Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2012
Red Flag Warning 17, NWS Grand Junction, CO
NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this red flag warning at May 24, 2012, 2:50 PM MDT for 14 counties in Colorado. It took effect at May 25, 2012, 10:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 35 hr. 18 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- May 24, 2012, 2:50 PM MDT (20:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 25, 2012, 10:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- May 26, 2012, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Junction, CO
Counties Delta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Garfield County, CO, Gunnison County, CO, Hinsdale County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, Routt County, CO, San Miguel County, CO
The radar
The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 1:18 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 48 | 1 S Meeker, CO | |
| May 25, 1:22 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 48 | 3 Nne Grand Junction, CO | |
| May 25, 1:25 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 48 | 3 E Rifle, CO | |
| May 25, 1:44 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 46 | 4 Sw Cortez, CO | |
| May 25, 2:05 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 45 | 1 Ese Craig, CO | |
| May 25, 3:15 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 50 | 3 Nne Grand Junction, CO | |
| May 25, 3:17 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 54 | 1 E Grand Junction, CO | |
| May 25, 4:24 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 53 | 3 E Rifle, CO | |
| May 25, 6:35 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 50 | 2 Ene Telluride, CO | |
| May 26, 10:14 AM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 86 | Douglas Pass, CO | |
| May 26, 10:24 AM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 76 | 12 N Dolores, CO | PEAK WIND GUST AT SALTER RAWS SITE |
| May 26, 3:01 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 57 | 5 Nw Mack, CO | |
| May 26, 3:22 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 61 | 5 Nw Mack, CO | |
| May 26, 4:11 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 1 S Grand Junction, CO | |
| May 26, 4:50 PM MDT | DUST STORM | Montrose, CO | VISIBILITY REDUCED TO QUARTER TO HALF MILE IN BLOWING DUST. |
| May 26, 4:55 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 73 | 2 Ene Telluride, CO | |
| May 26, 6:16 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 3 Nne Grand Junction, CO | |
| May 26, 7:30 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | 1 Wsw Cortez, CO | 2 SECTIONS OF 6 FOOT TALL CEDAR FENCE WITH TWO 8 FOOT LONG PANELS WERE BLOWN DOWN AND THREE FENCE POSTS HOLDING UP THE FENCE WERE SNAPPED OFF AT THE GROUND. TIME IS ESTIMATED AND WINDS ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH ACCORDING TO THE CORTEZ ASOS STATION. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 42 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -48 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1631 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 90 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -57 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 30 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
946 WWUS85 KGJT 242050 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 250 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012 ...STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL BRING WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MOST OF WESTERN COLORADO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY... .STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A PACIFIC STORM MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND THEN LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS IDAHO AND MONTANA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO LATER SATURDAY OR SATURDAY EVENING THOUGH THIS TIMING IS STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES...AND COMBINED WITH POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY COULD LEAD TO AT LEAST LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD WINDY CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY RETURN SATURDAY MORNING AND SHOULD BE STRONGER SATURDAY THAN ON FRIDAY. MARGINAL MOISTURE AND INCREASING CLOUDS OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO SATURDAY...HOWEVER... BRINGS INTO QUESTION WHETHER THE LOW HUMIDITY CRITERIA WILL BE MET THERE...AND IS THE REASON THAT THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WAS MAINTAINED SATURDAY FOR NORTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL COLORADO. COZ200-202-203-293-250900- /O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0017.120525T1600Z-120526T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KGJT.FW.A.0012.120526T0600Z-120527T0300Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA- 250 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT FRIDAY NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203 AND 293... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203 AND 293... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM FRIDAY UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT FRIDAY NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT LATE FRIDAY NIGHT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200...THE LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202...THE WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203...THE GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 293...THE GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA. * WINDS...SOUTH TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE VALLEYS FRIDAY NIGHT. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY RECOVERY POOR FRIDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED. SOME IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS ARE L LIKELY OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS...WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE MID-SLOPES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ COZ207-290-292-250900- /O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0012.120525T1800Z-120527T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0017.120525T1600Z-120527T0300Z/ DURANGO FORECAST AREA-PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA- NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- 250 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 207...290 AND 292... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207...THE DURANGO FORECAST AREA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290...THE PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA...AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292...THE NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA. * WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE VALLEYS FRIDAY NIGHT. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...7 TO 12 PERCENT. HUMIDITY WILL RISE SOME FRIDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS...BUT OVERALL HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE POOR FRIDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED. SOME IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS...BUT WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE MID-SLOPES. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ COZ201-250900- /O.EXT.KGJT.FW.A.0012.120526T0600Z-120527T0300Z/ ROUTT FORECAST AREA- 250 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201... * AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201 ROUTT FORECAST AREA. * WINDS...INCREASING TO SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED. MID-SLOPE THERMAL BELTS MAY BE THE AREAS MOST AFFECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE) JAD
6 follow-up statements
331
WWUS85 KGJT 251003
RFWGJT
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
403 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
...STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL BRING WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MOST OF WESTERN COLORADO TODAY AND
SATURDAY...
.STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND AGAIN
SATURDAY AS A PACIFIC STORM MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND THEN
LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS IDAHO AND MONTANA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO LATER SATURDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES AND COMBINED
WITH POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL LEAD TO AT LEAST LOCALIZED
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BEING MET TONIGHT.
WIDESPREAD WINDY CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY RETURN TOMORROW MORNING
AND SHOULD BE STRONGER THAN TODAY. THOUGH THERE IS SOME CONCERN
THAT HUMIDITIES WILL HOVER AROUND CRITICAL VALUES SATURDAY FOR
NORTHERN AREAS...THE STRONG SURFACE WINDS WILL MORE THAN MAKE UP
FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER GROWTH.
COZ200-202-203-293-252215-
/O.CAN.KGJT.FW.A.0012.120526T0600Z-120527T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KGJT.FW.W.0017.120525T1600Z-120527T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
403 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
MDT SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203 AND 293...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...
203 AND 293...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS CANCELLED THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH.
* AFFECTED AREA...
IN COLORADO...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA AND
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 293 GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA.
* WINDS...SOUTH TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH DURING THE
AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
MPH IN THE VALLEYS FRIDAY NIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN
SATURDAY FROM 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM 55 TO 65 MPH.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY
RECOVERY POOR FRIDAY NIGHT. 12 TO 16 PERCENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES
OF SPREAD EXPECTED. SOME IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS WHILE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY
SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE MID-SLOPES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD
PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.
&&
$$
COZ207-290-292-252215-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0017.120525T1600Z-120527T0300Z/
DURANGO FORECAST AREA-PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-
NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
403 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 207...290 AND 292...
* AFFECTED AREA...
IN COLORADO...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA AND
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA.
* WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH... DECREASING
TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE VALLEYS
FRIDAY NIGHT. SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 65 MPH ON SATURDAY.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...7 TO 12 PERCENT. HUMIDITY WILL RISE SOME
FRIDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS...BUT OVERALL HUMIDITY
RECOVERY WILL BE POOR FRIDAY NIGHT. 9 TO 14 PERCENT ON SATURDAY.
* IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES
OF SPREAD EXPECTED. SOME IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS BUT WIND AND LOW
HUMIDITY SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE MID-SLOPES. WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN AGAIN MID-MORNING TOMORROW.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD
PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.
&&
$$
COZ201-252215-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.A.0012.120526T0600Z-120527T0300Z/
ROUTT FORECAST AREA-
403 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201...
* AFFECTED AREA...
IN COLORADO...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201 ROUTT FORECAST AREA.
* WINDS...INCREASING TO SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55
MPH.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT.
* IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL
SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED. MID-SLOPE THERMAL
BELTS MAY BE THE AREAS MOST AFFECTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.
&&
$$
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)839
WWUS85 KGJT 252022
RFWGJT
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
222 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
...STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL BRING WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MOST OF WESTERN COLORADO THROUGH SATURDAY...
.STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE WIDESPREAD
THROUGH SATURDAY AS A PACIFIC STORM MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND
THEN LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS IDAHO INTO MONTANA. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO LATER SATURDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES AND
COMBINED WITH POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL LEAD TO AT LEAST
LOCALIZED RED FLAG CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY RETURN SATURDAY MORNING AND SHOULD BE
STRONGER THAN TODAY.
COZ201-261300-
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0012.120526T0600Z-120527T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KGJT.FW.W.0017.120526T1500Z-120527T0300Z/
ROUTT FORECAST AREA-
222 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
201...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
* AFFECTED AREA...
IN COLORADO...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201...THE ROUTT FORECAST AREA.
* WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...16 TO 21 PERCENT.
* IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL
SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD
PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.
&&
$$
COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-293-261300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120527T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
222 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
200...202...203 AND 293...
* AFFECTED AREA...
