Freeze Warning 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

366 
WWUS72 KGSP 230222
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1022 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MONDAY MORNING AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS AVERY COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
AND BRING IN A COLD CANADIAN AIR MASS. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL TO AND BELOW FREEZING ACROSS AVERY COUNTY.
ADDITIONALLY...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AROUND DAYBREAK AND
CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACROSS ALL THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS.


NCZ033-231030-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.120423T1100Z-120424T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120423T1300Z/
AVERY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWLAND
1022 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 9 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 9 PM EDT
MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...AVERY COUNTY IN NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* TIMING...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MONDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY
  NEED TO BE SECURED. DRIVING COULD BE DIFFICULT IN HIGHER GUSTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-231030-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.120423T1100Z-120424T0100Z/
MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE
1022 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 9 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 9 PM EDT
MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. 

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS. 

* TIMING...FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS MAY NEED TO BE SECURED. DRIVING COULD
  BE DIFFICULT IN HIGHER GUSTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KRENTZ

097 
WWUS72 KGSP 230908
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
508 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TODAY WITH A WIDESPREAD FREEZE ACROSS THE
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

.STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT
THE DAY ACROSS ALL THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. THESE WINDS WILL
BRING A COOL CANADIAN AIR MASS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.

NCZ033-231900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.W.0008.120424T0400Z-120424T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120423T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.120423T1100Z-120424T0100Z/
AVERY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWLAND
508 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...AVERY COUNTY IN NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* TIMING...FREEZING TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING. STRONG WINDS
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES AGAIN TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY
  NEED TO BE SECURED FROM GUSTY WINDS. DRIVING COULD BE DIFFICULT IN
  HIGHER GUSTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-231900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.W.0008.120424T0400Z-120424T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.120423T1100Z-120424T0100Z/
MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE
508 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. FREEZING
  TEMPERATURES TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY
  NEED TO BE SECURED FROM GUSTY WINDS. DRIVING COULD BE DIFFICULT IN
  HIGHER GUSTS. 

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 30. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ507-509-231900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.W.0008.120424T0400Z-120424T1300Z/
/O.EXA.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.120423T1100Z-120424T0100Z/
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
508 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EDT TUESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. FREEZING
  TEMPERATURES TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY
  NEED TO BE SECURED FROM GUSTY WINDS. DRIVING COULD BE DIFFICULT IN
  HIGHER GUSTS. 

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOW 30S. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NED

695 
WWUS72 KGSP 231258
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
858 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TODAY WITH A WIDESPREAD FREEZE ACROSS THE
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

.STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. THESE
WINDS WILL BRING A COOL CANADIAN AIR MASS ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.

NCZ033-232100-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120423T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0008.120424T0400Z-120424T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120424T0100Z/
AVERY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWLAND
858 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...AVERY COUNTY IN NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. FREEZING
  TEMPERATURES TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. LOOSE OBJECTS 
  MAY NEED TO BE SECURED FROM GUSTY WINDS. DRIVING COULD BE 
  DIFFICULT IN HIGHER GUSTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-232100-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0008.120424T0400Z-120424T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120424T0100Z/
MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE
858 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. FREEZING 
  TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. LOOSE OBJECTS 
  MAY NEED TO BE SECURED FROM GUSTY WINDS. DRIVING COULD BE 
  DIFFICULT IN HIGHER GUSTS. 

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 30.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

HG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
802 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
COOLER AND DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW WILL LINGER ATOP THE REGION THROUGH
TUESDAY. A WARM FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED
BY WARM AND MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW THURSDAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL ACROSS OR NEAR THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
1630Z UPDATE...AN UPDATE TO THE GRIDS ATTEMPTING TO CAPTURE THE
MESOSCALE FEATURES ACROSS THE CWFA. A LINE OF S/LY MOVING STORMS
ACROSS THE UPSTATE HAVE TEMPORARILY SHIFTED WINDS......LOWERED
TEMPS...INCREASED POPS...AND THUNDER. OTHER AREAS OF POPS/TEMPS LOOK
OKAY.

AS OF 230 PM...FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED PRECIP EAST OF I-77
CONTINUES TO FLUCTUATE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY...BUT WILL CONTINUE
TO PUSH SLOWLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE MTNS WITHIN MOIST NW
FLOW REGIME...AND ALONG SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT PUSHING EAST OF THE
BLUE RIDGE ATTM. LIKELY POPS WILL BE MAINTAINED EAST OF I-77 THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...CHANCE POPS HAVE BEEN PULLED BACK AS FAR
WEST AS THE TYPICAL NW FLOW AREAS IN NC...AND I-26 IN SC.

