Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Advisories in 2012

River Flood Advisory 9, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

February 29, 2012Kalamazoo County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this river flood advisory at Feb 29, 2012, 10:56 AM EST for Kalamazoo County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 29, 2012, 10:56 AM EST (15:56 UTC)
Expired
Mar 3, 2012, 9:39 PM EST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

County Kalamazoo County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Portage River near Vicksburg (VCKM4).

Action stage
4.5 ft
Minor stage
5 ft
Moderate stage
7 ft
Major stage
8 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04097170, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

416 
WGUS83 KGRR 291556
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1056 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY

. ABOUT A HALF INCH OF RAIN FELL OVER MOST OF SOUTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. SOME RAIN AND SNOW WILL MOVE BACK IN
THIS EVENING...THEN CHANGE TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED 
AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC077-011756-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0009.120229T1556Z-120304T0000Z/
/VCKM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1056 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* THERE IS NO CURRENT OBSERVED DATA.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.2 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 

$$
MJK
6 follow-up statements
381 
WGUS83 KGRR 011554
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1054 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY

. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THIS AFTERNOON AND BRING MILD AND DRY
WEATHER. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY...BRINGING
RAIN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY
EVENING AS COLDER AIR WORKS IN. THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON
OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC077-021754-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-120302T1800Z/
/VCKM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1054 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 07 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 

$$

MIC067-021753-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0010.120301T1554Z-120308T1200Z/
/IONM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1054 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MARCH 08.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY SATURDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXPECT EXTENSIVE LOWLAND OVERFLOW TO OCCUR

$$
MJK
878 
WGUS83 KGRR 020127
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
827 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY

.ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE AROUND HALF AN
INCH BASIN AVERAGE. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE RIVER LEVELS ELEVATED.  
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR 
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC077-021800-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-120302T1800Z/
/VCKM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
827 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 07 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.0 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 

$$

MIC067-030326-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120308T1200Z/
/IONM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
827 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL THURSDAY MARCH 08.
* AT 07 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY SATURDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...HIGH WATER AFFECTS NORTH DRIVE ON IONIA 
  FAIRGROUNDS

$$
266 
WGUS83 KGRR 021536
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1036 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT JACKSON AFFECTING JACKSON COUNTY
  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY

. LOW PRESSURE OVER OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN AS
IT LIFTS NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN LATE TODAY. RAIN WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL CHANGE TO
SNOW TONIGHT. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES NORTH OF A LITTLE SABLE
POINT TO HARRISON LINE...WITH SNOW AMOUNTS TAPERING OFF TO THE SOUTH.
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC077-031736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-120305T0600Z/
/VCKM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1036 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 07 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 

$$

MIC075-031735-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0011.120302T1536Z-120308T1800Z/
/JACM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1036 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT JACKSON.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  RIVER BEGINS TO FLOW 
  INTO LOW LYING AREAS

$$

MIC067-031735-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120309T1200Z/
/IONM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1036 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MARCH 09.
* AT 09 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.1 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER SURROUNDS AUTOMOBILE BUILDING AT 
  IONIA FAIRGROUNDS

$$

MIC065-031735-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0012.120302T1536Z-120304T1200Z/
/HHTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1036 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CURRENT OBSERVED DATA.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 6.6 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE
  CREEK AND AT THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND SCOTT WOODS PARK

$$

MIC037-031735-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0013.120302T1536Z-120309T1130Z/
/MRPM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1036 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MARCH 09.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.3 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-031735-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0014.120302T1536Z-120309T1130Z/
/HSTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1036 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MARCH 09.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.7 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.9 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$
MJK
462 
WGUS83 KGRR 030250
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
950 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT JACKSON AFFECTING JACKSON COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY

.RAINFALL FROM EARLIER TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO HELP KEEP SOME RIVERS 
ELEVATED AND ABOVE BANKFULL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MINOR FLOODING
IS ANTICIPATED PARTICULARLY FOR LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THESE RIVERS. 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR 
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC077-040450-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-120305T0600Z/
/VCKM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
950 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 07 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.0 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 

$$

MIC075-040450-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120308T0600Z/
/JACM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
950 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT JACKSON
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 08 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  RIVER BEGINS TO FLOW 
  INTO LOW LYING AREAS

$$

MIC067-040450-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120309T1200Z/
/IONM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
950 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MARCH 09.
* AT 08 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.1 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER SURROUNDS AUTOMOBILE BUILDING AT 
  IONIA FAIRGROUNDS

$$

MIC065-040450-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-120304T1200Z/
/HHTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
950 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CURRENT OBSERVED DATA.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 6.6 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE
  CREEK AND AT THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND SCOTT WOODS PARK

$$

MIC037-040450-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-120309T1130Z/
/MRPM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
950 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL FRIDAY MARCH 09.
* AT 08 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.3 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-040450-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120309T1130Z/
/HSTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
950 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL FRIDAY MARCH 09.
* AT 09 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.9 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$
329 
WGUS83 KGRR 031539
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1039 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY
  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  LOOKING GLASS RIVER NEAR EAGLE AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY

. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH SNOW SHOWERS ON THE BACK 
SIDE OF AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTHEAST OF LAKE HURON. 
TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TO 
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WINDS. THE
FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC067-041739-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120310T1200Z/
/IONM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1039 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 10.
* AT 09 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 16.9 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXPECT EXTENSIVE LOWLAND OVERFLOW TO OCCUR

$$

MIC081-041738-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0015.120303T1539Z-120307T2330Z/
/LWLM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1039 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* THERE IS NO CURRENT OBSERVED DATA.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.4 FEET EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC065-041200-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-120304T1200Z/
/HHTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1039 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CURRENT OBSERVED DATA.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 6.2 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE
  CREEK AND AT THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND SCOTT WOODS PARK

$$

MIC037-041738-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0016.120303T1539Z-120305T0600Z/
/EAGM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1039 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE LOOKING GLASS RIVER NEAR EAGLE.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 09 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC037-041738-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-120310T1200Z/
/MRPM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1039 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 10.
* AT 08 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.5 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-041738-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120309T1800Z/
/HSTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1039 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.8 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC077-041738-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-120305T1800Z/
/VCKM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1039 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 07 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 4.9 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 

$$
MJK
303 
WGUS83 KGRR 040239
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
939 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  LOOKING GLASS RIVER NEAR EAGLE AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY

.THE CURRENT WEATHER IS DOMINATED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEHIND A
DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS WILL PRODUCE PRECIPITATION
TOTALS OF UNDER A TENTH OF AN INCH. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK IS FOR
QUIET WEATHER. THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND
FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

MIC067-050439-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120310T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
939 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 10.
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.1 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER SURROUNDS AUTOMOBILE BUILDING AT 
  IONIA FAIRGROUNDS

$$

MIC081-050438-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120308T1800Z/
/LWLM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
939 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* THERE IS NO CURRENT OBSERVED DATA.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.5 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC065-040309-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-120304T1200Z/
/HHTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
939 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT.
* THERE IS NO CURRENT OBSERVED DATA.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 5.9 FEET TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE
  CREEK AND AT THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND SCOTT WOODS PARK

$$

MIC037-040309-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-120305T0600Z/
/EAGM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
939 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LOOKING GLASS RIVER NEAR EAGLE.
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 4.0 FEET BY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC037-050438-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-120310T1800Z/
/MRPM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
939 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 10.
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.5 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-050438-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120309T1800Z/
/HSTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
939 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 09 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.9 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC077-040309-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-120305T1800Z/
/VCKM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
939 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG.
* AT 07 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 

$$

63

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Feb 29, 7:18 AM EST, 3 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 29, 7:18 AM EST, 3 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
718 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 700 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012
AFTER DROPPING A FEW INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TODAY WITH ONLY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE THIS AFTERNOON. COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN TONIGHT
WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS. AFTER A BREAK IN THE ACTION...ANOTHER STORM
WILL MOVE IN ON FRIDAY WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 718 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012
WILL DROP THE ADVISORY FOR ALL BUT THE NORTHERN ZONE AS CALLS TO
LOCAL DISPATCHES AND REPORTS FROM MEDIA INDICATE THAT ROADS ARE WET
AND ICING IS LIMITED TO ELEVATED SURFACES. HIGH GROUND OF THE
NORTHERN TIER HAS SEEN UP TO 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW WHICH HAS MIXED
WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

