Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH

May 28, 2012Licking County, Ohio

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this special weather statement at May 28, 2012, 4:09 PM EDT for Licking County, Ohio. It was in force for 21 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2012, 4:09 PM EDT (20:09 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2012, 4:30 PM EDT
In force
21 min
Issued by
NWS Wilmington, OH

County Licking County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1483 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1483 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-59 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1241 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-35 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 28, 1:49 PM EDT, 2 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 1:49 PM EDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
149 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE REGION THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN TODAY ALLOWING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY ON
TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. DRY AND COOLER
WEATHER WILL ACCOMPANY HIGH PRESSURE ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE H5 RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE
REGION OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN. H8 TEMPERATURE
TEMPS LOOK TO BE ON PAR WITH YESTERDAYS VALUES. WITHOUT ANY REAL
FOCUS FOR PCPN...ONLY A POP UP SHRA/TSRA DURING THE PEAK HEATING
OF THE DAY IS FORECAST...SO HAVE KEPT THE 20 POPS.

HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAYS...MAINLY LOWER
90S...BUT A FEW MID 90S COULD OCCUR ACRS WEST CENTRAL OHIO AND
CENTRAL OHIO WHERE THICKNESSES WILL BE THE HIGHEST. HEAT INDEX
VALUES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S. THIS SHOULD BE THE
THIRD AND FINAL DAY WITH TEMPERATURES OVER 90 FOR THIS STRETCH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
ANY LINGERING DIURNAL CONVECTION SHOULD DIE OFF QUICKLY AFTER
SUNSET THIS EVENING. CDFNT THEN SWINGS UP THE OH VALLEY LATE
TONIGHT. EXPECT SCT CONVECTION TO MOVE INTO THE WRN AREAS BY THE
END OF TONIGHT.

MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN SWINGING THE FNT ACROSS THE FA ON
TUESDAY. UPPER SUPPORT AND LIFT WITH THE FRONT IS WEAK TO
MODERATE...SO NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO RAISE THE POPS ABOVE LIKELY ATTM.
PCPN SHOULD HAVE PUSHED E BY 00Z WED AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN FOR WEDNESDAY.
MUCH COOLER AIR ALOFT SHOULD KICK THE LAPSE RATES OVER ALLOWING CU
TO DEVELOP...SO WENT PARTLY CLOUDY.

HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE LIMITED TO THE 80S DUE TO THE
PRECIPITATION AND CLOUD COVER. LEANED TOWARDS THE COOLER GFS MOS NUMBERS.
TEMPERATURES WILL COOLER INTO THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 TUESDAY
NIGHT. RAN A BLEND OF PREV AND THE NAM MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
SURFACE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF DIGGING MID
LEVEL TROF. WILL SPREAD CHC POPS OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN FROM
THE SW THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE LOW POPS FOR
SHOWERS FRIDAY WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROF SWINGING THRU THE GREAT
LAKES.

GFS SOLN CONTINUES TO SHOW CLOSED UPR LOW OVER OHIO NEXT WEEKEND
WHILE THE ECMWF IS FURTHER NORTH AND BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE. HAVE
FOLLOWED MORE PROGRESSIVE SOLN WITH SFC HI PRES BUILDING IN AS FLOW
BECOMES NWRLY. WITH LOWER HEIGHTS AND CAA EXPECT TEMPS TO BE CLOSE
TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FRIDAY WITH A MODERATION CLOSER TO NORMAL
BY SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SE WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK DOWN AND MOVE
EAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS IS A
LITTLE MORE UNSTABLE AND LESS CAPPED THIS AFTERNOON. ALSO...SATELLITE
AND SURFACE ANALYSIS ARE DEPICTING SOME SUBTLE CONVERGENT
BOUNDARIES...ONE EAST OF KCMH/KLCK AND ONE WEST OF KDAY. WILL
LEAVE TSRA OUT OF THE TAFS AS PROBABILITY WILL BE ISOLATED BUT
WILL MONITOR SHOULD ONE DEVELOP AND OR MOVE TOWARD A TAF SITE.
THIS CONVECTION SHOULD DIE OUT THIS EVENING AS FORCING WEAKENS
WITH THIS BOUNDARIES.

FOR LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SE ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY. WE SHOULD SEE A BAND OF SHOWERS
AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. HAVE PLACED SOME
MVFR VSBYS/VFR CIGS WITH SHOWERS AND MADE A MENTION OF VCTS. SOME
LOCAL IFR VSBYS/MVFR CIGS ARE ALWAYS POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS
OCCUR. PCPN SHOULD END AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CONIGLIO
NEAR TERM...HICKMAN/SITES
SHORT TERM...SITES
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...HICKMAN
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 12:16 PM EDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1216 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-291630-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
1216 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE WARM AIR MASS WILL AFFECT THE REGION AGAIN TODAY. HIGHS WILL
CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO MID 90S...AND WILL COMBINE WITH HUMIDITY
TO CREATE HEAT INDICES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 28, 2:20 PM EDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
220 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

OHZ056-281845-
LICKING OH-
220 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN LICKING COUNTY
THROUGH 245 PM EDT...

AT 216 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
FALLSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN LICKING COUNTY...INCLUDING FALLSBURG.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 4006 8227 4019 8243 4025 8237 4024 8219
      4024 8218 4011 8218
Special weather statement, May 28, 2:33 PM EDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
233 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

OHZ056-281900-
LICKING OH-
233 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LICKING COUNTY
THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 232 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HANOVER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...HANOVER.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3998 8219 3992 8238 4007 8248 4014 8219
      4013 8218
Local storm report, May 28, 2:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
249 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0246 PM     HAIL             6 E NEWARK              40.07N 82.31W
05/28/2012  E0.75 INCH       LICKING            OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MYRONP
Local storm report, May 28, 3:31 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
331 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0248 PM     HAIL             2 WSW HANOVER           40.07N 82.30W
05/28/2012  E0.75 INCH       LICKING            OH   PUBLIC

&&

HATZOS
Special weather statement, May 28, 3:34 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
334 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

OHZ056-282000-
LICKING OH-
334 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN LICKING COUNTY THROUGH
400 PM EDT...

AT 330 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HANOVER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL ALSO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL...LEADING TO LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES ACROSS EASTERN
LICKING COUNTY.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN
LICKING COUNTY...INCLUDING FALLSBURG.

LAT...LON 4003 8219 3999 8226 3999 8235 4009 8240
      4016 8240 4025 8228 4024 8219 4024 8218
      4005 8218

HATZOS
Special weather statement, May 28, 4:09 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
409 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

OHZ056-282030-
LICKING OH-
409 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL LICKING COUNTY THROUGH
430 PM EDT...

AT 407 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HEBRON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...GRANVILLE...HEATH AND
NEWARK.

LAT...LON 4014 8233 4010 8227 3993 8232 3994 8256
      4006 8255

HATZOS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 2:20 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNLicking25 min
May 28, 2:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNLicking27 min
May 28, 2:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLicking36 min
May 28, 3:13 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILNLicking3 hr
May 28, 3:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNLicking26 min
May 28, 3:35 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNLicking3 hr
May 28, 5:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNMadison27 min
May 28, 5:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNGreene29 min
May 28, 6:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNGreene28 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.