Alert archive / Nebraska / Wind Advisories in 2012

Wind Advisory 31, NWS Hastings, NE

November 9, 20126 counties in Kansas; 14 counties in Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this wind advisory at Nov 9, 2012, 3:53 PM CST for 6 counties in Kansas; 14 counties in Nebraska. It took effect at Nov 10, 2012, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 9, 2012, 3:53 PM CST (21:53 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 10, 2012, 12:00 PM CST
Expired
Nov 10, 2012, 6:00 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE

Counties Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Hall County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-11-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-11-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 131 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1017 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

688 
WWUS73 KGID 092153
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
353 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012

...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO DEVELOP ON SATURDAY...

.AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STRONG COLD FRONT...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS ON SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED.

KSZ005>007-017>019-100600-
/O.NEW.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...
PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT
353 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THE MORNING ON
  SATURDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST SPEEDS EXPECTED DURING THE EARLY
  TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
  INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE
  NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
846 
WWUS73 KGID 100553
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1153 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012

...DENSE FOG EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY
183...

...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS ON SATURDAY...

.AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE IMPACTING PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...GENERALLY WEST OF
HIGHWAY 183...THROUGH 6 AM. VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ON THE ORDER
OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS ARE EXPECTED IN THIS FOG.

STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
SATURDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS
TO AROUND 45 MPH...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

KSZ005-101400-
/O.NEW.KGID.FG.Y.0011.121110T0553Z-121110T1200Z/
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PHILLIPSBURG
1153 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. A WIND
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY. 


* VISIBILITY...FOG WILL RESTRICT THE VISIBILITY TO AROUND ONE
  QUARTER MILE OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM.

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST DURING THE DAY
  SATURDAY...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45
  MPH BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM SATURDAY.

* IMPACTS...THE FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS
  TONIGHT AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. THE STRONG
  WINDS ON SATURDAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY
  ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

NEZ039-040-046-060-061-072-073-082-083-101200-
/O.NEW.KGID.FG.Y.0011.121110T0553Z-121110T1200Z/
VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN-DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...LOUP CITY...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...
ELWOOD...HOLDREGE...BEAVER CITY...ALMA
1153 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. 


* VISIBILITY...RESTRICTED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...THIS FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AS
  VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

KSZ006-007-017>019-101400-
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...PLAINVILLE...
STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT
1153 PM CST FRI NOV 9 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST
SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY.


* TIMING...INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY...WITH THE
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 PM SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH
  AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO 
  THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

BRYANT
385 
WWUS73 KGID 100954
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...DENSE FOG EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...GENERALLY WEST OF
HIGHWAY 183...

...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

.AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE IMPACTING PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...GENERALLY WEST OF
HIGHWAY 183...THROUGH 6 AM. VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ON THE ORDER
OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS ARE EXPECTED IN THIS FOG.

STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY
GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH...EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

NEZ060-061-072-073-082-083-101800-
/O.EXA.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1200Z/
DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...ELWOOD...
HOLDREGE...BEAVER CITY...ALMA
354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
EARLY THIS MORNING.

* VISIBILITY...FOG WILL RESTRICT THE VISIBILITY TO AROUND ONE
  QUARTER MILE OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM.

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH
  AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY.

* IMPACTS...THE FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THIS
  MORNING AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. THE STRONG
  WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY
  ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NEZ062-074>076-084>087-101800-
/O.EXA.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
HALL-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND ISLAND...MINDEN...HASTINGS...
CLAY CENTER...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD...SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON
354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 PM.

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 
  MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO 
  THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KSZ005-101800-
/O.CON.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1200Z/
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PHILLIPSBURG
354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

* VISIBILITY...FOG WILL RESTRICT THE VISIBILITY TO AROUND ONE
  QUARTER MILE OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM.

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH
  AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY.

* IMPACTS...THE FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THIS
  MORNING AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. THE STRONG
  WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY
  ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

NEZ039-040-046-101200-
/O.CON.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1200Z/
VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...LOUP CITY
354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

* VISIBILITY...RESTRICTED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...THIS FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AS 
  VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

KSZ006-007-017>019-101800-
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...PLAINVILLE...
STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT
354 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING. 

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 P.

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 
  MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO 
  THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

BRYANT
995 
WWUS73 KGID 101120
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...DENSE FOG EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA...GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183...