BACK EDGE OF THE STEADIER PRECIP IS LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA ATTM AS THE DRY SLOT MOVES IN. COUPLE OF RUMBLES OF
THUNDER WITH HAVE BEEN NOTED AND COULD SEE A FEW MORE AS THE AREA OF
HEAVIER PRECIP MOVES NORTH. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE EVEN UP
NORTH LATER THIS MORNING AS PRECIP TAPERS OFF AND TEMPS CLIMB ABOVE
FREEZING. REST OF PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS.

WE ARE EXPECTING THE TRIPLE POINT/SFC LOW TO MOVE ACROSS THE SRN
THIRD OF THE CWFA. THE MAIN IMPACT THIS WILL HAVE WILL BE ALLOWING
FOR TEMPERATURES TO LIKELY SURGE INTO THE 50S JUST SOUTH OF IT IN
THE WARM SECTOR. WE ALSO EXPECT A SHORT WINDOW OF CLEARING OF THE
LOW CLOUDS AS THE DRY SLOT MOVES OVERHEAD DOWN SOUTH.

THE ENTIRE AREA WILL SEE THICKER CLOUDS THEN MOVE IN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND COLD AIR
WITH THE MAIN LOW ROTATES ACROSS THE AREA. WE WILL SEE SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW ALSO MOVE IN. THE AIR WILL REMAIN
SUFFICIENTLY WARM ENOUGH UNTIL AROUND 03Z THAT ALL SHOWERS WILL
REMAIN RAIN. THAT WILL TRANSITION OVER TO SNOW FROM W TO E AFTER
03Z. WE COULD SEE A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW...ESPECIALLY UP
NORTH CLOSER TO THE LOW AND ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN UP NORTH.

THIS PCPN SHOULD MOVE OUT LATE WED NIGHT. SOME RESIDUAL FORCING
MAY BE LEFT IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE AS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE MOVES OUT. THIS COULD SET UP THE AREA FOR A CHC OF SOME
LIGHT DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE FOR A SHORT TIME TOWARD DAYBREAK
ON THU. THAT WILL MOVE OUT BY MID MORNING...AND ALLOW FOR A QUIET
DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 413 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012
MAIN EVENT IN THE EXTENDED IS A DEEPENING LOW MOVING ACROSS THE LP
OF MICHIGAN ON FRIDAY. 00Z RUNS OF ECMWF AND GFS ARE IN EXCELLENT
AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW. LOOKS LIKE RAIN
FRIDAY CHANGING TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY LIGHT ACCUMS IN THE
LAKE ENHANCED WRAP AROUND SNOW.

TWEAKED TEMPS DOWN A BIT OVER THE WEEKEND AS MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT ON MINUS 10 TO 15C AT 850 MB MOVING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
MODELS ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A CLIPPER MOVING THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...SO WENT ALONG WITH APX AND IWX IN
BUMPING UP POPS FOR SUNDAY. COULD BE SOME ACCUMS WITH THE CLIPPER
AND LAKE ENHANCEMENT IN WEST FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 718 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012
IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS MORNING AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PERSISTS
WITH DRIZZLE AND SCATTERED SHOWERS. COULD SEE IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR
AND PERHAPS VFR FROM AZT TO JXN AS DRIER AIRS MOVES IN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THEN MVFR EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN
WITH RAIN SHOWERS TURNING TO SNOW BY LATE EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 413 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

WE WILL HOLD ON TO THE GALE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE NEARSHORE AREA.
WINDS AT THE COASTAL SITES APPEAR TO NOT BE REACHING GALE
CRITERIA. CRITERIA IS LIKELY BEING MET OFFSHORE DUE TO THE ERLY
FLOW. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SOME TODAY AS A FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA. WINDS WILL PICK UP ONCE AGAIN BEHIND THE FRONT LATE TODAY.
GALES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT
BEFORE DIMINISHING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 413 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

