River Flood Warning 40, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

520 
WGUS84 KHGX 230057
FLSHGX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX 
757 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012


A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRAZOS RIVER...MIDDLE YEGUA 
CREEK...NAVASOTA RIVER.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN TEXAS...
 
  BRAZOS RIVER NEAR ROSHARON AFFECTING BRAZORIA AND FORT BEND COUNTIES 
  NAVASOTA RIVER NEAR NORMANGEE AFFECTING BRAZOS...GRIMES AND MADISON COUNTIES 
  MIDDLE YEGUA CREEK NEAR DIME BOX AFFECTING BURLESON AND LEE COUNTIES 

TXC041-185-313-240057-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-120326T2200Z/
/NGET2.2.ER.120322T1039Z.120323T0600Z.120326T1000Z.NO/
757 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE NAVASOTA RIVER NEAR NORMANGEE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0700 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 20 FEET TONIGHT. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...MAJOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS WITH MASSIVE INUNDATION OF THE 
  FLOOD PLAIN AS THE RIVER IS CLOSE TO 2 MILES WIDE. OSR BECOME INUNDATED ONE 
  HALF MILE ON THE RIGHT BANK AND 1.5 MILES ON THE LEFT BANK.

&&

                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

NAVASOTA RIVER
  NORMANGEE            15    19.3   THU 07 PM     18.7   16.8   15.4   14.4

$$

TXC039-157-240057-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0040.120325T1424Z-120327T1200Z/
/ROST2.1.ER.120325T1424Z.120326T1200Z.120327T0000Z.NO/
757 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE BRAZOS RIVER NEAR ROSHARON
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0700 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 43.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 44.2 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  MONDAY EVENING.

&&

                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

BRAZOS RIVER
  ROSHARON             43    22.4   THU 07 PM     31.5   40.6   43.7   43.0

$$

TXC051-287-240057-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-120324T1000Z/
/DMYT2.1.ER.120320T1937Z.120322T0500Z.120323T2200Z.NO/
757 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE MIDDLE YEGUA CREEK NEAR DIME BOX
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0730 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FM 141 BELOW THE CONFLUENCE WITH WEST YEGUA CREEK IS THREATENED
  AND BACKWATER FLOODING UP WEST YEGUA AND TURKEY CREEKS IN LEE COUNTY IS 
  LIKELY.

&&

                    FLOOD   OBSERVED              FORECAST 6 PM
LOCATION            STAGE    STAGE  DAY  TIME     FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MIDDLE YEGUA CREEK
  DIME BOX             10    10.9   THU 07 PM      9.9    8.7    7.3    6.3

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
354 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
KEEPING AN EYE ON THE PESKY UPPER LOW STILL MEANDERING AROUND THE
RED RIVER BUT IT DOES LOOK LIKE SE TX WILL REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE
OF THINGS. STILL EXPECTING THIS SYSTEM TO FINALLY MOVE OFF TO THE
N/NE LATER TODAY. BUILDING UPPER RIDGE IN ITS WAKE WILL HELP KEEP
THINGS OVER THE REGION DRY/QUIET THE REST OF THE WEEK/THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. MILD TEMPS TO PREVAIL. OUR NEXT BEST CHANCES OF PCPN NOT
FCST UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK OR SO AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN
AND SHORTWAVES APPROACH VIA THE INCREASINGLY SWLY FLOW ALOFT. ONE
ISSUE FOR THE SHORT TERM COULD BE THE POSSIBILITY OF FOG THE NEXT
COUPLE OF NIGHTS. LIGHT WINDS/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES/WET GROUNDS WILL
HELP SET THE STAGE. 41

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT FOG THIS MORNING BUT BETTER CHANCES FOR
FRIDAY MORNING WITH A DAY OF MODIFIED RETURN FLOW.

45
&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT WIND REGIME WILL BE THE NORM THIS WEEK. WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS
WILL BE THE RULE. SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY MAY HAVE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
VERY LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE TRAVERSES THE AREA.

45
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  53  81  56  81 /   0  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              80  57  81  60  81 /   0  10  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            76  64  77  64  78 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
601 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-231115-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
601 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.