...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

.AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE IMPACTING PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA THROUGH 9 AM...PRIMARILY WEST OF A LINE FROM
GREELEY...TO LOUP CITY...TO ALMA. VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ON THE
ORDER OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS ARE EXPECTED IN THIS FOG.

STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO
AROUND 45 MPH...EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.

KSZ005-101900-
/O.CAN.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1200Z/
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PHILLIPSBURG
520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...


* FOG HAS MOVED NORTH OF PHILLIPS COUNTY AND VISIBILITIES ACROSS
  THE COUNTY HAVE IMPROVED. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR PHILLIPS
  COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS A RESULT

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH
  AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY.

* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING
  DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD
  BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NEZ060-061-072-073-082-083-101900-
/O.EXT.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1500Z/
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...ELWOOD...
HOLDREGE...BEAVER CITY...ALMA
520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...


* VISIBILITY...FOG WILL RESTRICT THE VISIBILITY TO AROUND ONE
  QUARTER MILE OR LESS THROUGH 9 AM.

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH
  AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY.

* IMPACTS...THE FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THIS
  MORNING AS VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. THE STRONG
  WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY
  ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NEZ039-040-046-101500-
/O.EXT.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1500Z/
VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...LOUP CITY
520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...


* VISIBILITY...RESTRICTED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...THIS FOG WILL CREATE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AS
  VISIBILITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

KSZ006-007-017>019-NEZ062-074>076-084>087-101900-
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-HALL-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-
FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...PLAINVILLE...
STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...GRAND ISLAND...MINDEN...HASTINGS...
CLAY CENTER...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD...SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON
520 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...


* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 PM.

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH
  AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY ARE
  NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

BRYANT
014 
WWUS73 KGID 101511
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
911 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

.STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS
TO AROUND 45 MPH...EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.

NEZ060-061-072-073-082-083-102315-
/O.EXP.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1500Z/
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS-HARLAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...ELWOOD...
HOLDREGE...BEAVER CITY...ALMA
911 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WIND ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 
  MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM 
  TODAY. 

* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WINDS LATER TODAY WILL ALSO MAKE DRIVING
  DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD
  BE SECURED SO THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NEZ039-040-046-101615-
/O.EXP.KGID.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121110T1500Z/
VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...LOUP CITY
911 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO...AND WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IS NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ062-074>076-084>087-102315-
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.121110T1800Z-121111T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-HALL-KEARNEY-ADAMS-
CLAY-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...
PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...GRAND ISLAND...
MINDEN...HASTINGS...CLAY CENTER...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD...
SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON
911 AM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED BETWEEN 12 PM AND 6 PM. 

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 
  MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO 
  THEY ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WIND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

ROSSI
608 
WWUS73 KGID 102029
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
229 PM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH THE
LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...

.STRONG SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY
GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ060>062-072>076-082>087-110000-
/O.CON.KGID.WI.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-121111T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-
NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...
PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...
GRAND ISLAND...ELWOOD...HOLDREGE...MINDEN...HASTINGS...
CLAY CENTER...BEAVER CITY...ALMA...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD...
SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON
229 PM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...GUSTING TO
  AROUND 45 MPH...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 6 PM CST THIS
  EVENING.

* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES...AND OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED SO THEY
  ARE NOT BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 TO
39 MPH OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

ROSSI
205 
WWUS73 KGID 102352
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
552 PM CST SAT NOV 10 2012


KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ060>062-072>076-082>087-110100-
/O.EXP.KGID.WI.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-121111T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-
NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO...
PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...BELOIT...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...
GRAND ISLAND...ELWOOD...HOLDREGE...MINDEN...HASTINGS...
CLAY CENTER...BEAVER CITY...ALMA...FRANKLIN...RED CLOUD...
SUPERIOR...NELSON...HEBRON
552 PM CST SAT NOV 10 2012

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

IT WILL REMAIN WINDY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT THE WIND
WILL BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. THEREFORE...THE WIND ADVISORY
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

WESELY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 9, 11:26 AM CST, 4 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 9, 11:26 AM CST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1126 AM CST FRI NOV 9 2012

