Alert archive / Ohio / Winter Storm Watches in 2012
Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Wilmington, OH
NWS Wilmington, OH issued this winter storm watch at Dec 24, 2012, 3:56 AM EST for 24 counties in Ohio; 8 counties in Indiana; Boone County, Carroll County, Gallatin County, Kentucky. It took effect at Dec 26, 2012, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 24, 2012, 3:56 AM EST (08:56 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 26, 2012, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 25, 2012, 3:46 PM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Wilmington, OH
All 35 counties
Dearborn County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Boone County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Auglaize County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Preble County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH
The radar
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 45 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1281 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 158 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 170 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
479 WWUS41 KILN 240856 WSWILN URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 356 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012 .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER TEXAS AND TRACK THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY CHRISTMAS NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF THE LOW TRACK. INZ050-OHZ026-034-035-042>044-241700- /O.NEW.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ WAYNE-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...KENTON...CELINA... WAPAKONETA...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE 356 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
6 follow-up statements
129 WWUS41 KILN 241540 WSWILN URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 1040 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012 .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER TEXAS AND TRACK THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY CHRISTMAS NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF THE LOW TRACK. INZ050-OHZ026-034-035-042>044-242345- /O.CON.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ WAYNE-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...KENTON...CELINA... WAPAKONETA...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE 1040 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
897 WWUS41 KILN 242106 WSWILN URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 406 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012 .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER TEXAS AND TRACK THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY CHRISTMAS NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF THE LOW TRACK. INZ058-059-066-OHZ045-046-051>056-060>062-070-071-250515- /O.EXA.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN- CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-BUTLER- WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...BROOKVILLE... MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON... COLUMBUS...NEWARK...EATON...DAYTON...XENIA...HAMILTON...LEBANON 406 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES. SLEET MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW ON WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ INZ050-OHZ026-034-035-042>044-250515- /O.CON.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ WAYNE-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...KENTON...CELINA... WAPAKONETA...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE 406 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
628 WWUS41 KILN 250229 WSWILN URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 929 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012 .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER TEXAS AND TRACK THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY CHRISTMAS NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF THE LOW TRACK. INZ050-OHZ026-034-035-042>044-251030- /O.CON.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ WAYNE-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...KENTON...CELINA... WAPAKONETA...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE 929 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ INZ058-059-066-OHZ045-046-051>056-060>062-070-071-251030- /O.CON.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN- CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-BUTLER- WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...BROOKVILLE... MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON... COLUMBUS...NEWARK...EATON...DAYTON...XENIA...HAMILTON...LEBANON 929 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES. SLEET MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW ON WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
202 WWUS41 KILN 250914 WSWILN URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 414 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 .LOW PRESSURE IN TEXAS WILL TRACK NORTHEAST AND SKIM THE SOUTHERN OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF THE LOW TRACK. CLOSER TO THE LOW...A MIX OF SNOW...RAIN...AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE. INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>062-251715- /O.UPG.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KILN.WS.W.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE- DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK- MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY... BROOKVILLE...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY... BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA... SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...EATON...DAYTON...XENIA 414 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>091-OHZ063>065-072-077-251715- /O.EXA.