Freeze Warning 4, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

317 
WWUS72 KGSP 101911
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
311 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

.AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION
TONIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING COLD AIR INTO THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY START NEAR
MOUNTAIN PEAKS AND DROP TO ELEVATIONS OF AROUND 3000 FT BY
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. SOME SHELTERED VALLEYS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
EXPERIENCE A FREEZE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES
ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN EARLY THURSDAY OVER A LARGER PART OF THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-110900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.120412T0400Z-120412T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0004.120411T0400Z-120411T1300Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE
311 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S...EXCEPT 20 TO
  25 DEGREES AT HIGHER MOUNTAIN PEAKS. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
  EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 25 TO 30 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-
SCZ001>003-007>009-012>014-110900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.120412T0400Z-120412T1300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-
LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-
GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...STATESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER
311 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AND THE
  EASTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 30 TO 32 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

MCAVOY

999 
WWUS72 KGSP 110219
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1019 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

.AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION
TONIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING COLD AIR INTO THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY START NEAR
MOUNTAIN PEAKS AND DROP TO ELEVATIONS OF AROUND 3000 FT BY
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. SOME VALLEYS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE
A FREEZE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE AGAIN EARLY THURSDAY OVER A LARGER PART OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-111300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0004.120411T0400Z-120411T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.120412T0400Z-120412T1300Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE
1019 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S...EXCEPT 20 
  TO 25 DEGREES AT HIGHER MOUNTAIN PEAKS. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT 
  EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 25 TO 30 DEGREES. 

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-
SCZ001>003-007>009-012>014-111300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.120412T0400Z-120412T1300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-
LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-
GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...STATESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER
1019 PM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AND THE 
  EASTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA. 

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 30 TO 32 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
07

733 
WWUS72 KGSP 110909
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
509 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING...
...FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS...

.AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION
THIS MORNING...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING COLD AIR INTO THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY START NEAR
MOUNTAIN PEAKS AND DROP TO ELEVATIONS OF AROUND 3000 FT BY
DAYBREAK . SOME VALLEYS MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE A FREEZE
EARLY THIS MORNING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN
TONIGHT OVER A LARGER PART OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-111715-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120411T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.120412T0400Z-120412T1300Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE
509 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S...EXCEPT 20 TO
  25 DEGREES AT HIGHER MOUNTAIN PEAKS. LOWS TONIGHT GENERALLY 25
  TO 30 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-
SCZ001>003-007>009-012>014-111715-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.120412T0400Z-120412T1300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-
LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-
GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...STATESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER
509 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AND THE 
  EASTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA. 

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

ARK

991 
WWUS72 KGSP 111317
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
917 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS...

.AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION
TODAY AND TONIGHT...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN
TONIGHT OVER A LARGER PART OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-112000-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120411T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.120412T0400Z-120412T1300Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE
917 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS GENERALLY 25 TO 30 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-
SCZ001>003-007>009-012>014-112000-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.120412T0400Z-120412T1300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-
LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-
GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...STATESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER
917 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AND THE 
  EASTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA. 

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
LANE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
149 AM EDT TUE APR 10 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. THEN CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK IN FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY AND
DOMINATE OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 1245 AM...UPDATED MOST OF THE FCST WITH NEW GUIDANCE...WHICH
DID NOT RESULT IN MUCH CHANGE. WINDY CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED ACRS
THE AREA THIS AFTN WITH LOW RH. WILL ADDRESS FIRE WX PRODUCTS WITH
NEXT UPDATE WHICH SHUD BE OUT BY 4 AM. ALSO...FREEZE WATCH WILL BE
ADDRESSED FOR POSSIBLE UPGRADE TO FREEZE WARNING WITH NEXT UPDATE.

0230 UTC UPDATE...WINDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED WITH A TWO TO ONE BLEND OF
THE 00Z NAM AND THE 18Z ADJMAV...WITH HIGHER GUSTS ABOVE 3500 FEET.
APPARENT TEMPERATURE WAS UPDATED BASED ON THE WINDS.

