Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 110, NWS Wichita, KS

May 27, 2012Lincoln County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 27, 2012, 10:27 PM CDT for Lincoln County, Kansas. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2012, 10:27 PM CDT (03:27 UTC)
Expired: May 27, 2012, 11:00 PM CDT
In force: 33 min
Issued by: NWS Wichita, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Lincoln County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 27, 3:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1744 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1807 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 272 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 393 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.7
Supercell composite: 16.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

221 
WUUS53 KICT 280327
SVRICT
KSC105-280400-
/O.NEW.KICT.SV.W.0110.120528T0327Z-120528T0400Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1027 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT

* AT 1026 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF SYLVAN GROVE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO VEHICLES...ROOFS AND WINDOWS. MINOR TREE
           DAMAGE...WITH LIMBS UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER BROKEN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BARNARD AND ASH GROVE.

THIS WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUS WARNING FOR LINCOLN COUNTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3923 9799 3911 9801 3898 9836 3911 9845
      3922 9840
TIME...MOT...LOC 0327Z 232DEG 31KT 3910 9832

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60 MPH

$$

PEARCE

2 follow-up statements

582 
WWUS53 KICT 280338
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1038 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

KSC105-280400-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-120528T0400Z/
LINCOLN KS-
1038 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

AT 1035 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST
OF LINCOLN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO VEHICLES...ROOFS AND WINDOWS. MINOR TREE
         DAMAGE...WITH LIMBS UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER BROKEN.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BARNARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3901 9828 3914 9833 3921 9836 3923 9799
      3911 9801
TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 232DEG 31KT 3916 9822

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60 MPH

$$

PEARCE

635 
WWUS53 KICT 280351
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1051 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

KSC105-280401-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-120528T0400Z/
LINCOLN KS-
1051 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 1100 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

LAT...LON 3901 9828 3914 9833 3921 9836 3923 9799
      3911 9801
TIME...MOT...LOC 0351Z 235DEG 41KT 3925 9805

$$

PEARCE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 27, 5:51 PM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 5:51 PM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
551 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

.AVIATION...00Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU

MAIN HAZARDS: STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
COLD FRONT.

LATEST ANALYSIS DATA AND SHORT TERM MODEL DATA SUPPORTS IDEA OF
BETTER COVERAGE OF STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS...BUT ALSO SOME CONVECTION FURTHER SOUTH INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL KS. WILL USE TEMPO TS AT RSL AND SLN WITH VCTS AT HUT FOR
A SEVERAL HOUR WINDOW. STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS. FRONT WILL COME THROUGH RSL
AROUND 07-08Z...ICT AROUND 14Z...AND CNU JUST AFTER FORECAST VALID
PERIOD. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY
BEHIND FRONTAL PASSAGE. VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

JMC

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CHALLENGES...CONVECTIVE CHANCES/TRENDS THRU MUCH OF THE
NEXT SEVEN DAYS...AND TEMPERATURE TRENDS THIS WEEK.

TONIGHT-MONDAY
A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE WITHIN THE MEAN UPPER LONGWAVE WILL
EJECT NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS THRU
THE EVENING...AS THE SURFACE DRY-LINE/COLD FRONT ADVANCES EAST
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. THE RESULTANT MID-LEVEL COOLING AND
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING TROF COMBINED WITH THE
FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WILL PROMOTE DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE COLD
FRONT FROM NEBRASKA INTO KANSAS THIS EVENING. THE COMBO OF
INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SEVERE CONVECTION WITH A
TRANSITION FROM HYBRID SUPERCELLS TO A QUASI-LINEAR MODE FROM
THE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IN THIS REGARD THE BETTER
COVERAGE AND RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS STILL LOOKS TO RESIDE FROM
CENTRAL KANSAS INTO NEBRASKA...AND WILL CONTINUE THE SPIRIT OF
THE CURRENT HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR TONIGHT.

THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EAST ACROSS MUCH
OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING MONDAY...AS THE MEAN UPPER TROF LIFTS
BODILY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. WHILE THE COMBO OF
CONVERGENCE/INSTABILITY AND SHEAR LOOK RELATIVELY LESS FAVORABLE
WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW SLIGHT TO MODEST POPS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
KANSAS.