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE- FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-CLINTON-HAMILTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG... RISING SUN...VEVAY...CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON... WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...LANCASTER...WILMINGTON... CINCINNATI 414 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND SOME ICY ACCUMULATIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...ALONG WITH A GLAZE OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN AT TIMES...AND RAIN MAY FREEZE ON AREA SURFACES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ OHZ070-071-251715- /O.CON.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ BUTLER-WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...LEBANON 414 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND SOME ICY ACCUMULATIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...ALONG WITH A GLAZE OF ICE IS POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
124 WWUS41 KILN 251526 WSWILN URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 1026 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 .LOW PRESSURE IN TEXAS WILL TRACK NORTHEAST AND SKIM THE SOUTHERN OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF THE LOW TRACK. CLOSER TO THE LOW...A MIX OF SNOW...RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE. INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>062-252330- /O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE- DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK- MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY... BROOKVILLE...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY... BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA... SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...EATON...DAYTON...XENIA 1026 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>091-OHZ063>065-070>072-077-252330- /O.CON.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE- FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-HAMILTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG... RISING SUN...VEVAY...CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON... WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...LANCASTER...HAMILTON... LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CINCINNATI 1026 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND SOME ICY ACCUMULATIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...ALONG WITH A GLAZE OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN AT TIMES...AND THE RAIN MAY FREEZE AND CREATE AN ICY GLAZE ON AREA SURFACES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
726 WWUS41 KILN 252046 WSWILN URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 346 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 .A VIGOROUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST AND SKIM THE SOUTHERN OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A POTENT WINTER STORM TO THE REGION WITH HEAVY SNOW AND WIND EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF THE LOW TRACK. CLOSER TO THE LOW...A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE. INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>045-051>053-060-061-260500- /O.CAN.KILN.WS.W.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KILN.BZ.W.0001.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE- DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-PREBLE- MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY... BROOKVILLE...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY... BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD... EATON...DAYTON 346 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND WINDY CONDITIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL RATES AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR AROUND DAYBREAK AND LAST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE NEAR ZERO IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS...CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. LARGE DRIFTS COULD CAUSE SOME ROADS TO BECOME IMPASSABLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A BLIZZARD WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF OVER 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND...OR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME POOR...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. CHECK WITH LOCAL AUTHORITIES FOR CURRENT ROAD CONDITIONS. && $$ KYZ089-090-252200- /O.CAN.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ CARROLL-GALLATIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARROLLTON...WARSAW 346 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WATCH. THE HEAVIER SNOW IS EXPECTED TO STAY NORTH OF THE AREA. LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. $$ INZ073-OHZ070-260500- /O.UPG.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KILN.BZ.W.0001.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ RIPLEY-BUTLER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERSAILLES...HAMILTON 346 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND WINDY CONDITIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL RATES AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR AROUND DAYBREAK AND LAST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE NEAR ZERO IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS...CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. LARGE DRIFTS COULD CAUSE SOME ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A BLIZZARD WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF OVER 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND, OR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME POOR, WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. CHECK WITH LOCAL AUTHORITIES FOR CURRENT ROAD CONDITIONS. && $$ OHZ063>065-071-072-260500- /O.UPG.