Severe Thunderstorm Warning 314, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

956 
WWUS52 KGSP 032324
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
724 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

SCC007-032345-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0314.000000T0000Z-120703T2345Z/
ANDERSON SC-
724 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL
ANDERSON COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

AT 720 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
BELTON...OR 11 MILES EAST OF ANDERSON. MOVEMENT WAS NEARLY
STATIONARY.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  BELTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3451 8261 3460 8249 3449 8232 3448 8232
      3437 8249
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 082DEG 2KT 3451 8246

$$

MOORE

855 
WWUS52 KGSP 032337
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
737 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

SCC007-032347-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0314.000000T0000Z-120703T2345Z/
ANDERSON SC-
737 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL ANDERSON COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 745 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LEVELS.

LAT...LON 3451 8261 3460 8249 3449 8232 3448 8232
      3437 8249
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 082DEG 2KT 3451 8247

$$

MOORE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
558 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH MID WEEK AND SWING EAST BY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
2200 UTC UPDATE...POPS AND QPF HAVE SHIFTED TO THE SC PIEDMONT AND
NE GA...AS WELL AS THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAINS IN NC. WINDS WERE
UPDATED WITH A BLEND OF THE 18Z NAM AND THE 12Z ADJMAV. SKY COVER
WAS ADJUSTED PER SATELLITE IMAGERY.

AT 1430 EDT TUESDAY...SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS FIRED ACROSS THE MTNS
THIS AFTERNOON AS EXPECTED. A COUPLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE PULSE
STORMS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AND THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS ALSO BEGUN FIRING IN THE HIGH
THETA-E AIR OVER THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY. STORMS HAVE BEEN
MOVING EXTREMELY SLOWLY...AND HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PROVE TO BE MORE OF
A THREAT THAN SEVERE WEATHER. COVERAGE HAS ACTUALLY BECOME QUITE
HIGH ALONG THE EASTERN ESCARPMENT...BUT AGAIN SLOW/QUASI-STATIONARY
MOVEMENT MEANS THAT STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL NOT COVER MUCH REAL
ESTATE...SO POPS WILL BE LIMITED TO HIGH CHANCE/PERHAPS THE LOW END
OF THE LIKELY RANGE. OTHERWISE...WILL CONTINUE TO FORECAST SCATTERED
ACTIVITY SPREADING INTO THE FOOTHILLS (ESP THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS)
AS COLD POOLS FROM MTN CONVECTION MATURE.

CONVECTION WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING IN THE
WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE BETTER MOISTURE ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES THROUGH
MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE ABOVE NORMAL IN
THE MOIST AIR MASS...WITH POSSIBLE CONVECTIVE DEBRIS FURTHER
INHIBITING COOLING.

THERE DOESN/T APPEAR TO BE MUCH CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN FOR
WEDNESDAY. THE FLOW ALOFT MAY BE A LITTLE STRONGER...AS SHORT WAVE
TROUGH DROPS DOWN THE EASTERN SEABOARD W/IN THE NW FLOW ALOFT.
THEREFORE...POPS WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER FOR WED AFTERNOON...AS
CELLS SHOULD ACTUALLY MOVE...AND THERE COULD EVEN BE SOME SMALL
SCALE ORGANIZATION ALONG OUTFLOWS. TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT PERHAPS A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN TUESDAY...AS
HEIGHTS ALOFT FALL SLIGHTLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM TUESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW WEAK SHORT WAVES
DROPPING S OVER THE AREA THU-FRI IN VERY LGT N FLOW ALOFT...WITH A
LEE TROF AT THE SFC. WEAK UPPER FORCING COMBINED WITH LOW LVL
CONVERGENCE...DAYTIME HEATING AND ABOVE AVG PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL
MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF AFTN-EVE SHWRS/TSTMS BOTH DAYS. SHEAR WILL BE
MINIMAL BUT CAPE RELATIVELY HIGH WITH THE MAIN THREAT DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN IN SLOW MOVG STORM CELLS. TEMPS
WILL STAY ABOVE ABOVE AVG THRU THE PERIOD WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES OF
100-103 ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-85 CORRIDOR.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 100 PM TUESDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE
THE WEATHER IN THE EARLY PART OF THE EXT. GOOD AGREEMENT IS HAD WITH
THE RIDGE SLOWLY BREAKING DOWN AND RETROGRADING WHILE A BROAD L/W
TROF ENCOMPASSES THE EAST COAST BY MON. AT THE SFC...A LEE TROF WILL
BE MAINTAINED WHILE A BACK COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH LATE SUN NIGHT AND
MOST LIKELY BECOMES STATIONARY ACROSS THE SRN ZONES OR MIDLANDS
THROUGH TUE. MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS OF SFC BASED CAPE WILL BE
GENERATED EACH AFTERNOON AS MAX TEMPS REACH A FEW DEGREES F ABOVE
NORMAL IN A STAGNANT AND RELATIVELY HIGH LLVL TD ENVIRONMENT. MAX
TEMPS MAY DROP TO NEAR NORMAL BY MON AND TUE AS H5 HEIGHTS FALL AND
CLOUDINESS INCREASES. POPS WERE MAINTAINED AT CLIMO OVER THE
WEEKEND...WITH POPS REACHING THE LOW CHANCE RANGE OUTSIDE THE MTNS
MON AND TUE AS THE SFC BOUNDARY PROVIDES A MORE S/LY FOCUSING
MECHANISM.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AS EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...FLOW ALOFT IS VERY WEAK...AND IT MAY
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT TO GET ANY OF THIS CONVECTION INTO THE KCLT
AREA LATER TODAY. NEVERTHELESS...THE CUMULUS FIELD IS STARTING TO
GET HEALTHY IN THE VCNY...SO ISOLATED STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP BY
THIS EVENING...SO THE PROB30 HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TEMPO FOR TS.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN SW
BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT/VRBL THIS EVENING...THEN RETURN TO THE WSW BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED CONVECTION IS FIRING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AS
EXPECTED...BUT IS ALSO BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE UPPER
SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY. DUE TO VERY WEAK FLOW ALOFT...STORMS ARE
EXHIBITING VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT...SO IF THEY DO MAKE THEIR WAY
TOWARD THE TERMINALS...IT/S GOING TO TAKE A WHILE. VCTS HAS BEEN
INCLUDED AT ALL TERMINALS BY 20Z. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...ALTHOUGH THE USUAL CAVEAT APPLIES OF
FOG/STRATUS BEING POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL.

