Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2012

River Flood Warning 60, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

July 13, 2012Harris County, Montgomery County, Texas

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued this river flood warning at Jul 13, 2012, 3:11 AM CDT for Harris County, Montgomery County, Texas. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2012, 3:11 AM CDT (08:11 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2012, 9:34 AM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Harris County, TX, Montgomery County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point West Fork San Jacinto River near Humble (HMMT2).

Action stage
45.3 ft
Minor stage
49.3 ft
Moderate stage
50.3 ft
Major stage
52.3 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08069500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

560 
WGUS44 KHGX 130811
FLWHGX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
311 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING 
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  WEST FORK SAN JACINTO IN HUMBLE AFFECTING HARRIS AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES

AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN TEXAS...HARRIS...MONTGOMERY

FOR WEST FORK SAN JACINTO RIVER AT HUMBLE, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING, WITH 
MODERATE FLOODING FORECASTED.  

HEAVY RAIN FROM FRIDAY HAS RESULTED IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE WEST FORK 
OF THE SAN JACINTO RIVER. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK IS FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TODAY 
WHICH COULD CREATE ADDITIONAL RISES ON THE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM THE RIVER UNTIL WATER LEVELS RECEDE. 

MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. 

LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE FLOOD PLAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS.



STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

&&

TXC201-339-132011-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FL.W.0060.120713T0811Z-120715T1630Z/
/HMMT2.2.ER.120713T0320Z.120713T1800Z.120715T0430Z.UU/
311 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE WEST FORK SAN JACINTO IN HUMBLE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0245 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...50.5 FEET MSL...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS HOMES ON 
  LAKE POINT DRIVE IN THE NORTHSHORE SUBDIVISION BEGIN FLOODING AND ROADS IN THE
  BELLAEU WOODS SUBDIVISION ARE INUNDATED.

$$
6 follow-up statements
892 
WGUS84 KHGX 131441
FLSHGX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX 
941 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012


A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CYPRESS CREEK...TRES PALACIOS
RIVER...WEST FORK SAN JACINTO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM THE RIVER UNTIL WATER LEVELS RECEDE. 

MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. 

LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE FLOOD PLAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

&&

TXC201-141441-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-120715T1420Z/
/CCGT2.3.ER.120712T1122Z.120713T1800Z.120715T0820Z.NR/
941 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  CYPRESS CREEK AT GRANT ROAD
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 46.7 FEET 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 36.7 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO CREST NEAR 47 FEET THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL
  REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

CYPRESS CREEK
  GRANT ROAD           37    46.7   FRI  9 AM     42.6   35.7   29.8   27.2

$$

TXC201-339-141440-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-120715T2100Z/
/HMMT2.2.ER.120713T0320Z.120713T1800Z.120715T0900Z.UU/
941 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE WEST FORK SAN JACINTO IN HUMBLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0845 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST NEAR 20.5 FEET LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...50.5 FEET MSL...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS HOMES ON 
  LAKE POINT DRIVE IN THE NORTHSHORE SUBDIVISION BEGIN FLOODING AND ROADS IN THE
  BELLAEU WOODS SUBDIVISION ARE INUNDATED.

&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

WEST FORK SAN JACINTO RIVER
  HUMBLE               19    20.4   FRI 09 AM     20.2   18.8   16.8   15.3

$$

TXC321-481-140223-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-120714T0223Z/
/MTPT2.3.ER.120711T1121Z.120711T1946Z.120713T1423Z.NO/
941 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TRES PALACIOS RIVER NEAR MIDFIELD
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0915 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS 
  MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS WATER SPILLS INTO THE FLOOD 
  PLAIN ON THE RIGHT UPSTREAM BANK AND COVERS THE MEANDER POINT AT THE MEANDER 
  CURVE.

&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

TRES PALACIOS RIVER
  MIDFIELD             24    24.0   FRI  9 AM     17.3   11.4    8.6    7.3

$$
430 
WGUS84 KHGX 141532
FLSHGX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX 
1032 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012


A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CYPRESS CREEK...LUCE BAYOU...SPRING CREEK...WEST FORK SAN JACINTO.

THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTH MAYDE CREEK...SAN BERNARD
RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM THE RIVER UNTIL WATER LEVELS RECEDE. 

MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. 

LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE FLOOD PLAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS.



STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

&&

TXC201-151532-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-120717T0600Z/
/CCGT2.3.ER.120712T1122Z.120713T1745Z.120717T0000Z.NR/
1032 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CYPRESS CREEK AT GRANT ROAD
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1000 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 44.8 FEET 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 36.7 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FALLING NOW BUT WILL SLOWER THAN ANTICIPATED DUE
  TO WATER COMING IN FROM UPSTREAM. THE RIVER SHOULD REMAIN AT MAJOR
  FLOODING LEVELS FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. 



&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

CYPRESS CREEK
  GRANT ROAD           37    44.8   SAT 10 AM     42.1   38.0   33.9   27.7

$$

TXC201-339-151200-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-120715T1200Z/
/WFDT2.1.ER.120714T0912Z.120714T1416Z.120715T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CYPRESS CREEK NEAR WESTFIELD
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1000 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING NOW DUE TO A SECONDARY RISE FROM WATER
  UPSTREAM. THE RIVER SHOULD HAVE A BROAD CREST JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE 
  THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE FALLING BACK BELOW BANKFULL STAGE.

* AT 22.0 FEET...83 FEET MSL...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.



&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

CYPRESS CREEK
  WESTFIELD            22    22.2   SAT 10 AM     20.4   14.5    7.0    4.9

$$

TXC201-339-151531-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-120717T0815Z/
/HMMT2.2.ER.120713T0320Z.120715T0300Z.120716T2015Z.UU/
1032 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE WEST FORK SAN JACINTO IN HUMBLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0945 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO RELEASES AT
  LAKE HOUSTON.
* AT 22.0 FEET...52.5 FEET MSL...MAJOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS HOMES ON LAKE 
  LANE WEST AND SOUTHSHORE DRIVE IN THE BELLEAU WOODS SUBDIVISION BEGIN 
  FLOODING. ROADS INTO THE TREASURE COVE SUBDIVISION ARE INUNDATED AND HOMES 
  ALONG AQUA VISTA DRIVE THREATENED. WATER IS IN MANY HOME ON LAKE POINT DRIVE 
  IN THE NORTHSHORE SUBDIVISION. 



&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

WEST FORK SAN JACINTO RIVER
  HUMBLE               19    21.4   SAT 10 AM     21.6   19.8   17.9   16.8

$$

TXC201-339-151531-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-120715T1610Z/
/SPNT2.2.ER.120712T2157Z.120714T0830Z.120715T0410Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK NEAR SPRING
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0945 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.0 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT AND
  HAS BEGUN TO RECEDE. MODERATE FLOOD LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST 
  FOR MOST OF THE DAY BEFORE FALLING INTO MINOR LEVELS THIS EVENING.
* AT 27.0 FEET...99.6 FEET MSL...MAJOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS WATER ENTERS 
  HOMES NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF SPRING AND CYPRESS CREEKS.



&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SPRING CREEK
  SPRING               21    26.0   SAT 10 AM     15.1    8.0    4.9    3.4

$$

TXC201-291-151531-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FL.W.0066.120714T1532Z-120716T2100Z/
/HFFT2.1.ER.120714T1327Z.120715T0000Z.120716T0900Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

* AT 0915 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST AROUND 23 FEET THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. FLOOD STAGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE 
  WEEKEND.