.AVIATION...18Z TAF. MAIN FORECAST CONCERN LIES WITH THE
CONTINUING CLOUD COVER THIS AFTERNOON...AND INCREASING WINDS
TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. BATCH OF LOW LEVEL STRATUS CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE
TERMINAL AREA...AND EVEN WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING THE
ERN/WRN EDGES STARTING TO ERODE...LOWERED CIG HEIGHTS SHOULD
REMAIN FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER COUPLE OF HRS. ONCE THE STRATUS DOES
ERODE...NOT EXPECTED CLOUD COVER TO CAUSE ANY OTHER ISSUES THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD. AM A LITTLE CONCERNED ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
FOG LATER TONIGHT...MAINLY IN THE AREAS SEEING STRATUS TODAY AND
WHERE WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER FOR A PERIOD AS A WARM FRONT BOUNDARY
PUSHES NORTH...AND DECIDED TO INSERT A MVFR VISIBILITY MENTION.
AFTER SUNRISE...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH
THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD...LOOKING TO ALREADY BE GUSTING NEAR 30
MPH BY 18Z.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 445 AM CST FRI NOV 9 2012/

SHORT TERM...THROUGH 12Z MONDAY. OVERNIGHT UPPER AIR ANALYSIS
INDICATES LONG WAVE TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN AND EASTERN
CONUS...AND A RIDGE PREVAILING OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. A CLOSED
MID LEVEL LOW IS ALSO NOTED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS...WITH
ANOTHER CLOSED MID LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CONUS.
MID AND UPPER LEVEL JET ENERGY EXTENDS FROM CALIFORNIA...NORTHEAST
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA...AND THEN
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND ON INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CONUS. TROPOSPHERIC FLOW IS NOT OVERLY STRONG NEAR OUR AREA AS A
RESULT...MAXING OUT AT AROUND 50KTS AT VARIOUS POINTS BETWEEN
500MB AND 200MB PER 00Z SOUNDING DATA FROM KLBF. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY CLEARLY SHOWS THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOWS OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN CONUS. INCREASING VALUES OF MID
LEVEL MOISTURE ARE ALSO NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ADVECTING
NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...INTO THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN RANGE AND PLAINS. SOME OF THIS MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS
PROMOTING INCREASING MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER OVER PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE A STATIONARY BOUNDARY IS
NOTED EXTENDING FROM WESTERN IOWA...SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHEASTERN
KANSAS AND ON INTO SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO. THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD
ACROSS OUR AREA REMAINS FROM THE NORTH AS A RESULT...BUT IS FAIRLY
LIGHT AT AROUND 5KTS. IN ADDITION TO THE AFOREMENTIONED MID TO
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS BEGINNING TO WORK INTO THE REGION...SATELLITE
IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A STRATUS DECK OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN
PLAINS...WITH THIS DECK MOVING SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 20KTS AND
ALREADY INFILTRATING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

GUIDANCE FROM THE NAM...RAP...AND OPERATIONAL GFS ALL SUGGEST
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND SATURATION...PRIMARILY ALONG THE 290-295K
SURFACES...WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE STRATUS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
REGION THROUGH MIDDAY. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR
SOUTH THIS STRATUS DECK WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR CWA. THE OPERATIONAL
GFS REMAINS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING THE DECK ACROSS OUR
ENTIRE CWA...WHILE THE NAM AND RAP BOTH SUGGEST THE NORTHERN HALF
OF OUR CWA WILL BE THE ONLY LOCATIONS TO OBSERVE THIS STRATUS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE STRATUS DECK HAS SLOWED THROUGH
THE PAST 2-3 HOURS AND IT NOW SEEMS UNLIKELY THIS STRATUS WILL
MAKE IT TO OUR KANSAS COUNTIES BY 12Z...WHICH IS WHAT THE
OPERATIONAL GFS SUGGESTS. GIVEN THIS...OPTED TO PLAY CLOSER TO NAM
AND RAP GUIDANCE BY KEEPING THE FORECAST STRATUS PRIMARILY OVER
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. GUIDANCE FROM THE NAM AND RAP ALSO
SUGGEST THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE TO OUR SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WILL
LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TODAY...THUS CARRYING THE PRIMARY AXIS
OF ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE FARTHER NORTH WHICH SHOULD HELP CLEAR THE
STRATUS FROM MUCH OF OUR CWA BY MIDDAY. ALTHOUGH THE INCREASING
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MAY KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM MEETING THEIR
FULL DIURNAL POTENTIAL TODAY...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH DIABATIC
HEATING FOR 20-25 DEGREE TEMPERATURE RISES WHICH SHOULD PRESENT
AFTERNOON HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 60S AND 70S...WITH THE ONLY
EXCEPTION BEING ACROSS OUR FAR NORTH WHERE THE STRATUS MAY KEEP
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S.

