Severe Thunderstorm Warning 132, NWS Wilmington, NC

026 
WWUS52 KILM 282157
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
557 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NCC017-141-282230-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-120728T2230Z/
BLADEN NC-PENDER NC-
557 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT
FOR PENDER AND SOUTHEASTERN BLADEN COUNTIES...

AT 552 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THE LEADING EDGE OF THESE 
STORMS EXTENDED FROM MAPLE HILL ACROSS BURGAW TO POINT CASWELL. THE 
CLUSTER IS MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
   WATHA...
   VAN EDEN...
   ST. HELENA...
   MURRAY TOWN...
   WHITE STOCKING...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE ARE DANGEROUS STORMS. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO 
GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... 
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT 
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH 
CAROLINA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3439 7839 3461 7831 3457 7825 3470 7813
      3473 7800 3472 7799 3473 7768 3448 7757
      3444 7754
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 263DEG 11KT 3462 7798

$$

RALF

896 
WWUS52 KILM 282227
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
627 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NCC017-141-282235-
/O.EXP.KILM.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-120728T2230Z/
BLADEN NC-PENDER NC-
627 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PENDER AND SOUTHEASTERN BLADEN
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM EDT...

AT 625 PM EDT...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING 
HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE THRESHOLDS. HOWEVER...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 
MPH STILL REMAIN POSSIBLE. AS A RESULT...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED 
TO EXPIRE AT 630 PM. 

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3439 7839 3461 7831 3457 7825 3470 7813
      3473 7800 3472 7799 3473 7768 3448 7757
      3444 7754
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 263DEG 11KT 3463 7787

$$

RALF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
319 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH AND A SURFACE TROUGH WILL
DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...BRINGING AN INCREASED
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO KEEP A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS OVERHEAD.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 2 PM SATURDAY...BROKEN MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK LINGERS OVER
WESTERN AND EASTERN MOST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...KEEPING
THIS LOCATIONS BIT COOLER. MEANWHILE SOME CLEARING HAS OCCUR ED
BETWEEN THESE AREA...ALLOWING TEMPS TO RISING INTO THE UPPER 80S
AND LOW 90S. FEEL IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME UNTIL THE
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND PIEDMONT TROUGH START TO FIRE OFF SOME
STORMS. SO FAR THE ONLY RETURNS ON RADAR ARE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
NC COAST AND ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK. LIKELY SOME
LIGHT SPRINKLES DROPPED OUT OF THIS BUT BULK OF THE ACTIVITY HAS
MOVED OFFSHORE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A NARROW LAYER OF
INSTABILITY NEAR THE BASE OF THE DECK. THIS LAYER IS GONE BY 18Z
WITH OVERALL COLUMN BECOMING A LITTLE MORE UNSTABLE.

STILL ANTICIPATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BUT THE SEA
BREEZE MAY BE A LITTLE LESS OF A FACTOR WITH THE PIEDMONT TROUGH
AND DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BEING THE FOCAL POINTS. ALREADY STARTING
TO SEE SOME CU DEVELOPING IN AREAS THAT HAVE CLEARED OUT AND WOULD
EXPECT THE APPROACH OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND AN UPPER LEVEL JET
STREAK WILL ENHANCE ONGOING CONVECTION AND LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN
COVERAGE. ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL INSTABILITY HAS INCREASED SINCE
YESTERDAY IT IS STILL SOMEWHAT LIMITED. IT MAY BE THAT ISOLATED
STORMS DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH AN RAPID INCREASE IN
CONVECTION AS THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER FEATURES APPROACH.