&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

LUCE BAYOU
  HUFFMAN              22    22.2   SAT 09 AM     22.7   21.7   19.2   16.3

$$

TXC201-141602-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-120714T1532Z/
/SMAT2.1.ER.120713T1601Z.120713T1715Z.120714T0145Z.UU/
1032 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH MAYDE CREEK NEAR ADDICKS
* AT 1005 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 104.9 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 107.0 FEET 



&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

ADDICKS RESERVOIR
  ADDICKS             107   104.9   SAT 10 AM

$$

TXC039-141602-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-120714T1532Z/
/SWYT2.1.ER.120713T0838Z.120713T1300Z.120713T1802Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SAN BERNARD RIVER NEAR SWEENY
* AT 0800 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 13:02 PM FRIDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE BUT IS EXPECTED TO
  REMAIN ABOVE BANKFULL STAGE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.




&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SAN BERNARD RIVER
  SWEENY               16    12.5   SAT 08 AM     12.6   12.6   12.6   12.6

$$
657 
WGUS84 KHGX 150133
FLSHGX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX 
833 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012


A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CYPRESS CREEK...LUCE BAYOU...SAN
BERNARD RIVER...SPRING CREEK...WEST FORK SAN JACINTO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM THE RIVER UNTIL WATER LEVELS RECEDE. 

MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. 

LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE FLOOD PLAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS.



STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

&&

TXC201-160133-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-120717T0600Z/
/CCGT2.3.ER.120712T1122Z.120713T1745Z.120717T0000Z.NR/
833 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CYPRESS CREEK AT GRANT ROAD
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0816 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.9 FEET 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 36.7 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY 
  EVENING.
* AT 43.1 FEET...123.1 FEET MSL...MAJOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. IN PAST FLOODS 
  HOMES IN THE 13600 BLOCK OF OAK HOLLOW, DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE, BEGAN 
  FLOODING.



&&


                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

CYPRESS CREEK
  GRANT ROAD           37    43.9   SAT 08 PM     40.2   36.7   29.5   26.9

$$

TXC201-339-160133-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-120717T0900Z/
/HMMT2.2.ER.120713T0320Z.120715T0045Z.120716T2100Z.UU/
833 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE WEST FORK SAN JACINTO IN HUMBLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0745 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING THEN WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 21.5 FEET...52.0 FEET MSL...UP TO ONE FOOT OF WATER IS OVER THE ROAD AT THE
  INTERSECTION OF BELLAU WODD AND RIVIERA AND MANY HOMES IN THE NORTHSHORE 
  SUBDIVISION ARE FLOODED. 



&&


                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

WEST FORK SAN JACINTO RIVER
  HUMBLE               19    21.6   SAT 08 PM     20.9   18.8   17.5   16.2

$$

TXC201-291-160133-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-120716T2100Z/
/HFFT2.1.ER.120714T1327Z.120715T0015Z.120716T0900Z.NO/
833 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LUCE BAYOU NEAR HUFFMAN
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0715 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NOW CRESTING THEN WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY
  MORNING.




&&


                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

LUCE BAYOU
  HUFFMAN              22    23.0   SAT 07 PM     22.4   20.8   17.6   15.4

$$

TXC201-339-151732-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-120715T1732Z/
/SPNT2.2.ER.120712T2157Z.120714T0830Z.120715T0532Z.NO/
833 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK NEAR SPRING
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0745 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AND WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY.
* AT 25.0 FEET...97.6 FEET MSL...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS WITH SOME 
  MINOR ROADS NEAR THE GAGE INUNDATED.



&&


                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SPRING CREEK
  SPRING               21    24.2   SAT 08 PM     11.4    6.5    4.3    3.1

$$

TXC015-157-481-160133-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-120718T1200Z/
/EBBT2.1.ER.120714T2227Z.120716T0000Z.120718T0000Z.UU/
833 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAN BERNARD RIVER NEAR EAST BERNARD
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0800 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.7 FEET BY TOMORROW
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EVENING.




&&


                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     SUN    MON    TUE    WED

SAN BERNARD RIVER
  EAST BERNARD         17    17.2   SAT 08 PM     18.7   18.0   17.0   15.8

$$
981 
WGUS84 KHGX 151721
FLSHGX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX 
1221 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012


A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CYPRESS CREEK...LUCE BAYOU...SAN
BERNARD RIVER...SPRING CREEK...WEST FORK SAN JACINTO.

THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SPRING CREEK AT SPRING...SAN
BERNARD RIVER AT EAST BERNARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM THE RIVER UNTIL WATER LEVELS RECEDE. 

MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. 

LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE FLOOD PLAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS.



STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

&&

TXC201-161721-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-120718T0300Z/
/CCGT2.3.ER.120712T1122Z.120713T1745Z.120717T2100Z.NR/
1221 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CYPRESS CREEK AT GRANT ROAD
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1116 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.4 FEET 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 36.7 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE A SLOW FALL AND REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD
  STAGE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* AT 43.1 FEET...123.1 FEET MSL...MAJOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. IN PAST FLOODS 
  HOMES IN THE 13600 BLOCK OF OAK HOLLOW, DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE, BEGAN 
  FLOODING.



&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     MON    TUE    WED    THU

CYPRESS CREEK
  GRANT ROAD           37    42.4   SUN 11 AM     40.7   37.9   34.4   32.0

$$

TXC201-339-161300-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-120716T1300Z/
/HMMT2.2.ER.120713T0320Z.120715T0045Z.120716T0100Z.UU/
1221 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST FORK SAN JACINTO IN HUMBLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1045 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RECEDING BUT REMAIN IN MODERATE 
  FLOODING FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 6 HOURS. IT SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  LATER TODAY.
* AT 20.0 FEET...50.5 FEET MSL...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS HOMES ON 
  LAKE POINT DRIVE IN THE NORTHSHORE SUBDIVISION BEGIN FLOODING AND ROADS IN THE
  BELLAEU WOODS SUBDIVISION ARE INUNDATED.



&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     MON    TUE    WED    THU

WEST FORK SAN JACINTO RIVER
  HUMBLE               19    20.5   SUN 11 AM     17.6   16.0   15.2   14.8

$$

TXC201-291-161721-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-120716T2100Z/
/HFFT2.1.ER.120714T1327Z.120715T0230Z.120716T0900Z.NO/
1221 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LUCE BAYOU NEAR HUFFMAN
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1115 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW.




&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     MON    TUE    WED    THU

LUCE BAYOU
  HUFFMAN              22    22.6   SUN 11 AM     21.7   19.1   16.3   14.3

$$

TXC201-339-151751-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-120715T1732Z/
/SPNT2.2.ER.120712T2157Z.120714T0830Z.120715T0851Z.NO/
1221 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK NEAR SPRING
* AT 1045 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  3:51 AM SUNDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE NOW AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL 
  TO BELOW BANKFULL BY TOMORROW MORNING. 




&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     MON    TUE    WED    THU

SPRING CREEK
  SPRING               21    18.1   SUN 11 AM     12.5    7.6    5.0    3.1

$$

TXC015-157-481-151751-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-120718T1200Z/
/EBBT2.1.ER.120714T2227Z.120715T0200Z.120715T1130Z.UU/
1221 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SAN BERNARD RIVER NEAR EAST BERNARD
* AT 1100 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  6:30 AM SUNDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE BUT WILL REMAIN ABOVE BANKFULL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.



&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     MON    TUE    WED    THU

SAN BERNARD RIVER
  EAST BERNARD         17    16.9   SUN 11 AM     16.3   15.3   14.1   11.7

$$
000 
WGUS84 KHGX 160221
FLSHGX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX 
921 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012


A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CYPRESS CREEK...LUCE BAYOU...
WEST FORK SAN JACINTO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM THE RIVER UNTIL WATER LEVELS RECEDE. 

MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. 

LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE FLOOD PLAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS.



STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

&&

TXC201-170221-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-120718T0429Z/
/CCGT2.3.ER.120712T1122Z.120713T1745Z.120717T2229Z.NR/
921 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CYPRESS CREEK AT GRANT ROAD
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0900 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 41.8 FEET 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 36.7 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 41.0 FEET...121 FEET MSL MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS LOW LYING 
  AREAS ALONG THE CREEK BECOME INNUNDATED.