IN COLORADO...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200...THE LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202...THE WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203...THE GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207...THE DURANGO FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290...THE PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292...THE NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA...AND
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 293...THE GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA.
* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE VALLEYS TONIGHT BUT STRONGER GUSTS OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN AFTER 9 AM SATURDAY
MORNING..WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTS 55 TO 65
MPH BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOONS WITH
POOR RECOVERY TONIGHT.
* IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL
TODAY AND SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED.
SOME IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS IS LIKELY TONIGHT ESPECIALLY
IN THE VALLEYS WHILE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY SHOULD PERSIST
ACROSS THE MID-SLOPES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD
PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.
&&
$$
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
JAD326
WWUS85 KGJT 252104 CCA
RFWGJT
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
302 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
CORRECTED MISSING ZONE NUMBERS IN HEADLINE OF THE SECOND SEGMENT
...STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL BRING WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MOST OF WESTERN COLORADO THROUGH SATURDAY...
.STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE WIDESPREAD
THROUGH SATURDAY AS A PACIFIC STORM MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND
THEN LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS IDAHO INTO MONTANA. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO LATER SATURDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES AND
COMBINED WITH POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL LEAD TO AT LEAST
LOCALIZED RED FLAG CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY RETURN SATURDAY MORNING AND SHOULD BE
STRONGER THAN TODAY.
COZ201-261400-
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0012.120526T0600Z-120527T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KGJT.FW.W.0017.120526T1500Z-120527T0300Z/
ROUTT FORECAST AREA-
302 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
201...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
* AFFECTED AREA...
IN COLORADO...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201...THE ROUTT FORECAST AREA.
* WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...16 TO 21 PERCENT.
* IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL
SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD
PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.
&&
$$
COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-293-261400-
/O.COR.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120527T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
302 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
200...202...203...207...290...292...AND 293...
* AFFECTED AREA...
IN COLORADO...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200...THE LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202...THE WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203...THE GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207...THE DURANGO FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290...THE PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292...THE NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA...AND
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 293...THE GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA.
* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE VALLEYS TONIGHT BUT STRONGER GUSTS OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN AFTER 9 AM SATURDAY
MORNING..WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTS 55 TO 65
MPH BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOONS WITH
POOR RECOVERY TONIGHT.
* IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL
TODAY AND SATURDAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED.
SOME IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS IS LIKELY TONIGHT ESPECIALLY
IN THE VALLEYS WHILE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY SHOULD PERSIST
ACROSS THE MID-SLOPES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD
PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.
&&
$$
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
JAD094 WWUS85 KGJT 261108 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 508 AM MDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BRING WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MOST OF WESTERN COLORADO TODAY... .STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE WIDESPREAD TODAY AS A TIGHTLY WOUND PACIFIC STORM IN THE GREAT BASIN MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH AND INTO WESTERN WYOMING BY LATE THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING WHICH IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE SOME HIGH- BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-293-262315- /O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120527T0300Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA- 508 AM MDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292 AND 293... * AFFECTED AREA... IN COLORADO... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA...AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 293 GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA. * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP 60 MPH BELOW THE 8000 FOOT LEVEL AND UP TO 75 MPH ON EXPOSED RIDGES ABOVE 8000 FEET. OUTFLOW FROM ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS COULD LOCALLY INCREASE PEAK WIND GUSTS EVEN HIGHER. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL TODAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ COZ201-262315- /O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0017.120526T1500Z-120527T0300Z/ ROUTT FORECAST AREA- 508 AM MDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201... * AFFECTED AREA... IN COLORADO... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201...ROUTT FORECAST AREA. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH PEAK GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. OUTFLOW FROM ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS COULD LOCALLY INCREASE PEAK WIND GUSTS EVEN HIGHER. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL TODAY WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
590
WWUS85 KGJT 262114
RFWGJT
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
314 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2012
...STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL BRING WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MOST OF WESTERN COLORADO TODAY...
.WIDESPREAD STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EVENING AS A TIGHTLY WOUND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
MOVES INTO NORTHWEST UTAH. THIS LOW WILL TRACK TO EASTERN MONTANA
BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO THIS EVENING WHICH COULD GENERATE SOME
HIGH-BASED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN
TONIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-293-270300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120527T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
314 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2012
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292 AND 293...
* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA...
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA AND
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 293 GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA.
* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH
IN IN THE VALLEYS. WIND GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...11 TO 16 PERCENT.
* IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL
WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD
PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.
&&
$$
COZ201-270300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120527T0300Z/
ROUTT FORECAST AREA-
314 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2012
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 201...
* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201 ROUTT
FORECAST AREA.
* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
IN THE VALLEYS AND UP TO 75 MPH OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT BELOW 8500 FEET...AND
15 TO 20 PERCENT ABOVE 8500 FEET.
* IMPACTS...FIRE IGNITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL
WITH HIGH RATES OF SPREAD EXPECTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND AFFECTED FIELD
PERSONNEL OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.
&&
$$
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
JAD072 WWUS85 KGJT 270255 RFWGJT URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 855 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2012 COZ200-202-203-207-290-292-293-270400- /O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120527T0300Z/ LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA- GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA- PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA- GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA- 855 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290...292 AND 293... WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO DECREASE AND HUMIDITY IS SLOWLY RECOVERING SO WILL LET THE RED FLAG EXPIRE. $$ COZ201-270400- /O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120527T0300Z/ ROUTT FORECAST AREA- 855 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201... WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO DECREASE AND HUMIDITY IS SLOWLY RECOVERING SO WILL LET THE RED FLAG EXPIRE. $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT (ALL LOWER CASE)
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 24, 11:26 AM MDT, 3 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 24, 11:26 AM MDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1126 AM MDT THU MAY 24 2012
.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1125 AM MDT THU MAY 24 2012
RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND A WEAK WAVE MOVING INTO NORTHWEST COLORADO
IS KEEPING SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS SO HAVE
INCREASED POPS FOR REMAINDER OF LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS OVER THE NORTHEAST CWA. THIS WAVE WILL BE LIFTING NORTH AND
SUBSIDENCE SHOULD REDUCE THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS BUT INSTABILITY
AND OROGRAPHICS SHOULD KEEP AN ISOLATED THREAT IN ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. CONTINUE TO TWEAK TEMPERATURES A BIT DOWNWARD
UP NORTH AS WELL WITH EXPECTED CLOUD COVER. OTHERWISE FORECAST
LOOKS ON TRACK.
UPDATE ISSUED AT 848 AM MDT THU MAY 24 2012
MADE SOME TWEAKS TO THE TEMPERATURE TRENDS WITH CLOUDS AND LIGHT
PRECIPITATION HINDERING THE WARMUP OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH VALLEYS
AND PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS. JET STREAK WILL BE LIFTING
NORTHWARD AND THIS SHOULD HELP THIN OUT THE CLOUDS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CWA. THERE STILL SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS AROUND THE HIGHER
MOUNTAINS FROM CRESTED BUTTE AREA UP THROUGH STEAMBOAT SO ADJUSTED
POPS SLIGHTLY BUT STILL ON THE LOW END WITH MANY WEB CAMERAS
SHOWING THE SUN SHINING THROUGH. FOR THE MOST PART EXPECT THE
SHOWERS TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY BUT FAIRLY STEEP
LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
CWA. JET LIFTING THROUGH THIS AREA AND WEAK VORTICITY ADVECTION
SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY RE-DEVELOP SO WILL BE MONITORING THIS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT DRIER AIR ALSO WILL BE WORKING IN FROM
THE WEST.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 234 AM MDT THUR MAY 24 2012
RADAR IMAGERY AND SATELLITE CONTINUES TO SHOW STEADY FORMATION OF
CLOUDS AND SOME LGT PRECIP FROM THE GRAND VALLEY EWRD INTO
ASPEN...LEADVILLE AND BEYOND. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO STRONGER JET
STREAK THAT IS MOVING OVERHEAD ATTM. RUC/NAM12/HRRR DO A GOOD JOB
HIGHLIGHTING THIS FEATURE AND ALL SHOW IT MOVING OVER ERN PLAINS
SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK WITH PRECIP ENDING AND CLOUDS LIFTING AT
THAT TIME. SOME RESIDUAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE SO FORECAST HAS SOME
LGT SHOWERS DECREASING IN COVERAGE BY NOON. TODAY WILL BE AN IN-
BETWEEN DAY AS ONE SYSTEM MOVES OFF AND ANOTHER STARTS DROPPING
DOWN FROM PAC NW. AS FAR AS WE/RE CONCERNED...BRIEF ZONAL FLOW
SETS UP ALLOWING PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WITH MILD TEMPS THROUGHOUT
THE REGION.
