Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 397, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

July 16, 20127 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2012, 3:27 PM EDT for 7 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 63 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2012, 3:27 PM EDT (19:27 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2012, 4:30 PM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Burke County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Rutherford County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 16, 4:02 PM EDTTSTM WND DMGLincolnton, NCTREE WAS REPORTED BLOWN DOWN ON A CAR
Jul 16, 4:07 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Terrell, NCTREE DOWN ON MT PLEASANT RD NEAR SHERRILLS FOARD.
Jul 16, 4:12 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG1 Ese Denver, NCTREE LIMBS DOWN AROUND THE DENVER AREA.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 5 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1492 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 40 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1492 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
920 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

565 
WUUS52 KGSP 161927
SVRGSP
NCC023-035-045-071-109-111-161-162030-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0397.120716T1927Z-120716T2030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
327 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN BURKE COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  CATAWBA COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHERN CLEVELAND COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GASTON COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH
  CAROLINA...
  LINCOLN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  EAST CENTRAL MCDOWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 430 PM EDT

* AT 326 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF MORGANTON TO 6
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF ICARD TO CONOVER...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20
  MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  NEWTON.
  MAIDEN.
  VALE AND TERRELL.
  DENVER.
  BOGER CITY...CASAR...LAKE NORMAN AND LINCOLNTON.
  IRON STATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3571 8159 3577 8119 3557 8095 3555 8096
      3553 8094 3553 8096 3550 8096 3549 8095
      3547 8095 3539 8112 3543 8177 3584 8201
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 310DEG 16KT 3575 8182 3565 8150
          3569 8121

$$
RB
3 follow-up statements
702 
WWUS52 KGSP 161938
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
338 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

NCC111-161948-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0397.000000T0000Z-120716T2030Z/
MCDOWELL NC-
338 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MCDOWELL COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3571 8159 3577 8119 3557 8095 3555 8096
      3553 8094 3553 8096 3547 8095 3539 8112
      3543 8177 3578 8183
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 310DEG 16KT 3565 8173 3562 8145
          3566 8116

$$

NCC023-035-045-071-109-161-162030-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0397.000000T0000Z-120716T2030Z/
CATAWBA NC-CLEVELAND NC-GASTON NC-LINCOLN NC-RUTHERFORD NC-BURKE NC-
338 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
BURKE...NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...LINCOLN...EXTREME NORTHWESTERN
GASTON...NORTHERN CLEVELAND AND CATAWBA COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

AT 334 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTON TO
7 MILES SOUTH OF ICARD TO NEWTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  MAIDEN.
  VALE.
  CASAR AND TERRELL.
  DENVER.
  LAKE NORMAN.
  IRON STATION...LINCOLNTON AND BOGER CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3571 8159 3577 8119 3557 8095 3555 8096
      3553 8094 3553 8096 3547 8095 3539 8112
      3543 8177 3578 8183
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 310DEG 16KT 3565 8173 3562 8145
          3566 8116

$$
RB
554 
WWUS52 KGSP 161957
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
357 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

NCC161-162006-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0397.000000T0000Z-120716T2030Z/
RUTHERFORD NC-
357 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3557 8095 3555 8096 3553 8094 3553 8096
      3547 8095 3539 8112 3543 8158 3570 8157
      3571 8159 3571 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 310DEG 16KT 3560 8165 3557 8137
          3561 8108

$$

NCC023-035-045-071-109-162030-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0397.000000T0000Z-120716T2030Z/
CATAWBA NC-CLEVELAND NC-GASTON NC-LINCOLN NC-BURKE NC-
357 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
BURKE...LINCOLN...EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GASTON...NORTH CENTRAL
CLEVELAND AND SOUTHERN CATAWBA COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

AT 350 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF CASAR TO
VALE TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF MAIDEN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  VALE.
  TERRELL.
  DENVER.
  LAKE NORMAN...LINCOLNTON AND BOGER CITY.
  IRON STATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3557 8095 3555 8096 3553 8094 3553 8096
      3547 8095 3539 8112 3543 8158 3570 8157
      3571 8159 3571 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 310DEG 16KT 3560 8165 3557 8137
          3561 8108

$$
LG
579 
WWUS52 KGSP 162014
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
414 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

NCC023-071-162024-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0397.000000T0000Z-120716T2030Z/
GASTON NC-BURKE NC-
414 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BURKE AND EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN GASTON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3557 8095 3555 8096 3553 8094 3553 8096
      3547 8095 3541 8109 3541 8137 3543 8158
      3568 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 325DEG 53KT 3538 8147 3551 8103

$$

NCC035-045-109-162030-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0397.000000T0000Z-120716T2030Z/
CATAWBA NC-CLEVELAND NC-LINCOLN NC-
414 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LINCOLN...
NORTH CENTRAL CLEVELAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA COUNTIES UNTIL 430
PM EDT...

AT 410 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LAWNDALE TO DENVER...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF LINCOLN...
NORTH CENTRAL CLEVELAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3557 8095 3555 8096 3553 8094 3553 8096
      3547 8095 3541 8109 3541 8137 3543 8158
      3568 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 325DEG 53KT 3538 8147 3551 8103

$$

RB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 2:23 PM EDT, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 2:23 PM EDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
223 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH
MID-WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO
DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE THURSDAY AND LINGERS INTO
SATURDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION FROM THE
NORTH BY SUNDAY AND REMAIN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 230 PM EDT MONDAY...AN UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN OVER EASTERN CANADA
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY....BUT THE MEAN TROUGH TO ITS SOUTH WILL LOSE
AMPLITUDE. MEANWHILE...A WEAK UPPER LOW OFF THE COAST OF NE FL WILL
MOVE WEST AND INLAND. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER IMPULSE DIVES INTO THE EAST COAST TROUGH...
LINGERING INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THE RETROGRADING FL SYSTEM MAY
HAVE SUFFICIENT REACH BY TUESDAY TO STEER UPPER IMPULSES WEST ACROSS
GA AND THE CAROLINAS INTO THE BLUE RIDGE...PERHAPS CAUSING
PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL BE NEAR NORMAL...AND MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WILL
BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT 145 PM EDT...WEAK TROUGHING ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER
THE SE STATES IN THE SHORT TERM AS A STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVES INTO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER FLORIDA MEANDERS
GENERALLY WESTWARD. AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WITH LEE TROUGHING EAST OF
THE MOUNTAINS. WITH A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE...PLAN VIEW
CAPES ARE FORECAST TO EXCEED 2000J/KG OVER MANY PIEDMONT AREAS BOTH
WED AND THU AFTERNOONS WITH WELL OVER 1000J/KG ELESWHERE. THIS SET
UP FAVORS RATHER TYPICAL JULY WEATHER WITH DIURNALLY ENHANCED
THUNDERSTORMS ERUPTING DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND THEN MOSTLY
DISSIPATING DURING THE EVENING HOURS. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SUPPORT THIS
IDEA AS CONSIDERABLE LOW LEVEL CIN IS INDICATED DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. COVERAGE OF STORMS SHOULD BE BETTER THU AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE AREA AND UPPER HEIGHTS SLOWLY
FALL. WILL FOLLOW THE POP TREND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
HOWEVER...DOWNSCALED NAM POPS LOOK REASONABLE SO BLENDED THEM INTO
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TO GIVE A LITTLE MORE DETAIL. SEVERE THREAT
WITH THUNDERSTORMS IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE ON THE LOW SIDE AS
PROFILES REMAIN RATHER MOIST AND WIND FIELDS WEAK. ISOLD HYDRO
PROBLEMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT DUE TO WEAK STREERING FLOW. TEMP
VERIFICATION DATA OF LATE INDICATES THAT THE BIAS CORRECTED GMOS AND
ADJMAV ARE PERFORMING THE BEST...SO USED A BLEND OF THOSE GUIDANCE
SOURCES FOR TEMPS. THIS YIELDS MAX TEMPS ABOUT A CATEGORY ABOVE AVE
BOTH WED AND THU. MIN TEMPS ALSO ARE FORECAST TO BE A LITTLE ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM SUNDAY...THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THAT THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL DROP
SOUTH ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS BY LATE THURSDAY....AND SLOWLY SLIPS
SOUTH INTO THE NC/SC LINE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY AND VERY DEEP MOIST LAYER WITH PW VALUES
OVER 2 INCHES DURING THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. IN
ADDITION...UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND DYNAMIC LIFTING WILL PROVIDE
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ON LATE FRIDAY AS OUR CWA WILL BE UNDER THE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET STREAK. HENCE...POPS HAVE BEEN
ACCORDINGLY RAISED INTO THE 60S OVER MUCH OF OUR AREA FRI AFTERNOON
INTO EVENING.

THE FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DROP FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE LOWER
MIDLANDS SAT AND BECOMES STATIONARY THROUGH EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.
SO WE WILL SEE DECREASE IN COVERAGE OF CONVECTION AND POPS HAVE BEEN
LOWERED ACCORDINGLY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES BELOW
SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...CONVECTION IN NW NC IS AIMING AT THE INTERSTATE 77
CORRIDOR. ON ITS CURRENT TRAJECTORY...IT PASS TO THE EAST OF
KCLT...SO FOR NO JUST DRY THUNDER WILL BE CARRIED WITH NO
RESTRICTION. MODEL TIME HEIGHTS SUPPORT A LOW VFR CIG THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. GUIDANCE IS BECOMING SUPPORTIVE OF MVFR FOG AT
DAYBREAK...BUT UNTIL CONFIDENCE INCREASES ON FOG...NONE WILL BE
CARRIED. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT PRECIPITATION COULD GET GOING EARLY
TUESDAY...AS AN UPPER LOW DIRECTS IMPULSES ACROSS WESTERN NC FROM
THE EAST. WITH LOW CONFIDENCE...A DRY FORECAST WILL BE FEATURED AT
THIS TIME. LIGHT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE WSW UNTIL
DAYBREAK...THEN WILL VEER TO WNW.