AT 2130 EDT MONDAY...AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS WAS OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING...WHILE AN UPPER TROUGH WAS LOCATED ALONG THE
EAST COAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WAS LEAVING MOVING EAST OF OUR
AREA...WHILE ANOTHER WAS LOCATED IN THE OH RIVER VALLEY. SURFACE
WINDS HAVE DECREASED THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING...AND ARE EXPECTED TO VEER TO WNW AS THE FRONT DEPARTS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED NO CLOUDS NEAR OUR AREA...BUT THE MODELS
SHOW 800 MB MOISTURE INCREASING IN THE NC MOUNTAINS NEAR THE TN
BORDER AS THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES TOWARD DAYBREAK. NO PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SHALLOW MOIST LAYER AT 800 MB...AS DRY AIR
EXISTS BELOW IT AND LIFT AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS NOT IMPRESSIVE.
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...THE EAST COAST TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO BE
REINFORCED BY A TRAIN OF SHORT WAVES MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
AND MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH THE NEAR TERM. A WEAK COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE NEXT SURGE OF HEIGHT FALLS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. OTHER THAN A GRADUAL SHIFT TO NW WINDS AND INTRODUCTION OF
SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR...LITTLE IMPACT ON SENSIBLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
MIN TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL IN LIGHT MIXING.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL DIG ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
TOMORROW...BRINGING A STRONGER COLD FRONT TOWARD THE AREA. WESTERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL GUST IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. DEEP MIXING SHOULD RESULT IN ANOTHER DRY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME MID-LEVEL MOISTURE THAT WILL CROSS THE AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON AS WELL...AND THIS MAY PREVENT DEWPOINTS FROM
CRASHING AS STRONGLY AS THEY OTHERWISE WOULD. PLEASE SEE THE FIRE WX
DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFO. MAX TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE ABOVE NORMAL
(NOT MUCH DIFFERENT THAN TODAY) UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
WEST/NORTHWEST FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 210 PM MONDAY...THE BROAD ERN CONUS LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL
AMPLIFY TUE NIGHT AND WED AS A FAIRLY ADVECTIVE SHORT WAVE WHIPS
ACROSS THE WRN CAROLINAS. THE SHORT WAVE WILL DRIVE A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE FA TUE NIGHT...WITH H8 TEMPS AS LOW AS -6 DEG C
ACROSS THE NRN MTNS BY WED MORNING. THIS SHOULD BRING FREEZING
TEMPERATURES TO MUCH OF THE NC MTNS TUE NIGHT. IN FACT...SOME
OF THE HIGHER MTN PEAKS ARE LIKELY TO FALL INTO THE TEENS. CROSS
SECTIONS SHOW LESS MOISTURE THAN I WOULD HAVE THOUGHT FOR THE
WINDWARD SLOPES. STILL...SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
TUE NIGHT AND WED MORNING HAVE BEEN ADDED. PCPN MAY BE A LITTLE MORE
WIDESPREAD THAN THAT...PARTICULARLY IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE SHORT
WAVE. A FREEZE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE NC MTNS TUES
NIGHT. THE LARGER NW TO SE ORIENTED VALLEYS MAY STAY MIXED...WHICH
WOULD KEEP THEM A FEW DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING...BUT MANY MORE
SHELTERED LOCATIONS AND ALL ELEVATIONS ABOVE ABOUT 3000 FEET WILL
SEE A FREEZE.

WED MAX TEMPS SHOULD RUN SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL..WITH
GENERALLY SUNNY SKIES AWAY FROM THE TN LINE IN THE AFTN. AFTN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF
THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH
GUSTS OVER 20 MPH IN THE AFTN. THIS FALLS SHORT OF RED FLAG
CRITERIA...BUT IS LIKELY TO QUALIFY FOR A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN
MANY AREAS.

WED NIGHT COLD TEMPS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT
AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE REGION. THERE ARE SIGNS THAT THE
PIEDMONT LOCATIONS MAY MAINTAIN SOME MIXING THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
RIDGE BUILDS IN. HOWEVER...I WOULD/T BE SURPRISED TO SEE MANY
LOCATIONS DECOUPLE. THE COOP MOS MIN TEMPS HAVE A MAJORITY OF THE NC
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AT OR BELOW FREEZING AS WELL AS ALL THE MTNS.
MANY RURAL SC AND NE GA SITES ALSO FALL TO AROUND FREEZING ON THAT
GUIDANCE. THE GFS MOS GUIDANCE IS WARMER. IT/S TOO EARLY TO ISSUE A
FREEZE WATCH...BUT ONE WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR ALL THE MTN ZONES
AND NC FOOTHILLS AND POSSIBLY THE PIEDMONT. FROST MAY BE A BIGGER
CONCERN FOR THE UPSTATE AND NE GA...BUT WE/LL HAVE TO SEE HOW
QUICKLY THE RIDGE BUILDS IN.

