High Wind Watch 2, NWS Grand Junction, CO

Archuleta County, CO, Delta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Eagle County, CO, Garfield County, CO, Gunnison County, CO, Hinsdale County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, Pitkin County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, Routt County, CO, San Juan County, CO, San Miguel County, CO, Daggett County, UT, Grand County, UT, San Juan County, UT, Uintah County, UT

200 
WWUS75 KGJT 251016
NPWGJT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
416 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012

...STRONG...GUSTY WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO TODAY AND TOMORROW...

.STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND IMPACT THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE VALLEYS AND
EXCEEDING 60 MPH IN THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF THE MOUNTAINS. THE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGHER ON SATURDAY WITH VALLEYS GUSTS
REACHING 60 TO 70 MPH. IN THE MOUNTAINS...EXPOSED RIDGES AND
MOUNTAIN PASSES MAY HAVE GUSTS EXCEEDING 75 MPH.

WIND SUSTAINED AT 25 TO 40 MPH WILL COMMON FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
TAKE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. THE WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND PERSIST THROUGH THE ENTIRE
DAYS. IN ADDITION...BLOWING DUST WILL DROP VISIBILITIES FROM TIME
TO TIME TODAY AND TOMORROW.

THESE STRONG TO HIGH WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH SATURDAY EVENING
AFTER SUNSET.

COZ003-009-017-UTZ023-025-028-251830-
/O.UPG.KGJT.HW.A.0002.120526T1500Z-120527T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.HW.W.0003.120526T1600Z-120527T0400Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.WI.Y.0016.120525T1600Z-120526T0400Z/
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIO BLANCO...SKYWAY...RIDGWAY...
GLADE PARK...MANILA...DUTCH JOHN...MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
416 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SATURDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...WIND ADVISORY FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
  EVENING. HIGH WIND WARNING SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
  EVENING.

* WINDS... WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS MORNING
  WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ...ESPECIALLY ON SOUTH FACING
  SLOPES. BY THIS AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH
  RANGE WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER 60 MPH EXPECTED. THESE WINDS WILL BE
  STRONGER ON SATURDAY WITH PEAK WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 75 MPH.

* VISIBILITY...VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO A FEW MILES BY DUST 
  AND SAND LIFTED BY THE WIND. 

* IMPACTS...DRIVERS OF HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES AND MOTORCYCLES
  SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE DANGER OF THESE WINDS ESPECIALLY WHEN
  DRIVING ALONG NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADWAYS. ALSO...INDIVIDUALS
  PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS FOR STRONG
  WINDS TO OCCUR TODAY AND SATURDAY. HIKING...CAMPING...BIKING...
  BOATING AND OFF-ROAD ACTIVITIES WILL ALL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
  STRONG WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT A SIGNIFICANT WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY ILLNESSES... HEART
DISEASE...THE ELDERLY...AND CHILDREN ARE RECOMMENDED TO STAY
INDOORS AND AVOID PROLONGED OUTDOOR EXERCISE OR HEAVY EXERTION
DUE TO WIND-BLOWN DUST.

&&

$$

COZ001-002-006-007-011-020>022-UTZ022-024-027-029-251830-
/O.UPG.KGJT.HW.A.0002.120526T1500Z-120527T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.HW.W.0003.120526T1600Z-120527T0400Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.WI.Y.0016.120525T1600Z-120526T0400Z/
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-
DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA BASIN-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RANGELY...DINOSAUR...CRAIG...HAYDEN...
MEEKER...GRAND JUNCTION...FRUITA...PALISADE...RIFLE...SILT...
PARACHUTE...MESA...CEDAREDGE...DELTA...HOTCHKISS...MONTROSE...
GATEWAY...NUCLA...CORTEZ...DOVE CREEK...MANCOS...DURANGO...
BAYFIELD...IGNACIO...BLANDING...BLUFF...MEXICAN HAT...VERNAL...
JENSEN...BALLARD...FORT DUCHESNE...RANDLETT...MOAB...
CASTLE VALLEY...THOMPSON SPRINGS
416 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SATURDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...WIND ADVISORY THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING. HIGH
  WIND WARNING TOMORROW MORNING THROUGH EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PICK UP THIS MORNING WITH A FEW
  GUSTS OVER 40 MPH EXPECTED BY MID MORNING. BY THIS AFTERNOON...
  WINDS WILL BE IN THE 20 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER
  45 MPH EXPECTED. THESE WINDS WILL BE STRONGER ON SATURDAY WITH
  PEAK WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH.

