Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 87, NWS Fort Worth, TX

April 3, 2012Anderson County, Texas

NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 3, 2012, 8:14 PM CDT for Anderson County, Texas. It was in force for 61 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 3, 2012, 8:14 PM CDT (01:14 UTC)
Expired: Apr 3, 2012, 9:15 PM CDT
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Fort Worth, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Anderson County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 3, 8:19 PM CDT	HAIL 1	Palestine, TX	WEST SIDE OF PALESTINE

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 5 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 3, 12:08 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 192 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2361 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1056 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.1
Supercell composite: 7.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

528 
WUUS54 KFWD 040114
SVRFWD
TXC001-040215-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0087.120404T0114Z-120404T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
814 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ANDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 814 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS      
  LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF ELKHART...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO A STURDY SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3154 9563 3150 9573 3155 9576 3156 9572
      3162 9571 3165 9575 3160 9577 3181 9584
      3193 9580 3203 9544 3193 9542 3185 9544
      3183 9541 3174 9536 3174 9534 3167 9527
      3160 9526
TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 259DEG 19KT 3168 9561

$$


CAVANAUGH

2 follow-up statements

144 
WWUS54 KFWD 040155
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
855 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2012

TXC001-040215-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-120404T0215Z/
ANDERSON TX-
855 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN ANDERSON COUNTY...

AT 854 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ELKHART...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF ANDERSON COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR EASTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3154 9563 3150 9573 3155 9576 3156 9572
      3162 9571 3172 9561 3188 9558 3198 9547
      3193 9542 3185 9544 3183 9541 3174 9536
      3174 9534 3167 9527 3160 9526
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 263DEG 19KT 3169 9547

$$

780 
WWUS54 KFWD 040215
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
915 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2012

TXC001-040225-
/O.EXP.KFWD.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-120404T0215Z/
ANDERSON TX-
915 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ANDERSON COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 915 PM CDT...

AT 915 PM CDT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING
WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER SEVERE.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3154 9563 3150 9573 3155 9576 3156 9572
      3162 9571 3172 9561 3188 9558 3198 9547
      3193 9542 3185 9544 3183 9541 3174 9536
      3174 9534 3167 9527 3160 9526
TIME...MOT...LOC 0155Z 263DEG 19KT 3169 9546

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 3, 6:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 6:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
625 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2012

.AVIATION...
THE MAIN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST OF THE I 35
CORRIDOR AND AWAY FROM NORTH TEXAS TAF SITES. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
HAS SUBSEQUENTLY SHIFTED EAST OF THE MAIN AIRPORTS. WITH ELEVATED
SHOWERS AND STORMS REDEVELOPING AROUND MCLENNAN COUNTY...WILL MAINTAIN
-TSRA AT WACO THROUGH 02Z. VCSH SHOULD SUFFICE AT DALLAS COUNTY
TERMINALS AS THE CURRENT TRAJECTORY TAKES NEW DEVELOPMENT JUST
EAST OF DAL AND DFW. LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SHIFT
BACK TO THE WEST BEFORE MIDNIGHT...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT
OR JUST BELOW 10 KT.

VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS CLEARING SKIES OUT TO THE WEST AND WILL
TREND TOWARDS IMPROVING CIGS LATE THIS EVENING. THE MAIN FRONT IS
STILL JUST WEST OF FWD CWA AND SHOULD PUSH THROUGH THE AREA BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOW CLOUDS MAY BE AN ISSUE FOR A FEW HOURS
DURING THE EARLY MORNING BEFORE THE MAIN FRONTAL PASSAGE...SO WILL
INDICATE A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS FOR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN DOMINATE THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW
WITH WEST WINDS 15 KTS PREVAILING.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 244 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2012/
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL SHIFT EASTWARD SLOWLY BUT WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS STRONG VORT LOBE ROTATING AROUND
UPPER LOW STEEPENS LAPSE RATES OVER NORTH TEXAS. ANY STORMS THAT
FORM AHEAD OF THE LINE ARE ENCOUNTERING A MOIST AIRMASS WITH
STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR. THEY HAVE BEEN RAPIDLY TRANSITIONING INTO
SUPER CELL STORMS AND THUS THE TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING HOURS AS WELL. AS THE DRY LINE PUSHES EAST LATER
TODAY...CONVECTION SHOULD WEAKEN AND THEN SHUT OFF BY SUNRISE.

NORTH TEXAS SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS
RIDGING OCCURS ALOFT. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO DROP INTO
NORTH TEXAS AND STALL SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
I HAVE CONTINUED THE LOW POPS FOR THAT TIME FRAME. 84

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  57  77  56  77  58 /  10   5   5   0   0
WACO, TX              58  78  55  80  56 /  20   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             60  75  54  74  54 /  70  10  10   5   0
DENTON, TX            56  76  55  77  55 /  10   5   5   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          57  75  55  75  53 /  40   5   5   5   0
DALLAS, TX            58  77  57  78  58 /  20   5   5   0   0
TERRELL, TX           58  76  56  76  57 /  50   5   5   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         59  77  57  79  59 /  60   5   5   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            59  78  56  81  58 /  20   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     52  77  53  78  55 /  10   0   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

30/84

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 3, 2:29 PM CDT, 5 hours 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
229 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2012

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-041145-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
229 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE CONTINUING
ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF NORTH TEXAS. STRONG TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE WITH DISCRETE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR OUT
AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE OF STORMS. GREATEST THREAT FOR DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS WILL FROM BE ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO END FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY EAST OF A DECATUR...WEATHERFORD...
HAMILTON...AND LAMPASAS LINE THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE THREAT
OF VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW STRONG TORNADOES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 3, 7:30 PM CDT, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
730 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0107 PM     TORNADO          OAK LEAF                32.52N  96.85W
04/03/2012                   ELLIS              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTERS OBSERVE DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR OAK LEAF

Local storm report, Apr 3, 7:35 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
735 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0121 PM     TORNADO          EVERMAN                 32.63N  97.28W
04/03/2012                   TARRANT            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTERS OBSERVED TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR LANCASTER

Local storm report, Apr 3, 7:36 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
736 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0116 PM     TORNADO          LANCASTER               32.60N  96.75W
04/03/2012                   DALLAS             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTERS CONFIRM LARGE AND DANGEROUS TORNADO LOCATED
            NEAR LANCASTER

Local storm report, Apr 3, 8:04 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
804 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0202 PM     TORNADO          MESQUITE                32.77N  96.60W
04/03/2012                   DALLAS             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR MESQUITE RODEO STADIUM AREA

Local storm report, Apr 3, 8:09 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
809 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     HAIL             TUCKER                  31.68N  95.73W
04/03/2012  E1.50 INCH       ANDERSON           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

Local storm report, Apr 3, 8:11 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
811 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0752 PM     HAIL             LONG LAKE               31.65N  95.77W
04/03/2012  E1.00 INCH       ANDERSON           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 3, 7:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Henderson	26 min
Apr 3, 7:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Anderson, Freestone, Leon	49 min
Apr 3, 7:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Leon, Robertson	25 min
Apr 3, 8:07 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	FWD	Hunt	14 hr
Apr 4, 1:21 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	FWD	Bell, Bosque, Collin, Coryell, Dallas, Denton and 17 more	8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.