&&


                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     MON    TUE    WED    THU

CYPRESS CREEK
  GRANT ROAD           37    41.8   SUN 09 PM     39.6   36.5   33.3   31.3

$$

TXC201-291-161630-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-120716T1630Z/
/HFFT2.1.ER.120714T1327Z.120715T0230Z.120716T0430Z.NO/
921 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LUCE BAYOU NEAR HUFFMAN
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0815 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT.




&&


                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     MON    TUE    WED    THU

LUCE BAYOU
  HUFFMAN              22    22.1   SUN 08 PM     20.5   17.4   15.5   13.5

$$

TXC201-339-161648-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-120716T1648Z/
/HMMT2.2.ER.120713T0320Z.120715T0045Z.120716T0448Z.UU/
921 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST FORK SAN JACINTO IN HUMBLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0845 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT.
* AT 19.0 FEET...49.5 FEET MSL...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS IN THE VICINITY 
  OF THE GAGE.



&&


                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     MON    TUE    WED    THU

WEST FORK SAN JACINTO RIVER
  HUMBLE               19    19.4   SUN 09 PM     16.8   15.7   15.1   14.8

$$
550 
WGUS84 KHGX 161434
FLSHGX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX 
934 AM CDT MON JUL 16 2012


A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CYPRESS CREEK.

RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS END FOR LUCE BAYOU...AND WEST FORK SAN JACINTO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM THE RIVER UNTIL WATER LEVELS RECEDE. 

MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. 

LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE FLOOD PLAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

&&

TXC201-171434-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-120718T0429Z/
/CCGT2.3.ER.120712T1122Z.120713T1745Z.120717T2229Z.NR/
934 AM CDT MON JUL 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CYPRESS CREEK AT GRANT ROAD...
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0900 AM MONDAY...THE STAGE WAS 40.3 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE FLOODING STAGE IS 36.7 FEET.  
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...GOING BELOW BANKFULL 
  STAGE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY...ALTHOUGH AREAS SENSITIVE TO NEW 
  RAINFALL AND ANY ISOLATED STORMS WILL HAVE AN ADDITIONAL RISE.
* AT 41.0 FEET...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS LOW LYING 
  AREAS ALONG THE CREEK BECOME INNUNDATED.

&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     TUE    WED    THU    FRI

CYPRESS CREEK
  GRANT ROAD           37    40.3   MON 09 AM     37.5   35.9   34.3   32.5

$$

TXC201-291-161504-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-120716T1630Z/
/HFFT2.1.ER.120714T1327Z.120715T0230Z.120716T0236Z.NO/
934 AM CDT MON JUL 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LUCE BAYOU NEAR HUFFMAN. 
* AT 0815 AM MONDAY...THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET. 
* THE FLOODING STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IS EXPECTED TO GO 
  BELOW 19.0 TUESDAY LATE MORNING.

&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     TUE    WED    THU    FRI

LUCE BAYOU
  HUFFMAN              22    21.1   MON 08 AM     19.1   17.1   15.7   14.3

$$

TXC201-339-161504-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-120716T1648Z/
/HMMT2.2.ER.120713T0320Z.120715T0045Z.120716T0437Z.UU/
934 AM CDT MON JUL 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WEST FORK SAN JACINTO IN HUMBLE.
* AT 0845 AM MONDAY...THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET.  
* THE WEST FORK SAN JACINTO IN HUMBLE FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AT 11:37 PM SUNDAY NIGHT.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...GOING BELOW 15.0 FEET 
  LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY.