* VISIBILITY...VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO A FEW MILES BY DUST 
  AND SAND LIFTED BY THE WIND. 

* IMPACTS...DRIVERS OF HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES AND MOTORCYCLES
  SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE DANGER OF THESE WINDS ESPECIALLY WHEN
  DRIVING ALONG NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADWAYS. ALSO...INDIVIDUALS
  PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS FOR STRONG
  WINDS TO OCCUR TODAY AND SATURDAY. HIKING... CAMPING...BIKING...
  BOATING AND OFF-ROAD ACTIVITIES MAY ALL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
  STRONG WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT A SIGNIFICANT WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY ILLNESSES... HEART
DISEASE...THE ELDERLY...AND CHILDREN ARE RECOMMENDED TO STAY
INDOORS AND AVOID PROLONGED OUTDOOR EXERCISE OR HEAVY EXERTION
DUE TO WIND-BLOWN DUST.

&&

$$

COZ005-008-014-023-251830-
/O.UPG.KGJT.HW.A.0002.120526T1500Z-120527T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.HW.W.0003.120526T1600Z-120527T0400Z/
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND VICINITY...
GLENWOOD SPRINGS...EAGLE...CARBONDALE...GUNNISON...CIMARRON...
PAGOSA SPRINGS AND VICINITY
416 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SATURDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MID-MORNING SATURDAY THROUGH
  EARLY EVENING.

* WINDS...ON SATURDAY...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH WILL BE 
  COMMON WITH PEAK WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 60 TO 70 MPH. 

* VISIBILITY...VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO A FEW MILES BY DUST 
  AND SAND LIFTED BY THE WIND. 

* IMPACTS...DRIVERS OF HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES AND MOTORCYCLES
  SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE DANGER OF THESE WINDS ESPECIALLY WHEN
  DRIVING ALONG NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADWAYS. ALSO...INDIVIDUALS
  PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS FOR STRONG
  WINDS TO OCCUR TODAY AND SATURDAY. HIKING...CAMPING...BIKING...
  BOATING AND OFF-ROAD ACTIVITIES MAY ALL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
  STRONG WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY ILLNESSES...HEART
DISEASE...THE ELDERLY...AND CHILDREN ARE RECOMMENDED TO STAY
INDOORS AND AVOID PROLONGED OUTDOOR EXERCISE OR HEAVY EXERTION
DUE TO WIND-BLOWN DUST.

&&

$$

COZ004-010-012-013-018-019-251830-
/O.UPG.KGJT.HW.A.0002.120526T1500Z-120527T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.HW.W.0003.120526T1600Z-120527T0400Z/
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS...ASPEN...VAIL...
SNOWMASS...CRESTED BUTTE...TAYLOR PARK...MARBLE...BUFORD...
TRAPPERS LAKE...OURAY...TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...SILVERTON...
RICO...HESPERUS
416 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SATURDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM SATURDAY MID MORNING THROUGH
  EARLY EVENING.

* WINDS...ON SATURDAY...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WILL BE 
  COMMON WITH PEAK WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 75 MPH. 

* VISIBILITY...VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO A FEW MILES BY DUST 
  AND SAND LIFTED BY THE WIND. 

* IMPACTS...DRIVERS OF HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES AND MOTORCYCLES
  SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE DANGER OF THESE WINDS ESPECIALLY WHEN
  DRIVING ALONG NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADWAYS.  ALSO...INDIVIDUALS
  PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS FOR STRONG
  WINDS TO OCCUR TODAY AND SATURDAY. HIKING...CAMPING...BIKING...
  BOATING AND OFF-ROAD ACTIVITIES MAY ALL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
  STRONG WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. 

PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY ILLNESSES...HEART
DISEASE...THE ELDERLY...AND CHILDREN ARE RECOMMENDED TO STAY
INDOORS AND AVOID PROLONGED OUTDOOR EXERCISE OR HEAVY EXERTION
DUE TO WIND-BLOWN DUST.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
348 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 348 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012

CONDITIONS FINALLY IMPROVING OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE JET CORE IS SHIFT NORTH. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE
ALSO MOST LIKELY BEGINNING TO RELAX SLIGHTLY AS THE MAIN TROF OVER
THE ROCKIES ON THE 12Z ANALYSIS SHIFTS EAST AND WARMER AIR MOVES
UNDER TEMPORARY ZONAL FLOW PATTERN. THE U/A ANALYSIS SHOWED THE NEXT
SYSTEM NEAR THE WESTERN CANADIAN AND US BORDER WITH THE STRONGEST
HGHT FALLS ALONG THE WEST COAST AND WATER VAPOR THIS AFTERNOON IS
SHOWING THIS SYSTEM DIGGING SOUTHWARD. THE FRONT THAT PUSHED THROUGH
YESTERDAY HAS BEEN STALLED OUT JUST SOUTH OF COLORADO BORDER BACK
INTO SOUTHERN NEVADA. GOES DERIVED IMAGERY IS SHOWING MOISTURE
POOLING SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY ACROSS ARIZONA.

TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW PROGRESSES ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO
THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN STRONG HEIGHT FALLS OVER OUR REGION LOOK TO
HELP INCREASE THE MID LEVEL WINDS AND THE FRONT SHOULD BEGIN A RAPID
ASCENT TO THE NORTH. MOISTURE TRANSPORT VECTORS ALSO SHOW THE
MOISTURE IN ARIZONA LIFTING NORTHWARD AS THE FLOW BACKS TO THE
SOUTHWEST OVER COLORADO...THIS MOISTURE SHOULD CATCH UP WITH THE
SURFACE FEATURE AND BE LIFTING INTO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN CWA.
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME LIGHT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERED
DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND HAVE KEPT THE SMALL POPS
GOING TOWARD SUNRISE. THESE SHOWERS AND STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT
SHOULD KEEP THINGS BETTER MIXED TONIGHT AND WITH DEVELOPING MID
LEVEL CLOUD DECK...TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE AROUND 5 TO 15 DEGREE
WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT. WITH THE STRONG WAA ALSO DO NOT EXPECT
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.

FRIDAY EXPECT THE WINDS ALOFT TO QUICKLY MIX OUT IN THE MORNING AND
THERE MAY BE BURST OF STRONGER WINDS BEFORE NOON. HOWEVER AS MIXING
INCREASES THROUGH THE DAY WINDS WILL SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE TO
INCREASE AND HAVE PLACED MUCH OF EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO
IN A WIND ADVISORY. BY LATE AFTERNOON DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE IN
CENTRAL UTAH WILL CREATE A TIGHTER LOW LEVEL GRADIENT AND SOME MID
LEVEL CAA ASSOCIATED WITH ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE PARENT LOW TO
THE WEST LOOKS TO DRIVE DOWN SOME OF THE STRONGEST GUSTS...IN THE 45
TO 55 MPH RANGE. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO ABOVE NORMAL AND DID
LEAN TOWARD THE WARMER GUIDANCE NUMBERS. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE
WAY OF CONVECTION AS A DRY PUNCH MOVES OVER WESTERN COLORADO.
HOWEVER THE EASTERN UTAH MOUNTAINS WILL BE CLOSER TO THE MAIN
SOUTHERLY JET CORE AND A FEW STRAY SHOWERS MAY BE ABLE TO DEVELOP.

