Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Gray, ME

996 
WWUS51 KGYX 042321
SVSGYX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
721 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

NHC003-009-042331-
/O.CAN.KGYX.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-120704T2345Z/
CARROLL NH-GRAFTON NH-
721 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GRAFTON AND
SOUTHERN CARROLL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE.

LAT...LON 4351 7196 4355 7192 4357 7187 4344 7151
      4333 7113 4313 7101 4312 7160 4312 7167
      4315 7168 4312 7183
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 316DEG 39KT 4320 7095 4313 7123
          4331 7170

$$

NHC001-013-015-017-042345-
/O.CON.KGYX.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-120704T2345Z/
BELKNAP NH-STRAFFORD NH-MERRIMACK NH-ROCKINGHAM NH-
721 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL ROCKINGHAM...MERRIMACK...WEST CENTRAL STRAFFORD AND
SOUTHERN BELKNAP COUNTIES...

AT 718 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES EAST OF NORTHWOOD TO
DEERFIELD TO WEBSTER...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCHESTER TO 6
MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORTHWOOD TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FRANKLIN...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HENNIKER...CONTOOCOOK...ALLENSTOWN...CONCORD...HOPKINTON...BEAR BROOK
STATE PARK...PEMBROKE...SUNCOOK AND BOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

LAT...LON 4351 7196 4355 7192 4357 7187 4344 7151
      4333 7113 4313 7101 4312 7160 4312 7167
      4315 7168 4312 7183
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 316DEG 39KT 4320 7095 4313 7123
          4331 7170

$$
MLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
629 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE A COLD FRONT THAT WILL CROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL PRODUCE LINGERING CLOUDS
AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE 620 PM: A SVR TSTM WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR PARTS OF SWRN ME FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
(ANDROSCROGGIN,CUMBERLAND,OXFORD,YORK) AND SRN/CNTRL NH FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES
(BELKNAP,MERRIMACK,STRAFFORD,SULLIVAN,CARROLL,GRAFTON). LINES OF
TSTMS WITH HISTORIES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
THROUGH THESE AREAS THROUGH THE EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT SO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

PREV DISC;
WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED TO OUR NORTHEAST WITH ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA IN THE WARM SECTOR WITH DEW POINTS RISING INTO THE
60'S. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN COVERAGE UPSTREAM ACROSS QUEBEC
PAST SEVERAL HOURS IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING SURFACE TROUGH AND
SHORT WAVE. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER INTO NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE
WITH SCATTERED STORMS PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND POSSIBLY
HAIL. ACTIVITY GRADUALLY WEAKENS AFTER DARK BEFORE ENDING FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WITH PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE FRONT AND UPPER
SUPPORT. A BLEND OF MET/MAV TEMPS WERE USED TO INITIALIZE MIN
TEMPS THEN ADJUSTED UPWARDS BY SEVERAL DEGREES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
WITH SURFACE LOW OFFSHORE AND UPPER TROUGH/ COOL AIR ALOFT THERE
WILL BE PLENTY OF INSTABILITY CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE BEST
CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS FOUND ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGHS TOMORROW SHOULD RANGE FROM
THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

WE SHOULD GRADUALLY CLEAR OUT THURSDAY EVENING AS THE RIDGE BEGINS
TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST WITH PATCHY VALLEY FOG DEVELOPING
OVERNIGHT. A COMFORTABLE SLEEPING NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 50'S AND
LOWER 60'S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE RIPPLES IN
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT SHIFT IT EAST. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
THROUGH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND PROVIDING LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE
WEATHER BESIDES INCREASING CLOUDS AND A LIGHT WIND SHIFT. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING HOWEVER AS THE SURFACE TROUGH AXIS MOVES EAST AND CROSS
BARRIER FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. ON SATURDAY
CONVECTION WILL BE MORE WIDESPREAD AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH
WITH MORE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST SUNDAY OVER THE NORTHERN COUNTIES WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE DOMINATED BY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WHICH WILL BLEED OVER FROM THE REST OF THE CONTINENTAL UNITED
STATES. ALOFT THE AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK
TROUGHING...AND PERIODIC SHORT WAVE ENERGY WILL KEEP CLOUDS VARIABLE
AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN FROM TIME TO TIME DESPITE THE INFLUENCE OF THE SURFACE HIGH.
INITIALLY HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE WARM IN THE EXTENDED
FORECAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...PEAKING IN THE 80S AND 90S.
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE RIGHT AROUND NORMAL FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE EXTENDED WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...SCT MVFR THROUGH EVENING IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SCT MVFR OVERNIGHT WITH LCL IFR
POSSIBLE IN VALLEY FOG. VFR EXPECTED THU WITH ISOLD MVFR IN -SHRA.
SCT MVFR THU NIGHT IN VALLEY FOG.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES SATURDAY DROPPING VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN TSRA AND
FOG THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BY
LATE SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...WINDS AND SEAS LOOK TO REMAIN
BELOW SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING.

