River Flood Warning 23, NWS Fort Worth, TX

164 
WGUS84 KFWD 270130
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
730 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS...
 
  WEST FORK TRINITY RIVER NEAR BOYD AFFECTING WISE COUNTY 

  EAST FORK TRINITY RIVER AT MCKINNEY AFFECTING COLLIN COUNTY 

  CHAMBERS CREEK NEAR RICE AFFECTING NAVARRO COUNTY 

  TRINITY RIVER AT DALLAS AFFECTING DALLAS COUNTY 

  TRINITY RIVER NEAR ROSSER AFFECTING ELLIS AND KAUFMAN COUNTIES 

  TRINITY RIVER AT TRINIDAD AFFECTING HENDERSON AND NAVARRO COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 
CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. 

&&

TXC497-271330-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-120127T2034Z/
/BOYT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.120126T1745Z.120127T0834Z.NO/
730 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST FORK TRINITY RIVER NEAR BOYD.
* AT 0715 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.24 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6PM
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

WEST FORK TRINITY RIVER
  BOYD                16   17.2  THU 07 PM   11.3   8.0   6.7   6.7

$$

TXC085-271330-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120127T2000Z/
/MCKT2.1.ER.120125T1220Z.120126T0115Z.120127T0800Z.NO/
730 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST FORK TRINITY RIVER AT MCKINNEY.
* AT 0630 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.36 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6PM
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

EAST FORK TRINITY RIVER
  MCKINNEY            16   16.4  THU 06 PM   13.3   8.0   5.9   5.5

$$

TXC349-271330-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120129T0031Z/
/RCET2.2.ER.120125T1900Z.120127T0100Z.120128T1231Z.NO/
730 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHAMBERS CREEK NEAR RICE.
* AT 0700 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.93 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6PM
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

CHAMBERS CREEK
  RICE                24   28.9  THU 07 PM   27.1  20.2  15.2  10.0

$$

TXC113-271329-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120128T1045Z/
/DALT2.2.ER.120125T1256Z.120126T0730Z.120127T2245Z.NO/
730 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TRINITY RIVER AT DALLAS.
* AT 0700 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.65 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6PM
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

TRINITY RIVER
  DALLAS              30   36.7  THU 07 PM   29.3  19.6  17.1  16.5

$$

TXC139-257-271329-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120127T2100Z/
/RSRT2.1.ER.120126T0237Z.120126T1130Z.120127T0900Z.NO/
730 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TRINITY RIVER NEAR ROSSER.
* AT 0630 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.28 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 31 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6PM
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

TRINITY RIVER
  ROSSER              31   32.3  THU 06 PM   24.6  11.9   5.0   4.8

$$

TXC213-349-271329-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0016.120127T2229Z-120130T1434Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.120127T2229Z.120129T0600Z.120130T0234Z.NO/
730 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TRINITY RIVER AT TRINIDAD.
* AT 0700 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.51 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 34 FEET BY SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
  THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6PM
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

TRINITY RIVER
  TRINIDAD            33   31.5  THU 07 PM   33.1  33.9  33.3  29.0

$$

278 
WGUS84 KFWD 271335
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
735 AM CST FRI JAN 27 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS...
 
  WEST FORK TRINITY RIVER NEAR BOYD AFFECTING WISE COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 
CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. 


&&

TXC497-271405-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-120127T2034Z/
/BOYT2.1.ER.120127T1221Z.000000T0000Z.120127T1234Z.NO/
735 AM CST FRI JAN 27 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WEST FORK TRINITY RIVER NEAR BOYD.
* AT 0715 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.97 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  16 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR   9 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 16 FEET MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING IS EXPECTED.  A FEW RURAL ROADS 
  WILL BEGIN TO BE AFFECTED.  MINOR FARM AND RANCH LAND ADJACENT TO 
  THE RIVER WILL BE AFFECTED. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6AM     
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

WEST FORK TRINITY RIVER
  BOYD                16   16.0  FRI 07 AM    8.9   6.8   6.7   6.6

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
856 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

.UPDATE...
PUSHING OUT QUICK UPDATE TO END THE POPS IN AREAS WEST OF THE WRAP
AROUND PRECIP AND ADJUST CLOUDS A BIT AS WELL. 84

&&

.AVIATION...
DRIER AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS IS FILTERING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST
RESULTING IN CLEARING OF THE IFR CIGS FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE
METROPLEX. KDAL MAY HAVE IFR FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO...BUT
OTHER SITES SHOULD HAVE VFR CIGS. OTHERWISE...BAND OF WRAP AROUND
LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION...BUT BEGIN TO DISSIPATE
AND/OR VACATE THE TAF SITES BY 15Z. WITH THE RAIN...EXPECT SOME
MVFR VSBY. WACO WILL MISS OUT ON THE -RA IT LOOKS LIKE...BUT
CONTEND WITH MVFR CIGS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL EVERYWHERE BY 15Z-16Z WITH
SKIES CLEARING. NW WINDS OF 15-20KT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...
DECREASING TO LESS THAN 5 KT AFTER SUNSET. WINDS WILL BECOME VERY
LIGHT AND FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATER TONIGHT. SOME CONCERN FOR BR
WITH LIGHT WINDS/CLEAR SKIES/DAMP GROUNDS...BUT MOISTURE LOOKS TOO
THIN AFTER A DAY OF STRONG NW WINDS. BUT MAY BE SOMETHING TO KEEP
AN EYE ON.

TR.92

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012/
A BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL PROGRESS STEADILY EASTWARD
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING ALONG THE PATH OF AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW. MOST OF THE RAIN HAS OCCURRED OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
REGION OVERNIGHT. ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME FOCUSED ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING
HOURS...THEN OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS ARE BEING OVER-ESTIMATED BY AREA RADARS
AS A RESULT OF BRIGHT BANDING. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT
OF THE SYSTEM AND THE NORTH-TO-SOUTH TRAINING OF THE PRIMARY RAIN
BAND...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN A QUARTER AND HALF AN
INCH COULD AGGRAVATE PREVIOUSLY FLOODED AREAS FOR A FEW HOURS THIS
MORNING. THIS WOULD BE SHORT LIVED THOUGH AS THE COMPLEX IS
EXPECTED TO PICK UP SPEED AND WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON AS IT SHOVES
OFF TO THE EAST.

CLOUDS WILL SUBSEQUENTLY ERODE FROM WEST TO EAST ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO WARM A FEW DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. WENT WITH HIGH
TEMPS AROUND 60 WEST OF I-35/35W WHERE MORE SUN IS EXPECTED. CLOUDS
AND CONTINUED CAA WILL KEEP HIGHS IN THE 50S ELSEWHERE. CLEAR
SKIES AND RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL THEN ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO COOL
INTO THE 30S TONIGHT.

A BRIEF WARM-UP INTO THE 60S IS EXPECTED AREA-WIDE TOMORROW
BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA TOMORROW
EVENING. SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AS A DRY AIRMASS SPREADS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST AND HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES IN AT THE SURFACE. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
DEVELOP IN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND SLIDE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE CENTRAL U.S. ON TUESDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED WITH THIS
SYSTEM... AND RAIN CHANCES AT THIS TIME APPEAR TOO LOW TO
MENTION IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE END OF
THE MONTH.

30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  58  38  65  37  55 /  20  10   0   5   0
WACO, TX              59  35  64  39  58 /  10  10   0   5   0
PARIS, TX             57  36  61  35  54 /  40  10   0   5   0
DENTON, TX            58  33  64  35  52 /  10   5   0   5   0
MCKINNEY, TX          56  35  62  36  56 /  30  10   0   5   0
DALLAS, TX            58  39  64  38  57 /  20  10   0   5   0
TERRELL, TX           57  36  62  38  55 /  40  10   0   5   0
CORSICANA, TX         57  38  64  40  56 /  30  10   0   5   0
TEMPLE, TX            60  36  67  40  54 /  10  10   0   5   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     60  33  65  35  55 /  10   5   0   5   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

 /

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
333 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-270945-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
333 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.