AS STRONGER COLD ADVECTION FINALLY OVERSPREADS THE AREA THIS EVENING
IN THE WAKE OF STRONG VORT MAX...SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL ACROSS THE NC
MTNS...ALLOWING NW FLOW SHOWERS TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. LIGHT ACCUMS ARE EXPECTED ABOVE ALONG THE
TENN BORDER ABOVE 3500 FEET...BUT MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE LESS THAN
TWO INCHES. FREEZING TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE LARGELY CONFINED TO
AREAS ABOVE 3500 FEET (IF NOT HIGHER) SO NO FREEZE WARNING WILL BE
ISSUED.

THE OTHER ISSUE WILL BE THE WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS CONSIDERABLY OVER THE MTNS AS SURFACE LOW
DEEPENS OVER THE NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC. H8 WINDS ALSO STRENGTHEN TO
40-50 KT...ALTHOUGH COLD ADVECTION WILL BE WEAK BY THIS TIME. EXPECT
FAIRLY FREQUENT GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE ACROSS THE MTNS FROM
AROUND 09Z TO 15Z MONDAY...STILL BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

OTHERWISE...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN ALL AREAS MONDAY WHILE
TEMPS WILL BE 10-12 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. LOW RH WILL ALSO BE A
CONCERN...MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPSTATE AND NORTHEAST GA
(SEE FIRE WX DISCUSSION BELOW FOR DETAILS).

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 1 PM SUNDAY...THE SHORT TERM FCST PICKS UP AT 00Z ON TUESDAY
WITH THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER TROF AXIS CENTERED OVER THE
CAROLINAS AND THE CENTER OF THE ASSOCIATED CLOSED LOW WELL TO OUR
NORTH. OVER THE COURSE OF THE PERIOD HEIGHTS WILL RISE AS THE TROF
LIFTS TO THE NE AND WEAKENS.

LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUES...AS THE DEEP SFC LOW CONTINUES TO
LIFT NORTHWARD...UNSEASONABLY COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPS WILL DROP WELL BELOW CLIMO TUES MORNING WITH
VALUES IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN. IF WINDS CAN DECOUPLE
ENOUGH...AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS
WITH A HARD FREEZE LIKELY OVER MOST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. LOW LVL
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND BECOME MORE WESTERLY LATER ON TUES
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES AND A SFC HIGH LOCATED OVER THE
GULF OF MEX SLIDES SE. TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS FCST ABOUT A CATEGORY HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS
DAY. RH VALUES WILL LIKELY DROP BELOW 25% FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS
DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS COUPLED WITH GUSTY WINDS MAY
WARRANT RED FLAG ISSUANCE FOR MOST OF THE CWFA. ONLY INCLUDED A
SLIGHT CHANCE POP OVER THE NORTHERN MTS TUES AFTERNOON/EVENING AS
THE MODELS INDICATE HIGHER LAYER RH EMBEDDED IN THE NWLY TO WESTERLY
FLOW.

ON WED...MIN TEMPS WILL BE 7 TO 10 DEGREES WARMER WED MORNING AS
THICKNESSES INCREASE AND 850MB TEMPS REBOUND. WEAK SFC RIDGING WILL
SPREAD OVER THE REGION AS A GULF OF MEXICO HIGH SLIDES OVER FLORIDA.
HIGHS SHOULD BOUNCE BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S OVER THE PIEDMONT
AND FOOTHILLS WITH HIGHER DWPTS ALSO EXPECTED. POPS SLOWLY INCREASE
THRU THE DAY FROM NW TO SE AS LOW LVL FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 1040 AM SUNDAY...THE LATEST OP AND ENSEMBLE MEDIUM RANGE MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN DECENT AGREEMENT TO START OFF THE PERIOD FEATURING A
BROAD EASTERN NOAM TROUGH. CAN INFER THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
RETURN FLOW MOISTURE TO PROMOTE INSTABILITY AND TSTM CHANCES
THURSDAY OUT AHEAD OF SOUTHWARD SAGGING WEAKLY FORCED COLD FRONT.
THROUGH FRIDAY...IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN HOW FAR SOUTH AFOREMENTIONED
FRONT WILL BE ABLE TO SAG GIVEN THE TENDENCY TO BECOME INCREASINGLY
PARALLEL TO THE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW. SHOTGUN DEEP CONVECTIVE
CHANCES AND MAX TEMPERATURES AROUND CLIMO WILL BE CARRIED.

