Alert archive / North Carolina / High Wind Watches in 2012

High Wind Watch 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

October 27, 20126 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this high wind watch at Oct 27, 2012, 3:50 PM EDT for 6 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 29, 2012, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 27, 2012, 3:50 PM EDT (19:50 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 29, 2012, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 28, 2012, 5:21 AM EDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-10-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 42 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-10-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
42 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
499 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

918 
WWUS72 KGSP 271950
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
350 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...HIGH WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE MID ATLANTIC WILL PRODUCE HIGH
WIND GUSTS IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-280400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.A.0001.121029T0400Z-121031T0000Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
350 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN COUNTIES OF
  AVERY...MITCHELL...YANCY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
  MCDOWELL...BURKE AND CALDWELL.

* HAZARDS...POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...ESPECIALLY
  MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WIND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATING ON FOLIAGE WILL HELP TO BLOW
  OVER TREES. AT LEAST SOME TREES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WITH THE
  STRONG WIND LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST
  WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND NUMEROUS
  TREES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL IN THAT TIME PERIOD. THIS WILL LIKELY
  RESULT IN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WITH TREES AND LIMBS FALLING ON
  POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

DEO
2 follow-up statements
624 
WWUS72 KGSP 271955 CCA
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
355 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE MID ATLANTIC WILL PRODUCE HIGH
WIND GUSTS IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-280415-
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.A.0001.121029T0400Z-121031T0000Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
355 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN COUNTIES OF
  AVERY...MITCHELL...YANCY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
  MCDOWELL...BURKE AND CALDWELL.

* HAZARDS...POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...ESPECIALLY
  MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WIND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATING ON FOLIAGE WILL HELP TO BLOW
  OVER TREES. AT LEAST SOME TREES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WITH THE
  STRONG WIND LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST
  WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND NUMEROUS
  TREES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL IN THAT TIME PERIOD. THIS WILL LIKELY
  RESULT IN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WITH TREES AND LIMBS FALLING ON
  POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

DEO
322 
WWUS72 KGSP 280921
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
521 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES WILL IMPACT THE
MOUNTAINS AND THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS EARLY THIS WEEK...

.TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY WILL TRACK NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST TODAY AND MONDAY. THE CENTER OF THIS LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL
MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON TUESDAY. THE
COMBINATION OF THE LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY AND HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE MID WEST WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. IN 
ADDITION...THE BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL
BRING A MUCH COLDER AIR MASS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AND
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-281800-
/O.UPG.KGSP.HW.A.0001.121029T0400Z-121031T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.W.0001.121029T0400Z-121031T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.W.0009.121029T0400Z-121029T1300Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
521 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
8 PM EDT TUESDAY. A FREEZE WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN COUNTIES OF AVERY... 
  MITCHELL...YANCY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF MCDOWELL...BURKE 
  AND CALDWELL.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. POTENTIAL FOR WIND
  GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATING ON FOLIAGE WILL HELP TO BLOW
  OVER TREES. SCATTERED TREES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WITH THE STRONG WIND
  LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS ARE
  EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND NUMEROUS TREES ARE
  EXPECTED TO FALL IN THAT TIME PERIOD. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
  NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WITH TREES AND LIMBS FALLING ON POWER
  LINES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. FREEZING
  TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN THE END OF THE GROWING SEASON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509-281800-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.W.0009.121029T0400Z-121029T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.A.0002.121029T0400Z-121031T0000Z/
RABUN-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
521 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EDT MONDAY. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA
  AND RABUN COUNTY OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 30. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL
  RESULT IN THE END OF THE GROWING SEASON.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. POTENTIAL FOR WIND
  GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED TREES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WITH THE STRONG
  WIND LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS
  ARE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND NUMEROUS TREES ARE
  EXPECTED TO FALL IN THAT TIME PERIOD. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
  NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WITH TREES AND LIMBS FALLING ON POWER
  LINES. GREATER AMOUNTS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
  BORDER COUNTIES WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO MORE SIGNIFICANT TREE
  AND POWERLINE DAMAGE.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

GAZ017-NCZ035-056-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ001>003-281800-
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.A.0002.121029T0400Z-121031T0000Z/
HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-CATAWBA-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARKESVILLE...HICKORY
521 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE SOUTH
  CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

* HAZARDS...POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
  GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH TONIGHT AND WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NED

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind watch went out at Oct 27, 3:21 PM EDT, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 3:21 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
321 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ALONG THE EAST
COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BY MONDAY SANDY WILL DEVELOP INTO A
POWERFUL NOR-EASTER. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO CURVE WEST AND MOVE
ASHORE NEAR NEW JERSEY MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN
UNSEASONABLY CHILLY AND WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA AND SOME SNOW
FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM EDT...HURRICANE SANDY WILL MOVE NE PARALLEL TO THE
SOUTHEAST COASTLINE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. FORCING AND MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN VERY LIMITED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...BUT UPPER
DIVERGENCE WILL IMPROVE AS THE H250 JET SHARPENS FROM THE GREAT
LAKES TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS. IN ADDITION...NRLY FLOW MOISTURE WILL
CREATE INCREASING UPSLOPE FORCING ALONG THE WRN MTNS...WITH SOLID
CHC POPS FOR RAIN SHOWERS BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY ALONG THE SPINE.