BLUE SKIES AND MILD TEMPS ARE ON TAP FOR THU.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM MONDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST PICKS UP AT 00Z
FRIDAY WITH THE UPPER TROF MOVING OFF TO THE FAR EAST WHILE HEIGHTS
RISE OVER OUR FORECAST AREA. THEN THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS SAT/SUN FOR
DRY CONDITIONS AND UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. BOTH THE HPC AND
THE ECMWF INDICATE THAT THE UPPER RIDGE WILL PERSIST THRU NEXT MID
WEEK WHILE THE GFS HINTS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING THE AREA FROM
THE WEST BY LATE MONDAY. HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE ECMWF AND THE HPC
GUIDANCE WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH OUT THE MEDIUM RANGE
PERIOD. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S FOR FRI/SAT
AND WARMING UP INTO THE 80S SUN/MON.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR. WNW WINDS WILL BACK TO THE WSW IN ADVANCE OF YET
ANOTHER COLD FRONT LATE THIS MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
QUITE GUSTY FROM MIDDAY THRU THE AFTN. GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME MOISTURE
IN THE 7000 TO 15000 FT RANGE...SO SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY BKN VFR
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED MAINLY AFTN. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND A WIND
SHIFT TO THE WNW EXPECTED AFTER 00Z. GUIDANCE SHOWS GUSTS SHUD
DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET.

ELSEWHERE...SIMILAR TO KCLT...EXCEPT A NW WND THRU THE PERIOD AT
KAVL...WITH GUSTINESS EXPECTED TO LINGER THRU THE EVENING.

OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THRU AT LEAST
FRIDAY...ALTHOUGH GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AS OF 1245 AM...THE FCST STILL LOOKS ON TRACK. THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH WILL BE ADDRESSED FOR POSSIBLE UPGRADE TO RED FLAG WARNING
WITH NEXT UPDATE WHICH SHUD BE OUT BY 4 AM.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING...BUT
TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ON TUESDAY.
DEEP MIXING WILL OCCUR IN THE ATMOSPHERE ONCE AGAIN. HOWEVER...AN
AREA OF MID-LEVEL MOISTURE PASSING OVER THE AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON MAY PREVENT DEWPOINTS/RH FROM CRASHING AS STRONGLY AS THEY
OTHERWISE WOULD (I.E. NOT AS STRONGLY AS TODAY). NEVERTHELESS...WEST
WINDS WILL BE QUITE GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A
STRONGER FRONT. THEREFORE...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR
ALL OF WESTERN NC...AND PER COLLABORATION WITH CAE AND STATE
FORESTRY...A WATCH WILL BE EXPANDED INTO THE I-85 CORRIDOR OF
NORTHWEST SC.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
     FOR NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-
     303-501>510.
     FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
     NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509.
SC...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
     FOR SCZ001>007-010.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JOH
NEAR TERM...ARK/JAT/JDL
SHORT TERM...MCAVOY
LONG TERM...JOH
AVIATION...ARK
FIRE WEATHER...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
351 PM EDT MON APR 9 2012

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-102000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
351 PM EDT MON APR 9 2012

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES TO THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE COLD
ENOUGH AND WINDS LIGHT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST ALLOW FROST TO
FORM...AND IT/S POSSIBLE THAT SOME AREAS WILL SEE A FREEZE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

SCZ001>007-010-102000-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
ANDERSON-
351 PM EDT MON APR 9 2012

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES TO THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE COLD
ENOUGH AND WINDS LIGHT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST ALLOW FROST TO
FORM. AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME AREAS WILL SEE A FREEZE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-102000-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
351 PM EDT MON APR 9 2012

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.
   FREEZE WATCH.

A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO LIKELY AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-502-504-506-102000-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-
351 PM EDT MON APR 9 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   RED FLAG WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES TO THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MANY AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S...AND THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF A FREEZE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ068>072-082-508-510-102000-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
351 PM EDT MON APR 9 2012

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES TO THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE COLD
ENOUGH AND WINDS LIGHT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST ALLOW FROST TO
FORM. AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME AREAS WILL SEE A FREEZE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

SCZ008-009-011>014-019-102000-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
351 PM EDT MON APR 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES TO THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE COLD
ENOUGH AND WINDS LIGHT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST ALLOW FROST TO
FORM. AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME AREAS WILL SEE A FREEZE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.