EXPECT STEADILY WEAKENING FRONTAL ZONE TO LINGER SOMEWHERE NEAR THE
CWFA NEXT WEEKEND AND IT IS DEBATABLE WHETHER THE 22/00 UTC RUN
OF THE ECMWF IS TOO AGGRESSIVE IN RAISING UPPER HEIGHTS ATOP THE SE
CONUS. WITH THE FLATTER GFS FLOW AND NOMINAL CHANGE TO THE AIRMASS
DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD...WILL FEATURE TOKEN DAILY
SMALL AND/OR SLIGHT CHANCE POP AND TEMPERATURES NOT TOO FAR FROM
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT...EXPECT -SHRA TO AFFECT THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE NEXT FEW
OF HRS. LOCAL CIGS ARE REMAINING LOW END VFR IN AREAS OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL...SO KEPT KCLT CIGS VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. AN MVFR VSBY
WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHOWERS LINGERED 5SM THROUGH MIDNIGHT OR
SO. DECENT WINDS WILL KEEP THE FG THREAT LOW THROUGH THE LATER
MORNING AND EXPECT GENERALLY CLEARING SKY AS BARO LEAF AND DPVA
ENHANCED CLOUDS/SHOWERS MOVE EAST AND ALLOW DEEPER DRY SLOT TO WORK
IN. A STRONG P/GRAD WILL BE IN PLACE TOMORROW AS CYCLOGENESIS
CONTINUES OFF THE STL COAST. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THERMALLY MIX DOWN
EARLY...ABOUT 14Z...WITH STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE DECK AND NO SFC
BASED INV SETTING UP TONIGHT.

AT KAVL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NC MTNS AND AT
KAVL OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER TROF SUB ZONE AND LLVL CAA COMMENCE
AROUND 05Z. DONT ANTICIPATE MUCH OF A CIG THREAT WITH THE UPSTREAM
MOISTURE ADV...BUT GENERAL VFR CIGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH DAYBREAK.
THERE COULD BE SOME -SNSH MIXED IN WITH THE -SHRA DURING THE LATER
MORNING PERIOD. STRONG GUSTY NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REMAINED OF THE TAF PERIOD AND BECOME SOMEWHAT STRONGER WITH DEEPER
CAA AND A TIGHTENING P/GRAD COMMENCING.

ELSEWHERE...VFR CIGS EARLY...TO NO CIGS AND NO VSBY CONCERNS THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE THE DOMINANT WX FEATURE WITH MODEST
NW/LY WINDS OVERNIGHT...LEADING TO CONTINUOUS AND STRONGER GUSTY
CONDITIONS THROUGH 18Z.

OUTLOOK...VFR WEATHER MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUSTY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE MONDAY EVENING. CEILING AND VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS
POSSIBLE THURSDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WITH MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT
TONIGHT...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS...CRITICAL RH AND WIND VALUES WILL
BE APPROACHED OR MET IN SOME AREAS...WITH THE MOST LIKELY AREA BEING
ACROSS THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY AND GA/SC MTNS. WHILE MOST
AREAS HAVE SEEN APPRECIABLE RAINFALL...RAINFALL WAS SOMEWHAT SPOTTY
IN THIS AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN...SO COORDINATION WILL BE REQUIRED
WITH SOUTH CAROLINA AGENCIES ON FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CSH
NEAR TERM...JDL/SBK
SHORT TERM...JPT
LONG TERM...CSH
AVIATION...SBK
FIRE WEATHER...JDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
347 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-232000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
347 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS OVER THE REGION...STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY...POSSIBLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY DROP INTO
THE MID 30S TO LOW 30S EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AREAS OF FROST ARE
POSSIBLE IF WINDS BECOME LIGHT ENOUGH OVERNIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-232000-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
347 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT...WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS USHERING IN A MUCH COOLER AIR
MASS. MOST AREAS ABOVE ABOUT 3500 ARE EXPECTED TO SEE
TEMPERATURES DIP BELOW FREEZING BY MONDAY MORNING. IN
ADDITION...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER
TONIGHT...CONTINUING INTO EARLY MONDAY. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ABOVE 3500 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ON MONDAY...POSSIBLY GUSTING AS HIGH
AS 50 MPH ACROSS THE AREA.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WHILE THERE WILL BE A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR
SOME SHELTERED VALLEYS TO SEE FREEZING TEMPERATURES AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
415 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0402 PM     HAIL             2 SSE NINE TIMES        34.89N 82.83W
04/22/2012  E0.25 INCH       PICKENS            SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A STORM SPOTTER REPORTS HE HAS HAD AN HOUR OF ALMOST
            CONTINUOUS VERY SMALL HAIL...FROM ABOUT THE SIZE OF SALT
            TO UP PEA SIZED. HE OCCASIONALLY HAS HAD A STRIKE OF
            LIGHTNING AND AT LEAST AN INCH OF RAIN WITH THIS BACK
            BUILDING STORM THAT HAS PARKED OVER HIS LOCATION IN
            WESTERN PICKENS COUNTY.

