 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

LMZ043-120430-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
328 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST-NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 30
  KNOTS. WINDS BACKING WEST SUNDAY 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND CONTINUING
  SUNDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES: 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THEN 5 TO 8 FEET
  SUNDAY NIGHT..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ046-120430-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
328 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES: 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT...SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 10 FEET SUNDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

491 
WHUS73 KIWX 120354
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1054 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

LMZ043-121200-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
1054 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS
  MONDAY.

* WAVES: 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT DECREASING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET
  MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ046-121200-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1054 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS
  MONDAY.

* WAVES: 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT...SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET
  MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

386 
WHUS73 KIWX 120840
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
340 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

LMZ043-121645-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
340 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS BACKING SOUTHWEST MONDAY.

* WAVES: 8 TO 12 FEET...SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ046-121645-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
340 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS BACKING SOUTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS MONDAY.

* WAVES: 6 TO 10 FEET...SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

279 
WHUS73 KIWX 121557
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1057 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

LMZ043-130000-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
1057 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON
  AND TONIGHT. WINDS BACKING SOUTHWEST MONDAY.

* WAVES: 6 TO 10 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THEN GRADUALLY
  SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ046-130000-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1200Z/
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1057 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. GUSTS TO 25
  KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS BACKING SOUTHWEST MONDAY.

* WAVES: 6 TO 10 FEET THIS AFTERNOON THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TO
  LESS THAN 4 FEET ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

280 
WHUS73 KIWX 122039
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
339 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

LMZ043-130445-
/O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-120213T1500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
339 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY.

* WINDS: WEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT...BACKING TO THE SOUTHWEST ON
  MONDAY. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT...GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4
  FEET BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ046-130445-
/O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1500Z/
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
339 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY.

* WINDS: WEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT...BACKING TO THE SOUTHWEST ON
  MONDAY. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WAVES: 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT...SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET BY
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

689 
WHUS73 KIWX 130344
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1044 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

LMZ043-131145-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-120213T1500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
1044 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT...BACKING TO THE SOUTHWEST 
  ON MONDAY. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. 

* WAVES: 5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT...GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 
  4 FEET BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ046-131145-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1500Z/
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1044 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS: WEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT...BACKING TO THE SOUTHWEST ON
  MONDAY. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT...SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET BY 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

351 
WHUS73 KIWX 131026
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
526 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

LMZ043-131500-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-120213T1500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
526 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 4 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY LATE MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ046-131500-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1500Z/
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
526 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET BY LATE MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

485 
WHUS73 KIWX 131507
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1007 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

LMZ043-131615-
/O.EXP.KIWX.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-120213T1500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-
1007 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

LMZ046-131615-
/O.EXP.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1500Z/
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1007 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
423 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

.SHORT TERM.../TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT UNDERWAY...

ARCTIC COLD FRONT HAS SWEPT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS AND DEWPTS FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS.
SOME LEFTOVER LIGHT SNOW WAS SEEN ON OBS AND RADAR ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTHEASTERN INDIANA AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO. MAIN FOCUS WAS WELL
DEFINED INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND THAT RAPIDLY DEVELOPED ACROSS
LAKE AND PORTER COUNTIES THIS PAST EVENING AND AFTER A BRIEF SHIFT
WEST AND INCREASE IN EASTERN PROGRESS HAS BEEN NOTED WITH THE BAND
CURRENTLY SITUATED ACROSS LAPORTE AND STARKE COUNTIES AHEAD OF
SCHEDULE. REPORT FROM VALPO UNIV OF LIGHTNING WAS RECEIVED AS THE
HEAVIEST PART OF THE BAND SHIFTED ACROSS THAT AREA. RADAR TRENDS
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA HAS SHOWN A DOWNWARD TREND IN SOUTHERN
EXTENT AND INTENSITY OF THE BAND. UPSTREAM ACROSS THE LAKE KGRR
RADAR SHOWING AN INCREASE IN RETURNS AS THE BAND SHIFTED MORE ALONG
THE EASTERN SHORE OF THE LAKE. A FEW RUNS OF THE HRRR SUGGESTED THIS
MAY OCCUR WITH THE INITIAL BAND WEAKENING WITH TIME AS CONVERGENCE
WEAKENED AND MORE OF A MULTI BAND SETUP BEGAN TO ESTABLISH WITH TIME
THIS MORNING. WHILE FULL WARNING CRITERIA MAY NOT BE
MET...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS STILL WARRANT HOLDING ONTO CURRENT
HEADLINES. RISK FOR WARNING CRITERIA STILL POSSIBLE OVER BERRIEN
COUNTY AS BAND REORIENTS AND PERSISTS INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. DID
EXPAND POPS FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST AS INLAND EXTENT OF BANDS MAY
INCREASE AS OVERALL FLOW INCREASES SOMEWHAT WITH STRONGER GRADIENT
SHIFTING ACROSS THE AREA. WOULD NOT EXPECT MUCH IMPACT BUT FELT AT
LEAST CHC POPS WERE NEEDED DOWNSTREAM OF THE BAND.