MILD TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY NIGHT AS WINDS REMAIN
STRONG ALOFT AND THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SLOW TO
DECOUPLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MID ELEVATIONS. THIS WILL KEEP
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN PLACE AS WELL. THE MAIN JET CORE
LOOKS TO BE REFORMING ON THE DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW OVER
NEVADA SO THIS SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT THE STORM TO THE NORTHEAST BY
SUNRISE. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF
CENTRAL UTAH AND POISED TO MOVE THROUGH OR CWA LATER IN THE DAY.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 348 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012

UPPER LOW OVER THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN SATURDAY MORNING LIFTS TO THE
NORTHEAST ACROSS NW UT AND ID TO MONTANA BY SUNDAY MORNING.
PREFERRED THE SLIGHTLY SLOWER GFS/ECMWF MODELS. WIDESPREAD STRONG
WINDS WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY AS THE UPPER JET CORE SLIDES ACROSS
WESTERN CO DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPTED TO GO WITH A HIGH WIND
WATCH FOR AT LEAST THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MTNS SATURDAY BUT WILL
LET LATER SHIFTS TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AS WARNING CRITERIA MAY BE ONLY
ACROSS THE HIGHEST TERRAIN. WIND ADVISORIES LOOK LIKE A GOOD BET ON
SATURDAY THOUGH. COULD SEE FAIR AMOUNT OF WINDBLOWN DUST CARRIED
ALONG AS WELL. A COLD FRONT PUSHES CROSS LATE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...AND TIMING STILL SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN. LEANED TOWARD THE SLOWER GFS/ECMWF SOLUTIONS HERE AS WELL
AS THE MAIN TROUGH LIFTS WELL TO OUR NW. WITH SUCH DISCREPANCIES
BETWEEN THE MET AND MAV HIGH TEMP GUIDANCE FOR SAT...WENT WITH THE
BIAS CORRECTED CONSENSUS GUIDANCE.

COOLER TEMPS FOLLOW FOR SUNDAY WITH STILL SOME CHANCE OF SHOWERS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN MTNS. DRIER WESTERLY FLOW THEN EXPECTED
MONDAY-THURSDAY WITH WARMING TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 348 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT ALL TAF SITES INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. BREEZY AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY EVENING WINDS WILL DECREASE
BY MID EVENING THEN WILL TRANSITION TO SLIGHTLY ENHANCED DRAINAGE WINDS FOR
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AT TAF SITES. A BRIEF SURGE OF MID LEVEL
MOISTURE ALONG A WARM FRONT MAY LEAD TO SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY AND
OBSCURATIONS OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AFTER 06Z
THROUGH MID MORNING ON FRIDAY BEFORE DRIER AIR WORKS IN. LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY BY 15Z ON FRIDAY FOR MOST
LOCATIONS WITH LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AND MECHANICAL TURBULENCE
POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 348 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012

A DRAMATIC INCREASE IN THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
PRECEDE THE NEXT STORM. SHALLOW INVERSIONS SHOULD LET DAYTIME MIXING
RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING BY LATE MORNING ON FRIDAY...AND AS
EARLY AS MID-MORNING ON SATURDAY. IN FACT...WINDS ALOFT CONTINUE TO
STRENGTHEN FRI NIGHT AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND NOT FULLY DECOUPLE
ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES OF WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST CO. THIS
REMAINS THE MAIN CONCERN FRI NIGHT WHERE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL
REMAIN POOR IN THE THERMAL BELT AND THE REASON THE RED FLAG WARNING
WAS CONTINUED THROUGH FRI NIGHT FOR ZONES 207/290/292. GOING WITH A
SLOWER TIMING ON THE FRONT FOR SATURDAY SHOULD ALLOW FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES AGAIN ON SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH MODELS DO KEEP SOME HIGHER
DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE NORTH SATURDAY ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS.
STRENGTH OF THE WIND MAY OVERRIDE THE HUMIDITY...BUT WITH THIS
UNCERTAINTY AS WELL AS THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING OF THE
FRONT...DECIDED JUST TO KEEP THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN PLACE FOR
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY FOR NOW ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 10 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR COZ001>003-006-
     007-009-011-017-020>022.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
     COZ207-290-292.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT FRIDAY NIGHT
     FOR COZ200-202-203-293.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR COZ200>203-293.