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KILN.WS.W.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-WARREN-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE... LANCASTER...LEBANON...WILMINGTON 346 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...SLEET...AND POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW WITH SOME SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE IN SOME AREAS. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30 WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ OHZ046-054>056-062-260500- /O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ DELAWARE-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-GREENE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DELAWARE...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK... XENIA 346 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND SUNRISE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30 WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ INZ074-075-080-KYZ091-OHZ077-260500- /O.UPG.KILN.WS.A.0002.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KILN.WW.Y.0008.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-BOONE-HAMILTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCEBURG...RISING SUN...VEVAY... BURLINGTON...CINCINNATI 346 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...ALONG WITH LIGHT ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS IN SOME AREAS. THERE WILL BE A SHARP GRADIENT OF SNOWFALL TOTALS IN THESE AREAS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW...SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...ICE...AND SLEET MEANS THAT TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES DUE TO SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED LIMITED VISIBILITIES AND SLIPPERY SURFACES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ KYZ092-093-OHZ073-074-078>080-260500- /O.NEW.KILN.WW.Y.0008.121226T0600Z-121227T0600Z/ KENTON-CAMPBELL-ROSS-HOCKING-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA... CHILLICOTHE...LOGAN...MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...HILLSBORO 346 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...ALONG WITH LIGHT ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS IN SOME AREAS. THERE WILL BE A SHARP GRADIENT OF SNOWFALL TOTALS IN THESE AREAS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 1 AM CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW...SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...ICE...AND SLEET MEANS THAT TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES DUE TO SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED LIMITED VISIBILITIES AND SLIPPERY SURFACES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...ICE...AND SLEET MEANS THAT TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES DUE TO SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED LIMITED VISIBILITIES AND SLIPPERY SURFACES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Dec 24, 1:34 AM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 1:34 AM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 134 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012 .SYNOPSIS... WEAK LOW PRESSURE TRAVELING THROUGH KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO WILL BRING AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER ON CHRISTMAS DAY. A VIGOROUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DUMP A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... LOW PRESSURE OVER NW ARKANSAS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO WESTERN KENTUCKY BY MORNING. LATEST NAM...RAP AND HRRR INDICATE THAT THE BEST WARM...MOIST ASCENT/ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL OCCUR ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER LATE. THIS MOIST FLOW WILL CAUSE LOW LEVEL CLOUDS TO INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER BY MORNING. THERE HAS BEEN A CONCERN ON HOW FAST PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA VERSUS SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING AT OR BELOW FREEZING BY THE TIME IT ARRIVES. IT NOW APPEARS THAT PRECIPITATION SHOULD PRETTY MUCH ARRIVE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS RISE...AND NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED. HAVE SHOWN THIS IN THE LATEST GRIDS AND ZONES WHICH IS TO KEEP A DRY FORECAST PRETTY MUCH ACRS THE WHITEWATER/MIAMI VALLEYS...WEST CENTRAL OHIO AND CENTRAL OHIO OVERNIGHT. LOWS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN THEY SHOULD RISE AS CLOUDS THICKEN AND THE WIND INCREASES SOME FROM THE EAST AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/... WITH THE WEAK LOW MOVING TO EASTERN OHIO...RAIN WILL BE LIKELY MONDAY IN SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES...WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE NORTH AND WEST. THE WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR FREEZING PRECIPITATION SEEMS MINIMAL MONDAY MORNING ALONG AND NORTH OF I-70 AS TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS RISE AS THE PRECIPITATION ARRIVES. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AT THE ONSET BUT IT SHOULD NOT LAST VERY LONG AND SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IF ANY IMPACT. A RISE INTO THE 40S IS FORECAST FOR MOST LOCATIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL BE ENDING MONDAY EVENING WITH THE LOW EXITING TO THE EAST. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR NORTH OF DAYTON BEFORE PRECIPITATION CHANCES END AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY. AFTER WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ARRIVES FOR A SHORT STAY...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE STRONG LOW. HIGHS AROUND 40 ARE EXPECTED. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... FOCUS IS ON THE WINTER STORM WHICH WILL AFFECT THE REGION AT MID WEEK. VIGOROUS MID LEVEL S/W TO LIFT FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER OH VLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND ACRS THE REGION WEDNESDAY. NUMERICAL MODEL SOLNS CONTINUE TO SHOW SPREAD REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK OF THE ASSOCIATED SFC WAVE WHICH LIFTS NE THRU THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. IN GENERAL THE GFS DETERMINISTIC SOLNS HAVE BEEN THE FURTHEST WEST AND THEREFORE BRING MORE WARM AIR INTO ILN/S FA. THE ECMWF SOLN HAS BEEN MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE LATEST 12Z DETERMINISTIC RUN TRENDING A LITTLE WEST AND THEREFORE ALLOWING A LTL MORE INTRUSION OF WARM AIR. GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLN IS PLACED A LTL EAST OF ITS DETERMINISTIC RUN. HAVE TRENDED THE LATEST FCST TOWARD THE A SLIGHTLY MODIFIED (WARMER) SOLN THAN 12Z ECMWF RUN GIVEN TRENDS AND CONSISTENCY. HAVE SPREAD LKLY POPS IN FROM THE SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT AND THEN BUMPED UP POPS TO CATEGORICAL EARLY WEDNESDAY. USING AT TOP DOWN TECHNIQUE APPLIED TO MODIFIED ECMWF SOLN HAVE FAR WEST CENTRAL OHIO (NORTHWEST OF DAYTON) STAYING ALL SNOW BUT HAVE A MIX SPREADING INTO THE REMAINDER OF ILN/S FA AND RAIN SE OF I-71 DURING THE DAY ON WED. AS COLDER AIR WRAPS INTO THE SYSTEM...HAVE ALL PRECIP CHANGE BACK TO SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE 6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW AND SIGNIFICANT ICE. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE A STORM TOTAL 4 TO 6 INCH SNOW BAND IS PSBL FROM EAST CENTRAL INDIANA THRU FAR W CNTRL OHIO. THERE WILL LKLY BE A SHARP CUT OFF TO THE SE WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG AND JUST WEST OF I-71 AND LESS THAN AN INCH SE OF I-71. GIVEN THE HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK... WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THIS THREAT IN THE HWO PRODUCT. AS THIS WINTER STORM LIFTS NE WILL TAPER OFF SNOW EARLY ON THURSDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND SFC RIDGING TO BUILD IN PROVIDING DRY WX CONDITIONS LATER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MODEL SOLN DIFFERENCES REGARDING THE WEATHER SYSTEM NEXT WEEKEND. PREV GFS WAS KEEPING PCPN TO OUR SOUTH BUT LATEST RUN BRINGS IN PRECIP BUT IS WEAKER AND ALLOWS FOR LESS WARM AIR. ECMWF SOLNS HAVE BEEN STRONGER AND ALLOW FOR MORE INITIAL WARM AIR INTRUSION. HAVE SPREAD CHC POPS IN FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN CONT HIGH CHC POPS ON SATURDAY. HAVE ALLOWED FOR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE SE HALF AND KEPT ALL SNOW NW. SOME LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE PSBL ON SUNDAY WITH THE BEST CHC ACRS THE NORTH. && .AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... ANY RAIN THAT BEGINS TOWARDS DAYBREAK TODAY WILL FALL WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE FREEZING AND ICY CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR AT THIS MOMENT IN TIME. LOW CIGS WILL SLIDE INTO THE CINCY METRO AREA JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK AND RAIN WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY AFTER. SLIGHTLY LATER TIMING IS EXPECTED AT KDAY/KILN AND BY LATE MORNING IN COLUMBUS METRO AREA. SHOWERS SHOULD TAPER OFF IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON...LATE MORNING FURTHER SOUTHWEST...BUT CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN IN THE 1-2KFT RANGE. NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW CLOUD COVER WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT. OUTLOOK...IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY...LIFTING TO MVFR THURSDAY. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...CONIGLIO/HICKMAN NEAR TERM...CONIGLIO/HICKMAN SHORT TERM...CONIGLIO LONG TERM...AR AVIATION...FRANKS
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 23, 8:52 PM EST, 7 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 852 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012 INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046- 051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-241100- WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO- SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT- PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE- SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON- FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY- FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN- HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO- 852 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO LIFT FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE FROM THIS STORM. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL TRACK THROUGH EASTERN OHIO. THIS WILL KEEP COLD AIR OVER FAR WEST CENTRAL OHIO AND EAST CENTRAL INDIANA WITH THE MAIN PRECIPITATION TYPE EXPECTED TO BE SNOW. A STORM TOTAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION. FURTHER EAST...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 71...A WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED WITH TOTAL SNOW OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AND SOME ICE ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. EAST OF I-71...A MIX TO RAIN IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT SNOW TO AN INCH OR LESS. ALL PRECIPITATION IT EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS COLDER AIR WRAPS INTO THE DEPARTING SYSTEM. SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK AND HOW MUCH WARM AIR IS PULLED INTO THE REGION. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Winter Storm Watches in Ohio, 2012Winter Storm Watches in Indiana, 2012Winter Storm Watches in Kentucky, 2012Every winter storm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.