Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2012
Red Flag Warning 5, NWS Grand Junction, CO
NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this red flag warning at Mar 30, 2012, 2:48 PM MDT for 11 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Mar 31, 2012, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 33 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 30, 2012, 2:48 PM MDT (20:48 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 31, 2012, 12:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Apr 1, 2012, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 33 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Junction, CO
Counties Delta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Garfield County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, San Miguel County, CO
The radar
The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2834 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 88 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 156 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
905 WWUS85 KGJT 302048 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 248 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING SATURDAY NOON TO MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR PARTS OF WESTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS... .A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COME ONSHORE ON SATURDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION...SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE YEAR TO DATE HELPING TO PRODUCE VERY DRY CONDITIONS. THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ESPECIALLY OVER SLOPES AND RIDGES...WITH POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. COZ201-293-UTZ428-442-302200- /O.CAN.KGJT.FW.A.0002.120331T1800Z-120401T0600Z/ ROUTT FORECAST AREA-GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA- SOUTHERN SLOPE UINTA MOUNTAINS-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS- 248 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 201...293... 428 AND 442... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS IS NOW NOT EXPECTED TO REACH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA OVER THE AREA. THEREFORE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-UTZ429-430-443-444-310900- /O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0002.120331T1800Z-120401T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0005.120331T1800Z-120401T0600Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-WESTERN UINTA BASIN- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- 248 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292...429... 430...443 AND 444...BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * AFFECTED AREA...BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL. IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 429 NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 430 WESTERN UINTA BASIN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 443 EASTERN UINTA BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 444 EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH LARGE RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND POSSIBLY BEYOND. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
8 follow-up statements
808 WWUS85 KGJT 310243 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 843 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT FOR PARTS OF WESTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS... .A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COME ONSHORE TOMORROW. AS IT DOES...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION...SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BE THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR FURTHER HELPING THE DRY CONDITIONS ALREADY IN PLACE. THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ESPECIALLY OVER SLOPES AND RIDGES WITH POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-UTZ429-430-443-444-311445- /O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0005.120331T1800Z-120401T0600Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-WESTERN UINTA BASIN- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- 843 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290... 292...429...430...443 AND 444...BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL... * AFFECTED AREAS: IN COLORADO... ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH... ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 429 NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 430 WESTERN UINTA BASIN ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 443 EASTERN UINTA BASIN ...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 444 EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH LARGE RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND POSSIBLY BEYOND. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
240 WWUS85 KGJT 311014 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 414 AM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT FOR MUCH OF WESTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS... .A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COME ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. AS IT DOES...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NEAR RECORD WARMTH THIS AFTERNOON WILL EXACERBATE THE DRY CONDITIONS ALREADY IN PLACE. THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ESPECIALLY OVER RIDGES AND NORTH SLOPES WITH POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AND HUMIDITIES MAY AGAIN DIP BELOW 15 PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY. COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-UTZ443-444-312215- /O.NEW.KGJT.FW.A.0003.120401T1500Z-120402T0300Z/ /O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0005.120331T1800Z-120401T0600Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- 414 AM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292...443 AND 444... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292...443 AND 444... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 443 EASTERN UINTA BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 444 EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU. * AFFECTED AREAS: * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH LARGE RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND POSSIBLY BEYOND. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ UTZ429-430-312215- /O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0005.120331T1800Z-120401T0600Z/ NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-WESTERN UINTA BASIN- 414 AM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 429 AND 430... * AFFECTED AREAS: * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...13 TO 18 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH LARGE RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND POSSIBLY BEYOND. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
300 WWUS85 KGJT 311653 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1053 AM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT NOON TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR MUCH OF WESTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS... .A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COME ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. AS IT DOES...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NEAR RECORD WARMTH THIS AFTERNOON WILL EXACERBATE THE DRY CONDITIONS ALREADY IN PLACE. THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ESPECIALLY OVER THE MID-SLOPES WITH POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING AND HUMIDITIES WILL AGAIN DIP BELOW 15 PERCENT. COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-UTZ443-444-010100- /O.CAN.KGJT.FW.A.0003.120401T1500Z-120402T0300Z/ /O.EXT.KGJT.FW.W.0005.120331T1800Z-120402T0300Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- 1053 AM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200... 202...203...207...290...292...443 AND 444... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203... 207...290...292...443 AND 444... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH AND UPGRADED IT TO A RED FLAG WARNING. * AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 443 EASTERN UINTA BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 444 EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ UTZ429-430-010100- /O.EXT.KGJT.FW.W.0005.120331T1800Z-120402T0300Z/ NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-WESTERN UINTA BASIN- 1053 AM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 429 AND 430... * AFFECTED AREAS...IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 429 NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU FORECAST AREA...FIRE ZONE 430 UINTA BASIN FORECAST AREA. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...13 TO 18 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH LARGE RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND POSSIBLY BEYOND. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
