Alert archive / Nebraska / Wind Advisories in 2012
Wind Advisory 31, NWS Hastings, NE
NWS Hastings, NE issued this wind advisory at Nov 9, 2012, 3:53 PM CST for 6 counties in Kansas; 14 counties in Nebraska. It took effect at Nov 10, 2012, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 9, 2012, 3:53 PM CST (21:53 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 10, 2012, 12:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Nov 10, 2012, 6:00 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Hastings, NE
Counties Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Hall County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1017 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 131 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 169 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
688 WWUS73 KGID 092153 NPWGID URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 353 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 ...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO DEVELOP ON SATURDAY... .AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STRONG COLD FRONT...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. KSZ005>007-017>019-100600- /O.NEW.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO... PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT 353 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY. * TIMING...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THE MORNING ON SATURDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST SPEEDS EXPECTED DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. * WINDS...SUSTAINED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH. * IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
6 follow-up statements
846 WWUS73 KGID 100553 NPWGID URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1153 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 ...DENSE FOG EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183... ...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ON SATURDAY... .AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE IMPACTING PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183...THROUGH 6 AM. VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ON THE ORDER OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS ARE EXPECTED IN THIS FOG. STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. KSZ005-101400- /O.NEW.KGID.FG.Y.0011.121110T0553Z-121110T1200Z/ /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ PHILLIPS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PHILLIPSBURG 1153 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY. * VISIBILITY...FOG WILL RESTRICT THE VISIBILITY TO AROUND ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...THE FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. THE STRONG WINDS ON SATURDAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ NEZ039-040-046-060-061-072-073-082-083-101200- /O.NEW.KGID.FG.Y.0011.121110T0553Z-121110T1200Z/ VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN-DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...LOUP CITY...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY... ELWOOD...HOLDREGE...BEAVER CITY...ALMA 1153 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. * VISIBILITY...RESTRICTED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...THIS FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ KSZ006-007-017>019-101400- /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...PLAINVILLE... STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT 1153 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY. * TIMING...INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 PM SATURDAY. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH. * IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ BRYANT
385 WWUS73 KGID 100954 NPWGID URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183... ...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS... .AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE IMPACTING PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183...THROUGH 6 AM. VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ON THE ORDER OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS ARE EXPECTED IN THIS FOG. STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH...EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. NEZ060-061-072-073-082-083-101800- /O.EXA.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ /O.CON.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1200Z/ DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...ELWOOD... HOLDREGE...BEAVER CITY...ALMA 354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITY...FOG WILL RESTRICT THE VISIBILITY TO AROUND ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY. * IMPACTS...THE FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THIS MORNING AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. THE STRONG WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NEZ062-074>076-084>087-101800- /O.EXA.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ HALL-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND ISLAND...MINDEN...HASTINGS... CLAY CENTER...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD...SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON 354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 PM. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH. * IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ KSZ005-101800- /O.CON.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1200Z/ /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ PHILLIPS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PHILLIPSBURG 354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * VISIBILITY...FOG WILL RESTRICT THE VISIBILITY TO AROUND ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY. * IMPACTS...THE FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THIS MORNING AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. THE STRONG WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ NEZ039-040-046-101200- /O.CON.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1200Z/ VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...LOUP CITY 354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITY...RESTRICTED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...THIS FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ KSZ006-007-017>019-101800- /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...PLAINVILLE... STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT 354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 P. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH. * IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ BRYANT
995 WWUS73 KGID 101120 NPWGID URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183... ...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS... .AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE IMPACTING PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA THROUGH 9 AM...PRIMARILY WEST OF A LINE FROM GREELEY...TO LOUP CITY...TO ALMA. VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ON THE ORDER OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS ARE EXPECTED IN THIS FOG. STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH...EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. KSZ005-101900- /O.CAN.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1200Z/ /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ PHILLIPS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PHILLIPSBURG 520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * FOG HAS MOVED NORTH OF PHILLIPS COUNTY AND VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE COUNTY HAVE IMPROVED. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR PHILLIPS COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS A RESULT * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY. * IMPACTS...THE STRONG WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NEZ060-061-072-073-082-083-101900- /O.EXT.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1500Z/ /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...ELWOOD... HOLDREGE...BEAVER CITY...ALMA 520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * VISIBILITY...FOG WILL RESTRICT THE VISIBILITY TO AROUND ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS THROUGH 9 AM. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY. * IMPACTS...THE FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THIS MORNING AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. THE STRONG WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NEZ039-040-046-101500- /O.EXT.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1500Z/ VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...LOUP CITY 520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING... * VISIBILITY...RESTRICTED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...THIS FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ KSZ006-007-017>019-NEZ062-074>076-084>087-101900- /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-HALL-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY- FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...PLAINVILLE... STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...GRAND ISLAND...MINDEN...HASTINGS... CLAY CENTER...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD...SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON 520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 PM. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH. * IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ BRYANT
014 WWUS73 KGID 101511 NPWGID URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 911 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS... .STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH...EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. NEZ060-061-072-073-082-083-102315- /O.EXP.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1500Z/ /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...ELWOOD... HOLDREGE...BEAVER CITY...ALMA 911 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY. * IMPACTS...THE STRONG WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NEZ039-040-046-101615- /O.EXP.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1500Z/ VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...LOUP CITY 911 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...AND WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. $$ KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ062-074>076-084>087-102315- /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/ PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-HALL-KEARNEY-ADAMS- CLAY-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO... PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...GRAND ISLAND... MINDEN...HASTINGS...CLAY CENTER...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD... SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON 911 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 PM. * WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH. * IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ ROSSI
608 WWUS73 KGID 102029 NPWGID URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 229 PM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS... .STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ060>062-072>076-082>087-110000- /O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-121111T0000Z/ PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL- GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER- NUCKOLLS-THAYER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO... PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY... GRAND ISLAND...ELWOOD...HOLDREGE...MINDEN...HASTINGS... CLAY CENTER...BEAVER CITY...ALMA...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD... SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON 229 PM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * WINDS...SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...THE STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ ROSSI
205 WWUS73 KGID 102352 NPWGID URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 552 PM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ060>062-072>076-082>087-110100- /O.EXP.KGID.WI.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-121111T0000Z/ PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL- GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER- NUCKOLLS-THAYER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO... PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY... GRAND ISLAND...ELWOOD...HOLDREGE...MINDEN...HASTINGS... CLAY CENTER...BEAVER CITY...ALMA...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD... SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON 552 PM CST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. IT WILL REMAIN WINDY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT THE WIND WILL BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. THEREFORE...THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ WESELY