THE BIG WEATHER STORY CONTINUES TO REVOLVE AROUND THE INCOMING
SYSTEM FOR THIS WEEKEND. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE MID
LEVEL LOW...CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS...WILL OPEN UP
INTO A WAVE AND MOVE EAST INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY. AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST...RESULTANT SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED TO COMMENCE OVER
THE HIGH PLAINS OF NORTHEASTERN COLORADO OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS
SURFACE LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO QUICKLY EJECT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS APPROACHES OUR AREA
FROM THE WEST. AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVE NORTHEAST...AN ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP ACROSS OUR AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

QPF FIELDS FROM THE NAM...OPERATIONAL GFS...EC AND SREF-MEAN ALL
SUGGEST MID LEVEL THERMAL ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH
AXIS...WORKING IN CONCERT WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE LOW
LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE...WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LIFT FOR
CONVECTIVE INITIATION NEAR THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THIS CONVECTION WILL INITIALIZE IN THE
VICINITY OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM FULLERTON...TO GRAND ISLAND...TO
PHILLIPSBURG. INCREASED VALUES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE
LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE...ALONG WITH INCREASING MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WITH THE APPROACH OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS...SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO PROVIDE 0-1MLCAPE VALUES ON THE ORDER OF
1000J/KG PER THE NAM AND OPERATIONAL GFS. IN ADDITION TO THE
POTENTIAL INSTABILITY...INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL JET ENERGY
WILL ALSO LIKELY PROVIDE DEEP LAYER BULK SHEAR VALUES IN EXCESS
50KTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. ALSO...FORECAST PROXIMITY
SOUNDINGS FROM ACROSS THE CWA...PER THE NAM...SUGGEST A VEERING
LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILE FOR LOCATIONS STILL AHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL
BAROCLINIC ZONE...WITH THE NAM ALSO SUGGESTING 0-1KM SRH WILL
APPROACH 300M^2/S^2 ACROSS EAST/SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA.
NOW...INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL LIKELY KEEP
DIABATIC HEATING DOWN A TOUCH THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY WHICH WILL
HELP SUSTAIN SOMETHING OF A CAPPING INVERSION...WHICH MEANS
INITIAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT COULD BE IN THE FORM OF A FEW
DISCRETE CELLS IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE.
GIVEN THE VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER BULK SHEAR...SUPER CELL
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE MORE THAN POSSIBLE AND GIVEN THIS...WILL
CONTINUE OUTLOOKING LARGE HAIL IN THE HWO. ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE COULD THEN POTENTIALLY
EVOLVE INTO A QLCS WITH STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AT THE SURFACE
REMAINING VERY POSSIBLE. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND WORDING IN HWO AS WELL. FINALLY...GIVEN THE LOW
LEVEL SHEAR AS INDICATED BY THE NAM...WILL ALSO GO AHEAD AND
MENTION ISOLATED TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
INITIAL CONVECTION DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