THE 5H TROF AXIS MOVES MORE OR LESS OVERHEAD LATE TONIGHT
ACCOMPANIED BY SOME WEAK SUBSIDENCE. THE ARRIVAL OF THE TROUGH
AXIS...SUBSIDENCE UNDER THE TROUGH AND FROM DEPARTING SHORTWAVE
COMBINED WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL INSTABILITY WILL SEE MOST IF NOT
ALL CONVECTION END BY MIDNIGHT. SOUTHERLY FLOW AND ANY LINGERING
DEBRIS CLOUD WILL HELPS KEEP LOWS ABOVE CLIMO...BUT COOLER THAN
THE LAST FEW NIGHT...LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM SATURDAY...MODELS AGREE ON THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN
DEVELOPING EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT STILL DIFFER ON THE DETAILS THAT
WILL ULTIMATELY DETERMINE HOW WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
BECOMES...ESPECIALLY MONDAY.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ASSOCIATED WITH THE 100+ DEGREE HEAT
EARLIER THIS WEEK WILL BE REPLACED BY AN BROAD UPPER TROUGH. AT
LEAST TWO SHORTWAVES ARE INVOLVED IN DIGGING THIS TROUGH...ONE IS
MOVING THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES NOW AND A SECOND WILL
ARRIVE SOMETIME MONDAY. A WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH AS FAR
SOUTH AS THE NC/SC SANDHILLS REGION SUNDAY MORNING...BUT SHOULD
RETREAT NORTH DURING THE DAY AND WEAKEN. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL
ERODE ANY MID-LEVEL CAPPING AND OPEN THE ATMOSPHERE UP FOR
CONVECTION ALMOST ANYTIME DAY OR NIGHT GIVEN A SUFFICIENTLY WARM
AND MOIST 850 MB LAYER PLUS STRONGER DAYTIME SURFACE-BASED
INSTABILITY.

I'VE TRIED TO FOCUS OUR HIGHEST POPS AROUND THE SEABREEZE BOUNDARY
(BOTH AFTERNOONS NEAR THE COAST) AND AROUND THE ARRIVAL OF UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVES. THE GFS AND NAM MODELS DIFFER WITH THEIR TIMING
OF MONDAY'S SHORTWAVE: THE GFS IS EARLIER AND ACTUALLY IMPLIES
THERE COULD BE A BLOSSOM OF NOCTURNAL MARINE CONVECTION LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT THAT SPREADS INLAND MONDAY MORNING...BUT THE NAM IS
LATER WITH THE UPPER DISTURBANCE AND IMPLIES MORE CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT. HPC'S MODEL
DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION INDICATES THERE WERE INITIALIZATION ERRORS
WITH THE 12Z NAM (MOISTURE RELATED) AND THE 12Z GFS (CONVECTIVE-
FEEDBACK RELATED) WHICH CALLS EITHER OF THOSE TWO SOLUTIONS INTO
QUESTION. THE 12Z ECMWF APPEARS CLOSER TO THE 12Z NAM SOLUTION
REGARDLESS. EITHER WAY...INDICATIONS ARE THAT RAINFALL CHANCES
WILL RUN ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS FOR OUR FORECAST AREA...
ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...
BUT ISOLATED WET DOWNBURSTS COULD OCCUR IN ANY OF OUR DEEP
CONVECTION THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER 850 MB TEMPERATURES AND ADDITIONAL DAYTIME
CLOUD COVER EXPECTED HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH 88-93 BOTH
DAYS...WARMEST WEST OF I-95 AND COOLEST AT THE BEACHES. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL ALSO MODERATE CLOSER TO CLIMATOLOGICAL VALUES: 71-75 DEGREES.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM SATURDAY...MID TO UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND
DOWN THE EAST COAST INTO THE CAROLINAS. SHORTWAVES WILL RIDE THROUGH
THE TROUGH AMPLIFYING IT AT TIMES. AS ONE SHORTWAVE LIFTS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST ON TUES THE MAIN TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST AND WEAKEN A BIT
THROUGH MID WEEK. THE W-SW FLOW ON EAST SIDE OF TROUGH WILL BECOME
MORE NW AS TROUGH AXIS SLIPS OFF THE COAST TUES INTO WED. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR SOME DRIER AIR TO MAKE IT INTO AREA IN THE MID TO UPPER
LEVELS AND EXPECT MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION. THE MAIN FOCUS OF
CONVECTION WILL BE ALONG PIEDMONT TROUGH INLAND AND SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARY CLOSER TO THE COAST AS SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES AROUND
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST. WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE
LOW LEVELS WILL INCREASE MID WEEK WHICH WILL HELP KEEP SEA BREEZE
PINNED CLOSER TO THE COAST AND STEER ANY SHWRS/TSTMS TOWARD THE
COAST. BASICALLY TYPICAL SUMMERTIME WEATHER BUT MID TO UPPER TROUGH
WILL HELP TO ENHANCE SHWR/TSTM ACTIVITY MAINTAINING A MORE ACTIVE
PERIOD OVERALL.

