Flash Flood Watch 5, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

661 
WGUS65 KFGZ 072236
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
336 PM MST FRI SEP 7 2012

AZZ008-016-018-037-038-072345-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-120908T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...
HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...
COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA
336 PM MST FRI SEP 7 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR YAVAPAI AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTIES...THE
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM...AND OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS HAS BEEN
CANCELED. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER TODAY HAS PREVENTED DAYTIME
HEATING AND KEPT INSTABILITY LOW. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS EVENING...BUT THE THREAT OF
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED.

$$

AZZ013-014-017-080400-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-120908T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
336 PM MST FRI SEP 7 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY...LITTLE 
  COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. 

* UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING

* A VERY MOIST AIR MASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. SCATTERED
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS
  THE AREA INTO THIS EVENING...WITH A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.

* THIS WATCH INCLUDES SEVERAL BURN AREAS THAT ARE PARTICULARLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING...INCLUDING THE LOCUST AND WALLOW BURN
  AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$

928 
WGUS65 KFGZ 080230
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
730 PM MST FRI SEP 7 2012


AZZ013-014-017-080330-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-120908T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
730 PM MST FRI SEP 7 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTHEAST ARIZONA HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ENDED ACROSS SOUTHERN APACHE AND
SOUTHERN NAVAJO COUNTIES AND THE THREAT OF FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED...
THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1000 AM MST THU SEP 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
MONSOON MOISTURE REMAINS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. SOME OF THE STORMS
MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
THIS MORNING GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THE
STRONGEST ACTIVITY IS LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN YAVAPAI COUNTY. THIS
AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A VERY MOIST
ATMOSPHERE...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING WELL ABOVE
NORMAL. WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING SE TO NW THROUGH SOUTHERN AZ SHOULD
ALSO CONTINUE TO ENHANCE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY IN THIS AREA. DUE
TO VERY HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER...ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT DEVELOP
WILL BE CAPABLE OF HIGH RAINFALL RATES. SLOW STORM MOTION COMBINED
WITH THE HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING. WILL
ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING ROUGHLY SOUTH OF A
SELIGMAN...TO SEDONA...TO ST JOHNS LINE.

.PREV DISCUSSION...(330 AM MST)...A SMALL PUSH OF DRIER AIR IS
EXPECTED FOR FAR NORTHERN AZ SATURDAY...BUT LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING
ALONG THE WEST COAST IS EXPECTED TO BRING ANOTHER PUSH OF VERY MOIST
AIR NORTHWARD INTO NORTHERN AZ FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO A FEW DAYS WITH GOOD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN AZ.

ONCE THE WESTERN TROUGH PASSES...A DOWNTREND IN THE CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION IS IN STORE FOR THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK...BUT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...BKN-OVC CLOUDS WITH BASES FROM
6-8KFT AGL WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KIGM TO
KRQE. SCT TO NMRS -SHRA/TSRA AND ISOLD +TSRA ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AZ TODAY. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAIN
AND LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS. CONVECTION WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH BUT NOT
END AFT 03Z SATURDAY. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
AZZ008-013-014-016>018-037-038.

&&

PUBLIC.........JJ / ONTON
AVIATION.......41

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
608 AM MST FRI SEP 7 2012

AZZ004>018-037>040-080700-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
608 AM MST FRI SEP 7 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ARIZONA...NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...NORTHEAST ARIZONA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MOISTURE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY...AND WILL BRING INCREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COMPARED WITH THURSDAY. SLOW STORM MOTION WILL
BRING A THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE.
OTHER STORM THREATS TODAY INCLUDE LIGHTNING...AND HAIL IN THE
STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY DECREASE
BEGINNING MIDWEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.