River Flood Warning 3, NWS Fort Worth, TX

449 
WGUS84 KFWD 110145
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
745 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREA IN TEXAS...
 
  COWLEECH FORK OF THE SABINE AT GREENVILLE AFFECTING HUNT COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 
CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. 

&&

TXC231-111345-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120111T1655Z/
/GNVT2.1.ER.120110T2223Z.120111T0045Z.120111T0455Z.NO/
745 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE COWLEECH FORK OF THE SABINE AT 
GREENVILLE.
* AT 645 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.39 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO END TUESDAY NIGHT.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6PM
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    WED   THU   FRI   SAT

COWLEECH FORK SABINE RIVER
  GREENVILLE          14   14.4  TUE 07 PM    9.4   4.4   3.7   3.6

$$

179 
WGUS84 KFWD 110423
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1023 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS...
 
  COWLEECH FORK OF THE SABINE AT GREENVILLE AFFECTING HUNT COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 
CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. 


&&

TXC231-110453-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120111T1655Z/
/GNVT2.1.ER.120110T2223Z.120111T0100Z.120111T0255Z.NO/
1023 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE COWLEECH FORK OF THE SABINE AT GREENVILLE.
* AT 0945 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.71 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  14 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9 PM TUESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 6 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.


&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6AM     
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    WED   THU   FRI   SAT

COWLEECH FORK SABINE RIVER
  GREENVILLE          14   13.7  TUE 10 PM    6.2   3.9   3.6   3.6

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
338 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

.DISCUSSION...
BEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOW CONFINED TO ARKANSAS...AND
UPPER LOW HAS BEEN EFFECTIVELY CUT OFF FROM SUBTROPICAL PLUME. DRY
AIR CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN INTO THE CORE OF SYSTEM...AND SHOULD
LIMIT ADDITIONAL PRECIP TO SPRINKLES/DRIZZLE. UPPER LOW WILL REACH
EASTERN EXTENT OF THE FWD CWA AROUND NIGHTFALL.

DEEP SUBSIDENCE WILL FOLLOW TONIGHT...WITH WEAK SURFACE RIDGING
DIMINISHING WINDS. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...THE SURFACE
LAYER SHOULD QUICKLY SATURATE. SHALLOW FOG IS LIKELY AREAWIDE.
SUBTLE DRY ADVECTION FROM THE WEST SHOULD PREVENT WIDESPREAD DENSE
FOG...BUT THE VISIBILITY IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW ONE MILE AT
SOME LOCATIONS. THE SHALLOW NATURE OF THE FOG AND INCREASING
SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF APPROACHING FRONT SHOULD ALLOW FOG TO
DISSIPATE MORE EFFECTIVELY THAN TYPICAL JANUARY FOG EVENTS.

SUNNY SKIES AND DRYING DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL BUOY TEMPERATURES INTO
THE 60S ON WEDNESDAY. THE MILD WEATHER WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS COLD
FRONT WILL INVADE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF CWA AROUND SUNSET. SURFACE
BOUNDARY IS CURRENTLY IN THE DAKOTAS...BUT WILL QUICKLY SPILL
SOUTH. WIND CHILLS WILL PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS BY DAYBREAK
THURSDAY. A BLUSTERY DAY WILL FOLLOW. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL
RETURN TO NORMAL BY SATURDAY.

A STRAY SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OFF THE COAST OF SAN FRANCISCO WILL
CUT OFF. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE WITH EVOLUTION OF FEATURE
NEXT WEEK. ONCE THE LOW EJECTS...IT SHOULD BECOME AN OPEN WAVE
WHEN IT REACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...THUS ANY RAIN EVENT WOULD
BE BRIEF. TO AVOID SPREADING 20 POPS THROUGHOUT AN EXTENDED
PERIOD...WILL MAINTAIN SHOWERS ONLY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
DESPITE UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  37  65  31  45  28 /  10   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              34  66  31  48  23 /  10   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             36  61  27  41  22 /  10   0   5   0   0
DENTON, TX            34  63  25  44  22 /  10   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          35  62  30  43  22 /  10   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            38  66  32  44  31 /  10   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           36  66  31  45  24 /  10   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         37  66  32  46  26 /  10   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            34  68  30  46  23 /   5   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     33  64  24  46  23 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

58/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
327 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
327 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
AREAS OF FOG WILL START TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING. THIS FOG
WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO 1 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AFTERWARD...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.