A STRONG SHORTWAVE IN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL CROSS THE SRN
APPALACHIANS SUNDAY AFTN. AN H5 THERMAL TROUGH WILL ACCOMPANY THE
WAVE...HELPING TO RAPIDLY COOL PROFILES. WILL FEATURE INCREASING
LIKELY POPS IN THE TN BORDER AREA GIVEN THE IMPROVING UPSLOPE FLOW
AND PASSING DPVA. WILL SHOW RAIN SHOWERS MIXING OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS
ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS VERY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. THE TIGHTENING PRES
GRADIENT SHOULD YIELD GUSTS IN THE 30S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN BY
LATE DAY...WITH GUSTS INTO THE 20S ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 250 PM SATURDAY...SANDY WILL BE EAST OF NC AT 00Z MONDAY
MOVING NORTH. IT WILL BE QUITE BREEZY TO WINDY SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE
STRONG SHORTWAVE ARRIVES FROM THE WEST.  850MB TEMPS WILL DROP TO
AROUND FREEZING IN HIGHEST ELEVATIONS SUNDAY EVENING AND SNOW WILL
BEGIN AT THAT TIME FOR THE HIGHEST PEAKS. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY...BUT THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY. TOTALS OVER 6 INCHES FOR THE TOTAL EVENT FOR
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WE ARE GOING WITH A HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 04Z
MONDAY THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. MODELS ARE
NOW IN AGREEMENT TO BRING SANDY WEST ACROSS MARYLAND ON TUESDAY.
THIS WILL CREATE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH POTENTIAL GUSTS
OVER 50 KNOTS AT THE HIGH ELEVATIONS. WAVES OF MOISTURE WILL BE
GREATEST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE NAM DOES START TO BRING THE
SYSTEM NORTH FROM MARYLAND LATE TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM SATURDAY...THE LATEST GUIDANCE OUT IN THE MEDIUM RANGE
HOLDS ONTO THE IDEA THAT ANOTHER SURGE IN NW FLOW PRECIP PRODUCTION
WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS IS SEEN IN BOTH THE GFS AND THE
00Z ECMWF. WHAT IS INTERESTING IS THAT THE GFS HAS UPPER SUPPORT
WITH A STRONG VORT LOBE MOVING ACROSS THE MTNS WITH GOOD DPVA AND
MOISTURE UP ABOVE 700 MB...SUGGESTING IT WILL BE MOIST UP TO A HIGH
ENOUGH ALTITUDE FOR ICE NUCLEI TO REMAIN ACTIVE. WITH THAT IN
MIND... THE CHANCE POP WILL BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUE NIGHT AND INTO
WEDNESDAY MAINLY FOR SNOW SHOWERS ON THE TN BORDER. A FEW MORE
INCHES COULD ACCUMULATE IF THE GFS PRECIP AMTS ARE TO BE BELIEVED.
TEMPS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL.

THE MOISTURE WILL FINALLY START TO PULL OUT ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
THE REMNANT LOW MOVES AWAY. WE WILL REMAIN UNDER A DEEP NW FLOW
ALOFT AS AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD
IN FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. SOME MODERATION SHOULD HAPPEN ON
SATURDAY AS HEIGHTS RISE AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT KCLT...MAINLY SCT TO BKN VFR LEVEL CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED UNDER A
SOLID CIRRUS SHIELD ALOFT. CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW BRIEF TEMPO PERIODS
OF MVFR CLOUDS EARLY THIS AFTN AND OVERNIGHT...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO MENTION. GUSTY NNE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING BEFORE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT. STRONGER NRLY GUSTS
WILL RETURN WITH MIXING ON SUNDAY.

ELSEWHERE...MAINLY SCT TO BKN VFR LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE UNDER
OVC CIRRUS. THE MAIN EXCEPTION WILL BE KAVL...WHERE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL PUSH INTO THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY. MVFR CIGS ARE
LIKELY BY LATE EVENING...AND CLOUD HEIGHTS WILL FURTHER LOWER BY
DAYBREAK. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL REMAIN THROUGH SUNSET...DISSIPATE
SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT...THEN RETURN WITH MIXING ON SUNDAY. CONDITIONS
SHOULD REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD EAST OF THE
MTNS.

OUTLOOK...THE CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY WILL YIELD
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. UPSLOPE CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS WILL CREATE RESTRICTIVE CEILINGS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PAT
NEAR TERM...HG
SHORT TERM...DEO
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...HG
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 27, 4:53 AM EDT, 10 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
453 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-035-048>053-056-058-059-062>065-501>510-SCZ001>003-
280900-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-ALEXANDER-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-
HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
453 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO AN INTENSE
EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND MOVE ASHORE SOMEWHERE ACROSS
THE MID-ATLANTIC OR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND STATES MONDAY NIGHT.

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND FOOTHILLS SUNDAY NIGHT...LASTING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS
MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO TOPPLE TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. THE
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPPER FRENCH
BROAD VALLEY...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA
FOOTHILLS.

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS...FALLING TEMPERATURES
AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS ALONG
THE TENNESSEE LINE BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR SUNDAY NIGHT.
PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.
THE PROBABILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF UPSLOPE SNOW IS
INCREASING...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND NEAR
THE TENNESSEE LINE.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS SUNDAY
NIGHT. WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL DEVELOP MONDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY OUT ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS...WITH
SIMILAR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ036-037-057-068>072-082-SCZ004>014-019-280900-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-IREDELL-DAVIE-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
453 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS TROPICAL
CYCLONE SANDY EVOLVES INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM AND MOVES ASHORE
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC OR NEW ENGLAND STATES. WINDS MAY BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO CAUSE DAMAGE BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS IF THE
STORM COMES ASHORE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH. SOME AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE
FREEZING TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT. DRY
AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WHICH COULD LINGER INTO
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

Nearby

High Wind Watches in North Carolina, 2012Every high wind watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.