THE TROUGH AXIS WILL RETREAT BACK WEST AND DEEPEN COME LATE THURS
THROUGH SAT AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE RIDES DOWN FROM THE NORTH.  THIS
WILL PRODUCE DEEPER LAYER MOISTURE AND GREATER CHC OF PCP ONCE AGAIN
LATE THURS INTO FRI.

TROUGHING ALOFT WILL KEEP SLIGHTLY LOWER HEIGHTS OVER THE AREA
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WHICH WOULD PUSH TEMPS SLIGHTLY LOWER BUT
A STRONGER LOW LEVEL WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE FLOW AND DRIER
SUNNIER WEATHER MID WEEK WILL HELP WARM TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN
TUES AND WED. 850 TEMPS AND LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES SPIKE UP WITH PEAK
ON WED. CLOUDS AND MORE ACTIVE WEATHER LATE THURS THROUGH SAT WILL
KNOCK TEMPS DOWN SOME WITH TUES AND WED BEING WARMEST DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 18Z...A WASHED OUT FRONT WILL BE OVER THE REGION FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS...WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION EXPECTED TO FIRE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. CURRENT CLOUD COVER MAY DELAY THE ONSET
OF CONVECTION FOR AN HOUR OR TWO. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH
RESPECT TO COVERAGE...BUT THINK MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE OVER
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE CWA...WITH ISOLATED SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY.
THE SCATTERED CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT TO THE COAST TOWARDS
EVENING...AS THE RELATIVELY DEEPER MOISTURE ADVECTS SLOWLY EAST.
SOUTHWEST FLOW TODAY...A BIT MORE OF A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT THAN
YESTERDAY...GUSTY NEAR THE COAST. OVERNIGHT...SOME LIGHT FOG IS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF THE MID AND HIGH CLOUDS SCATTER.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 2 PM SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW...CURRENTLY AROUND 15
KT...WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AS A
RESULT SEAS...CURRENTLY 2 TO 4 FT...WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 4 FT IN SC
WATERS AND 3 TO 5 FT IN NC WATERS DUE TO MORE FAVORABLE FETCH.
SEAS WILL MAINLY BE COMPRISED OF A SOUTHWEST WIND WAVE. THE SHORT
PERIOD WARRANTS CONTINUATION OF SCEC FOR NC WATERS FOR LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS THE
GRADIENT RELAXES. WINDS DROP BACK TO 10 TO 15 KT OVERNIGHT WITH
SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM SATURDAY...A WEAK FRONT WILL MAKE IT AS FAR SOUTH AS
THE CENTRAL CAROLINAS SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE RETREATING TO THE
NORTH AND WEAKENING MONDAY. FRONTS ARE USUALLY BY NATURE ALSO
TROUGHS OF LOW PRESSURE...AND THE PRESSURE PATTERN AROUND THIS
TROUGH WILL BACK OUR WINDS A LITTLE MORE SOUTHERLY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY THAN WE'VE SEEN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. MODELS ARE
SUGGESTING WE'LL ALSO SEE A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN THE COVERAGE
OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS HIGHEST POTENTIAL OF
STORMS AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS SHOULD BE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. SEAS SHOULD AVERAGE 2-4 FT...HIGHEST JUST EAST OF
CAPE FEAR.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM SATURDAY...WILL MAINTAIN SOUTHWEST FLOW BETWEEN
PIEDMONT TROUGH OVER INLAND CAROLINAS AND BERMUDA HIGH TO THE EAST.
GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH MID WEEK. THEREFORE EXPECT
SOUTHWEST FLOW REACHING A MORE SOLID 15 KTS AND UP TO 20 KTS AT
TIMES. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT TUES WILL BUILD UP TO 3 TO 5 FT AT TIMES.

&&

.CLIMATE...
AS OF 300 PM SATURDAY...PERSISTENT HEAT THIS MONTH IS THREATENING TO
TIE OR BREAK MANY LONG-STANDING RECORDS FOR TEMPERATURE IN
WILMINGTON. THE CLIMATE RECORD IN WILMINGTON EXTENDS BACK 138
YEARS TO 1874. HERE ARE SOME RECORDS WE'RE WATCHING CLOSELY:

- AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR ANY MONTH: THROUGH JULY 27TH THE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE FOR JULY 2012 HAS BEEN 85.2 DEGREES...4.2 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. THE CURRENT RECORD FOR THE WARMEST CALENDAR MONTH EVER IN
WILMINGTON'S HISTORY IS 84.1 DEGREES SET IN JULY 1993. IT APPEARS
VERY LIKELY WE WILL SMASH THIS RECORD BY OVER HALF A DEGREE.

- AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR ANY MONTH: THROUGH JULY 26TH...94.4
DEGREES. THE CURRENT RECORD FOR ANY CALENDAR MONTH IS 94.0 DEGREES
FROM JULY 1993. WITH RELATIVELY COOLER HIGHS FORECAST FOR THE LAST
OF THIS MONTH WE MAY HAVE TROUBLE MAINTAINING THIS RECORD PACE.

- AVERAGE LOW TEMPERATURE FOR ANY MONTH: THROUGH JULY 26TH...76.0
DEGREES. THE CURRENT RECORD FOR ANY CALENDAR MONTH IS 74.8 DEGREES
FROM JULY 1999. THIS RECORD HAS A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF BEING BROKEN
THIS MONTH.

- MOST NUMBER OF 80+ DAILY LOW TEMPERATURES IN ANY SINGLE MONTH:
THIS ALL-TIME RECORD WAS BROKEN YESTERDAY WITH THE 4TH OCCURRENCE
THIS MONTH OF 80+ DEGREE DAILY LOW TEMPERATURES. THE OLD RECORD OF
THREE OCCURRENCES IN A SINGLE CALENDAR MONTH HAPPENED IN JULY 202,
AUGUST 1999, AND A AUGUST 1980. IT APPEARS UNLIKELY WE'LL ADD ANY
MORE DAYS TO THIS PARTICULAR RECORD.

- MOST NUMBER OF 80+ DAILY LOW TEMPERATURES IN A SINGLE YEAR: THE
CURRENT RECORD IS FIVE SET IN 1999. WE'VE OFFICIALLY HAD FOUR THIS
YEAR, ALL THIS MONTH. ANY ADDITIONAL 80+ DEGREE NIGHTS THIS YEAR
WILL TIE THIS RECORD. ALTHOUGH CLIMATOLOGICALLY RARE EVEN IN JULY...
80 DEGREE LOWS CAN STILL OCCUR INTO AUGUST.

- MOST NUMBER OF 100+ DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES IN ANY SINGLE MONTH:
WITH FRIDAY'S 101 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURE WE'VE NOW RECORDED FIVE
100+ DEGREE DAYS THIS MONTH...TYING THE ALL-TIME RECORD
ESTABLISHED IN JULY 2011. WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY FURTHER 100
DEGREE DAYS THIS MONTH.

- MOST NUMBER OF 100+ DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES IN A SINGLE YEAR:
FRIDAY'S 101 DEGREE HIGHS TIES THE ALL-TIME RECORD OF SEVEN 100+
DAILY HIGHS SET IN 1952...AND TIED JUST LAST YEAR IN 2011. ANY
ADDITIONAL 100+ DEGREE DAYS THIS YEAR WILL BREAK THIS ALL-TIME
RECORD.

WHY HAS IT BEEN SO HOT IN WILMINGTON THIS MONTH? CONSISTENT WEST-
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE KEPT THE SEABREEZE FROM PUSHING INLAND AS
IT NORMALLY DOES DURING THE SUMMER MONTHS. THIS ALLOWS HOT AIR
FROM THE INTERIOR COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH CAROLINA TO PERSIST IN
WILMINGTON THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH
TEMPERATURES THE RESULT. BY THE TIME THE SEABREEZE FINALLY ARRIVES
IN WILMINGTON DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING
HOURS IT BRINGS IN VERY HUMID MARINE AIR THAT DOESN'T COOL OFF
VERY EFFICIENTLY AT NIGHT. TECHNICIANS RECENTLY CHECKED THE
CALIBRATION OF THE ILM ASOS THERMOMETER AND FOUND IT TO BE
ACCURATE WITHIN 1 DEGREE WHEN COMPARED TO TWO INDEPENDENT
THERMOMETERS.

