Excessive Heat Warning 5, NWS Wichita, KS

478 
WWUS73 KICT 040912
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
412 AM CDT SAT AUG 4 2012

KSZ091>096-098>100-042315-
/O.CON.KICT.EH.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120805T0000Z/
HARPER-SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-
LABETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTHONY...HARPER...WELLINGTON...
WINFIELD...ARKANSAS CITY...HOWARD...FREDONIA...CHANUTE...ERIE...
SEDAN...COFFEYVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...PARSONS
412 AM CDT SAT AUG 4 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. 

* HEAT INDICES...WILL RANGE FROM 104 TO 108 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN...THOSE OUTSIDE COULD 
  SUFFER FROM HEAT EXHAUSTION OR EVEN HEAT STROKE. HEAT RELATED 
  ILLNESS CAN BE LIFE THREATENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DANGEROUSLY
HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES
AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS WHERE HEAT
ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY.

TAKE PRECAUTIONS IF YOU ARE OUTSIDE FOR MORE THAN A FEW MINUTES.
IF POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES TO EARLY
MORNING OR EVENING. TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS IN SHADED OR AIR
CONDITIONED AREAS.

KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT STROKE.
ANYONE OVERCOME BY HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED
LOCATION. HEAT STROKE IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1.

TEMPERATURES WITHIN VEHICLES CAN BECOME LETHAL IN A FEW MINUTES.
NEVER LEAVE CHILDREN OR PETS IN VEHICLES. REMEMBER TO BEAT THE
HEAT...CHECK THE BACKSEAT.

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS...IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION.  HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1.

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION
WHERE HEAT ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS AND STAY
IN AN AIR CONDITIONED ROOM. STAY OUT OF THE SUN AND CHECK UP ON
RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS. TEMPERATURES WITHIN VEHICLES CAN BECOME
LETHAL IN A FEW MINUTES. NEVER LEAVE CHILDREN OR PETS IN
VEHICLES. REMEMBER TO BEAT THE HEAT...CHECK THE BACKSEAT.

&&

$$

LAWSON

630 
WWUS73 KICT 042042
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
342 PM CDT SAT AUG 4 2012

KSZ091>096-098>100-050000-
/O.CON.KICT.EH.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120805T0000Z/
HARPER-SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-
LABETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTHONY...HARPER...WELLINGTON...
WINFIELD...ARKANSAS CITY...HOWARD...FREDONIA...CHANUTE...ERIE...
SEDAN...COFFEYVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...PARSONS
342 PM CDT SAT AUG 4 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. 

* HEAT INDICES...WILL RANGE FROM 105 TO 112 DEGREES THROUGH 
  EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN...THOSE OUTSIDE COULD 
  SUFFER FROM HEAT EXHAUSTION OR EVEN HEAT STROKE. HEAT RELATED 
  ILLNESS CAN BE LIFE THREATENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DANGEROUSLY
HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES
AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS WHERE HEAT
ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY.

TAKE PRECAUTIONS IF YOU ARE OUTSIDE FOR MORE THAN A FEW MINUTES.
IF POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES TO EARLY
MORNING OR EVENING. TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS IN SHADED OR AIR
CONDITIONED AREAS.

KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT STROKE.
ANYONE OVERCOME BY HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED
LOCATION. HEAT STROKE IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1.

TEMPERATURES WITHIN VEHICLES CAN BECOME LETHAL IN A FEW MINUTES.
NEVER LEAVE CHILDREN OR PETS IN VEHICLES. REMEMBER TO BEAT THE
HEAT...CHECK THE BACKSEAT.

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS...IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION.  HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1.

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION
WHERE HEAT ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS AND STAY
IN AN AIR CONDITIONED ROOM. STAY OUT OF THE SUN AND CHECK UP ON
RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS. TEMPERATURES WITHIN VEHICLES CAN BECOME
LETHAL IN A FEW MINUTES. NEVER LEAVE CHILDREN OR PETS IN
VEHICLES. REMEMBER TO BEAT THE HEAT...CHECK THE BACKSEAT.

&&

$$

040 
WWUS73 KICT 042354
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
654 PM CDT SAT AUG 4 2012

KSZ091>096-098>100-050100-
/O.EXP.KICT.EH.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120805T0000Z/
HARPER-SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-
LABETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTHONY...HARPER...WELLINGTON...
WINFIELD...ARKANSAS CITY...HOWARD...FREDONIA...CHANUTE...ERIE...
SEDAN...COFFEYVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...PARSONS
654 PM CDT SAT AUG 4 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION THIS
EVENING...THEREFORE THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE AT 7 PM. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
624 PM CDT FRI AUG 3 2012

.AVIATION...00Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT FOR ALL TAF SITES WITH
SOUTHEAST WINDS SETTING UP OVER THE AREA. OTHERWISE A COLD FRONT
WILL SINK SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG THE COLD FRONT WITH CLOUD BASES RATHER HIGH AND
WELL ABOVE MVFR LEVELS.

JAKUB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 322 PM CDT FRI AUG 3 2012/

FORECAST CHALLENGES...CONVECTIVE CHANCES/TRENDS AND FRONTAL TIMING
ON SATURDAY.