307 WWUS85 KGJT 311716 CCA RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1114 AM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT NOON TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR MUCH OF WESTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS... .A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COME ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. AS IT DOES...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NEAR RECORD WARMTH THIS AFTERNOON WILL EXACERBATE THE DRY CONDITIONS ALREADY IN PLACE. THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ESPECIALLY OVER THE MID-SLOPES WITH POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING AND HUMIDITIES WILL AGAIN DIP BELOW 15 PERCENT. COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-UTZ443-444-010130- /O.CAN.KGJT.FW.A.0003.120401T1500Z-120402T0300Z/ /O.COR.KGJT.FW.W.0005.120331T1800Z-120402T0300Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- 1114 AM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 CORRECTED TYPO IN IMPACT BULLET ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200... 202...203...207...290...292...443 AND 444... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203... 207...290...292...443 AND 444... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH AND UPGRADED IT TO A RED FLAG WARNING. * AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 443 EASTERN UINTA BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 444 EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ UTZ429-430-010130- /O.COR.KGJT.FW.W.0005.120331T1800Z-120402T0300Z/ NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-WESTERN UINTA BASIN- 1114 AM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 CORRECTED TYPO IN IMPACT BULLET ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 429 AND 430... * AFFECTED AREAS...IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 429 NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU FORECAST AREA...FIRE ZONE 430 UINTA BASIN FORECAST AREA. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...13 TO 18 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH LARGE RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND POSSIBLY BEYOND. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
470 WWUS85 KGJT 010042 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 642 PM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NOON TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR MUCH OF WESTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW SNOW LEVEL FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS... .A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS COME ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON AND AS A RESULT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND WILL CONTINUE INCREASING THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. FURTHERMORE...RECORD WARMTH HAS EXACERBATED THE DRY CONDITIONS ALREADY IN PLACE. THIS COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE EVENING HOURS AND EVEN PERSIST OVERNIGHT THOUGH SOME HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH NOON TOMORROW. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING AS HUMIDITIES ONCE AGAIN DIP BELOW 15 PERCENT TOMORROW. COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-UTZ429-430-443-444-011245- /O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120402T0300Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-WESTERN UINTA BASIN- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- 642 PM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS BELOW SNOW LEVEL FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292...443 AND 444... * AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 429 NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 430 WESTERN UINTA BASIN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 443 EASTERN UINTA BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 444 EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
961 WWUS85 KGJT 010913 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 313 AM MDT SUN APR 1 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF WESTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW SNOW LEVEL FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...AND DRY FUELS... .A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS WORKING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN TODAY AND WEAK NIGHTTIME VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL BREAK QUICKLY THIS MORNING. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. DRY CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY IN PLACE AND HUMIDITIES WILL FALL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. HUMIDITY WILL RISE SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-UTZ429-430-443-444-012115- /O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120402T0300Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-WESTERN UINTA BASIN- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- 313 AM MDT SUN APR 1 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS BELOW SNOW LEVEL FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292... 443 AND 444... * AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 429 NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 430 WESTERN UINTA BASIN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 443 EASTERN UINTA BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 444 EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...12 TO 18 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
359 WWUS85 KGJT 012104 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 304 PM MDT SUN APR 1 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF WESTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...AND DRY FUELS... .A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS WORKING ACROSS EASTERN UTAH THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS A COLD FRONT PASSES EARLY THIS EVENING. HUMIDITY WILL RISE SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-UTZ429-430-443-444-020300- /O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120402T0300Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-WESTERN UINTA BASIN- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- 304 PM MDT SUN APR 1 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292...429...430...443 AND 444... * AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 429 NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 430 WESTERN UINTA BASIN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 443 EASTERN UINTA BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 444 EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...11 TO 16 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EVEN SIMPLE AGRICULTURAL BURNS WILL RISK A LOSS OF CONTROL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
106 WWUS85 KGJT 020246 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 846 PM MDT SUN APR 1 2012 COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-UTZ429-430-443-444-020400- /O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120402T0300Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- NORTHWEST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-WESTERN UINTA BASIN- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- 846 PM MDT SUN APR 1 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292...429...430...443 AND 444... ONCE THE COLD FRONT PASSED THIS EVENING...HUMIDITIES CLIMBED ABOVE 15 PERCENT. THUS...THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 30, 10:50 AM MDT, 3 hours 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 10:50 AM MDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1050 AM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 340 AM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012
THESE ARE THE BENIGN PERIODS BEFORE WE COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
THE NEXT STORM. A PASSING WAVE OVERNIGHT BROUGHT NO OBSERVED
SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES WARM A FEW DEGREES TODAY AND REMAIN MILD
TONIGHT AS WEAK RIDGING AMPLIFIES OVER THE ROCKIES. TODAYS HIGH AND
TONIGHTS LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
700-600MB SW-W WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL BE FELT ON THE SLOPES AND
WILL MIX INTO SOME VALLEY LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO
BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE THICK AT TIMES.
