Severe Thunderstorm Warning 261, NWS Hastings, NE

475 
WWUS53 KGID 301844
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
144 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

KSC147-301900-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0261.000000T0000Z-120630T1900Z/
PHILLIPS KS-
144 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
PHILLIPS COUNTY UNTIL 200 PM CDT...

AT 143 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTH OF NAPONEE...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST
OF PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3981 9923 4000 9921 4000 9907 3976 9907
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 276DEG 13KT 3992 9914
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

CHESTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1240 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

.AVIATION...18Z KGRI TAF. WHILE VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR
THE TAF PERIOD...THERE REMAINS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
MAY AFFECT THE TAF SITE AND MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREATS. WHILE TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS A BIT UNCERTAIN...DECIDED TO GO
WITH A TEMPO GROUP MAINLY AFTER 0Z BASED ON MODEL TIME HEIGHTS.
OTHERWISE...LIGHT WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH WITH
SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 940 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012/

UPDATE...WENT AHEAD AND PULLED MENTION OF FOG FROM THE
FORECAST...AS VISIBILITIES IN SURFACE OBSERVATIONS HAVE BEGUN TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO PER RADAR IMAGERY SOME MID LEVEL
RETURNS HAVE BEGUN TO SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF FURNAS AND
GOSPER COUNTIES THIS MORNING. ADDED SLIGHT CHANCES FOR RAIN
SHOWERS ACROSS THE FAR WEST...ALTHOUGH NOT EXPECTING MUCH MORE
THAN A SPRINKLE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 646 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012/

UPDATE...11Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A STATIONARY SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NEAR KGLD...TO NEAR KHJH...TO JUST SOUTH
OF KLNK. A NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD AND SUFFICIENT POOLING
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOTED JUST NORTH/NORTHWEST OF THIS
BOUNDARY...WITH FOG NOW DEVELOPING ALONG AN AXIS WHICH EXTENDS
FROM WEST TO EAST SOUTH OF I-80 AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 6. MOST
LOCATIONS ARE EXPERIENCING VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS OF 2-5
MILES...BUT WITHIN THE PAST HOUR THREE SITES INCLUDING KHSI...KEAR
AND KHDE HAVE FALLEN 1/4SM OR LESS. WENT AHEAD AND UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO INCLUDE FOG MENTION SOUTH OF I-80 AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY
6 THROUGH 14Z. RAP ANALYSIS PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS FROM ACROSS CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF OUR CWA INDICATE THIS MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IS VERY
SHALLOW AND SHOULD MIX OUT QUICKLY ONCE DIABATIC HEATING
INTENSIFIES IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. GIVEN ALL THIS...WILL HOLD OFF
FROM ANY FOG HEADLINES FOR NOW...BUT DID INCLUDE RESTRICTED
VISIBILITIES IN THE HWO AND INTRODUCED A NOW-CAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HOT WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE TODAY...BUT THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. MAINLY
DRY WEATHER CAN THEN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE END
OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD MONDAY NIGHT.

TODAY...THERE WILL BE A SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED NEAR OR JUST
NORTH OF THE NEBRASKA KANSAS BORDER...WHICH WILL ACT AS A FOCUSING
MECHANISM FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...THERE WILL BE A WEAK SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. THE 00Z GFS...00Z ECMWF...AND 06Z NAM ALL INDICATE
THE POTENTIAL OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. INSTABILITY
WILL BE HIGH BUT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE MARGINAL. STEERING WINDS
ARE WEAK AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVERS WITH COVERAGE
SOMEWHAT ISOLATED. THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING IS FAIRLY LOW AT AROUND 20 PERCENT...BUT THIS APPEARS TO
STILL BE THE BEST SHOT OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEK AHEAD. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE GIVEN THE HIGH
INSTABILITY. HEAT INDEX VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL AGAIN NEAR BUT
REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CATEGORY.

SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...THE SFC FRONT LIFTS NORTH SUNDAY MORNING
TAKING PRECIPITATION CHANCES NORTH AND OUT OF OUR AREA BY LATE
SUNDAY MORNING. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE AND ACT TO PUMP
TEMPERATURES UP A FEW MORE DEGREES WITH SUNDAY EXPECTED TO BE
WARMER THAN SATURDAY...AND MONDAY SHOULD BE A BIT WARMER THAN
SUNDAY. HEAT INDEX VALUES ACROSS KANSAS ON MONDAY WILL BE RIGHT
NEAR THE 105 CRITERIA FOR ISSUING HEAT ADVISORIES.

LONG TERM...STARTING 12Z TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL
CONTINUE TO PROMOTE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF KINEMATIC FORCING DURING
THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD...THUS PRESENTING DRY CONDITIONS
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE LOW LEVEL AIRMASS
DURING THIS SAME TIME PERIOD SUGGESTS ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD...WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 90S TO LOW 100S AND OVERNIGHT LOW IN THE
70S.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1105 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
011615-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
1105 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY MORNING
ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM HEBRON...TO HASTINGS...TO NORTH
LOUP. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL AGAIN APPROACH 105 DEGREES ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LOCALIZED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
117 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

KSZ005-006-NEZ083-084-301900-
FRANKLIN NE-HARLAN NE-PHILLIPS KS-SMITH KS-
117 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HARLAN...
SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHEASTERN PHILLIPS AND NORTHWESTERN SMITH
COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM CDT...

AT 113 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WOODRUFF...OR 14 MILES NORTH
OF PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  KENSINGTON...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4004 9890 3973 9895 3986 9942 4006 9932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1817Z 276DEG 13KT 3995 9928

CHESTER