TUESDAY-THURSDAY
SOMEWHAT DRIER/MORE STABLE AIR LOOKS TO ADVECT SOUTH ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO MUCH OF TUESDAY...AS THE SURFACE
FRONT PUSHES SOUTH AND BECOMES QUASI-STATIONARY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. CHANCES FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION IS THEN EXPECTED
TO INCREASE DURING THE MID-WEEK PERIODS...AS MOISTURE RETURNS
NORTH AND INTERACTS WITH A DISTURBED NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW REGIME.
A LEAD WEAKER SHORTWAVE LOOKS TO RIPPLE THRU THE AREA BY TUESDAY
NIGHT...WITH A STRONGER TROF DEPICTED LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THE CURRENT UP-TREND TO POPS SEEMS REASONABLE DURING
THESE PERIODS ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.

FRIDAY-SUNDAY
PRECIP CHANCES LOOK TO DWINDLE BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND
PERHAPS INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH A GENERAL DEPICTION OF MEAN
GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT RISES/RIDGING ALOFT DEVELOPING TOWARD THE
PLAINS. SOME PRECIP WAS ADDED ON THE NIGHT SHIFT FOR SATURDAY
WHICH COULD BE TIED TO ELEVATED WARM/MOIST ADVECTION ON THE EDGE
OF A MUCH WARMER DOME OF AIR THAT BEGINS TO BUILD IN DURING THE
WEEKEND. OTHERWISE THE HEAT LOOKS TO RETURN IN EARNEST AGAIN BY
NEXT SUNDAY.

DARMOFAL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    67  89  61  85 /  20  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      65  87  59  84 /  30  10  10  10
NEWTON          67  87  60  83 /  30  10  10  10
ELDORADO        69  89  61  84 /  30  20  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   68  90  62  86 /  20  20  10  20
RUSSELL         56  85  54  81 /  70  10  10  10
GREAT BEND      57  86  56  82 /  70  10  10  10
SALINA          64  86  57  83 /  60  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       65  87  58  83 /  40  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     70  89  65  87 /  20  30  20  20
CHANUTE         70  88  62  85 /  20  30  10  10
IOLA            69  88  61  84 /  20  30  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    70  89  63  86 /  20  30  20  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ032-033-047>051-
067-068-082-083-091-092.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 7:50 PM CDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
750 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-290100-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
750 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL KANSAS...AHEAD OF A DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT. THE HIGHEST
CHANCES WILL EXIST NORTHWEST OF A LYONS TO SALINA LINE. WHILE A
BRIEF TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING...THE MAIN SEVERE RISKS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS ALONG WITH
DOWNBURST WINDS TO 75 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY ACROSS THE FLINT HILLS
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN A
REMOTE POSSIBILITY DURING THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH ACROSS THE AREA FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ANY STORMS
THAT DEVELOP THROUGH THE MID-WEEK PERIOD WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO BE STRONG.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN ON SATURDAY. THE
RISK FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING FOR
LOCATIONS MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A LYONS TO SALINA LINE.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 27, 9:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
905 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

KSZ032-280245-
RUSSELL-
905 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RUSSELL COUNTY...

AT 901 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF GALATIA...OR 19 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF RUSSELL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND MAY
INTENSIFY. WINDS OF 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3905 9905 3910 9905 3914 9902 3914 9857
      3870 9857 3870 9858 3869 9904 3870 9905
TIME...MOT...LOC 0204Z 233DEG 43KT 3871 9907

PEARCE

Local storm report, May 27, 9:46 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
946 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0943 PM     HAIL             4 ESE RUSSELL           38.87N 98.78W
05/27/2012  E1.00 INCH       RUSSELL            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JMB

Local storm report, May 27, 9:48 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
948 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0941 PM     HAIL             RUSSELL                 38.89N 98.85W
05/27/2012  E1.00 INCH       RUSSELL            KS   STORM CHASER

            CHASER REPORTS HAIL SIZES RANGED FROM DIMES TO QUARTERS.

&&

JMB

Local storm report, May 27, 9:49 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
949 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     HAIL             1 S RUSSELL             38.87N 98.85W
05/27/2012  E0.88 INCH       RUSSELL            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JMB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 27, 9:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	ICT	Russell	40 min
May 27, 9:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Russell	41 min
May 27, 9:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Russell	43 min
May 27, 9:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Lincoln, Russell	37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.