OUTLOOK...AT LEAST SCATTERED AFTN/EVE SHRA/TSRA POTENTIAL EXPECTED
EACH DAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...WITH AREAS OF MORNING FOG/
STRATUS POSSIBLE...ESP IN THE MTN VALLEYS.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THAT WILL BE APPROACHED AND POSSIBLY
EXCEEDED...

AVL
JULY 4TH  97 IN 1948
JULY 5TH  96 IN 1948
JULY 6TH  93 IN 1993

GSP
JULY 4TH  100 IN 1993
JULY 5TH   98 IN 1993
JULY 6TH  100 IN 1993

CLT
JULY 4TH   99 IN 1993
JULY 5TH  100 IN 1954
JULY 6TH   99 IN 1930

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...JAT/JDL
SHORT TERM...RB
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...JDL
CLIMATE...RAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
314 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-041915-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
314 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...
WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.
HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH SLOW MOVING STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
452 PM EDT TUE JUL 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E MOUNTAIN REST       34.87N 83.12W
07/03/2012                   OCONEE             SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN NEAR OCONEE STATE PARK.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
529 PM EDT TUE JUL 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE PACOLET            34.95N 81.71W
07/03/2012                   CHEROKEE           SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORT OF ONE LARGE LIVE LIMB DOWN AND ONE DEAD TREE
            BLOWN OVER AT THE WEST END OF ASBURY ROAD.

0425 PM     HAIL             5 NE CLARKESVILLE       34.67N 83.46W
07/03/2012  E1.50 INCH       HABERSHAM          GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SILVER DOLLAR SIZED HAIL AT TURNERVILLE GEORGIA.

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NE CLARKESVILLE       34.67N 83.46W
07/03/2012                   HABERSHAM          GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A FEW TREES DOWN AT TURNERVILLE.

&&

OUTLAW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
536 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

GAZ029-SCZ010-011-032215-
ABBEVILLE-ANDERSON-ELBERT-
536 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ELBERT...SOUTHERN
ANDERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN ABBEVILLE COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

AT 531 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAKE RUSSELL...OR 11 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ELBERTON...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN ELBERT...SOUTHERN ANDERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN
ABBEVILLE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

LAKE RUSSELL...LOWNDESVILLE AND CALHOUN FALLS...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3425 8245 3402 8259 3412 8285 3432 8276

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
610 PM EDT TUE JUL 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE LAURENS            34.54N 81.98W
07/03/2012                   LAURENS            SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN AT INTERSTATE 385 AND HIGHWAY 49.

0602 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NE LAURENS            34.54N 81.98W
07/03/2012  E80 MPH          LAURENS            SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            INTERSTATE 385 AND HIGHWAY 49.

0602 PM     HAIL             4 NE LAURENS            34.54N 81.98W
07/03/2012  E1.75 INCH       LAURENS            SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            INTERSTATE 385 AND HIGHWAY 49.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
622 PM EDT TUE JUL 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S ELBERTON            34.02N 82.86W
07/03/2012                   ELBERT             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON INDIAN HILL ROAD. ANOTHER TREE DOWN ON BRAD
            DIXON ROAD EAST OF ELBERTON.

&&

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
653 PM EDT TUE JUL 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ESE LAKE LURE         35.42N 82.13W
07/03/2012                   RUTHERFORD         NC   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            RIVER CREEK CAMPGROUND HAD A HIGH WIND GUST THAT BROUGHT
            DOWN SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS...SPLIT A TREE AND BLEW TENTS
            FROM THEIR ANCHORED POSITION OUT INTO THE RIVER.

&&

OUTLAW