GIVEN UNCERTAINTY OF EXTENT AND INTENSITY OF HEAVIEST BANDS HAVE
WENT WITH LIKELY POPS INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH ONLY LIGHT ADDITIONAL
ACCUMS.

NW FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION INTO SUNDAY. HOWEVER...LL
TEMPS WILL QUICKLY UNDERGO MODERATION TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY CAUSING
DELTA T'S TO DECREASE AND INVERSION HGTS TO LOWER. THE RESULT WILL
BE SOME LINGERING VERY LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES INTO TONIGHT BEFORE
ENDING. SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT APPEAR DRY AT THIS POINT WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN. MEAN RH VALUES DROPS CONSIDERABLY BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING FOR MOSTLY CLEAR TO CLEAR
SKIES AND MODERATING TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

OVERALL VERY FEW CHANGES REQUIRED TO THE LONG TERM PERIOD FOR THIS
FORECAST CYCLE.

FOR MONDAY...LOW LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH THE
LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST US...EVENTUALLY ALLOWING
LOW LEVEL RETURN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TO SETUP. A SHEARED UPPER VORT
MAX DIVORCED FROM STRONGER STEERING FLOW AS A RESULT OF WESTERN
CONUS SPLIT FLOW SHOULD GRADUALLY GET PHASED WITH A MORE AMPLIFIED
SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGH KICKING OUT OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. AS
THIS OCCURS...STRONGER LOW LEVEL THETAE ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT
SHOULD BE FOCUSED JUST WEST OF THE AREA. NAM/GFS ISENTROPIC PROGS IN
290-280K LAYER DO INDICATE MORE SUBSTANTIAL LOWERING OF
CONDENSATIONAL PRESSURE DEFICITS THROUGHOUT THIS LAYER BY LATE IN
THE DAY MONDAY...BUT SUBCLOUD LAYER MAY BE TOO DRY FOR MOST AREAS TO
RECEIVE ANY PRECIP MONDAY AFTERNOON. A SHARP LOW LEVEL GRADIENT
NOTED IN MIXING RATIOS THROUGHOUT THIS LAYER FROM WEST TO EAST ON
MONDAY...AND PREVIOUS POP GRADIENT MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM LOW CHANCE
WEST TO SLIGHT CHANCE EAST STILL APPEARS REASONABLE. STRONGER
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND MID LEVEL FORCING TO MOVE IN FOR MONDAY NIGHT
WHICH STILL APPEARS TO BE SHAPING UP AS A HIGH POP/LOW QPF EVENT
BASED ON A RELATIVELY SHORT DURATION OF BETTER LOW/MID LEVEL
MOISTURE PROFILES AND RATHER DISJOINTED NATURE OF MID/UPPER LEVEL
FORCING WITH ONLY PARTIAL PHASING OF THESE AFOREMENTIONED SHORT
WAVES. MOST OF PRECIP EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT BUT WILL CONTINUE TO
CARRY CHANCE -SN MENTION INTO TUESDAY WITH LAGGING SHORT WAVE SLOW
TO EXIT THE AREA. PRECIP MAY END AS A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE/FLURRIES
TUESDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN AREAS...AS MOISTURE
PROFILES BECOMING INCREASING SHALLOW WITH ONLY WEAK MID LEVEL
FORCING.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE STARTED TO CONVERGE A BIT MORE IN REGARDS
TO MID/LATE WEEK SYSTEM WITH ECMWF EXHIBITING SOME BETTER RUN TO RUN
CONTINUITY IN COMPARISON TO 24 HOURS AGO. FLOW PATTERN QUITE COMPLEX
FOR THIS PERIOD WITH MAIN QUESTION REGARDING PHASING ISSUES OF NEXT
SOUTHERN STEAM UPPER TROUGH WITH ACTIVE SOUTHERN CANADIAN NORTHERN
STREAM. GENERALLY FOLLOWED HPC PREFERENCE OF A SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN
ECMWF SOLUTION GIVEN EXPECTED FAST BIASED EJECTION OF SOUTHWEST US
WAVE. THIS CENTERS HIGHEST POPS IN THE THURS NIGHT PERIOD BUT
DEPENDING ON RATE OF EJECTION OF THIS TROUGH...PRECIP MAY EVENTUALLY
HAVE TO BE ADDED INTO FRIDAY. HARD TO DEVIATE AT THIS TIME FROM A
BROADBRUSH RAIN/SNOW PTYPE MENTION FOR THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT GIVEN
EXPECTED MARGINAL LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILES DURING THIS PERIOD.
TEMPS SHOULD TREND SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONABLE NORMS FOR THE WED-FRI
PERIOD WITH SOME SUGGESTIONS OF A BRIEF SHOT OF COLD ADVECTION
TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD AS LARGER SCALE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH
DIGS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS.