UT...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 10 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR UTZ022>025-
     027>029.

&&

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...JAD
AVIATION...TB
FIRE WEATHER...JAD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
536 AM MDT THU MAY 24 2012

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-251145-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
536 AM MDT THU MAY 24 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOME MORNING CLOUDS AND LIGHT SHOWERS WILL END BY NOON. SUNNY
SKIES EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE AREA CAUSING
SURFACE WINDS TO REACH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND
ABOVE. WIND ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR MANY AREAS. WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE
AREA SUNDAY BRINGING A RETURN TO SUNNY...TRANQUIL WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
344 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-251300-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RANGELY...DINOSAUR...CRAIG...HAYDEN...
MEEKER...RIO BLANCO...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS...
STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND VICINITY...GRAND JUNCTION...FRUITA...
PALISADE...RIFLE...SILT...PARACHUTE...MESA...GLENWOOD SPRINGS...
EAGLE...CARBONDALE...SKYWAY...ASPEN...VAIL...SNOWMASS...
CEDAREDGE...DELTA...HOTCHKISS...MONTROSE...CRESTED BUTTE...
TAYLOR PARK...MARBLE...BUFORD...TRAPPERS LAKE...GUNNISON...
CIMARRON...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...
SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS...GATEWAY...NUCLA...CORTEZ...
DOVE CREEK...MANCOS...DURANGO...BAYFIELD...IGNACIO...
PAGOSA SPRINGS AND VICINITY...BLANDING...BLUFF...MEXICAN HAT...
MANILA...DUTCH JOHN...VERNAL...JENSEN...BALLARD...FORT DUCHESNE...
RANDLETT...MOAB...CASTLE VALLEY...THOMPSON SPRINGS...
MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
344 PM MDT THU MAY 24 2012

...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL CREATE A BLUSTERY HOLIDAY WEEKEND...

EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO WILL BEGIN TO FEEL THE EFFECTS
OF A ROBUST LATE SPRING STORM SYSTEM BEGINNING ON FRIDAY AND
PERSISTING THROUGH THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM
FEATURES A VERY POTENT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL CAUSE WINDS
TO INCREASE DRAMATICALLY OVER THE REGION AS IT DROPS INTO THE
GREAT BASIN TONIGHT AND THEN PROGRESSES TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
AND AREAS EAST BY SUNDAY. ALONG WITH THE WINDS...AN ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DROPPING HIGH
TEMPERATURES SIGNIFICANTLY FROM SATURDAY TO SUNDAY.

AS THE STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE GREAT BASIN OVERNIGHT...WINDS
WILL PICK UP OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATION AFTER MIDNIGHT AND REACH
THE LOWER VALLEYS BY MID MORNING ON FRIDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25
TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH GUSTS
REACHING UPWARDS OF 50 MPH IN THE VALLEYS AND OVER 60 MPH ABOVE
7500 FEET BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD TAPER OFF SOME DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP AGAIN ON SATURDAY
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES...THEN MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP DRAMATICALLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND HIGHS ON
SUNDAY COULD BE AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER IN MANY PLACES.
THOUGH COOLER MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE
REGION ON SUNDAY.

THOSE INDIVIDUALS PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THIS MEMORIAL DAY
WEEKEND SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS FOR STRONG WINDS TO OCCUR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. HIKING...CAMPING...BIKING...BOATING AND OFF-ROADING
ACTIVITIES MAY ALL BE AFFECTED BY THE STRONG WINDS. IN ADDITION...
BLOWING DUST WILL BE LIKELY ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO
AND MUCH OF EASTERN UTAH CAUSING VISIBILITIES TO DROP AT TIMES.
PLEASE KEEP AN EYE ON THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THIS
STORM APPROACHES THE AREA.