STRONG WINDS WILL NOT ONLY BE A THREAT WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON SATURDAY...BUT STRONG SYNOPTIC WINDS WILL
ALSO BE OBSERVED ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA SATURDAY. AS SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS CONTINUES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY...THE LOW
LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GREATLY HEADING
INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN ONE-
HALF OF THE CWA. IN ADDITION...FORECAST PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS FROM
ACROSS OUR CWA PER THE NAM AND OPERATIONAL GFS SUGGEST BOUNDARY
LAYER MIXING TO BETWEEN 850MB AND 800MB WILL BE REALIZED...WHICH
IS WHERE ~50KT WINDS WILL BE WAITING FOR TRANSPORT TO THE SURFACE.
INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT BOTH MET AND MAV GUIDANCE SUGGEST
PORTIONS OF OUR CWA WILL HIT WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA AT SOME POINT
DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...WITH MAV GUIDANCE SUGGESTING OUR
SOUTHWEST WILL HIT BETWEEN 18Z AND 21Z...AND THE NAM SUGGESTING
OUR SOUTHEAST WILL HIT CLOSER TO 00Z. RATHER THAN BLANKET A
MAJORITY OF OUR CWA WITH WIND ADVISORY WINDS...OPTED TO KEEP WINDS
JUST UNDER WIND ADVISORY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
WITH THE HOPES THAT WE WILL BE ABLE TO FINE-TUNE THE WIND FORECAST
AND INCREASE WINDS SOMEWHAT...INTO WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...FOR
PORTIONS OF THE CWA ONCE THAT FORECAST BECOMES MORE CLEAR. WILL GO
AHEAD AND CONTINUE TO CARRY STRONG SYNOPTIC WIND WORDING IN THE
HWO FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG SYNOPTIC WINDS WILL NOT ONLY BE
A THREAT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BUT WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AFTER THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC
ZONE CLEAR THE AREA. INTENSE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE RISES POST-FROPA
WILL PROMOTE YET ANOTHER INCREASE IN THE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE CWA 00Z-12Z SUNDAY...WITH GUIDANCE SUGGESTING
~20KT SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE REALIZED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
WILL GO AHEAD AND CONTINUE CARRYING STRONG SYNOPTIC WIND WORDING
IN THE HWO FOR SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING AS A RESULT.

WITH THE INFILTRATION OF A MUCH COLDER LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS...FORECAST PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS FROM THE ACROSS THE CWA PER
THE NAM...OPERATIONAL GFS AND EC ALL SUGGEST THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE
WILL BECOME SUPPORTIVE FOR SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS ANY
PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
LIGHT ACROSS OUR CWA...THUS ANY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS OUR
CWA SHOULD REMAIN UNDER AN INCH. LOCATIONS WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND
NORTH OF I-80...WHICH IS WHERE THE LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION
WILL BE FIRST TO INFILTRATE...SEEM MOST LIKELY TO OBSERVE THE MOST
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION. IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT A FEW FORECAST
PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET NEAR THE TRI-
CITIES AREA AS THE TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW BEGINS...BUT GIVEN
THE UNCERTAINTY AND BREVITY OF ANY SUCH POTENTIAL ACTIVITY...OPTED
TO HOLD OFF FROM MENTIONING THIS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE TIME
BEING.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES LOOK TO FALL OFF DRAMATICALLY POST-FROPA
HEADING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WITH CONTINUED LOW LEVEL COLD
AIR ADVECTION AND LINGERING CLOUD COVER DURING THE DAY
SUNDAY...ITS DOUBTFUL TEMPERATURES WILL GO MUCH OF ANYWHERE DURING
THE DAY SUNDAY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING THROUGH
THE 30S DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. THE PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE RIDGE
AND THE INTRODUCTION OF LOW LEVEL RETURN FLOW SHOULD THEN PRESENT
A WARMING TREND TO FINISH OUT THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD.

FIRE WEATHER...A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR
WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA BY LATE MORNING OR MIDDAY SATURDAY.
ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BEGIN PUSHING INTO THE
AREA SHORTLY AFTER FROPA...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD IN WHICH
LOW LEVEL DRY AIR ADVECTION WILL OUTWEIGH THE COLD AIR
ADVECTION...THUS ALLOWING LOW LEVEL RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO PLUMMET
AS WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS LOCATIONS GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND SOUTH OF I-80
WILL OBSERVE THE LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...SOMEWHERE NEAR
25%. THESE LOW VALUES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WORKING IN CONCERT
WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD...SUSTAINED WELL ABOVE 17KTS
AND GUSTS WELL ABOVE 22KTS...WILL PROVIDE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
DANGER SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WILL GO AHEAD AND PRESENT
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER WORDING IN THE FWF AND HWO.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE MAIN THEME: ANOMALOUS "MID-WINTER"LIKE COLD EASES WITH TEMPS
REBOUNDING TO NORMAL AS FAVORABLE PATTERN DELIVERS ANOTHER PCPN
EVENT NEXT THU NGT-FRI AND MORE IN THE OFFING AFTER THAT.

HAZARDS: NONE FORESEEN ATTM. HOWEVER OUR CURRENT MIN RH IS FCST
AROUND 25% NEXT WED. IF WINDS END UP BREEZIER THAN CURRENTLY
EXPECTED...CAN SEE THIS BEING A DAY OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER.