&&

OUTLAW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
417 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

SCZ002-005>007-010-012-222100-
ANDERSON-GREATER GREENVILLE-GREATER PICKENS-LAURENS-PICKENS
MOUNTAINS-SPARTANBURG-
417 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL GREENVILLE...CENTRAL
PICKENS...NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON...NORTHERN LAURENS AND SOUTHWESTERN
SPARTANBURG COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM EDT...

AT 412 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HAYWOOD MALL...OR 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
DOWNTOWN GREENVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM WAS PART OF A LARGER BAND OF SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE GREENVILLE
SPARTANBURG METRO AREA.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS.

LAT...LON 3480 8289 3484 8290 3501 8278 3499 8254
      3497 8254 3498 8251 3493 8196 3462 8203

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
451 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

SCZ007-012-013-222130-
LAURENS-SPARTANBURG-UNION-
451 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN LAURENS...SOUTHERN
SPARTANBURG AND SOUTHERN UNION COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

AT 449 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WOODRUFF...OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF
SPARTANBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN LAURENS...SOUTHERN SPARTANBURG AND SOUTHERN
UNION COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

WOODRUFF...ENOREE AND CROSS KEYS...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

MOTHBALL SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3469 8216 3485 8207 3467 8146 3449 8157
      3449 8159 3452 8162 3450 8167 3448 8168
      3447 8169

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
512 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

SCZ006-010>012-222200-
ABBEVILLE-ANDERSON-GREATER GREENVILLE-LAURENS-
512 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN ANDERSON...NORTHEASTERN
ABBEVILLE...SOUTHEASTERN GREENVILLE AND WESTERN LAURENS COUNTIES
THROUGH 600 PM EDT...

AT 509 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES EAST OF BELTON...OR 14 MILES EAST OF
ANDERSON...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN ANDERSON...NORTHEASTERN ABBEVILLE...SOUTHEASTERN
GREENVILLE AND WESTERN LAURENS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATION...

HICKORY TAVERN...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE...THEREFORE SEEK
HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3460 8208 3438 8228 3450 8250 3469 8245

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
557 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

SCZ012-013-222300-
LAURENS-UNION-
557 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT LAURENS AND SOUTHERN UNION
COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM EDT...

AT 553 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTH OF CROSS HILL...OR 9 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF LAURENS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. OTHER STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED EAST OF WARE SHOALS...AND NEAR CLINTON.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LAKE
  GREENWOOD...WATERLOO...SEDALIA...LAURENS...JOANNA...CROSS KEYS...
  CROSS HILL AND CLINTON.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3430 8209 3433 8217 3435 8217 3440 8223
      3450 8217 3453 8199 3467 8171 3460 8147
      3448 8157 3452 8162 3450 8167 3436 8178
      3430 8189 3422 8192 3421 8194

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
733 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             3 WSW GREENWOOD         34.18N 82.20W
04/22/2012  E0.25 INCH       GREENWOOD          SC   PUBLIC

            A PUBLIC REPORT OF PEA SIZED HAIL.

0355 PM     HAIL             2 WSW GREENVILLE        34.83N 82.40W
04/22/2012  E0.25 INCH       GREENVILLE         SC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            HAIL ALMOST PEA SIZED FELL IN THE CLEVELAND PARK AREA OF
            GREENVILLE. BASED ON RADAR THERE WERE LIKELY MANY OTHER
            LOCATIONS ACROSS THE UPSTATE...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST
            OF THE INTERSTATE 26 CORRIDOR...THAT ALSO HAD PEA SIZED
            HAIL DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

&&

OUTLAW