Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Goodland, KS

751 
WWUS53 KGLD 210244
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
844 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

COC125-210300-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-120521T0300Z/
YUMA CO-
844 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL
YUMA COUNTY UNTIL 900 PM MDT...

AT 842 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR YUMA...AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT 840 PM MDT...A WIND GUST OF 54 MPH WAS REPORTED 2 
MILES WEST OF YUMA WITH THIS STORM. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF WESTERN YUMA COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4006 10253 4001 10280 4002 10280 4024 10280
      4027 10270
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 330DEG 20KT 4010 10268
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.50IN
$$

FOLTZ

595 
WWUS53 KGLD 210250
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
850 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

COC125-210300-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-120521T0300Z/
YUMA CO-
850 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL
YUMA COUNTY UNTIL 900 PM MDT...

AT 847 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR YUMA...AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF WESTERN YUMA COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4006 10253 4001 10280 4002 10280 4024 10280
      4027 10270
TIME...MOT...LOC 0250Z 330DEG 20KT 4007 10265
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.50IN
$$

FOLTZ

088 
WWUS53 KGLD 210253
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
853 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

COC125-210303-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-120521T0300Z/
YUMA CO-
853 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL YUMA COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 900 PM MDT/1000 PM CDT/...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR 
PROPERTY...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH 
THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4006 10253 4001 10280 4002 10280 4024 10280
      4027 10270
TIME...MOT...LOC 0253Z 330DEG 20KT 4006 10264
$$

FOLTZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
805 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 804 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

UPDATED FOR LONE THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPED OVER FAR NORTHEAST
COLORADO AND IS MOVING INTO THE FAR NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 524 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

SENT EVENING UPDATE TO DECREASE CLOUD COVER AND REMOVE MENTION OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVER COLORADO AS DIURNAL CONVECTIVE PUFS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS THE SUN SETS AND VERY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE
DISSIPATING AS THEY MOVE OVER THE EASTERN COLORADO PLAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

ONLY FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS IN THE
WESTERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. UPPER RIDGING WILL BE DOMINANT
ALOFT...BUT WITH STRONG SURFACE HEATING ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
COLORADO CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE REACHED. CUMULUS FIELD
ALREADY SHOWING UP ON VISIBLE SATELLITE THIS AFTERNOON IN
NORTHEAST COLORADO. 0-6KM MEAN WINDS ARE EAST AT AROUND 15KTS
SO ANYTHING THAT DEVELOPS COULD MAKE IT INTO THE WESTERN FORECAST
AREA BEFORE DISSIPATING WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING THIS EVENING.
THIS PATTERN IS REPEATED ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...BUT WITH A SUBTLE
EASTWARD SHIFT IN THE SURFACE INSTABILITY AXIS. INVERTED-V
SOUNDINGS BOTH DAYS SUGGEST GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY
THUNDERSTORM WHICH DEVELOPS.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

THE RIDGE MOVES EAST FROM THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS MONDAY
NIGHT/TUESDAY. THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST TUESDAY NIGHT WITH WESTERLY
FLOW OVER THE PLAINS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DRIFT EAST MONDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN
COLORADO TUESDAY AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLAN TO ADD SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO THE EASTERN COLORADO ZONES MONDAY
EVENING. THERE IS A BOUNDARY WEST OF THE FA AND THERE IS SOME WEAK
FORCING WITH CAPE OF AROUND 1000 J/KG SO CANNOT RULE OUT THE
POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE EASTERN COLORADO ZONES
DURING THE EVENING. PLAN TO REMOVE POPS TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO
LACK OF MOISTURE. SOUNDINGS INDICATE A VERY DRY LAYER BELOW 550MB.
SUBSIDENCE AND LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS NIL TUESDAY NIGHT.
THERE IS SOME FORCING NOTED NEAR A TROUGH IN EASTERN COLORADO
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON SO HAVE KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE/CHANCE POPS IN THE
NORTHWEST FA.

MIN TEMPERATURES WILL VARY FROM THE MID 50S MONDAY NIGHT TO THE
UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S TUESDAY NIGHT. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO
NEAR RECORD TUESDAY AND THEN COOL TO THE MID 80S WEDNESDAY.

FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS
THE CENTRAL THROUGH THIS PART OF THE FORECAST WITH A TROUGH OVER THE
NORTHWEST CONUS. THIS TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST FRIDAY WHILE ANOTHER
TROUGH DIGS SOUTH ALONG THE WEST COAST AND THEN LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES SATURDAY/SUNDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
EAST ACROSS KANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO THURSDAY AND THEN MOVE SOUTH INTO
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
NORTHWEST KANSAS FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DRIFT EAST SUNDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO EASTERN
COLORADO.

NUMEROUS SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING
AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EVERY DAY EXCEPT
FRIDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE OVER THE REGION. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE LOW/MID 80S TO THE UPPER 80S BY SUNDAY. MIN TEMPERATURES
WILL VARY FROM THE LOWER 50S IN EASTERN COLORADO TO THE MID 60S IN
THE EASTERN FA BY FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 524 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT MCK AND GLD WITH ONLY A
FEW CLOUDS AND SOUTH WINDS INCREASING AFTER 12Z MONDAY AS A
SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE FRONT RANGE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 228 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROP TO AROUND 15 PERCENT TUESDAY
AFTERNOON IN EASTERN COLORADO BUT WIND GUSTS ARE ONLY ABOUT 20
MPH. FURTHERMORE FUELS SHOULD BE AS GREEN AS THEY NORMALLY GET IN
SPRING ACROSS THE AREA. DO NOT SEE A NEED FOR ANY HIGHLIGHT
ESPECIALLY SINCE WINDS/RH ARE MARGINAL FOR ONLY A FEW HOURS AND
FUELS ARE GREEN.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ISSUED AT 228 PM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY MAY 22 INCLUDE

GOODLAND.....97 (1939)
HILL CITY....96 (2004)
MCCOOK.......97 (1964)
BURLINGTON...95 (1939)
YUMA.........95
TRIBUNE......100
COLBY........98

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...LOCKHART
SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...FS
AVIATION...LOCKHART
FIRE WEATHER...FS
CLIMATE...FS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
941 AM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-211215-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
941 AM MDT SUN MAY 20 2012 /1041 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE IN NORTHEAST COLORADO THIS
AFTERNOON. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY
THUNDERSTORM WHICH DEVELOPS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM BENKELMAN
NEBRASKA TO COLBY AND RUSSELL SPRINGS KANSAS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.