Alert archive / North Dakota / Wind Chill Advisories in 2012
Wind Chill Advisory 1, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this wind chill advisory at Dec 8, 2012, 9:41 PM CST for 9 counties in North Dakota; Kittson County, Marshall County, Minnesota. It was in force for 14 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 8, 2012, 9:41 PM CST (03:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 9, 2012, 12:00 PM CST
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
Counties Kittson County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Benson County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Towner County, ND, Walsh County, ND
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 512 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 75 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 183 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
045 WWUS43 KFGF 090341 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 941 PM CST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE REGION INTO SUNDAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA ON SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE REGION...WITH THE HEAVIEST ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WHERE 5 TO 8 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. LIGHTER SNOWFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH WITH 1 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE REST OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA. NO ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE 25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO. WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT IN EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND SUNDAY MORNING IN WESTERN MINNESOTA. LOOK FOR NORTH WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAUSING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT INTO MUCH OF SUNDAY. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN VALLEY WHERE WIND SPEEDS MAY GUST UP TO 45 MPH...CREATING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. MNZ004-007-NDZ006>008-014>016-054-091800- /O.CAN.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121209T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0001.121209T0341Z-121209T1800Z/ KITTSON-WEST MARSHALL-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY- EASTERN WALSH-WESTERN WALSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALLOCK...WARREN...CANDO...LANGDON... CAVALIER...MADDOCK...LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...ADAMS 941 PM CST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WIND CHILL VALUES...25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR APPROPRIATE CLOTHING...INCLUDING HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ MNZ029>032-040-NDZ049-052-053-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-RANSOM- SARGENT-RICHLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRECKENRIDGE...FERGUS FALLS... NEW YORK MILLS...WADENA...ELBOW LAKE...LISBON...GWINNER... WAHPETON 941 PM CST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY. * SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA...WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA. * WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO THE SOUTHERN VALLEY...AND INCREASE TO NEAR 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER EAST OF THE VALLEY. * THE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG AND WEST OF THE VALLEY SUNDAY MORNING. * WIND CHILLS WILL DROP DOWN TO ZERO TO 15 BELOW ZERO SUNDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ MNZ001-013-014-NDZ024-026>030-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ WEST POLK-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS- STEELE-TRAILL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS... THIEF RIVER FALLS...RED LAKE FALLS...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA... GRAND FORKS...COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY...MAYVILLE 941 PM CST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY. * LIGHT SNOW WILL FALL TONIGHT ENDING SUNDAY MORNING. * SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. * NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL CAUSE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. * WIND CHILL WILL DROP INTO THE 20 BELOW ZERO TO 30 BELOW ZERO RANGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ MNZ002-003-015>017-022>024-027-028-NDZ038-039-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ NORMAN-CLAY-EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN- SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-BARNES-CASS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...FOSSTON...BAGLEY... BEMIDJI...MAHNOMEN...LAKE ITASCA...PARK RAPIDS...DETROIT LAKES... WOLF LAKE...VALLEY CITY...FARGO 941 PM CST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY. * LIGHT SNOW WILL FALL TONIGHT ENDING SUNDAY MORNING. * SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. * NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG AND WEST OF THE VALLEY...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER EAST OF THE VALLEY. * THE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN OPEN COUNTRY...WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * WIND CHILL WILL DROP INTO THE 10 BELOW ZERO TO 20 BELOW ZERO RANGE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE VALLEY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ TG
4 follow-up statements
998 WWUS43 KFGF 091025 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 425 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE REGION...WITH THE HEAVIEST ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WHERE 5 TO 8 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. LIGHTER SNOWFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH WITH 1 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE REST OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA. NO ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE 25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO. WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS IN EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND WESTERN MINNESOTA. LOOK FOR NORTH WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAUSING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT INTO MUCH OF SUNDAY. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN VALLEY WHERE WIND SPEEDS MAY GUST UP TO 40 MPH... CREATING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. MNZ029>032-040-NDZ049-052-053-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-RANSOM- SARGENT-RICHLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRECKENRIDGE...FERGUS FALLS... NEW YORK MILLS...WADENA...ELBOW LAKE...LISBON...GWINNER... WAHPETON 425 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER...WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA. * WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY BY EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO THE SOUTHERN VALLEY...AND INCREASE TO NEAR 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER EAST OF THE VALLEY. * THE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG AND WEST OF THE VALLEY SUNDAY MORNING. * WIND CHILLS WILL DROP DOWN TO ZERO TO 15 BELOW ZERO SUNDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ MNZ001-013-014-NDZ024-026>030-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ WEST POLK-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS- STEELE-TRAILL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS... THIEF RIVER FALLS...RED LAKE FALLS...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA... GRAND FORKS...COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY...MAYVILLE 425 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY TAPERING OFF DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. * NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL CAUSE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. * WIND CHILL WILL DROP INTO THE 20 BELOW ZERO TO 30 BELOW ZERO RANGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ MNZ002-003-015>017-022>024-027-028-NDZ038-039-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ NORMAN-CLAY-EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN- SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-BARNES-CASS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...FOSSTON...BAGLEY... BEMIDJI...MAHNOMEN...LAKE ITASCA...PARK RAPIDS...DETROIT LAKES... WOLF LAKE...VALLEY CITY...FARGO 425 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. * SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. * NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG AND WEST OF THE VALLEY...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER EAST OF THE VALLEY. * THE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN OPEN COUNTRY...WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * WIND CHILL WILL DROP INTO THE 10 BELOW ZERO TO 20 BELOW ZERO RANGE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE VALLEY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ MNZ004-007-NDZ006>008-014>016-054-091800- /O.CON.KFGF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-121209T1800Z/ KITTSON-WEST MARSHALL-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY- EASTERN WALSH-WESTERN WALSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALLOCK...WARREN...CANDO...LANGDON... CAVALIER...MADDOCK...LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...ADAMS 425 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. * WIND CHILL VALUES...25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR APPROPRIATE CLOTHING...INCLUDING HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
495 WWUS43 KFGF 091249 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 649 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE REGION...WITH THE HEAVIEST ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WHERE 5 TO 8 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. LIGHTER SNOWFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH WITH 1 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE REST OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA. NO ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE 25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO. WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS IN EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND WESTERN MINNESOTA. LOOK FOR NORTH WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAUSING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT INTO MUCH OF SUNDAY. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN VALLEY WHERE WIND SPEEDS MAY GUST UP TO 40 MPH... CREATING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. NDZ024-026-027-091800- /O.CAN.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KFGF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-121209T1800Z/ EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...GRAND FORKS 649 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF...BUT NORTH WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WIND CHILLS IN THE 20 BELOW ZERO TO 30 BELOW ZERO RANGE. SOME DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR APPROPRIATE CLOTHING...INCLUDING HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ MNZ001-013-014-NDZ028>030-091400- /O.CAN.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ WEST POLK-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS... THIEF RIVER FALLS...RED LAKE FALLS...COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY... MAYVILLE 649 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF ACROSS THE AREA. SOME DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. $$ MNZ029>032-040-NDZ049-052-053-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-RANSOM- SARGENT-RICHLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRECKENRIDGE...FERGUS FALLS... NEW YORK MILLS...WADENA...ELBOW LAKE...LISBON...GWINNER... WAHPETON 649 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER...WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA. * WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY BY EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO THE SOUTHERN VALLEY...AND INCREASE TO NEAR 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER EAST OF THE VALLEY. * THE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG AND WEST OF THE VALLEY SUNDAY MORNING. * WIND CHILLS WILL DROP DOWN TO ZERO TO 15 BELOW ZERO SUNDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ MNZ002-003-015>017-022>024-027-028-NDZ038-039-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ NORMAN-CLAY-EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN- SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-BARNES-CASS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...FOSSTON...BAGLEY... BEMIDJI...MAHNOMEN...LAKE ITASCA...PARK RAPIDS...DETROIT LAKES... WOLF LAKE...VALLEY CITY...FARGO 649 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. * TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. * NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG AND WEST OF THE VALLEY...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER EAST OF THE VALLEY. * THE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN OPEN COUNTRY...WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * WIND CHILL WILL DROP INTO THE 10 BELOW ZERO TO 20 BELOW ZERO RANGE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE VALLEY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ MNZ004-007-NDZ006>008-014>016-054-091800- /O.CON.KFGF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-121209T1800Z/ KITTSON-WEST MARSHALL-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY- EASTERN WALSH-WESTERN WALSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALLOCK...WARREN...CANDO...LANGDON... CAVALIER...MADDOCK...LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...ADAMS 649 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. * WIND CHILL VALUES...25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR APPROPRIATE CLOTHING...INCLUDING HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
107 WWUS43 KFGF 091630 AAA WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 1030 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES TODAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG THE MINNESOTA AND IOWA BORDER TODAY...CONTINUING TO BRING LIGHT SNOW AND STRONG NORTHERLY WIND ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. SNOWFALL TOTALS IN THESE AREAS SO FAR HAVE RANGED FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. 1 TO 2 INCHES HAVE FALLEN FARTHER NORTH ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. AS THE STORM MOVES EASTWARD...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LISBON TO PELICAN RAPIDS TO PARK RAPIDS. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN OPEN COUNTRY NEAREST TO THE SOUTH DAKOTA STATE LINE. AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH...BUT WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL FALLING SNOW...VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW ONE MILE. FOR THIS REASON...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE CANCELLED FOR ALL AREAS EXPECT HUBBARD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN AND NORTHERN VALLEY THROUGH NOON. GUSTY NORTH WINDS...COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL VALUES AROUND 25 BELOW. MNZ002-003-015>017-022-023-027-028-NDZ038-039-091730- /O.CAN.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ NORMAN-CLAY-EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN- SOUTH CLEARWATER-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-BARNES-CASS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...FOSSTON...BAGLEY... BEMIDJI...MAHNOMEN...LAKE ITASCA...DETROIT LAKES...WOLF LAKE... VALLEY CITY...FARGO 1030 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA OVERNIGHT. LITTLE ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TODAY. GUSTY NORTH WINDS MAY STILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...BUT VISIBILITY SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE ONE MILE. $$ MNZ029>032-040-NDZ049-052-053-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-RANSOM- SARGENT-RICHLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRECKENRIDGE...FERGUS FALLS... NEW YORK MILLS...WADENA...ELBOW LAKE...LISBON...GWINNER... WAHPETON 1030 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. * 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * STRONG NORTH WIND WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO THE SOUTHERN VALLEY THIS MORNING... RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT DECREASE SOMEWHAT FROM THEIR MORNING PEAKS. * THE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR AREAS NEAREST TO THE SOUTH DAKOTA STATE LINE. * WIND CHILLS WILL DROP DOWN TO ZERO TO 15 BELOW ZERO TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ MNZ024-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ HUBBARD- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PARK RAPIDS 1030 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. * TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. * NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH...RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. * WIND CHILL WILL DROP INTO THE 5 BELOW ZERO TO 10 BELOW ZERO RANGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ MNZ004-007-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026-027-054-091800- /O.CON.KFGF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-121209T1800Z/ KITTSON-WEST MARSHALL-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY- EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-WESTERN WALSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALLOCK...WARREN...CANDO...LANGDON... CAVALIER...MADDOCK...LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON... NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...GRAND FORKS...ADAMS 1030 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. * WIND CHILL VALUES...AROUND 25 BELOW ZERO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR APPROPRIATE CLOTHING...INCLUDING HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ ROGERS
529 WWUS43 KFGF 091750 AAA WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 1150 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES TODAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CST TODAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG THE MINNESOTA AND IOWA BORDER TODAY...CONTINUING TO BRING LIGHT SNOW AND STRONG NORTHERLY WIND ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. SNOWFALL TOTALS IN THESE AREAS SO FAR HAVE RANGED FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. 1 TO 2 INCHES HAVE FALLEN FARTHER NORTH ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. AS THE STORM MOVES EASTWARD...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LISBON TO PELICAN RAPIDS TO PARK RAPIDS. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN OPEN COUNTRY NEAREST TO THE SOUTH DAKOTA STATE LINE. AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH...BUT WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL FALLING SNOW...VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW ONE MILE. FOR THIS REASON...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE CANCELLED FOR ALL AREAS EXPECT HUBBARD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT NOON. NORTH WINDS FROM 10 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH...COMBINED WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO WILL KEEP WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE 10 TO 20 BELOW RANGE THROUGH THE DAY. MNZ004-007-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026-027-054-091900- /O.EXP.KFGF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-121209T1800Z/ KITTSON-WEST MARSHALL-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY- EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-WESTERN WALSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALLOCK...WARREN...CANDO...LANGDON... CAVALIER...MADDOCK...LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON... NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...GRAND FORKS...ADAMS 1150 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CST TODAY... WIND CHILL VALUES HAVE RISEN ABOVE ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER... NORTH WINDS FROM 10 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH... COMBINED WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO WILL KEEP WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE 10 TO 20 BELOW RANGE THROUGH THE DAY. $$ MNZ029>032-040-NDZ049-052-053-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-RANSOM- SARGENT-RICHLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRECKENRIDGE...FERGUS FALLS... NEW YORK MILLS...WADENA...ELBOW LAKE...LISBON...GWINNER... WAHPETON 1150 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. * 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * STRONG NORTH WIND WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO THE SOUTHERN VALLEY THIS MORNING... RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT DECREASE SOMEWHAT FROM THEIR MORNING PEAKS. * THE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR AREAS NEAREST TO THE SOUTH DAKOTA STATE LINE. * WIND CHILLS WILL DROP DOWN TO ZERO TO 15 BELOW ZERO TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ MNZ024-100000- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-121210T0000Z/ HUBBARD- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PARK RAPIDS 1150 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. * TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. * NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH...RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. * WIND CHILL WILL DROP INTO THE 5 BELOW ZERO TO 10 BELOW ZERO RANGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. && $$ ROGERS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Dec 8, 9:19 PM CST, 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 8, 9:19 PM CST, 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
919 PM CST SAT DEC 8 2012
.DISCUSSION...CONFIENCE IS NOW VERY HIGH WITH THE TRACK OF THIS
SYSTEM GIVEN CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND INCOMING 00Z MODEL RUNS. SFC
LOW ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA WILL PROPAGATE EAST INTO
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA ON SUNDAY. THIS PLACES THE STRONGEST FORCING
(DEFORMATION) SOUTH OF THE FA WITH THE EXTREME SOUTHERN FA ON THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. AREAS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING SHOULD GET 5-8 INCHES
OF SNOW...WHILE AREAS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING
GET 2-5 INCHES. STRONG 850MB FRONTOGENESIS TO THE NORTH WILL
SLOWLY SINK SOUTH INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC FORCING
IS WEAK WITHIN THIS FORCING...HIGHER SNOW RATIOS (15:1-20:1) WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO 2-4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE
WARNING. THESE SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
AND ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE PERFORMED. WINDS WILL NOT BE QUITE
AS STRONG ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN FA WITH THE EXPECTED TRACK OF
THE SFC LOW FURTHER SOUTH...AND WILL REPLACE THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY WITH A WIND CHILL ADVISORY ACROSS THIS AREA (WIND CHILL
VALUES -25F TO -35F) THROUGH 18Z.
THIS LEADS TO THE MAIN QUESTION...ARE THE EXPECTED WINDS ENOUGH
FOR A BLIZZARD WARNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND THE
SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY (SOUTH OF FARGO). CANADIAN BLOWING SNOW
MODEL SUGGESTS WIND SPEEDS AROUND 32 KNOTS WILL BE NEEDED FOR A
WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD. SUSTAINED WINDS LIKELY WILL BE AROUND 26
KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 KNOTS. SO...WILL THE GUSTS BE
FREQUENT ENOUGH TO CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. STRONGEST SFC
PRESSURE RISE MAXIMUM AND 925MB COLD AIR ADVECTION LOOK TO PASS
JUST SOUTH OF THE FA...WHICH WOULD LIMIT MIXING POTENTIAL ACROSS
OUR SOUTHERN FA. THIS ALL SUGGESTS THAT A WARNING IS STILL THE
BEST OPTION. WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY...AND NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER...BUT
A WINTER STORM WARNING TAKES CARE OF THE SITUATION BEST AT THIS
POINT. DID REMOVE THE BLOWING SNOW MENTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN FA WITH WIND SPEEDS SLIGHTLY LESS HERE.
&&
.AVIATION...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL TAF SITES ALONG WITH
LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. CLEARING SKIES WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH...LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTH ALONG THE
VALLEY...WITH BLOWING SNOW LIKELY FOR KGFK AND KFAR.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 PM CST SAT DEC 8 2012/
SHORT TERM...
QUITE CHALLENGING TODAY. MODELS KEEP TRACKING LOW A BIT FARTHER
SOUTH EACH RUN AND 12Z GFS AND LATEST RAP MODEL GO ALONG WITH 00Z
AND 12Z EURO IN HAVING LOW JUST NORTH OR NORTHEAST OF SIOUX FALLS
AT 12Z SUN. TRACK OF MID LEVEL LOW WOULD BRING HEAVIEST SNOW INTO
MOSTLY NORTHERN INTO NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
TOWARD PERHAPS ST CLOUD AND THE NRN TWIN CITIES METRO AREA
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THUS HEAVIEST SNOW NOW JUST CLIPS THE FAR
SOUTH FCST AREA IN WARNING AREA. FARTHER SOUTH TRACK GIVES A BIT
MORE CONFIDENCE NOW TO LEAVING STRETCH FROM VALLEY CITY TO FARGO
TO PARK RAPIDS IN ADVISORY FOR UP TO 4 INCHES WITH LESS FARTHER
NORTH.
NOW WILL ADD A FEW COUNTIES IN THE FAR NORTH ALONG ND/MB
BORDER TO WINTER WX ADVISORY TONIGHT AS AREA THERE RECEIVED 4
INCHES OF FLUFF ACCORDING TO SPOTTERS AND WILL EASILY BLOW AROUND
TONIGHT AS WINDS UP THERE INCREASE TO AROUND 20 MPH. PLUS WIND
CHILLS WILL DROP TO BELOW -25F LATER TONIGHT.
925 MB WINDS FARTHER SOUTH WILL INCREASE GREATLY 06Z TO 09Z FROM
NEAR GRAND FORKS SOUTH INTO ERN SD WITH 40-45 KTS THERE AND DUE TO
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND COLD ADVECTION SHOULD SEE GUSTS OVER 30 KTS
ESP IN SE ND IN THAT 09Z TO 18Z PERIOD. WINDS WILL HIT AFTER THE
MAIN SNOW AND WITH MAIN SNOW BEING LESS IN ALL BUT FAR SOUTH THAN
EARLIER THINKING STILL THINK ADV OK RIGHT NOW. COULD SEE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS DEVELOP HOWEVER BUT QUITE IFFY ON THIS...MORE OF AN
OPEN COUNTRY THING VS IN TOWN AS MAIN SNOWFALL ITSELF IS JUST A
BIT SOUTH. EVE SHIFT CAN MONITOR.
SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY AND SNOW AND WIND WILL
DIMINISH...SNOW FIRST THEN WIND. VERY COLD WITH 12Z-18Z WIND
CHILLS TO -30 IN THE FAR NORTHWEST FCST AREA. WILL LET MID SHIFT
ISSUE ANY WC HEADLINES. DIDNT WANT TO EXTEND WINTER WX HEADLINES
PAST 12Z SUN UP IN THE FAR NORTHWEST AS WINDS WILL DIMINISH THERE
FIRST.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN SUN NIGHT AND SOME SPOTS WILL GET INTO
THE NEGATIVE TEENS. CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN LATE SUN NIGHT INTO MONDAY
AND TUESDAY AS SEVERAL SHORT WAVES MOVE THROUGH BUT DOES LOOK
MAINLY DRY. COULD BE A FEW SPITS OF -SN BUT DID NOT MENTION YET.
LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
12 UTC GFS/ECMWF IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT NEXT WEEK...BOTH SHOWING
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHIFTING TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY
2 CORRIDOR ON WEDNESDAY AS A WEAK SHORT-WAVE MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN
CANADA. THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEKEND LOOK MAINLY DRY AS MAJORITY
OF ENERGY ALOFT GETS SHUNTED TO THE SOUTH WITH FOUR CORNERS TROUGH.
THIS FEATURE EJECTS NORTHEASTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST MN/WEST CENTRAL
WI BY SATURDAY...SO WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR ANY NORTHWARD OR WESTWARD
SHIFTS...REQUIRING AN INCREASE IN THE CURRENT ALL BLEND 20 POPS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLE ON WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 20S
BEFORE A COOL-DOWN FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AFTER A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS THURSDAY/FRIDAY WILL
RANGE FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO TO THE UPPER TEENS TO NEAR
20 DEGREES.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR NDZ024-026>030-
038-039.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR NDZ049-052-053.
WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR NDZ006>008-014>016-
054.
MN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR MNZ001>003-
013>017-022>024-027-028.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR MNZ029>032-040.
WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR MNZ004-007.
&&
TGHazardous weather outlook, Dec 8, 7:00 AM CST, 14 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 700 AM CST SAT DEC 8 2012 MNZ029>032-040-NDZ049-052-053-091300- WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-RANSOM- SARGENT-RICHLAND- 700 AM CST SAT DEC 8 2012 WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE MAJORITY OF THE SNOW SHOULD FALL TONIGHT. ALSO NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AND CREATE POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY SNOW WILL START MOVING EAST ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONG YET SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL CREATE LOW VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE IN THE AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA TODAY AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA SUNDAY. THE LOW PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE THE SNOW AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. MNZ001>003-013>017-022>024-027-028-NDZ014-024-026>030-038-039- 091300- WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-EAST POLK- NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD- WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-BENSON-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS- STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS- 700 AM CST SAT DEC 8 2012 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE MAJORITY OF THE SNOW SHOULD FALL TONIGHT. ALSO NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AND CREATE POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY SNOW WILL START MOVING EAST ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONG YET SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL CREATE LOW VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE IN THE AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA TODAY AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA SUNDAY. THE LOW PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE THE SNOW AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. MNZ004>009-NDZ006>008-015-016-054-091300- KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL- NORTH BELTRAMI-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH- WESTERN WALSH- 700 AM CST SAT DEC 8 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOPPES
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 3:22 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | FGF | Barnes, Benson, Cass, Cavalier, Eddy, Grand Forks and 11 more | 19 hr |
Nearby
Wind Chill Advisories in North Dakota, 2012Wind Chill Advisories in Minnesota, 2012Every wind chill advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.