LONG TERM...WINDS MAY APPROACH SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA OR 25 KTS LATE
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE WATERS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1246 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-051700-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
1246 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE STORMS COULD CONTAIN SMALL HAIL AND
STRONG WINDS...AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

A HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WILL OCCUR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. THE 1224 AM HIGH TIDE...COMBINED WITH A LIGHT ONSHORE
WIND...SHOULD BE JUST UNDER 12 FT MLLW AT PORTLAND. FLOOD STAGE
AT PORTLAND IS 12 FT MLLW. SOME MINOR SPLASH OVER IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE COAST. THE HIGH TIDE MAY ALSO PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING ALONG AND
NEAR THE WHARFS IN PORTLAND AND IN THE BACK BAY AREA OF HAMPTON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ150>154-051700-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
1246 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY...PENOBSCOT
BAY...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MA...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME AND
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS TODAY...ESPECIALLY
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE STORMS COULD CONTAIN
SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WINDS...AS WELL AS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SCHWIBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
408 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

MEZ007-NHZ001-042100-
NORTHERN COOS-NORTHERN OXFORD-
408 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT OXFORD COUNTY AND COOS COUNTY
THROUGH 500 PM EDT...

AT 408 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 2 MILES EAST OF PITTSBURG...
OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF CANAAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND
PITTSBURG...LAKE FRANCIS STATE PARK...CLARKSVILLE...COLEMAN STATE
PARK...DIXVILLE NOTCH...DIXVILLE NOTCH STATE PARK...WILSONS MILLS...
LINCOLN PLANTATION...WENTWORTHS LOCATION AND ERROL THROUGH 500 PM
EDT.

HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED.

LAT...LON 4518 7134 4503 7083 4474 7107 4474 7110
      4500 7150 4502 7151

MPK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
505 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

MEZ007-008-012-NHZ001-002-042200-
NORTHERN COOS-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-NORTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN
COOS-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
505 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT OXFORD COUNTY...COOS COUNTY AND
FRANKLIN COUNTY THROUGH 600 PM EDT...

AT 506 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES EAST OF COLEMAN STATE PARK...OR
ABOUT 12 MILES EAST OF COLEBROOK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND LAKE FRANCIS
STATE PARK...COLEMAN STATE PARK...DIXVILLE NOTCH...CLARKSVILLE...
DIXVILLE NOTCH STATE PARK...MILLSFIELD...WILSONS MILLS...LINCOLN
PLANTATION...ERROL AND WENTWORTHS LOCATION THROUGH 600 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED.

LAT...LON 4515 7124 4471 7051 4447 7081 4492 7152

MLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
533 PM EDT WED JUL 04 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MONROE                  44.24N  72.04W
07/04/2012                   GRAFTON            NH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NH 135 BLOCKED FROM TREE NEAR TOWN HALL

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1200114

MPK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
536 PM EDT WED JUL 04 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BATH                    44.17N  71.97W
07/04/2012                   GRAFTON            NH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES BLOCKING ROADS IN BATH... NH
            AND ALONG US 302

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1200115

MPK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
542 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

MEZ007-012-042245-
NORTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
542 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT OXFORD COUNTY THROUGH 645 PM
EDT...

AT 543 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 4 MILES EAST OF GRAFTON NOTCH STATE
PARK...OR ABOUT 14 MILES WEST OF RUMFORD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30
MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND GRAFTON
NOTCH STATE PARK...ANDOVER...NEWRY...HANOVER...BETHEL...RUMFORD...
MEXICO...MILTON...LOCKE MILLS AND BRYANT POND THROUGH 645 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED.

LAT...LON 4441 7030 4435 7092 4468 7100 4469 7074

MLE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
610 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

MEZ018-023-042300-
COASTAL YORK-INTERIOR YORK-
610 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT YORK COUNTY THROUGH 700 PM EDT...

AT 610 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER LYMAN...OR ABOUT 6 MILES WEST OF
BIDDEFORD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL
AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND LYMAN...WATERBORO...GOODWINS MILLS...
SACO...BIDDEFORD...OLD ORCHARD BEACH...KENNEBUNK...FERRY BEACH STATE
PARK...WELLS AND OGUNQUIT THROUGH 700 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED.

LAT...LON 4322 7061 4355 7073 4360 7049 4352 7037
      4347 7037 4344 7033 4339 7042 4335 7042
      4333 7046 4333 7052 4331 7055 4326 7058
      4324 7057

MLE