Severe Thunderstorm Warning 20, NWS Goodland, KS

003 
WWUS53 KGLD 030012
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
712 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2012

KSC065-030045-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0020.000000T0000Z-120503T0045Z/
GRAHAM KS-
712 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN GRAHAM
COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 707 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL 
UP...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 
8 MILES NORTHEAST OF WAKEENEY...AND WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT 701 PM, TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED 6 MILES 
NORTHWEST OF OGALLAH WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOGUE AND NICODEMUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 9961 3912 9972 3913 9994 3914 9995
      3952 9974 3951 9960 3914 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0010Z 215DEG 16KT 3910 9975
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 2.50IN
$$

LUNDQUIST

953 
WWUS53 KGLD 030028
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
628 PM MDT WED MAY 2 2012

KSC065-030045-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0020.000000T0000Z-120503T0045Z/
GRAHAM KS-
728 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN GRAHAM
COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 726 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO
TENNIS BALL SIZE...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF PALCO...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF BOGUE...AND
WAS MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

AT 720 PM SPOTTERS REPORTED 1 INCH HAIL 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILL 
CITY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOGUE AND NICODEMUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 9961 3912 9972 3913 9994 3914 9995
      3952 9974 3951 9960 3914 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 188DEG 22KT 3922 9974
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 2.50IN
$$

LUNDQUIST

665 
WWUS53 KGLD 030041
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
641 PM MDT WED MAY 2 2012

KSC065-030045-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0020.000000T0000Z-120503T0045Z/
GRAHAM KS-
741 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN GRAHAM
COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 735 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO
TENNIS BALL SIZE...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF BOGUE...AND WAS MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT 732 PM, 2 INCH DIAMETER HAIL WAS REPORTED 8 MILES 
SOUTHEAST OF HILL CITY WITH THIS STORM.

A NEW WARNING WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOGUE AND NICODEMUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 9961 3912 9972 3918 9993 3952 9974
      3951 9960 3914 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0040Z 188DEG 22KT 3930 9973
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 2.50IN
$$

LUNDQUIST

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
519 PM MDT WED MAY 2 2012

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 248 PM MDT WED MAY 2 2012

THROUGH TONIGHT...A SURFACE FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM CENTRAL
NEBRASKA TO SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS AND WAS SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. IN THE MID LEVELS THERE IS A PLUME OF
MOISTURE STREAMING ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS
FROM THE PACIFIC. A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS PROGRESSING ACROSS
WESTERN COLORADO AND WILL EMERGE INTO EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERN
NEBRASKA THIS EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF THE TROUGH AND ANOTHER
FRONT IN WESTERN NEBRASKA WILL PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY
NEBRASKA AND NORTHEASTERN COLORADO. THERE IS A CHANCE...ALBEIT NOT
GREAT...FOR A STORM OR TWO TO DEVELOP IN OUR FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES
IN COLORADO AND NEBRASKA. ANY STORM THAT DOES DEVELOP HAS THE
OPPORTUNITY TO BECOME SEVERE WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA. THE BULK OF THE
LIFT FROM THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL RESIDE TO OUR NORTH AND
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DIMINISH TOWARDS 09-12Z.

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRACK
ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE FORECAST AREA. BROAD FORCING
FOR ASCENT WILL BE WEAK BUT COULD BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. WITH GENERALLY WEAK SHEAR IN PLACE...NOT
ANTICIPATING WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER...SAMPLE OF
PROGGED VERTICAL SOUNDINGS FROM ACROSS THE AREA INDICATE THAT
STRONG WINDS COULD BE POSSIBLE CONVECTION IS ABLE TO DEVELOP.
THREAT FOR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN END BY AROUND
MIDNIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR PATCH FOG DEVELOPING LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 PM MDT WED MAY 2 2012

SHORTWAVE RIDGING AHEAD OF A BROAD WESTERN CONUS TROUGH WILL YIELD
DRY CONDITIONS AND MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ACROSS THE REGION BOTH
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WITH H85 TEMPS IN THE MID 20S C...WILL HAVE
NO PROBLEMS SEEING MAX TEMPS REACH THE MID TO UPPER 80S. LIKELY TO
SEE A FEW LOCATIONS TOUCH THE 90 DEGREE MARK ESPECIALLY FROM HILL
CITY TO TRIBUNE AND SOUTHEAST FROM THERE. DRY AIRMASS WILL RESIDE
OVER THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY AND TO A
LESSER EXTENT ON SATURDAY. WHILE RH VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL TO
LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 15
MPH SO NOT ANTICIPATING A NEED FOR A FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHT.

PATTERN BEGINS TO SHIFT SATURDAY NIGHT AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. BROAD SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT BEGINS TO
INCREASE SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS IMPACTS THE AREA. GIVEN UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TIMING OF
EACH SHORTWAVE TROUGH...POPS WILL BE CARRIED IN MOST EVERY PERIOD
IN THE EXTENDED WITH GREATER POPS PLACED WHERE CONFIDENCE IS
HIGHEST. WON'T BE A COMPLETE WASHOUT BUT DO ANTICIPATE A FEW
ROUNDS OF PRECIP IN THE EXTENDED. NEARLY PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER
WILL KEEP DAYTIME TEMPS AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FROM MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 505 PM MDT WED MAY 2 2012

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT KGLD AND KMCK FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT.
THIS WILL PROVIDE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.
TIMING IS DIFFICULT BUT IT APPEARS THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE AT KMCK
WHERE MOISTURE IS BETTER THAN AT KGLD. CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY
09Z THURSDAY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BAS/FOLTZ
LONG TERM...FOLTZ
AVIATION...FS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1025 AM MDT WED MAY 2 2012

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-031400-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1025 AM MDT WED MAY 2 2012 /1125 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST COLORADO AND NORTHWEST KANSAS MOVING EAST
ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 TONIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
KANSAS AND NEBRASKA BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM YUMA AND
BURLINGTON COLORADO TO TRIBUNE KANSAS.

AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.