Special Weather Statement, NWS Hastings, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
707 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

.UPDATE...THE HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS
TEMPERATURES HAVE DROPPED OFF FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD
FRONT AND WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 605 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012/

AVIATION...00Z TAF. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED IN THE
VCNTY OF KGRI EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON AND THE BRUNT OF THE
CONVECTION HAS SHIFTED WELL SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL..ALTHOUGH SOME
WEAKER SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS WERE STILL OCCURING NORTH OF
KGRI. WILL CONTINUE TO INCLUDE TSTM POTENTIAL FOR THE TERMINAL FOR
THE FIRST FEW HOURS OF THE TAF...WITH DRY CONDITIONS AFTER DARK.
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND COLD FRONT HAS PASSED KGRI AND WINDS WILL
REMAIN FROM A NORTHERLY DIRECTION.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY.

CURRENT RADAR SHOWS SHOWERS IN THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST
AREA BUT THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN LOCATION AND INTENSITY.
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT DRIFTING THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS ARE NOT STRONG ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
FRONT AND THE LOCATION IS SHOWING UP MAINLY ON RADAR FROM NEAR YORK
NEBRASKA TO PHILLIPSBURG KANSAS AT THIS TIME.

THE LOCATION OF THE FRONT WILL BE IMPORTANT AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT THE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE AREA WHERE DEW POINTS ARE POOLING THIS
AFTERNOON. THE TIMING FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. THE FRONT SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST/SOUTHEAST DURING THE EVENING AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE FORECAST
AREA DURING THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BY LATE
TONIGHT THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE COMING TO AN END IN THE
NORTHWEST. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS. A DEEP
INVERTED V SOUNDING WOULD INDICATE THAT THE MOST LIKELY EVENTS WOULD
BE GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS GOOD MUCAPE IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING OF AROUND
5000 J/KG...BUT THERE IS WEAK SHEAR.

THE FRONT SHOULD BE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY
THURSDAY MORNING AND SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTABLY COOLER ON THURSDAY WITH READINGS ONLY
IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE ON AND
OFF CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...BUT STILL COOLER THAN THE RECENT HEAT WAVE.

GENERALLY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. WITH THE
NORTHWEST FLOW THERE WILL BE SEVERAL MAINLY WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVES
THAT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THERE WILL BE ON AND OFF CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...BUT THERE WILL BE OTHER CHANCES AS WELL.
THERE WILL BE A WAVE THAT MOVES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
THAT IS A LITTLE STRONGER. THERE IS ALSO A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WITH A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL
WAVE. OTHERWISE THERE WILL JUST BE ON AND OFF CHANCES AND TIMING THE
INDIVIDUAL WAVES AS THEY COME THROUGH IS A CHALLENGE. ONE THING TO
NOTE IS THAT EVEN THOUGH THERE ARE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION MOST OF
THE TIME IS SHOULD BE VERY SPOTTY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN RECENTLY WITH READINGS MOSTLY IN
THE 90S. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CLIMB IN TEMPERATURES FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY THEN A BIT COOLER BEHIND THE NEXT COLD FRONT AGAIN.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
809 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
261200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
809 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH EARLY TONIGHT IN NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS.  SEVERE WEATHER IS NO LONGER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

BETWEEN FRIDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR MAINLY
NIGHTTIME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...WITH
ADDITIONAL STORM CHANCES ARRIVING DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THESE PERIODS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
646 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

KSZ019-260015-
MITCHELL KS-
646 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY
UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 645 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BARNARD...OR 20 MILES SOUTH OF BELOIT...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3931 9827 3937 9792 3922 9792 3921 9796
      3921 9823
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 237DEG 15KT 3918 9810

BRYANT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
712 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

KSZ019-260045-
MITCHELL KS-
712 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY
UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 708 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ASHERVILLE...OR 11 MILES
SOUTH OF BELOIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  SIMPSON...
  ASHERVILLE...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3921 9826 3924 9827 3936 9827 3948 9793
      3938 9792 3922 9792 3921 9796
TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 210DEG 23KT 3934 9802

BRYANT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
726 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0722 PM     TSTM WND GST     10 S BELOIT             39.32N 98.11W
07/25/2012  E55 MPH          MITCHELL           KS   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WIND GUSTS AT 50 TO 55 MPH.

&&

REED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
732 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0728 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NW SIMPSON            39.40N 97.95W
07/25/2012  E60 MPH          MITCHELL           KS   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. ROUND HAY BALE ROLLED ACROSS
            ROAD NEAR GREENWOOD CEMETARY.

&&

REED

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
847 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

KSZ006-260215-
SMITH KS-
847 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY UNTIL 915 PM
CDT...

AT 845 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ATHOL...OR 21 MILES EAST OF PHILLIPSBURG...
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  SMITH CENTER...
  BELLAIRE...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3988 9864 3964 9862 3965 9903 3983 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 268DEG 12KT 3974 9892