TONIGHT...SW FLOW STRENGTHENS AS THE UPPER LOW DIGS INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. MODELS INDICATE SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTS OVER THE
REGION. THERE IS LITTLE FORCING BUT THE MODEL TREND IS TO PRODUCE
SOME SIGNIFICANT OROGRAPHIC PRECIP MAINLY OVER THE NORTH.
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE UPPER LOW DIGS INTO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA THEN LIFTS THROUGH NEVADA INTO IDAHO. 700MB SW WINDS
INCREASE TO 35-40 KTS ON FRIDAY THEN 40-50 KTS FRIDAY
NIGHT-SATURDAY. THESE REPRESENT POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD GUSTS THAT
COULD BE ENHANCED WITH SOME LINGERING MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND VIRGA
OR LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES. THE 00Z NAM WORKS THE
FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE
GFS SLOWER. MOISTURE CONTINUES TO LOOK LIMITED WITH THE FRONT.
.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 234 AM MDT THUR MAY 24 2012
DEEP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE MOVED TO ERN MT/WRN ND SUNDAY
AS OUR FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. THE GRADIENT RELAXES SOUTH OF
I-70 BUT REMAINS SOMEWHAT TIGHT NORTH SO SOME BREEZY WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED. RESIDUAL SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE WY BORDER
WHICH WILL ALSO AID IN BREEZY CONDITIONS AS H7 WINDS WILL BE ABLE
TO MIX DOWN TO THE SFC. HIGH TEMPS SUNDAY WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES
COOLER THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...A WELCOME REPRIEVE
AFTER THE UNUSUALLY WARM SPRING SO FAR.
BY SUNDAY NIGHT A TROF WILL BE APPROACHING THE PAC NW WHICH WILL
CAUSE A RIDGE TO FORM OVER MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THE
RIDGE WILL PERSIST THRU WED ALLOWING PLENTY OF SUN AND TEMPS TO
RUN NEAR NORMAL. DURING THIS TIME...THE AFOREMENTIONED TROF WILL
GET A LITTLE BETTER UPPER SUPPORT AND BECOME A CLOSED LOW WITH
ACCOMPANYING SFC FRONT THAT...BY WEDNESDAY...WILL BE JUST ENTERING
OUR CWA FROM THE NORTH. OF COURSE THE ECMWF HAS NO CLOSED LOW AND
ONLY A MINOR WAVE MOVING THRU THE NRN ROCKIES WITH BARELY ANY
PRECIP EXPECTED FOR OUR AREA. CURRENT FORECAST HAS NO PRECIP BUT
THIS MAY CHANGE OVER NEXT FEW MODEL RUNS.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM MDT THU MAY 24 2012
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT ALL TAF SITES INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. AN OCCASIONAL SHOWER WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS WITH BRIEF OBSCURATION AND MVFR CIGS
POSSIBLE. BREEZY AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS WILL
CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING THEN WILL TRANSITION TO TYPICAL
DRAINAGE WINDS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AT TAF SITES. A BRIEF SURGE
OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG A WARM FRONT MAY LEAD TO SOME SHOWER
ACTIVITY AND OBSCURATIONS OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE DRIER AIR WORKS IN BY LATE MORNING. LOW LEVEL
WIND SHEAR AND MECHANICAL TURBULENCE WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY ONWARDS
AS SOUTHWEST FLOW STRENGTHENS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 234 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2012
FIRE WEATHER WATCH ALLOWED TO CONTINUE FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE CURRENT
MODELS AND WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT EVALUATE THE VARIABLES. VERY
STRONG WINDS BOTH DAYS AND EVEN OVERNIGHT IN FAVORED LOCATIONS ARE A
GIVEN. BUT MARGINAL MOISTURE SEEMS TO LINGER OVER THE NORTHERN ZONES
BRINGING INTO QUESTION IF THE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW THE
CRITICAL 15 PERCENT THRESHOLD. ALSO THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE ON SATURDAY WILL OBVIOUSLY AFFECT AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES.
&&
.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR COZ200>203-207-290-292-293.
UT...NONE.
&&
UPDATE...15
SHORT TERM...TGR/JOE
LONG TERM...TGR
AVIATION...TB
FIRE WEATHER...JOEHazardous weather outlook, May 24, 5:36 AM MDT, 9 hours 14 minutes before
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
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 3:43 PM MDT | Wind Advisory | GJT | Delta, Dolores, Garfield, Gunnison, La Plata, Mesa and 7 more | 30 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2012Every red flag warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.