ELSEWHERE...CONVECTION MOVING IN FROM THE NW SHOULD PASS CLOSE
ENOUGH TO KHKY TO AT LEAST CARRY TS AND CB THIS AFTERNOON....BUT
THIS ACTIVITY WILL PASS WELL EAST OF THE OTHER SITES. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRE ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LIMITED THAT THEY WILL CAUSE RESTRICTIONS AT TAF
SITES...SO FOR NOW THUNDER WITH LOW VFR CB WILL BE CARRIED.
GUIDANCE IS BECOMING SUPPORTIVE OF FOG TOWARD DAWN...BUT CONDITIONS
WERE GENERALLY GOOD THIS MORNING...AND ONLY THE MOST LIKELY SPOT...
KAVL...WILL HAVE MVFR FOG IN THE TAF. ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION
COULD DEVELOP EARLY TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LOW DIRECTS IMPULSES WEST
INTO THE BLUE RIDGE...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO ACCEPT THIS
SCENARIO JUST YET. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VEER TO THE NW THIS
AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...EXCEPT AT KAND
WHERE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS LIGHT ENE WINDS AFTER DAYBREAK.

OUTLOOK...SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST
CHANCE WILL REMAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS
THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR THUNDER...CLOUD
COVER...AND FOG OVER SATURATED SOIL.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JOH
NEAR TERM...JAT
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...JOH
AVIATION...JAT
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 3:24 PM EDT, 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
324 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-171930-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
324 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS
THE REGION. THE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING WHICH MEANS SOME LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR ALONG WITH PERHAPS SOME ISOLATED FLOODING.
ALSO...A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS. IN ADDITION...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

LG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 12:55 PM EDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1255 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

SCZ013-014-161745-
CHESTER-UNION-
1255 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN UNION AND
WESTERN CHESTER COUNTIES THROUGH 145 PM EDT...

AT 1248 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CARLISLE...OR 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF UNION.
THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SANTUC...
  UNION...SEDALIA...MONARCH MILLS...LEEDS...CARLISLE AND BUFFALO.

SMALL HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3458 8179 3477 8172 3479 8126 3456 8127
      3456 8141 3456 8142 3450 8141 3450 8142

LG
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 2:30 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
230 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

NCZ033-050-161915-
AVERY-MITCHELL-
230 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MITCHELL AND WESTERN AVERY
COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 225 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES EAST OF LIMESTONE COVE...OR 11 MILES
SOUTH OF ELIZABETHTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO NEWLAND...
  MINNEAPOLIS...LEDGER...INGALLS...ELK PARK...CROSSNORE...BULADEAN...
  BANDANA AND BAKERSVILLE.

SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3605 8185 3590 8214 3593 8215 3595 8219
      3601 8219 3602 8223 3613 8228 3617 8220
      3615 8218 3615 8215 3611 8212 3611 8208
      3613 8204 3618 8199

07
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 2:49 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
249 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

NCZ035-056-502-504-161930-
ALEXANDER-CATAWBA-GREATER BURKE-GREATER CALDWELL-
249 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN BURKE...NORTHERN
CATAWBA...SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL AND SOUTHWESTERN ALEXANDER COUNTIES
THROUGH 330 PM EDT...

AT 246 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTH OF KINGS CREEK...OR 7 MILES EAST OF
LENOIR...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  HUDSON...
  GRANITE FALLS...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3604 8136 3602 8134 3576 8118 3568 8147
      3599 8156 3604 8137

RB
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 2:53 PM EDT, 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
253 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

GAZ017-161945-
HABERSHAM-
253 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN HABERSHAM COUNTY
THROUGH 345 PM EDT...

AT 250 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF BALDWIN...OR 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CLARKESVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  CORNELIA...
  BALDWIN...

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3454 8362 3458 8364 3460 8365 3464 8353
      3451 8344 3448 8346 3448 8355 3445 8359
      3443 8362 3450 8367 3451 8367

RB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 2:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAvery, Mitchell45 min
Jul 16, 2:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCaldwell41 min
Jul 16, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCatawba, Iredell, Lincoln, Mecklenburg58 min
Jul 16, 4:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRutherford39 min
Jul 16, 4:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion42 min
Jul 16, 4:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMcDowell49 min
Jul 16, 4:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGaston45 min
Jul 16, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGaston, Lincoln, Mecklenburg66 min
Jul 16, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg48 min
Jul 16, 5:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Union60 min
Jul 16, 5:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCleveland, Rutherford55 min
Jul 16, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPPolk63 min
Jul 16, 6:26 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPMecklenburg2 hr
Jul 16, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPTransylvania63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2012Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.