ALTHOUGH HOT TEMPERATURES HAVE OCCURRED IN MYRTLE BEACH AND FLORENCE
THIS MONTH AND SOME DAILY RECORDS HAVE BEEN TIED OR BROKEN...THE
TEMPERATURES OBSERVED AT THESE TWO SITES ARE NOT THREATENING MONTHLY
OR YEARLY RECORDS AS IN WILMINGTON.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TRA
NEAR TERM...III
SHORT TERM...TRA
LONG TERM...RGZ
AVIATION...HDL
CLIMATE...TRA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
406 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ024-032-033-039-053>056-292015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
406 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 536 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH DAMAGING WIND THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

SCZ017-023-292015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
406 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH DAMAGING WIND THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

AMZ254-256-292015-
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM-
406 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 536 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

AMZ250-252-292015-
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
406 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 536 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

III

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
315 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

SCZ053-054-282015-
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND HORRY-
315 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS HORRY COUNTY THROUGH 415 PM
EDT...

AT 315 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
FORESTBROOK...OR ABOUT OVER SOCASTEE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...MYRTLE
BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...SOCASTEE...SURFSIDE BEACH...
BROOKSVILLE...BUCKSPORT...BUCKSVILLE...BURGESS...CHERRY GROVE BEACH
AND FORESTBROOK.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3358 7909 3361 7910 3365 7913 3365 7912
      3368 7916 3392 7863 3383 7862 3379 7872
      3375 7879 3357 7900 3357 7905
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 247DEG 9KT 3371 7893

ZOUZIAS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
329 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NCZ099-SCZ033-053-282030-
COLUMBUS-INLAND HORRY-MARION-
329 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS HORRY...MARION AND COLUMBUS
COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

AT 329 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
RAINS...OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTH OF MULLINS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
OTHER STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE RAPIDLY OFF TO THE
EAST.

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE MARION...MULLINS...ALLSBROOK...
BAYBORO...BETHEL...BUGHILL...CHERRY GROVE...CLARENDON...FAIR BLUFF...
GALIVANTS FERRY...GAPWAY AND GREEN SEA.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3409 7857 3392 7940 3420 7950 3426 7926
      3425 7922 3428 7918 3425 7912 3433 7903
      3436 7892
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 263DEG 22KT 3412 7919

ZOUZIAS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
427 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

SCZ055-056-282130-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
427 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS GEORGETOWN COUNTY THROUGH
530 PM EDT...

AT 426 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
JACKSON...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTH OF GEORGETOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET...
GRAVES...JACKSON...LITCHFIELD BEACH...NORTH SANTEE...OATLAND...
PLANTERSVILLE...SAMPIT...YAUHANNAH AND PAWLEY'S ISLAND.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3322 7946 3323 7946 3328 7960 3370 7924
      3362 7912 3360 7911 3360 7910 3357 7910
      3357 7906 3354 7902 3347 7909 3341 7913
      3325 7918 3320 7917 3312 7925
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 315DEG 10KT 3348 7923

ZOUZIAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
443 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 WSW LONGS             33.90N  78.86W
07/28/2012  E60 MPH          HORRY              SC   MEDIA

            RELAYED FROM WMBF METEOROLOGIST AT INTERSECTION OF HWY
            22 AND HWY 905. TRAFFIC COMPLETELY STOPPED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200295

TRA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
444 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 WSW LONGS             33.91N  78.84W
07/28/2012                   HORRY              SC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREE DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 31 AND SC 905. TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200296

LACORTE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
528 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NCZ105-107-282230-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-INLAND PENDER-
528 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NEW HANOVER AND PENDER
COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM EDT...

AT 526 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
CURRIE...AND NORTHERN PENDER COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BURGAW...ASHTON...CURRIE...LONG
CREEK...MALPASS CORNER...MAPLE HILL...MONTAGUE...MOORETOWN...MURRAY
TOWN...POINT CASWELL...ROCKY POINT AND ROOKS.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.

AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH
CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

IN ADDITION...THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT
OF LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM THE WINDOWS.
MANY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS. IF YOU CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS TAKE COVER IN A
VEHICLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3437 7774 3435 7808 3437 7814 3436 7816
      3435 7820 3436 7821 3443 7821 3446 7818
      3449 7822 3454 7822 3472 7786 3472 7769
      3449 7759
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 265DEG 10KT 3446 7810

RALF