SYNOPTIC SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE OUT OF KFWA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WITH ATTENTION TURNING TO INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND
CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHWEST INDIANA. LOW LEVEL WINDS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO BACK THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ALLOWING THIS BAND TO
EVENTUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD AND AFFECT KSBN BY THE 11Z-13Z
TIME FRAME. HAVE MAINTAINED IDEA FROM PREVIOUS TAFS WITH A PERIOD
OF LIFR CONDITIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS BAND GIVEN MODERATE TO
STRONG LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY AND A MORE FAVORABLE NORTH
NORTHWEST FETCH FOR KSBN. IT APPEARS AS THOUGH THERE WILL BE A
THREE HOUR WINDOW OF INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES OF POTENTIALLY 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR AT KSBN IN THE 12Z TO 16Z TIME FRAME. BLOWING SNOW
ALSO LIKELY TO CAUSE SOME CONTINUED VSBY RESTRICTIONS THROUGH THE
LATE MORNING HOURS. INVERSION HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO LOWER BY LATE
MORNING WITH STRONGER LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS SHIFTING NORTH AND
EAST OF KSBN LATE MORNING. DESPITE LOWERING INVERSION
HEIGHTS...DID KEEP SCT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES THROUGH THIS
FORECAST VALID PERIOD ALONG WITH MVFR CIGS.

&&

.MARINE...
WILL CONTINUE GALE WARNINGS THROUGH THE MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS
IN THE 35 TO 40 KT RANGE HAVE PERSISTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS AT
MICHIGAN CITY WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 44 KTS. WINDS MUCH LIGHTER AT ST
JOE/BENTON HARBOR BUT EXPECT THEM TO INCREASE AS STRONG GRADIENT
SHIFTS OVER HEAD THIS MORNING.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR INZ003-012.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR INZ013.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR INZ004-
     014.

MI...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MIZ077.

OH...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LMZ043-046.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SHORT TERM...FISHER
LONG TERM...MARSILI
AVIATION...MARSILI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
428 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-112130-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
428 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012 /328 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT... WITH A
WINTER STORM WARNING NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN IN THE COUNTIES OF
BERRIEN...LAPORTE... AND STARKE. SEE THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER
MESSAGE... INDWSWIWX... FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY. A WINTER STORM
WARNING AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH
SATURDAY. AGAIN... PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...
INDWSWIWX... FOR DETAILS.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF SNOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WITH
MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HOWEVER...REPORTS OF
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE APPRECIATED THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-112130-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
428 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT MAY PERSIST INTO
MONDAY MORNING.

FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1145 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1144 PM     SNOW             BENTON HARBOR           42.12N  86.45W
02/10/2012  M2.5 INCH        BERRIEN            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNOWFALL TOTAL THROUGH 1130 PM EST.

&&

FISHER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
131 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

INZ005>009-015>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ078>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-110945-
ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-
WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-
ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-
WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-
ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...
LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...ROCHESTER...
AKRON...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...
COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...MONON...LOGANSPORT...
ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...
DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...HARTFORD CITY...
MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
131 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT...

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW THAT WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DESPITE THE ACCUMULATING SNOW
SUBSIDING ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS...ROADS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
TREACHEROUS DUE TO LAST EVENINGS SNOWFALL AND ARCTIC AIR BUILDING
INTO THE AREA. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLICK SPOTS ON
ROADWAYS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH DESTINATIONS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
208 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

INZ003-012-MIZ077-110800-
BERRIEN MI-LA PORTE IN-STARKE IN-
108 AM CST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW MOVING INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF LA PORTE
AND STARKE COUNTIES...

AT 159 AM EST/1259 AM CST/...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG AND
WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM LONG BEACH TO WANATAH TO 6 MILES WEST
OF NORTH JUDSON...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS BAND. 10 TO 20 MPH WINDS
WILL ALSO CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING AND NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE BANDS OF VERY HEAVY SNOW INCLUDE...
  LA PORTE...NORTH JUDSON AND NEW BUFFALO...
  WATERFORD...
  MICHIANA SHORES...
  MICHIANA...
  ENGLISH LAKE...
  THOMASTON...

CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE
WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO
NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
253 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

INZ003-012-MIZ077-110900-
BERRIEN MI-LA PORTE IN-STARKE IN-
153 AM CST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 248 AM EST/148 AM CST/...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG AND
WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM THREE OAKS TO KINGSFORD HEIGHTS TO
NORTH JUDSON...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS BAND ALONG WITH REDUCED
VISIBILITIES.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW INCLUDE...

  MICHIGAN CITY...LAPORTE
  SHOREWOOD-TOWER HILL...KINGSFORD HEIGHTS AND NORTH JUDSON...
  THREE OAKS...
  HARBERT...
  BYRON AND BREMS...

CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE
WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO
NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.