RIVERS ALL REMAIN WITHIN THEIR BANKS THIS MORNING WITH NO FLOOD
HEADLINES OUT FOR NOW. RAINFALL/LIQUID EQUIVALENT SHOULD END UP
WITH UP TO HALF AN INCH. SOME CONTINGENCY FORECASTS BY THE RFC
INDICATE WE COULD START SEEING SOME RIVER POINTS GO ABOVE
ACTION/ADVISORY STAGE. THIS SEEMS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR AFTER THE
NEXT SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH ON FRIDAY WITH MORE RAINFALL LOOKING
LIKELY.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     MIZ038>040-045-046.

LM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR LMZ844>849.

&&

UPDATE...OSTUNO
SYNOPSIS...NJJ/OSTUNO
SHORT TERM...NJJ
LONG TERM....OSTUNO
AVIATION...OSTUNO
MARINE...NJJ
HYDROLOGY...NJJ
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 29, 7:33 AM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
733 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-011245-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
733 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOME ICY ROADS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE
10. SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS LATER TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SOME SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LMZ844>849-011245-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
733 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GALES AND HIGH WAVES WILL POSE A HAZARD TO ALL CRAFT ON LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OSTUNO

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 29, 7:54 AM EST, 3 hours 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
754 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

MIZ052-291415-
GRATIOT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALMA
754 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...MIXED PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN AND FREEZING
RAIN IN GRATIOT COUNTY THROUGH 9AM THIS MORNING. A QUICK INCH OR
TWO OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE AND A GLAZE OF ICE MAY OCCUR ON TOP
OF THIS SNOW IF PRECIPITATION CHANGES OVER TO FREEZING RAIN.

HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS GRATIOT
COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE LATE
THIS MORNING AS HEAVIER PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END AND
TEMPERATURES WARM TO ABOVE FREEZING.
Local storm report, Feb 29, 8:14 AM EST, 2 hours 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
814 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 AM     FREEZING RAIN    ADA                     42.95N 85.49W
02/29/2012  E0.00 INCH       KENT               MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            THIN GLAZE OF ICE ON MOST OBJECTS.

&&

MKALEMBK
Local storm report, Feb 29, 8:24 AM EST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
824 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0823 AM     SNOW             MOUNT PLEASANT          43.60N 84.77W
02/29/2012  E2.0 INCH        ISABELLA           MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CHANGED TO FREEZING RAIN AT 820 AM.

&&

MKALEMBK
Local storm report, Feb 29, 8:35 AM EST, 2 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
835 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     SNOW             DIGHTON                 44.09N 85.35W
02/29/2012  M4.5 INCH        OSCEOLA            MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL.

&&

MKALEMBK
Local storm report, Feb 29, 8:50 AM EST, 2 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
850 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 AM     SNOW             SCOTTVILLE              43.95N 86.28W
02/29/2012  M0.2 INCH        MASON              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

0849 AM     SNOW             IONIA                   42.98N 85.06W
02/29/2012  M0.1 INCH        IONIA              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            ICE/GLAZE

&&

MKALEMBK
Local storm report, Feb 29, 9:56 AM EST, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
956 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     FREEZING RAIN    ST. JOHNS               43.00N 84.56W
02/29/2012  E0.10 INCH       CLINTON            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ICE ACCUMULATION ON TREES AND SHRUBS. ROADS AND SIDEWALKS
            OK

0900 AM     SNOW             CLARE                   43.82N 84.76W
02/29/2012  M3.0 INCH        CLARE              MI   PUBLIC

            NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING.
            PRECIPITATION SWITCHED TO FREEZING RAIN AS OF 9 AM

&&

JK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 29, 4:17 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryGRR19 hr
Feb 29, 6:09 PM ESTWind AdvisoryGRRCalhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson, Kalamazoo, Van Buren2 hr

Nearby

River Flood Advisories in Michigan, 2012Every river flood advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.