&&
                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     TUE    WED    THU    FRI

WEST FORK SAN JACINTO RIVER
  HUMBLE               19    17.8   MON 09 AM     15.1   13.8   13.4   13.1

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 12, 11:38 PM CDT, 3 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 11:38 PM CDT, 3 hours 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1138 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2012

.AVIATION...
WITH THE UPPER LEVEL AXIS IN THE AREA MOVING LITTLE OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...EXPECT TO SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS OVERNIGHT THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY TOMORROW...
PERHAPS SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. BASED ON
CURRENT MODEL DATA...THINK SHRA/TSRA WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP 07Z-09Z
ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF SE TX AND EXPAND EAST THROUGH WEST/SOUTHWEST
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. TAF SITES COULD EXPERIENCE MVFR/IFR CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES IN/NEAR THE STORMS WITH MOSTLY/GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS
OTHERWISE.  42
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 907 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2012/

DISCUSSION...
RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ONGOING FOR PORTIONS OF NW HARRIS COUNTY AND
MATAGORDA COUNTY..SEE APPROPRIATE FLSHGX FLOOD STATEMENTS...PART
OF NW HARRIS COUNTY RECEIVED 8.5 TO 10.3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE
PAST 24 HOURS. ONE OF THE CYPRESS CREEK STREAM GAUGES WAS
REPORTING STAGE HEIGHTS REMINISCENT OF VALUES FROM TS ALLISON.
LATEST HRRR (WHICH HAS PERFORMED WELL THE PAST TWO NIGHTS) AND TX
TECH WRF REFLECTIVITY FIELD FORECASTS AGAIN SHOW SHRA/TSRA
DEVELOPING IN THE 07-08Z RANGE OVERNIGHT IN SE TX PARTICULARLY
CLOSE OR JUST UPSTREAM OF WORST HIT FLOODING TODAY. COVERAGE AND
RAINFALL INTENSITY DO NOT APPEAR TO BE AS LARGE AND INTENSE AS
LAST NIGHT BUT IS OF LITTLE CONSOLATION IF ADDITIONAL RAINS DO
FALL. THE MEAN 1000-700MB TROUGH HAS SHIFTED A BIT SOUTHEAST IN
THE PAST 24HRS AS DEPICTED BY RADAR/PROFILER LOOPS. AREA 00Z
SOUNDINGS ARE A TAD BIT DRIER...KLCH WAS 2.04 INCH LAST NIGHT AND
TONIGHT IS AROUND 1.85 INCH. BLENDED PWAT IMAGERY ON AWIPS2 ALSO A
TAD BIT DRIER...HENCE PREVIOUS SHIFTS OUTLOOK OF LESS INTENSIVE
AND LESS COVERAGE SEEMS GOOD. GIVEN THE PREDICTED RECURRENCE OF
LATE NIGHT RAINS JUST N AND NW OF METRO HOUSTON THESE MAY BEGIN TO
MOVE SW AS DEPICTED BY HRRR/TTECH WRF WITH ANOTHER AREA OF HVY
RAIN MAINLY EAST OF I45...SAY EASTERN 1/3 OF HARRIS..CHAMBERS AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES IN THE MORNING HOURS. BEARS WATCHING. NONETHELESS...CURRENT
OUTLINE OF FLASH FLOOD WATCH LOOKS GOOD FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND
MORNING HOURS.

OTHERWISE A FEW TWEAKS FOR TEMPERATURES AND SKY COVERAGE AS
POCKETS OF SUN APPEARED LATE IN THE AFTERNOON IN SE TX AND SENT
TEMPS INTO THE MID 80S IN A FEW LOCATIONS.
04

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2012/

DISCUSSION...
THE LARGE AREA OF RAINFALL THAT AFFECTED THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
REGION THIS MORNING HAS LARGELY DISSIPATED OR MOVED OFFSHORE THIS
MORNING. ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT BUT THIS
ACTIVITY IS MOVING TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO THE AREAS AFFECTED THIS MORNING.

MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS FORECAST ISSUANCE REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR
A REPEAT EARLY MORNING HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE REGION. ALL OF THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT
REDEVELOPMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
AND EAST TEXAS. THE NAM IS THE FARTHEST NORTH WITH THIS ACTIVITY
WHILE THE GFS AND ECMWF KEEP DEVELOPMENT CLOSER TO GALVESTON BAY.
THE 3KM TEXAS TECH WRF RUN THAT PERFORMED VERY WELL WITH THE
ACTIVITY TODAY IS THE MOST TROUBLING...WITH REDEVELOPMENT
OCCURRING ACROSS HARRIS COUNTY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH IT
DOES APPEAR THAT THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE RAINFALL WILL BE LESS
TONIGHT ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WOULD BE UNWELCOME ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION. WITH THIS IN MIND HAVE EXTENDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH MIDDAY ON FRIDAY.

NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. THE UPPER WEAKNESS WILL
REMAIN CLOSE TO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND ALLOWING FOR A
CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT WET PATTERN. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT MORE TOWARDS A DIURNALLY DRIVEN PATTERN WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON. THE UPPER
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS NEXT WEEK
WHICH SHOULD INCREASE TEMPS A BIT ACROSS THE REGION BUT STILL
ALLOW FOR SOME CONVECTION CLOSE TO THE COAST EACH AFTERNOON. 38

MARINE...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO CURRENT FCST TRENDS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
WILL KEEP A LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  THE LINGERING
UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL ALSO KEEP SCATTERED STORMS IN THE FCST THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS/ELEVATED SEAS ARE POSSIBLE IN
AND NEAR THE STRONGER STORMS. 41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  89  72  91  73 /  30  50  30  30  30
HOUSTON (IAH)              73  89  72  91  73 /  50  50  40  40  30
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  88  80  89  80 /  50  50  50  40  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT
     BEND...GALVESTON...HARRIS...JACKSON...LIBERTY...MATAGORDA...
     MONTGOMERY...WALLER...WHARTON.

GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...04
AVIATION/MARINE...42
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 4:57 PM CDT, 10 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
457 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2012

TXZ197-199-200-210>214-226-227-235>238-132200-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-HARRIS-
JACKSON-LIBERTY-MATAGORDA-MONTGOMERY-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
457 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS BEFORE PROBABLE REDEVELOPMENT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE GENERALLY AN INCH OR LESS
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. HEAVIEST RAINFALL
WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE GROUND IS INCREASINGLY SATURATED AND HEAVY
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR
ACTIVATION.

TXZ163-164-176>179-195-196-198-132200-
BRAZOS-BURLESON-GRIMES-HOUSTON-MADISON-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-
WALKER-
457 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE MID EVENING HOURS. A FEW MAY DEVELOP AGAIN AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE LESS THAN AN INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE GROUND IS INCREASINGLY SATURATED AND HEAVY
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
ACTIVATION.

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-132200-
GALVESTON BAY-MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-
457 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS. WINDS AND
WAVES MAY BE LOCALLY HIGH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUIRED BUT SHIPPING AND OFFSHORE
INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 5:34 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningHGXHarris, Montgomery4 hr
Jul 13, 5:34 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningHGXHarris, Liberty4 hr
Jul 13, 9:01 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningHGXBrazoria26 hr
Jul 13, 9:56 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryHGXHarris, Waller2 hr
Jul 13, 11:20 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningHGXHarris23 hr
Jul 13, 11:24 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryHGXHarris, Waller111 min
Jul 13, 11:43 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXChambers, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, Waller3 hr
Jul 13, 1:07 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryHGXHarris, Liberty, Montgomery, San Jacinto53 min
Jul 13, 1:16 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX44 min
Jul 13, 2:06 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryHGXGrimes, Montgomery, Walker114 min
Jul 13, 3:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHGXBrazoria48 min
Jul 13, 3:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHGXColorado40 min
Jul 13, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Colorado35 min
Jul 13, 3:53 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryHGXAustin, Colorado, Wharton66 min
Jul 13, 4:20 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryHGXAustin, Fort Bend, Waller, Washington55 min
Jul 13, 4:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHGXFort Bend45 min
Jul 13, 4:56 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryHGXAustin, Fort Bend, Waller, Wharton64 min
Jul 13, 5:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXAustin, Fort Bend, Harris, Waller2 hr
Jul 13, 5:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHGXWaller47 min
Jul 13, 6:09 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHGXWharton51 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2012Every river flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.