Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Gray, ME

998 
WGUS71 KGYX 161000
FFSGYX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
600 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

MEC001-005-007-011-017-025-161300-
/O.CON.KGYX.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120816T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANDROSCOGGIN ME-KENNEBEC ME-SOMERSET ME-OXFORD ME-CUMBERLAND ME-
FRANKLIN ME-
600 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN...WESTERN CUMBERLAND...SOUTHEASTERN OXFORD...
SOUTH CENTRAL SOMERSET...WEST CENTRAL KENNEBEC AND ANDROSCOGGIN
COUNTIES...

AT 556 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RAYMOND...
SEBAGO LAKE STATE PARK...RANGE PONDS STATE PARK...WINTHROP...
WILTON...WELD...WATERFORD...TURNER...SOUTH PARIS...RUMFORD...
PHILLIPS...NORRIDGEWOCK...NAPLES...MEXICO...MECHANIC FALLS...
LIVERMORE FALLS...LEWISTON...JAY...FARMINGTON...DIXFIELD...CANTON...
BRYANT POND...BRIDGTON AND AUBURN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4362 7042 4363 7046 4371 7055 4369 7058
      4370 7066 4379 7066 4380 7070 4379 7074
      4381 7078 4381 7089 4378 7096 4379 7099
      4391 7100 4495 7033 4471 6965

$$

HANES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
339 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRAVEL ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND
COASTLINE TODAY BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TONIGHT IN ITS WAKE. A COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT...
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN BEHIND IT WITH SOMEWHAT DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
WEAK INVERTED TROUGH NOW CENTERED NEAR PORTSMOUTH AND ROTATING
OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE THIS MORNING IS
PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT QPF AMOUNTS IN A SHORT TIME. SO FAR THE
HEAVIEST BANDS HAVE BEEN SITUATED TO THE SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST
AREA AND OFFSHORE...BUT CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS IN ROCKINGHAM...
STRAFFORD... AND YORK COUNTIES ARE HELPING TO BOOST TOTALS AND
HAVE BEGUN TO TRAIN. SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM NESDIS INDICATE
RAINFALL RATES OF 0.75-1.00" AN HOUR. WILL BE MONITORING FOR
FLOODING AS THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN SUPPORTS WARM DEEP CLOUD LAYERS
FOR EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCTION.

THE LOW/SURFACE TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH ALONG THE COAST
WITH RAIN SPREADING INLAND TO COVER ALL OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE
LATER THIS MORNING. RAINFALL SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF OVER NH
BY VERY LATE MORNING AND WILL END OVER MIDCOAST MAINE BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. SEVERE WEATHER DOES NOT LOOK LIKE AN ISSUE DUE TO CLOUD
COVER BUT FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A PROBLEM.

THERE WILL BE A LARGE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN AREAS
OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE WHICH MANAGE TO
RECOVER BY THE AFTERNOON AND AREAS FARTHER EAST WHICH WILL
REMAIN CLOUDY. EXPECT LOWER 80S IN PLACES LIKE CONCORD WITH LOWER
TO MID 70S CLOSER TO AUGUSTA AND SKOWHEGAN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE TROUGH TONIGHT. SKIES
WILL CLEAR OUT ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. DENSE FOG MAY BE WIDESPREAD GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
EXPECTED TODAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PROVIDES CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING TROUGH AND
SURFACE COLD FRONT. BEST FORCING WITH THIS FEATURE WILL ARRIVE
LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT... THUS BEST CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THIS TIME PERIOD. ALTHOUGH
SEVERE WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED OUT... IT DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY AT
THIS TIME ESPECIALLY AS THE BEST FORCING COMES THROUGH AFTER PEAK
HEATING. ELEVATED CONVECTION IS STILL POSSIBLE.

FRONT SHOULD CLEAR THE COAST SATURDAY MORNING... WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY IN THE CONTINENTAL AIR MASS
BEHIND THE FRONT.

PRIMARY UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY MONDAY... BETTER UPPER DYNAMICS WILL SUPPORT A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ESPECIALLY INLAND DURING PEAK HEATING PERIODS.
THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS CONTINUES INTO TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS WIDELY VARYING ACROSS THE REGION WITH
HEAVIER SHOWERS ALONG THE COASTAL TERMINALS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
EXPAND INLAND AS THE MORNING WEARS ON. LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE TO MVFR OR BETTER BY LATE MORNING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE
TERMINALS AND BY AFTERNOON FOR KPWM. KAUG WILL IMPROVE BY LATE
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND OF DENSE FOG IS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING AT ALL TERMINALS.

LONG TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. BEST CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FRIDAY EVENING INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LIMITS.
HOWEVER...EXPECT POOR BOATING CONDITIONS IN LOW VISIBILITY DUE TO
SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS...AND FOG.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP WIND SPEEDS LIGHT AND
WAVE HEIGHTS SHOULD STAY BELOW 5 FT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

HANES/KIMBLE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
344 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-171000-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
344 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES
THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
HEAVIER RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN THEIR RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND
ANY FLOODING REPORTS.

ANZ150>154-171000-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
344 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY...PENOBSCOT
BAY...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MA...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME AND
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.