Special Weather Statement, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1152 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

.AVIATION...
BACK SIDE OF STORMS TIMES INTO METROPLEX TAF SITES RIGHT AT 06Z
AND WILL START THOSE TAFS OUT WITHOUT THUNDER. WACO WILL GET
WHATEVER HOLDS TOGETHER AROUND 07-08Z AND HAVE THAT INDICATED FORA
COUPLE OF HOURS. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TREND THE NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
CONVECTION INTO NORTH TEXAS...BUT WITH A WORKED OVER ATMOSPHERE
HERE I HAVE MY DOUBTS ABOUT THEM HOLDING TOGETHER. HAVE LEFT VCTS
12-15Z IN CASE THEY DO SURVIVE...AND THEN AFTER FROPA CONDITIONS
SHOULD BE VFR. 84

&&

.UPDATE...
WILL SEND A QUICK UPDATE OUT TO REMOVE TORNADO WATCH 324 AND ALSO
UPDATE CURRENT TEMPS/DEW POINTS AND WINDS BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS.

79

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012/
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FIRE UP ALONG A BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDED
FROM JUST SOUTH OF GAINESVILLE...TO JUST EAST OF DENTON...TO
SOUTH OF CANTON AT 2030Z. A DRY LINE IS CURRENTLY OVER WEST TEXAS
FROM ABOUT 50 MILES WEST OF A CHILDRESS TO 25 MILES EAST OF BIG
SPRING. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE STARTED TO FORM ALONG THE DRY LINE AND
THEY WILL MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH TEXAS LATER THIS
EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO FORM ACROSS OKLAHOMA
NEAR THE COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST TONIGHT...AND SHOULD BE NEAR A PARIS TO GOLDTHWAITE
LINE BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. THIS FRONT WILL THEN SWEEP THROUGH THE
SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER ACROSS
THE SOUTH THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT BEFORE ENDING. WE WILL SEE
COOLER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND
THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  71  86  61  83  66 /  60  30  10   5  10
WACO, TX              70  88  63  85  67 /  40  30  30   5   5
PARIS, TX             67  82  57  79  60 /  60  40  10   5  10
DENTON, TX            69  85  59  82  64 /  60  30  10   5  10
MCKINNEY, TX          68  85  58  80  62 /  60  30  10   5  10
DALLAS, TX            70  86  61  82  65 /  60  30  10   5  10
TERRELL, TX           69  85  60  82  62 /  60  30  10   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         69  85  62  83  64 /  40  30  30   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            70  88  64  85  68 /  30  30  30  10   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     68  85  58  84  65 /  60  30  10   5  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

 /

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1212 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 PM     HAIL             1 SSW MURPHY            33.01N  96.63W
05/31/2012  M0.75 INCH       COLLIN             TX   PUBLIC

            RELAYED VIA COCORAHS

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
111 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

TXZ134-146-310645-
ELLIS TX-NAVARRO TX-
111 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN ELLIS COUNTY
  NAVARRO COUNTY

AT 111 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES EAST OF ENNIS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ALMA...ANGUS...BARDWELL...
BARRY...BLOOMING GROVE...CORSICANA...DAWSON...ENNIS...FERRIS...
ITALY...KERENS...NAVARRO AND PALMER.

PENNY-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3180 9650 3182 9671 3206 9689 3206 9693
      3215 9701 3255 9669 3255 9653 3253 9650
      3244 9648 3241 9644 3235 9645 3230 9630
      3226 9628 3220 9617 3217 9618 3215 9610
      3209 9612 3208 9606 3203 9606
TIME...MOT...LOC 0611Z 295DEG 38KT 3232 9657

CAVANAUGH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
152 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

TXZ146-310715-
NAVARRO TX-
152 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NAVARRO COUNTY

AT 152 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CORSICANA...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ANGUS...KERENS AND NAVARRO.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3182 9646 3190 9670 3191 9669 3223 9624
      3200 9607
TIME...MOT...LOC 0652Z 302DEG 25KT 3197 9639