BIG PICTURE: BELIEVE OVERALL PATTERN CONTINUES TO SUGGEST MORE
RAIN IN OUR FUTURE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND E OF HWY 281. THE NAO
WILL TRANSITION TO ITS POSITIVE PHASE NEXT WEEK WITH THE PNA
REMAINING NEGATIVE. THIS PHASE CONFIGURATION WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
AN ERN USA RIDGE/WRN USA TROF THRU MID-MONTH AND DELIVERS AT LEAST
TWO MORE FORESEEABLE CHANCES FOR PCPN. OVERALL...TEMPS WILL
AVERAGE NEAR NORMAL THRU NEXT THU.

QPF: THE NEXT DECENT OPPORTUNITY CONTS TO BE OUTLOOKED FOR NEXT
THU NGT-FRI /15TH-16TH/. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY ON HOW POTENT TO KEEP THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM. THE 00Z
EC ENSEMBLE MEAN SHOWS SOME SPREAD AT THE BASE OF THE TROF. THIS
HAS IMPLICATIONS FOR PCPN AMTS. IF THE UPPER SYSTEM REMAINS
OPEN...IT WILL MOVE THRU FASTER WITH LESS OF AN OPPORTUNITY FOR
PCPN. WE'RE HOPING IT REMAINS CLOSED AS WE STRUGGLE TO EVEN
MAINTAIN NORMAL PCPN AMTS. ONCE THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS...WE GET
ANOTHER QUIET INTERLUDE NEXT WEEKEND. THEN WE LOOK TO THE 19TH-
20TH FOR THE NEXT TROF AND RAIN POTENTIAL.

THE DAILY DETAILS...

MON: THE UPPER TROF/CORE OF THE COLDEST AIR DEPARTS INTO THE MS
VALLEY...ALLOWING TEMPS TO EASE UPWARD. HIGH PRES AT THE SFC.
AFTER A BONE-CHILLING START WITH MOST PLACES IN THE TEENS...A NICE
BUT STILL CHILLY DAY.

TUE: LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE RIDGE WITH STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE
ERN USA. THIS HIGH REMAINS PARKED THERE THRU THE REST OF THE WEEK
WITH A TENDENCY TO DRIFT TOWARD NEW ENGLAND. SUNNY. TEMPS RETURN
TO NEAR NORMAL /NOW ONLY IN THE LOWER 50S/.

WED: THE TRAILING END OF A WEAK COOL FRONT MOVES THRU LATE. THIS
MAY END UP MORE OF A WINDSHIFT LINE. ALL QG FORCING/MSTR WILL BE
FAR TO THE N. DRY WITH SEASONAL/NORMAL TEMPS. MORE BREEZY AS LEE
LOW DEVELOPS OVER CO...INTENSIFYING THE GRADIENT.

THU: NW FLOW/SHORTWAVE RIDGING AS PAC TROF MOVES INTO DESERT SW.
INCREASING CLOUDS AND BREEZY.

FRI: UPPER TROF EJECTS INTO SRN/CNTRL PLAINS. RAIN LOOKING
PROBABLE AND MAY BEGIN THU NGT. GFS ENSEMBLE PCPN PROBABILITIES
ARE HIGH WITH A 70% CHANCE FOR .10 IN 24 HRS WITH POTENTIAL FOR
MORE.

COOLER WITH TEMPS PROBABLY HELD DOWN IN THE 40S.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 9, 7:20 AM CST, 8 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
720 AM CST FRI NOV 9 2012

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
101200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
720 AM CST FRI NOV 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
A LINE FROM FULLERTON TO GRAND ISLAND IN NEBRASKA...TO
PHILLIPSBURG IN KANSAS. HAIL AS BIG AS GOLF BALLS...THUNDERSTORM
WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE
POSSIBLE.

STRONG NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 25 TO
30 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS APPROACHING 45 MPH...ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST. LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA GENERALLY ALONG
AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BEAVER CITY TO FULLERTON...AS WELL AS
LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WILL OBSERVE THE STRONGEST
WINDS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

YET ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL BE
OBSERVED ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA AFTER SUNSET SATURDAY
NIGHT...AND LASTING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A SUSTAINED WIND OF
20 TO 25 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH...ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

LOW VALUES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WORKING IN CONCERT WITH A STRONG
SOUTHWEST WIND...WILL PRESENT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND SOUTH OF
I-80.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Nebraska, 2012Wind Advisories in Kansas, 2012Every wind advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.