.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 AM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012
FIRE WEATHER IS THE MAIN CONCERN AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. THE NAM AND GFS ARE TOGETHER ON SLOWING DOWN THE NEXT
PACIFIC SYSTEM AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. THIS WOULD
DELAY THE ONSET OF STRONGER WINDS AND SLOW DOWN THE SPREAD OF
PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST. SAT AND SAT NIGHT LOOK
MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY...WITH WINDS INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SAT EVENING APPEARS WILL BE THE PERIOD OF
STRONGEST PREFRONTAL WINDS. MOST LIKELY SURFACE WINDS WILL ONLY
BRIEFLY DECOUPLE FROM WINDS ALOFT SAT NIGHT...SO SAT NIGHT SHOULD
BE QUITE MILD...BREEZY AND DRY. HAVE KEPT THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
GOING WITH NO CHANGES. SEE THE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE
DETAILS.
FROPA SHOULD OCCUR SUNDAY MORNING OVER EASTERN UT AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN CO. TEMPS SHOULD DROP THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON WITH MAX TEMPS 10-15 DEGREES COOLER THAN ON SAT. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP SHOULD BEGIN LATE SUN AFTERNOON IN EASTERN
UT AND SUN EVENING ACROSS WESTERN CO. BOTH MODELS CLOSE THE 500 MB
LOW OVER NE NM AND THE TX PANHANDLE MONDAY. IF THIS COMES TRUE IT
APPEARS WRAP-AROUND CLOUDS AND PRECIP MAY AFFECT WESTERN CO THRU
MON EVENING.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE
AREA...WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND TEMPS WARMING BACK UP TO ABOVE
NORMAL BY THU AFTERNOON. THE NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH IS PROJECTED TO
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN THU AFTERNOON AND THEN PROGRESS
ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN AND THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THU NIGHT.
FRIDAY SHOULD SEE THE START OF ANOTHER DRY AND WARM STRETCH.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1041 AM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 340 AM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING DUE TO NEAR RECORD WARMTH...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST WINDS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL TIGHTEN AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM WILL WINDS ALOFT AND
AT THE SURFACE INCREASING SAT AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH SAT
EVENING. UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS IN TIMING THE ONSET OF STRONGER
SURFACE WINDS...BUT CRITICAL WINDS SPEEDS AND HUMIDITY ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BELOW SNOW LEVEL...WHERE DORMANT FUELS ARE
EXPOSED...ACROSS MOST OF WESTERN COLORADO. THUS THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH WILL CONTINUE.
&&
.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR COZ200>203-207-290-292-293.
UT...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR UTZ428>430-442>444.
&&
SHORT TERM...JOE
LONG TERM....CJC
AVIATION...TGJTHazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 3:44 AM MDT, 11 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 344 AM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012 COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-310945- LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN- ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS- UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR- CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS- CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN- WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS- UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE- NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER- FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN- SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT- LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES- 344 AM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR MOST OF WESTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS... THE NEXT STRONG STORM IS EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF THE STORM...AS GUSTY...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY. SUNDAY...EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE VALLEYS...WITH SNOW LOWERING TO VALLEY FLOORS SUNDAY NIGHT AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWFALL WILL IMPACT THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF COLORADO ON SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. TGJT
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2012Red Flag Warnings in Utah, 2012Every red flag warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.