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 9, 11:26 AM CST, 4 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 9, 11:26 AM CST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1126 AM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 .AVIATION...18Z TAF. MAIN FORECAST CONCERN LIES WITH THE CONTINUING CLOUD COVER THIS AFTERNOON...AND INCREASING WINDS TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. BATCH OF LOW LEVEL STRATUS CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE TERMINAL AREA...AND EVEN WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING THE ERN/WRN EDGES STARTING TO ERODE...LOWERED CIG HEIGHTS SHOULD REMAIN FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER COUPLE OF HRS. ONCE THE STRATUS DOES ERODE...NOT EXPECTED CLOUD COVER TO CAUSE ANY OTHER ISSUES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. AM A LITTLE CONCERNED ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FOG LATER TONIGHT...MAINLY IN THE AREAS SEEING STRATUS TODAY AND WHERE WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER FOR A PERIOD AS A WARM FRONT BOUNDARY PUSHES NORTH...AND DECIDED TO INSERT A MVFR VISIBILITY MENTION. AFTER SUNRISE...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD...LOOKING TO ALREADY BE GUSTING NEAR 30 MPH BY 18Z. && PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 445 AM CST FRI NOV 9 2012/ SHORT TERM...THROUGH 12Z MONDAY. OVERNIGHT UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES LONG WAVE TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN AND EASTERN CONUS...AND A RIDGE PREVAILING OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW IS ALSO NOTED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS...WITH ANOTHER CLOSED MID LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CONUS. MID AND UPPER LEVEL JET ENERGY EXTENDS FROM CALIFORNIA...NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA...AND THEN SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND ON INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS. TROPOSPHERIC FLOW IS NOT OVERLY STRONG NEAR OUR AREA AS A RESULT...MAXING OUT AT AROUND 50KTS AT VARIOUS POINTS BETWEEN 500MB AND 200MB PER 00Z SOUNDING DATA FROM KLBF. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CLEARLY SHOWS THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOWS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN CONUS. INCREASING VALUES OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE ARE ALSO NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ADVECTING NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...INTO THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN RANGE AND PLAINS. SOME OF THIS MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS PROMOTING INCREASING MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE A STATIONARY BOUNDARY IS NOTED EXTENDING FROM WESTERN IOWA...SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHEASTERN KANSAS AND ON INTO SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO. THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD ACROSS OUR AREA REMAINS FROM THE NORTH AS A RESULT...BUT IS FAIRLY LIGHT AT AROUND 5KTS. IN ADDITION TO THE AFOREMENTIONED MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS BEGINNING TO WORK INTO THE REGION...SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A STRATUS DECK OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS...WITH THIS DECK MOVING SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 20KTS AND ALREADY INFILTRATING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA. GUIDANCE FROM THE NAM...RAP...AND OPERATIONAL GFS ALL SUGGEST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND SATURATION...PRIMARILY ALONG THE 290-295K SURFACES...WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE STRATUS OVER PORTIONS OF THE REGION THROUGH MIDDAY. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR SOUTH THIS STRATUS DECK WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR CWA. THE OPERATIONAL GFS REMAINS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING THE DECK ACROSS OUR ENTIRE CWA...WHILE THE NAM AND RAP BOTH SUGGEST THE NORTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA WILL BE THE ONLY LOCATIONS TO OBSERVE THIS STRATUS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE STRATUS DECK HAS SLOWED THROUGH THE PAST 2-3 HOURS AND IT NOW SEEMS UNLIKELY THIS STRATUS WILL MAKE IT TO OUR KANSAS COUNTIES BY 12Z...WHICH IS WHAT THE OPERATIONAL GFS SUGGESTS. GIVEN THIS...OPTED TO PLAY CLOSER TO NAM AND RAP GUIDANCE BY KEEPING THE FORECAST STRATUS PRIMARILY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. GUIDANCE FROM THE NAM AND RAP ALSO SUGGEST THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE TO OUR SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TODAY...THUS CARRYING THE PRIMARY AXIS OF ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE FARTHER NORTH WHICH SHOULD HELP CLEAR THE STRATUS FROM MUCH OF OUR CWA BY MIDDAY. ALTHOUGH THE INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MAY KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM MEETING THEIR FULL DIURNAL POTENTIAL TODAY...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH DIABATIC HEATING FOR 20-25 DEGREE TEMPERATURE RISES WHICH SHOULD PRESENT AFTERNOON HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 60S AND 70S...WITH THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING ACROSS OUR FAR NORTH WHERE THE STRATUS MAY KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S. THE BIG WEATHER STORY CONTINUES TO REVOLVE AROUND THE INCOMING SYSTEM FOR THIS WEEKEND. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE MID LEVEL LOW...CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS...WILL OPEN UP INTO A WAVE AND MOVE EAST INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...RESULTANT SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED TO COMMENCE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF NORTHEASTERN COLORADO OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS SURFACE LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO QUICKLY EJECT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS APPROACHES OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVE NORTHEAST...AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP ACROSS OUR AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. QPF FIELDS FROM THE NAM...OPERATIONAL GFS...EC AND SREF-MEAN ALL SUGGEST MID LEVEL THERMAL ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS...WORKING IN CONCERT WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE...WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LIFT FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION NEAR THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THIS CONVECTION WILL INITIALIZE IN THE VICINITY OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM FULLERTON...TO GRAND ISLAND...TO PHILLIPSBURG. INCREASED VALUES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE...ALONG WITH INCREASING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH THE APPROACH OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS...SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO PROVIDE 0-1MLCAPE VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 1000J/KG PER THE NAM AND OPERATIONAL GFS. IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL INSTABILITY...INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL JET ENERGY WILL ALSO LIKELY PROVIDE DEEP LAYER BULK SHEAR VALUES IN EXCESS 50KTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. ALSO...FORECAST PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS FROM ACROSS THE CWA...PER THE NAM...SUGGEST A VEERING LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILE FOR LOCATIONS STILL AHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE...WITH THE NAM ALSO SUGGESTING 0-1KM SRH WILL APPROACH 300M^2/S^2 ACROSS EAST/SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA. NOW...INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL LIKELY KEEP DIABATIC HEATING DOWN A TOUCH THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY WHICH WILL HELP SUSTAIN SOMETHING OF A CAPPING INVERSION...WHICH MEANS INITIAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT COULD BE IN THE FORM OF A FEW DISCRETE CELLS IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE. GIVEN THE VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER BULK SHEAR...SUPER CELL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE MORE THAN POSSIBLE AND GIVEN THIS...WILL CONTINUE OUTLOOKING LARGE HAIL IN THE HWO. ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE COULD THEN POTENTIALLY EVOLVE INTO A QLCS WITH STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AT THE SURFACE REMAINING VERY POSSIBLE. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND WORDING IN HWO AS WELL. FINALLY...GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AS INDICATED BY THE NAM...WILL ALSO GO AHEAD AND MENTION ISOLATED TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE INITIAL CONVECTION DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. STRONG WINDS WILL NOT ONLY BE A THREAT WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON SATURDAY...BUT STRONG SYNOPTIC WINDS WILL ALSO BE OBSERVED ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA SATURDAY. AS SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS CONTINUES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY...THE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GREATLY HEADING INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN ONE- HALF OF THE CWA. IN ADDITION...FORECAST PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS FROM ACROSS OUR CWA PER THE NAM AND OPERATIONAL GFS SUGGEST BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING TO BETWEEN 850MB AND 800MB WILL BE REALIZED...WHICH IS WHERE ~50KT WINDS WILL BE WAITING FOR TRANSPORT TO THE SURFACE. INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT BOTH MET AND MAV GUIDANCE SUGGEST PORTIONS OF OUR CWA WILL HIT WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA AT SOME POINT DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...WITH MAV GUIDANCE SUGGESTING OUR SOUTHWEST WILL HIT BETWEEN 18Z AND 21Z...AND THE NAM SUGGESTING OUR SOUTHEAST WILL HIT CLOSER TO 00Z. RATHER THAN BLANKET A MAJORITY OF OUR CWA WITH WIND ADVISORY WINDS...OPTED TO KEEP WINDS JUST UNDER WIND ADVISORY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA WITH THE HOPES THAT WE WILL BE ABLE TO FINE-TUNE THE WIND FORECAST AND INCREASE WINDS SOMEWHAT...INTO WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...FOR PORTIONS OF THE CWA ONCE THAT FORECAST BECOMES MORE CLEAR. WILL GO AHEAD AND CONTINUE TO CARRY STRONG SYNOPTIC WIND WORDING IN THE HWO FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG SYNOPTIC WINDS WILL NOT ONLY BE A THREAT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BUT WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AFTER THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE CLEAR THE AREA. INTENSE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE RISES POST-FROPA WILL PROMOTE YET ANOTHER INCREASE IN THE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE CWA 00Z-12Z SUNDAY...WITH GUIDANCE SUGGESTING ~20KT SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE REALIZED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. WILL GO AHEAD AND CONTINUE CARRYING STRONG SYNOPTIC WIND WORDING IN THE HWO FOR SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING AS A RESULT. WITH THE INFILTRATION OF A MUCH COLDER LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...FORECAST PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS FROM THE ACROSS THE CWA PER THE NAM...OPERATIONAL GFS AND EC ALL SUGGEST THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE WILL BECOME SUPPORTIVE FOR SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS ANY PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT ACROSS OUR CWA...THUS ANY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS OUR CWA SHOULD REMAIN UNDER AN INCH. LOCATIONS WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND NORTH OF I-80...WHICH IS WHERE THE LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BE FIRST TO INFILTRATE...SEEM MOST LIKELY TO OBSERVE THE MOST SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION. IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT A FEW FORECAST PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET NEAR THE TRI- CITIES AREA AS THE TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW BEGINS...BUT GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY AND BREVITY OF ANY SUCH POTENTIAL ACTIVITY...OPTED TO HOLD OFF FROM MENTIONING THIS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE TIME BEING. FINALLY...TEMPERATURES LOOK TO FALL OFF DRAMATICALLY POST-FROPA HEADING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WITH CONTINUED LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION AND LINGERING CLOUD COVER DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...ITS DOUBTFUL TEMPERATURES WILL GO MUCH OF ANYWHERE DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING THROUGH THE 30S DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. THE PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE RIDGE AND THE INTRODUCTION OF LOW LEVEL RETURN FLOW SHOULD THEN PRESENT A WARMING TREND TO FINISH OUT THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD. FIRE WEATHER...A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA BY LATE MORNING OR MIDDAY SATURDAY. ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BEGIN PUSHING INTO THE AREA SHORTLY AFTER FROPA...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD IN WHICH LOW LEVEL DRY AIR ADVECTION WILL OUTWEIGH THE COLD AIR ADVECTION...THUS ALLOWING LOW LEVEL RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO PLUMMET AS WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS LOCATIONS GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND SOUTH OF I-80 WILL OBSERVE THE LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...SOMEWHERE NEAR 25%. THESE LOW VALUES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WORKING IN CONCERT WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD...SUSTAINED WELL ABOVE 17KTS AND GUSTS WELL ABOVE 22KTS...WILL PROVIDE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WILL GO AHEAD AND PRESENT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER WORDING IN THE FWF AND HWO. LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE MAIN THEME: ANOMALOUS "MID-WINTER"LIKE COLD EASES WITH TEMPS REBOUNDING TO NORMAL AS FAVORABLE PATTERN DELIVERS ANOTHER PCPN EVENT NEXT THU NGT-FRI AND MORE IN THE OFFING AFTER THAT. HAZARDS: NONE FORESEEN ATTM. HOWEVER OUR CURRENT MIN RH IS FCST AROUND 25% NEXT WED. IF WINDS END UP BREEZIER THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED...CAN SEE THIS BEING A DAY OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. BIG PICTURE: BELIEVE OVERALL PATTERN CONTINUES TO SUGGEST MORE RAIN IN OUR FUTURE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND E OF HWY 281. THE NAO WILL TRANSITION TO ITS POSITIVE PHASE NEXT WEEK WITH THE PNA REMAINING NEGATIVE. THIS PHASE CONFIGURATION WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF AN ERN USA RIDGE/WRN USA TROF THRU MID-MONTH AND DELIVERS AT LEAST TWO MORE FORESEEABLE CHANCES FOR PCPN. OVERALL...TEMPS WILL AVERAGE NEAR NORMAL THRU NEXT THU. QPF: THE NEXT DECENT OPPORTUNITY CONTS TO BE OUTLOOKED FOR NEXT THU NGT-FRI /15TH-16TH/. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY ON HOW POTENT TO KEEP THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM. THE 00Z EC ENSEMBLE MEAN SHOWS SOME SPREAD AT THE BASE OF THE TROF. THIS HAS IMPLICATIONS FOR PCPN AMTS. IF THE UPPER SYSTEM REMAINS OPEN...IT WILL MOVE THRU FASTER WITH LESS OF AN OPPORTUNITY FOR PCPN. WE'RE HOPING IT REMAINS CLOSED AS WE STRUGGLE TO EVEN MAINTAIN NORMAL PCPN AMTS. ONCE THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS...WE GET ANOTHER QUIET INTERLUDE NEXT WEEKEND. THEN WE LOOK TO THE 19TH- 20TH FOR THE NEXT TROF AND RAIN POTENTIAL. THE DAILY DETAILS... MON: THE UPPER TROF/CORE OF THE COLDEST AIR DEPARTS INTO THE MS VALLEY...ALLOWING TEMPS TO EASE UPWARD. HIGH PRES AT THE SFC. AFTER A BONE-CHILLING START WITH MOST PLACES IN THE TEENS...A NICE BUT STILL CHILLY DAY. TUE: LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE RIDGE WITH STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE ERN USA. THIS HIGH REMAINS PARKED THERE THRU THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH A TENDENCY TO DRIFT TOWARD NEW ENGLAND. SUNNY. TEMPS RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL /NOW ONLY IN THE LOWER 50S/. WED: THE TRAILING END OF A WEAK COOL FRONT MOVES THRU LATE. THIS MAY END UP MORE OF A WINDSHIFT LINE. ALL QG FORCING/MSTR WILL BE FAR TO THE N. DRY WITH SEASONAL/NORMAL TEMPS. MORE BREEZY AS LEE LOW DEVELOPS OVER CO...INTENSIFYING THE GRADIENT. THU: NW FLOW/SHORTWAVE RIDGING AS PAC TROF MOVES INTO DESERT SW. INCREASING CLOUDS AND BREEZY. FRI: UPPER TROF EJECTS INTO SRN/CNTRL PLAINS. RAIN LOOKING PROBABLE AND MAY BEGIN THU NGT. GFS ENSEMBLE PCPN PROBABILITIES ARE HIGH WITH A 70% CHANCE FOR .10 IN 24 HRS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MORE. COOLER WITH TEMPS PROBABLY HELD DOWN IN THE 40S. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. KS...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 9, 7:20 AM CST, 8 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 720 AM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 101200- PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE- SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK- GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN- WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER- 720 AM CST FRI NOV 9 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM FULLERTON TO GRAND ISLAND IN NEBRASKA...TO PHILLIPSBURG IN KANSAS. HAIL AS BIG AS GOLF BALLS...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE. STRONG NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 25 TO 30 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS APPROACHING 45 MPH...ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BEAVER CITY TO FULLERTON...AS WELL AS LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WILL OBSERVE THE STRONGEST WINDS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. YET ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL BE OBSERVED ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA AFTER SUNSET SATURDAY NIGHT...AND LASTING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 20 TO 25 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH...ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. LOW VALUES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WORKING IN CONCERT WITH A STRONG SOUTHWEST WIND...WILL PRESENT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND SOUTH OF I-80. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS (ALL LOWERCASE)
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Nebraska, 2012Wind Advisories in Kansas, 2012Every wind advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.