Storm Watch 3, NWS Gray, ME

341 
WHUS71 KGYX 191951
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
251 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

ANZ150>154-201100-
/O.CAN.KGYX.SC.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-121220T1100Z/
/O.CON.KGYX.SR.A.0003.121221T1200Z-121222T0100Z/
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
251 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY.

* WINDS...EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 TO 35 KT GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 KT.

* SEAS...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

717 
WHUS71 KGYX 201258
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
758 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

ANZ150>154-210400-
/O.CON.KGYX.SR.A.0003.121221T1200Z-121222T0100Z/
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
758 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...FRIDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 KT.

* SEAS...15 TO 20 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

533 
WHUS71 KGYX 202012
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
312 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

ANZ150>154-211115-
/O.UPG.KGYX.SR.A.0003.121221T1200Z-121222T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KGYX.SR.W.0004.121221T1200Z-121222T0300Z/
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
312 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A STORM WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY. THE STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS... SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 KT.

* SEAS...13 TO 18 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
114 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS SLOWLY ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD OF WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ON
THURSDAY...LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THROUGH THE NORTHEAST ON
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AND STALL OVER THE MARITIMES SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
06Z UPDATE...SLIGHTLY TWEAKED TEMPERATURES TO REFLECT CURRENT OBS
AND TRENDS. ALSO UPDATED WEATHER TO REFLECT CURRENT CONDITIONS AND
FOR THE COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED...WHICH BROUGHT SNOW MIXED
WITH RAIN NOW INSTEAD OF PLAIN RAIN.

04Z UPDATE...UPDATING TO EXTEND WSW FOR COOS COUNTY BASED ON
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS. HAVE ALSO ADJUSTED TEMPS ACROSS THE FA.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY SLOWLY TRACKS EAST
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...AS CLOSED 500 MB LOW TRAILS BEHIND IT.
THIS WILL ALLOW SURFACE TROUGH TO BUILD BACK TOWARD THE MAINE
COAST TONIGHT...AND KEEP PRECIPITATION...AT LEAST IN PERIODIC
SHOWER FORM GOING THRU THE NIGHT...MAINLY AS SNOW IN NORTHERN
ZONES. WHILE BULK OF ACCUMULATION LOOKS TO BE WINDING
DOWN...SEVERAL ADDITIONAL INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...AND HAVE LEFT THE
WINTER STORM WARNING UP OVERNIGHT...BUT SCALED IT BACK UNTIL 12Z
WEDNESDAY. MODELS DO SUGGEST A BIT OF A SURGE OF PRECIPITATION AS
MID-UPPER LOW CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. TO THE SOUTH IN MAINE...SHOWERS WILL LIKELY PERSIST...BUT
POPS DECREASE FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO DROP
OFF SOME...BUT SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING ON THE COASTAL PLAIN
AND DROP TO AROUND 30 OR SO IN THE NORTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
AFTER A SURGE OF PRECIPITATION FROM BACK BUILDING SURFACE TROUGH
IN THE MORNING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH EVEN IN
THE NORTH AND EAST DURING THE DAY...WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH...AND MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS IN THE SOUTH. LITTLE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. WEAK SURFACE HIGH
BEGINS TO BUILD IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR...WITH
COLDER TEMPERATURES...BELOW FREEZING IN MOST PLACES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA ON THURSDAY BRINGING A BREAK TO THE
WET WEATHER. HIGHS STAY IN THE 30S.

THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH PRECIPITATION SPREADING AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING LOW.
PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY START OUT AS SNOW OVER THE REGION EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING AS AN EASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. AN INCH OR TWO IS
POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE FOOTHILLS FAVORED BY THE EASTERLY FLOW.

AS THE SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO OCCLUDE TO THE WEST... WARMER AIR WILL
TRY TO PUSH NORTHWARD THROUGH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY. THIS
WILL CHANGE SNOW TO RAIN OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT PRECIPITATION STAYS IN THE FORM OF SNOW OVER NORTHWEST MAINE
AND NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE... IN WHICH CASE HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... THE ECMWF AND CMC BOTH SHOW A SOMEWHAT WARMER
SOLUTION THAN THE GFS WHICH WOULD MEAN MORE RAIN THAN SNOW. ALSO
WORTH MENTIONING IS THE STRONG LOW LEVEL JET ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SURGE OF WARM/MOIST AIR AHEAD OF THE LOW ON FRIDAY. THIS COULD BRING
STRONG WINDS TO THE AREA... THOUGH THE MOST LIKELY AREAS AFFECTED
ARE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. IT WILL DEPEND IN LARGE PART ON HOW
FAR NORTH THE SURFACE WARM FRONT MOVES.

AS THE LOW OCCLUDES IT MOVES/SHIFTS OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING COOLER CONDITIONS INTO THE AREA...
CHANGING RAIN TO SNOW. HOWEVER... PRECIPITATION WILL BE SHOWERY IN
NATURE AS THE PRIMARY FORCING FOR SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL BE
WELL OFF TO THE EAST.

THE LOW FINALLY MOVES EAST ON SUNDAY... WITH ONLY A FEW UPSLOPE
MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS BEHIND IT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLY
COLD THROUGH CHRISTMAS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR OR LOWER EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH SOME
IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR ON WEDNESDAY...AND IMPROVEMENT TO VFR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...GENERALLY VFR ON THURSDAY. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS
THURSDAY NIGHT... WITH CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES LOWERING AS SNOW
BEGINS ACROSS THE REGION. A CHANGE TO RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR MOST
AREAS ON FRIDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS. SNOW SHOWERS
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SOME LINGERING GALES INTO EARLY EVENING IN EASTERN
ZONES...OTHERWISE WINDS LOOK TO DIE OFF THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL
FOLLOW BUT WILL STILL REMAIN IN THE 5 TO 9 FOOT RANGE OVERNIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WINDS LIGHT ON THURSDAY... BUT
IN ADVANCE OF A SURFACE LOW AND OCCLUDED FRONT ON FRIDAY... EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY
UP TO 50 KT. GALE/STORM CONDITIONS SUBSIDE ON FRIDAY NIGHT AS LOW
PRESSURE PASSES OVER THE REGION. SEAS MAY STAY AT OR ABOVE 5 FEET
ALL WEEKEND.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     MEZ007>009.
NH...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NHZ001-
     002.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ151>154.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR ANZ150.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1105 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

MEZ007>009-NHZ001-002-200415-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-NORTHERN COOS-
SOUTHERN COOS-
1105 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE AND NORTHERN
NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MEZ012>014-018>028-NHZ003>010-013-014-200415-
SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-
SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
1105 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ151>154-200415-
PENOBSCOT BAY-PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-
CASCO BAY-CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
1105 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY...PENOBSCOT
BAY...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MA AND THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ150-200415-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-
1105 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.