Severe Thunderstorm Warning 248, NWS Fort Worth, TX

148 
WWUS54 KFWD 090246
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
946 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

TXC119-223-277-090256-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-120809T0315Z/
DELTA TX-HOPKINS TX-LAMAR TX-
946 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LAMAR...NORTHEASTERN HOPKINS
AND EASTERN DELTA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 946 PM CDT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING
WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WERE STILL POSSIBLE 
FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3374 9547 3349 9530 3317 9531 3324 9569
      3371 9578 3380 9564
TIME...MOT...LOC 0246Z 325DEG 22KT 3340 9545

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
624 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

.AVIATION...
THE CONVECTIVE THREAT AROUND KACT IS OVER. WILL CARRY VFR
SKIES/CIGS THROUGH THIS FORECAST AT BOTH KACT AND FOR THE
METROPLEX AIRPORTS AS MID LEVEL CLOUDS BECOME SCATTERED LATER THIS
EVENING. VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE METROPLEX CURRENTLY SHOULD
BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY LATER THIS EVENING AND PREVAIL OVERNIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE METROPLEX SITES THURSDAY
MORNING AND STALL JUST SOUTH OF I-20 THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING. SOUTHERLY MORNING WINDS WILL VEER SOUTHWESTERLY
EARLY...BECOME NORTHWESTERLY BY MIDDAY THEN BECOME NORTHEASTERLY
THURSDAY EVENING.

WE ARE EXPECTING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE COLD
FRONT ON THURSDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CURRENT LOW POPS /20-30/ PRECLUDE US FROM INCLUDING TSRA AT THE
METROPLEX AIRPORTS...BUT IT COULD BE ADDED LATER IN THE 06 OR 12
UTC ISSUANCE. 75

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012/
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT DEVELOPED FROM MORNING CONVECTION OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN COUNTIES OF THE CWA. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND BEHIND THE BOUNDARY...STRETCHING ACROSS AN AREA FROM
ATHENS TO WACO TO GOLDTHWAITE. THIS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH A THREAT FOR DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS AND HAIL. ANOTHER FEATURE OF INTEREST NOTED ON
VISIBLE SATELLITE IS A POSSIBLE MCV LEFT OVER NORTHWEST TEXAS.
CONVECTION IS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ON THE WEST SIDE OF THIS FEATURE
NEAR VERNON TEXAS AND ADDITIONAL CONVECTION COULD DEVELOP OVER OUR
NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES. AS THIS FEATURE SLOWLY DRIFTS SOUTH THIS
EVENING...IT IS POSSIBLE NEW DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR OVERNIGHT NEAR
THE FEATURE.

A COLD FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY ENTERING NORTHERN KANSAS WILL
CONTINUE DOWN THE PLAINS AND REACH NORTH TEXAS TOMORROW MORNING.
THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR TOMORROW. THE
MODELS ARE NOT OVERLY AGGRESSIVE WITH PRECIPITATION TOMORROW BUT
THAT IS LIKELY DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING THE REGION. THIS DRIER AIR
IS NOTED ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
AND CAN BE SEEN ON CURRENT WATER VAPOR SATELLITE OVER WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. HOWEVER...WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY
LOW POPS TOMORROW IN THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE WITH THE HIGHEST POPS
ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE REGION ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

ON FRIDAY...THE FRONT WILL FINALLY MOVE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE REGION WITH DRY AIR CONTINUING TO FILTER IN. TEMPERATURES
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL NOT BE MUCH COOLER BUT OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
LIKELY BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER...ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY MORNING.
WITH DEWPOINTS SATURDAY MORNING IN THE MID 50S TO MID
60S...MORNING LOWS WILL VARY FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK OVER THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND AND WIDESPREAD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO
AROUND 103 DEGREES WILL PREVAIL. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL WARM AGAIN
ALSO. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED TO OUR WEST AND
THE REGION WILL ACTUALLY REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEST-
NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. UNDER THIS REGIME WE WILL HAVE
TO WATCH FOR MCS ACTIVITY DEVELOPING TO OUR NORTHWEST AND POSSIBLY
MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA DURING THE MORNING
HOURS. A FEW OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THIS COULD OCCUR
SUNDAY AND/OR MONDAY. HOWEVER... WILL KEEP THE EXTENDED FORECAST
DRY FOR NOW.

82/JLD/HINES

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  80 102  78  99  72 /  20  30  20  10   5
WACO, TX              77 102  77 101  73 /  30  20  20  20  10
PARIS, TX             76  99  73  96  69 /  20  30  20   5   5
DENTON, TX            78 102  75  99  69 /  20  30  20   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          77 101  75  98  68 /  20  30  20   5   5
DALLAS, TX            83 103  79  99  72 /  20  30  20  10   5
TERRELL, TX           77 101  76  99  70 /  30  30  20  10   5
CORSICANA, TX         78 101  76  99  72 /  30  30  20  10  10
TEMPLE, TX            75 100  76 100  73 /  40  20  20  20  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     75 102  74 100  70 /  30  30  20  10   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

75/

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
900 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-100200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
900 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF NORTH
TEXAS WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING EAST OF A GAINESVILLE TO CANTON
LINE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST
WINDS AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THURSDAY
WITH STORM CHANCES DECREASING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS...SOME HAIL AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED EAST OF A GAINESVILLE TO
CANTON BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
633 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

TXZ116-130-090000-
ERATH TX-PALO PINTO TX-
633 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN ERATH COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN PALO PINTO COUNTY

AT 633 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 19 MILES NORTH OF STEPHENVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AT
15 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GORDON...HUCKABAY AND MORGAN
MILL.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3267 9820 3266 9807 3261 9806 3261 9807
      3250 9807 3239 9801 3230 9847 3251 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 349DEG 12KT 3248 9822

CAVANAUGH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
648 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

TXZ117-118-131-133-090015-
HOOD TX-JOHNSON TX-TARRANT TX-PARKER TX-
648 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN HOOD COUNTY
  NORTHWESTERN JOHNSON COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN PARKER COUNTY
  SOUTHWESTERN TARRANT COUNTY

AT 649 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BENBROOK...STATIONARY.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ALEDO...BENBROOK AND GODLEY.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3270 9738 3252 9739 3237 9758 3259 9784
      3273 9757
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 180DEG 2KT 3257 9762

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
717 PM CDT WED AUG 08 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0713 PM     TSTM WND GST     9 S ALEDO               32.57N  97.60W
08/08/2012  E60 MPH          PARKER             TX   PUBLIC

            50 TO 60 MPH AND NICKEL HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC NEAR
            BEAR CREEK COMMUNITY CHURCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
721 PM CDT WED AUG 08 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             9 S ALEDO               32.57N  97.60W
08/08/2012  E1.00 INCH       PARKER             TX   PUBLIC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
807 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

TXZ095-090145-
LAMAR TX-
807 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  LAMAR COUNTY

AT 808 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES WEST OF HUGO...MOVING SOUTH AT 35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BLOSSOM...DEPORT AND PARIS.

PENNY-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM CONTINUES ON ITS PRESENT COURSE...A SEVERE WEATHER
WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3393 9555 3389 9554 3390 9551 3388 9549
      3387 9542 3388 9531 3349 9531 3347 9569
      3349 9578 3346 9585 3384 9585 3387 9581
      3385 9577 3390 9575 3389 9569 3394 9560
TIME...MOT...LOC 0108Z 339DEG 28KT 3391 9575

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
902 PM CDT WED AUG 08 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND DMG     10 WNW PARIS            33.71N  95.69W
08/08/2012                   LAMAR              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY