Alert archive / Arizona / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 30, 2012Gila County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this special weather statement at Aug 30, 2012, 1:03 PM MST for Gila County, Arizona. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2012, 1:03 PM MST (20:03 UTC)
Expired
Aug 30, 2012, 1:30 PM MST
In force
27 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ

County Gila County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2012-08-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 93 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2012-08-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
93 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2049 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 29, 3:35 PM MST, 21 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 29, 3:35 PM MST, 21 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
335 PM MST WED AUG 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
EXPECT WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH
GREATER CHANCES ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA AND LESSER
CHANCES TOWARDS THE NEW MEXICO BORDER.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY ACROSS THE BLACK MESA AND COCONINO/YAVAPAI
COUNTIES...AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS SITUATED JUST NORTHEAST OF
ARIZONA. DRIER AIR IS IN PLACE ACROSS FAR EASTERN ARIZONA. THE
CENTER OF THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE FURTHER NORTHEAST OVER THE
COMING DAYS...WITH PREDOMINANTLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL BUILD
OVER NEW MEXICO BY FRIDAY AND LABOR DAY WEEKEND. DAILY ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST. IN ALL...MAJORITY OF 7-DAY
FORECAST LOOKS TO GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE LOW-TO-MODERATE GRADE
MONSOON RANGE IN TERMS OF OVERALL THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE...WITH
BETTER CHANCES FOR WESTERN AZ AND LESSER CHANCES ACROSS EASTERN
AZ. DAILY TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...ISOLD TSRA/SHRA WILL CONTINUE THIS
EVENING...MAINLY FROM KPRC-KFLG-KPGA NORTHWESTWARD. IFR/MVFR
CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS TO 35 KTS ARE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND
THUNDERSTORMS. TSRA/SHRA ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH AFTER 02Z. AFTER
18Z THURSDAY...ISOLD-SCT TSRA/SHRA WILL DEVELOP AGAIN...MAINLY
FROM KPRC-KFLG- KPGA NORTHWESTWARD. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC.........KD
AVIATION.......DJO

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 9:23 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ22 min
Aug 29, 11:12 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ48 min
Aug 30, 12:17 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai28 min
Aug 30, 1:40 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZGila2 hr
Aug 30, 2:12 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 30, 2:29 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 30, 3:19 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZGila3 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arizona, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.