TONIGHT-SATURDAY
THE REMNANT MESOSCALE VORTICITY (MCV) CONTINUES TO PUSH FROM
EASTERN KANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON...AS SOME
WEAK/ELEVATED CONVECTION FESTERS JUST SOUTH OF THE KANSAS BORDER
TO THE NORTH OF THE QUASI-STATIONARY SURFACE FRONT. WHILE AN
ISOLATED STORM OR TWO IS POSSIBLE FOR THE SOUTHERN ROW OF COUNTIES
UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING...THE RELATIVELY BETTER CHANCES LOOK TO
ARRIVE LATER TONIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE STRONGER COLD FRONT
DROPPING SOUTH FROM THE ROCKIES AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. SOME
PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...WHICH COULD ALSO AFFECT CENTRAL KANSAS LATER TONIGHT.

THE MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A FASTER FRONTAL PASSAGE ON
SATURDAY...WHICH WILL BRING WELCOME COOLING A BIT QUICKER ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS. THE LATEST MODEL AND FORECAST CONSENSUS WOULD ALSO
SUGGEST THAT THE WICHITA AREA MAY JUST BRIEFLY TOUCH THE CENTURY
MARKS BY EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE RELIEF ARRIVES DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON. SOMEWHAT HIGHER CONFIDENCE REMAINS FOR ONE MORE DAY OF
OPPRESSIVE HEAT FOR THE OKLAHOMA BORDER COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS...SO WILL EXTEND THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING
FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN FORECAST AREA THROUGH SATURDAY
EARLY EVENING. WHILE PRECIP CHANCES LOOK RELATIVELY BETTER THAN
THEY HAVE IN SOME TIME...WEAK TO MODEST FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WILL
PROBABLY ONLY LEAD TO ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ALONG
THE SURFACE FRONT ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A NARROW SWATH OF POST-
FRONTAL CONVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED WHICH MAY ALLOW CONVECTION
AND CHANCES FOR WELCOME RAIN TO FESTER ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

SUNDAY-MONDAY
DESPITE THE NEED FOR RAINFALL...TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH MORE
TOLERABLE TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE
DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS WILL ALLOW FOR QUICKER MODIFICATION OF THE
MODEST COOLING...SO MAXS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO CLIMB SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONAL CLIMO THOUGH REMAINING BELOW THE CENTURY MARK.

TUESDAY-FRIDAY
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST IS EXPECTED IN THE OUTER
PERIODS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THE MEDIUM RANGE CONSENSUS
STILL SUPPORTS BUILDING THE UPPER RIDGE FURTHER WEST ACROSS THE
ROCKIES WITH WEAK NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE PLAINS. THIS
SHOULD MITIGATE THE RETURN OF THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT ACROSS THE
AREA...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE ABOVE
SEASONAL CLIMO. CONFIDENCE ON PRECIP CHANCES IS FAIRLY LOW WITH
REGARD TO DAILY TRENDS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCES TO RIPPLE ACROSS THE AREA WHICH COULD INTERACT WITH
SOME ELEVATED MOISTURE RETURN/WARM ADVECTION FROM MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE MID-WEEK PERIOD. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES
TO THE POP FORECAST IN THESE PERIODS UNTIL CONFIDENCE ON DAILY
TRENDS BECOMES MORE EVIDENT.

DARMOFAL

AVIATION...18Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
MCV OVER EASTERN KS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO MISSOURI
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SHOWERS/T-STORMS DIMINISHING IN
SOUTHEAST KS. FLOW WILL BECOME LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY TONIGHT
AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH MODELS WERE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT ON FRONTAL TIMING...USED THE NAM FOR ITS STRONGER WIND
GUSTS FROM NORTH BEHIND FROPA. FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL
KS SATURDAY MORNING...AND SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KS SATURDAY
PM/EVE. THUNDERSTORMS...AT LEAST A SCATTERED LINEAR
COVERAGE...APPEAR POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE PARTICULARLY
SATURDAY PM/EVE AS STRONG HEATING DEVELOPS AHEAD OF IT.

JMC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    78  99  68  94 /  10  20  20  10
HUTCHINSON      75  95  65  92 /  20  30  20   0
NEWTON          76  96  65  92 /  20  30  20   0
ELDORADO        77  98  67  94 /  10  30  20  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   79 106  69  95 /  10  20  30  10
RUSSELL         72  88  62  91 /  40  30  10   0
GREAT BEND      73  89  64  91 /  30  30  10   0
SALINA          75  91  63  91 /  30  30  10   0
MCPHERSON       74  94  64  92 /  30  30  20   0
COFFEYVILLE     79 108  70  97 /  10  20  40  10
CHANUTE         77 103  69  94 /  10  20  30  10
IOLA            77 100  68  93 /  10  30  30  10
PARSONS-KPPF    78 106  70  95 /  10  20  40  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ069-
082-083.

EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR KSZ091>096-
098>100.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
407 PM CDT FRI AUG 3 2012

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-042115-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
407 PM CDT FRI AUG 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO NEAR 106 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST HEAT
INDICES NEAR THE OKLAHOMA BORDER. PLEASE REFER TO THE EXCESSIVE
HEAT WARNING FOR DETAILS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. A LOCALLY STRONG STORM WITH WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ONE MORE DAY OF OPPRESSIVE HEAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS ON SATURDAY...MAINLY FOR THE
COUNTIES WHICH BORDER OKLAHOMA. HEAT INDICES ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON
ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 104 TO 108 DEGREES. PLEASE REFER TO THE
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FOR DETAILS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS KANSAS. CHANCES FOR
STORMS WILL LINGER ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 100 DEGREES AT TIMES DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP