Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

May 6, 2012Polk County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at May 6, 2012, 6:17 PM EDT for Polk County, Georgia. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 6, 2012, 6:17 PM EDT (22:17 UTC)
Expired: May 6, 2012, 6:45 PM EDT
In force: 28 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

County Polk County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1435 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -63 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1105 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 6, 4:02 PM EDT, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 6, 4:02 PM EDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
402 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
SHORTWAVE...IN ADDITION TO SFC BOUNDARIES...WERE ABLE TO KICK OFF
CONVECTION EARLIER TODAY. ALTHOUGH THE MAIN AREA HAS MOVED SOUTH AND
OUT OF THE CWA...EXPECT MORE SUMMER-LIKE STORMS TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING AND SOME OF THIS CAN ALREADY BE SEEN
ACROSS SOUTHERN TN...NORTHERN AL...AND THE NORTHEAST GA MOUNTAINS.
ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY SUPPORTS TSTORMS ACROSS THE WHOLE CWA...BEST
CAPE VALUES REMAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF. STRONG STORMS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE. INSTABILITY IS MINIMAL TONIGHT...BUT STILL ENOUGH TO LEAVE
MENTION OF SLIGHT CHANCE THUNDER...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING TRENDS
FROM LAST NIGHT.

WEAKNESS IN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ACROSS THE CWA
THROUGH MONDAY. WITH THIS AND BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE CWA...CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. BOUNDARY
SHOULD SINK DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA ON MONDAY SO
THAT MAY HELP TO PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR THE CONVECTION. HIGH PRESSURE
SETS UP ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND WILL SEE A WEAK WEDGE MAKE IT
INTO THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE CWA TONIGHT. AS THE WEDGE HOLDS
THROUGH MONDAY...THIS WILL HELP MODERATE MAX TEMPS ON MONDAY AND
MAY HELP TO LIMIT THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA.

BY MONDAY NIGHT A SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO NORTHWEST GEORGIA AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES THE CWA. THIS WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE CWA AND THUS HAVE KEPT
LIKELY POPS FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT FOR THE AREA.

TEMPS ARE MAINLY A MAV/MET BLEND WITH SOME UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS IN MIN
TEMPS BASED ON PREVIOUS TRENDS AND EXPECTED CLOUD COVERAGE.

FIEUX

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MODELS SIMILAR WITH A MOIST PATTERN CONTINUING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MEANDERS ACROSS THE STATE. GFS AND LATEST NAM
HINTING AT SOME DRYING ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY AS
THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS INTO SOUTH GEORGIA. ECMWF WAS A TAD SLOWER ON
DRYING...HOLDING ON TO BETTER MOISTURE OVER OUR AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH DRYING ON THURSDAY. NONETHELESS...ALL MODELS SHOW HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S THURSDAY NIGHT AND
DOMINATING NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA INTO SATURDAY. MODELS SHOW
SOME MOISTURE RETURNING BY SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DRIFTS
NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF. OVERALL HAVE NOT MADE ANY CHANGES TO THE
EXTENDED AND HAVE ATTACHED THE PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION.
49

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
/ISSUED 313 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012/

A MOIST PATTERN WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE H5 TROUGH OVER THE WEST
BEGINS DIGS INTO THE MIDWEST WHICH BOTH GFS AND ECMWF SHOW
HAPPENING BY WEDNESDAY. TIMING DIFFERENCES OCCUR BY THURSDAY WITH
THE GFS BEING THE FASTER OF THE TWO MODELS WHICH CLEARS THE
MOISTURE OUT BY 12Z THU WITH THE ECMWF NOT CLEARING OUT UNTIL 00Z
FRI. THE GFS HAS SHOWN MORE CONTINUITY THAN THE ECMWF AND WILL
THEREFORE LEAN TOWARD THE GFS. A DRIER ATMOSPHERE WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE CWA FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

17

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
WINDS HAVE BEEN A PROBLEM TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE A
CHALLENGE. MODELS DO NOT HAVE A GOOD HANDEL ON THEM AND
PORTIONS OF THE METRO AREA AND INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA ARE THE
OUTLIERS IN TERMS OF WIND DIRECTION AND THUS VERY LOW CONFIDENCE.
ALTHOUGH FORECASTING NW WINDS THROUGH 00Z...MAY SEE IT WAIVER
AROUND N OR EVEN COME OVER TO THE NE EARLIER THAN FORECAST.
ALTHOUGH STORMS HAVE ALREADY IMPACTED ATL TAF SITES AND
CSG...EXPECT TO SEE RE-DEVELOPMENT OF TSRA THIS AFTERNOON AND
ALREADY SOME SHOWERS POPPING UP IN SOUTHERN TN.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE ON WIND DIRECTION. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON WIND SPEEDS
AND CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH CONFIDENCE ON VSBYS.

11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          63  82  61  81 /  30  40  40  60
ATLANTA         65  80  64  80 /  30  40  40  60
BLAIRSVILLE     60  80  59  76 /  30  40  50  60
CARTERSVILLE    63  83  62  82 /  30  40  50  60
COLUMBUS        66  84  65  84 /  40  40  30  60
GAINESVILLE     63  79  62  79 /  30  40  40  60
MACON           64  84  62  83 /  40  40  30  50
ROME            65  84  63  83 /  30  30  50  60
PEACHTREE CITY  62  81  62  81 /  30  40  40  60
VIDALIA         67  84  66  84 /  40  50  30  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 6:05 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
605 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-071000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
605 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MAINLY THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WAS OVER EAST TENNESSEE WILL A MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINED OVER THE STATE.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS ARE SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DISCUSSION...
A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH FROM TENNESSEE AND CAUSE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE OVER NORTH GEORGIA THIS EVENING.
CAPES OF 1800 TO 2200 J/KG ALONG WITH LIFTED INDEX VALUES OF -4 TO
-6 WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW A FEW STORMS TO BECOME STRONG.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

16

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 6, 1:10 PM EDT, 5 hours 7 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
110 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

GAZ090-091-061800-
110 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DIME SIZED HAIL AND 35 MPH WINDS
IN MARION AND CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM EDT...

AT 107 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES WEST OF BRANTLEY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DIME SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
MARION AND CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTIES THROUGH 200 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS
IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CHRISTOPHER...MANTA...BRANTLEY...
ZELLOBEE...CHURCH HILL...DRANEVILLE AND BUENA VISTA. HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8455 3219 8456 3219 8460 3221 8460
      3223 8463 3223 8469 3240 8480 3250 8461
      3220 8442
TIME...MOT...LOC 1710Z 324DEG 17KT 3240 8467

Local storm report, May 6, 4:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
418 PM EDT SUN MAY 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 W ELLAVILLE           32.24N 84.39W
05/06/2012                   SCHLEY             GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFFS DEPUTY OF SCHLEY COUNTY REPORTED 3 TREES WERE
            DOWNED AT HIGHWAY 26 AND STEVENS ROAD ABOUT 3 MILES WEST
            OF ELLAVILLE.

&&

BGOODEN

Local storm report, May 6, 4:22 PM EDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
422 PM EDT SUN MAY 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1240 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E HAMILTON            32.76N 84.86W
05/06/2012                   HARRIS             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            THE 911 CALL CENTER IN HARRIS COUNTY INDICATED A TREE WAS
            REPORTED DOWN ON THE EAST SIDE OF HAMILTON.

&&

BGOODEN

Special weather statement, May 6, 6:17 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
617 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

GAZ030-041-062245-
617 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 35 MPH WINDS
IN POLK AND HARALSON COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 613 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CEDARTOWN...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
POLK AND HARALSON COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ANTIOCH...CEDARTOWN...FELTON AND ESOM
HILL. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3403 8535 3400 8512 3383 8519 3384 8538
      3394 8540 3396 8540
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 026DEG 5KT 3395 8526

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 5, 9:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Heard	28 min
May 6, 10:15 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Heard	30 min
May 6, 10:37 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Heard	23 min
May 6, 11:04 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Troup	26 min
May 6, 11:59 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Harris	46 min
May 6, 12:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Muscogee	48 min
May 6, 12:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Harris, Muscogee	37 min
May 6, 12:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Muscogee	32 min
May 6, 1:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Marion	50 min
May 6, 1:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Stewart, Webster	52 min
May 6, 1:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Marion, Schley	40 min
May 6, 6:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Pike	26 min
May 6, 6:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Pickens	34 min
May 6, 6:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Upson	31 min
May 6, 6:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Fulton	28 min
May 6, 6:34 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Walker	26 min
May 6, 6:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Douglas, Fulton	52 min
May 6, 6:40 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Polk	35 min
May 6, 6:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Pike	32 min
May 6, 6:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Pickens	44 min
May 6, 6:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Fayette	38 min
May 6, 6:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Cobb	35 min
May 6, 7:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Cherokee, Pickens	30 min
May 6, 7:07 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Upson	38 min
May 6, 7:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Haralson, Polk	22 min
May 6, 7:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crawford	26 min
May 6, 7:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Union	25 min
May 6, 7:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Cherokee	38 min
May 6, 7:25 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Cobb	35 min
May 6, 7:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Cobb	43 min
May 6, 7:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Union	38 min
May 6, 7:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Meriwether, Pike, Upson	34 min
May 6, 7:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Peach	24 min
May 6, 7:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Cherokee	35 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.