Gale Warning 17, NWS Northern Indiana

220 
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MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1056 AM EDT FRI APR 20 2012

LMZ043-046-202300-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0017.120420T1500Z-120421T0200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1056 AM EDT FRI APR 20 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: BECOMING NORTH AND INCREASING TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON
  WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES.

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 5 TO 10 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...AND TO 8 TO 
  12 FEET TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED 
  FOLLOWING THE GALE WARNING AS HAZARDOUS WAVE HEIGHTS WILL 
  PERSIST INTO SATURDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

151 
WHUS73 KIWX 201949
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
349 PM EDT FRI APR 20 2012

LMZ043-046-210200-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120421T0200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
349 PM EDT FRI APR 20 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTH TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES.

* WAVES: 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE
  NEEDED FOLLOWING THE GALE WARNING AS HAZARDOUS WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
  PERSIST INTO SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

106 
WHUS73 KIWX 210148
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
948 PM EDT FRI APR 20 2012

LMZ043-046-210500-
/O.EXT.KIWX.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120421T0500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
948 PM EDT FRI APR 20 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTH GALES TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE 
  NEEDED FOLLOWING THE GALE WARNING AS HAZARDOUS WAVE HEIGHTS 
  WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

785 
WHUS73 KIWX 210511
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
111 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

LMZ043-046-211315-
/O.EXP.KIWX.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120421T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.SC.Y.0038.120421T0511Z-120421T1900Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
111 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS: NORTH WINDS TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.
  NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS ON SATURDAY. 

* WAVES: 8 TO 12 FEET OVERNIGHT. 5 TO 8 FEET DURING THE DAY ON
  SATURDAY...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FEET BY MID AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
135 AM EDT FRI APR 20 2012

.AVIATION...
LOW END LLWS EVENT ADDRESSED THIS AM PER GUIDANCE AND SECOND GAGE
VWP ALREADY SRLY TO 50KTS. PRIMARY FOCUS ON POSTFNTL SHRA/ASSOCD
FUEL ALT CIGS ANTICIPATED MIDDAY INTO KSBN AND LATER THIS AFTN AT
KFWA AS NERN IL SFC LOW/TRIPLE PT TRACKS NEWD INTO SRN LWR MI BY
LATE AM...SLOWLY DRAGGING TRAILING FNTL BAND EWD THROUGH NRN IN.
LACK OF SIG MSTR DEPTH AND INSTABILITY TO PRECLUDE TSRA MENTION.
GRTR MIXED LYR DEPTH AWAY FM SFC LOW TRACK AT KFWA FOR HIR GUST
POTNL.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO
APPROACHING SHORT WAVE. ENTIRE CWA WILL BE IN WARM SECTOR OVERNIGHT
WITH LITTLE FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION EXCEPT POSSIBLY FAR NORTHWEST.
BEST FORCING ARRIVES FRIDAY MORNING NORTHWEST ALONG COLD FRONT.
MOISTURE AND LIFT RATHER MEAGER BUT MODELS IN AGREEMENT ON NARROW
AREA OF LIFT RIGHT ALONG AND JUST BEHIND FRONT WITH INCREASED THETA
E. QPF CONTINUES TO DECREASE WITH EACH MODEL RUN AND ONLY EXPECTING
A QUARTER INCH OR LESS MOST AREAS...LESS THAN HPC EXPECTED QPF
TOTALS. SPC 4KM WRF MODELING TODAYS CONVECTION RATHER WELL AND HAVE
USED THIS ALONG WITH NAM12 FOR TIMING ADJUSTMENTS TO FORECAST. HAVE
OPTED TO REMOVE EARLY EVENING POPS FAR NORTH AND NORTHWEST WITH
FRONT NORTH BUT KEPT A LOW CHANCE LATE TONIGHT WITH APPROACH OF COLD
FRONT.

CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
SOUTHEAST AS HEATING AHEAD OF FRONT AND LOWER 50 DEWPOINTS LEAD TO
STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MUCAPE IN THE 500-1000 J/KG
RANGE. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TO 45 TO 50 KT SO ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE.

DRYING AND SUBSIDENCE INDICATED TO QUICKLY MOVE IN FRIDAY NIGHT WITH
MUCH COOLER AIR. SOME CONCERNS FOR PATCHY FROST EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BUT MODELS LOOK TO KEEP A LIGHT GRADIENT AND POSSIBLY SOME
LINGERING CLOUDS SO WILL NOT INTRODUCE MENTION WITH THIS PACKAGE.

KEPT TEMPS ABOVE GUIDANCE TONIGHT WITH WARM FRONT NORTH AND WINDS
EXPECTED TO KEEP ATMOSPHERE WELL MIXED ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS
WEST. RATHER LARGE TEMPERATURE GRADIENT EXPECTED ACROSS CWA ON
FRIDAY WITH FRONT PASSING AREA. SOUTHEAST LIKELY TO REACH LOWER TO
MID 70S WHILE FAR NW MAY SEE FALLING TEMPS WITH LAKE INFLUENCE POST
FRONTAL. FRIDAY NIGHT TEMPS STILL A LITTLE TRICKY WITH AMOUNT OF
CLOUDS AND DECOUPLING BUT MID TO UPPER 30S CURRENTLY EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM...
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL DRIFT EAST
EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AMPLIFIES OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS. FAVOR A BLEND OF GFS ENSEMBLES AND THE
BULK OF THE CANADIAN GEM ENSEMBLES OVER THE ECMWF. THE 12Z ECMWF
OPERATION RUN APPEARS TOO FAR WEST WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE UPPER
LOW IN LIEU OF THE 00Z RUN. HAVE REMOVED RAIN CHANCES SATURDAY
MORNING GIVEN GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS SUPPORTING A FASTER SOLUTION
WITH SUBSIDENCE FOLLOWING CLOSELY BEHIND THE UPPER TROF. HAVE ADDED
AREAS OF FROST SATURDAY NIGHT GIVEN PARTLY CLOUDS SKIES AND A
NORTHEAST FETCH OF COLD CANADIAN AIR. SOME FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE AT LEAST AT THE LOCALLY COLDER SPOTS FOR FAR SOUTHEAST
LOWER MICHIGAN EXTENDING INTO FAR NORTHERN INDIANA AND EXTREME NW
OHIO. COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
FROST AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT. THERE SHOULD BE
A GRADUALLY WARMUP THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD AS THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SLOWLY BUILDS EAST. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. KEPT THE ENTIRE PERIOD DRY BEING ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROF AND AHEAD OF THE BUILDING RIDGE.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...LASHLEY
LONG TERM...SKIPPER
AVIATION...MURPHY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
443 AM EDT THU APR 19 2012

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-200845-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
443 AM EDT THU APR 19 2012 /343 AM CDT THU APR 19 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY.

PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-200845-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
443 AM EDT THU APR 19 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE TODAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING.

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE