Red Flag Warning 16, NWS El Paso, TX

905 
WWUS84 KEPZ 120306
RFWEPZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
906 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY EVENING...AND AGAIN FRIDAY.

.INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP MINIMUM RH DOWN TO THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND LOW TO MID TEENS FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE GILA
WILDERNESS ON THURSDAY. ON FRIDAY...CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL
BE LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE AREA.

NMZ111-112-TXZ055-121300-
/O.EXP.KEPZ.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120412T0300Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0016.120412T1800Z-120413T0300Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.A.0015.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-EL PASO-
906 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
055...111 AND 112...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 055...111 AND 112...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055...111 AND 112...

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING: 12 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. FIRE
  WEATHER WATCH: 12 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY.

* WIND: THURSDAY: WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO 40 MPH.
  FRIDAY: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH FRIDAY.

* MINIMUM HUMIDITY:  FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE MID TEENS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NMZ110-121300-
/O.EXP.KEPZ.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120412T0300Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.A.0015.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
906 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 110...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110...


* TIMING: FIRE WEATHER WATCH: 12 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY.

* WIND: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH FRIDAY.

* MINIMUM HUMIDITY: FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE MID TEENS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NMZ113-TXZ056-121300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0016.120412T1800Z-120413T0300Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.A.0015.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-HUDSPETH-
906 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
056 AND 113...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 056 AND 113...

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING: 12 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. FIRE
  WEATHER WATCH: 12 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY.

* WIND: THURSDAY: WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO 40 MPH.
  FRIDAY: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH FRIDAY.

* MINIMUM HUMIDITY: 8 PERCENT LOWLANDS TO 15 PERCENT HIGHER
  ELEVATIONS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

422 
WWUS84 KEPZ 121324
RFWEPZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
724 AM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE GILA WILDERNESS...AND
AGAIN FRIDAY FOR ALL AREAS.

.INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY AND FRIDAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP MINIMUM RH DOWN TO THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND LOW TO MID TEENS FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE GILA
WILDERNESS ON THURSDAY. ON FRIDAY...CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL
BE LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE AREA.

NMZ111>113-TXZ055-056-130300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0016.120412T1800Z-120413T0300Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.A.0015.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
724 AM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 055...056...111...112 AND 113...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 055...056...111...112 AND 113...

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING: 12 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. FIRE 
  WEATHER WATCH: 12 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY. 

* WIND: THURSDAY: WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO 40 
  MPH. FRIDAY: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH FRIDAY. 

* MINIMUM HUMIDITY: FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE MID TEENS. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NMZ110-130300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.A.0015.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
724 AM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 110...

* TIMING: FIRE WEATHER WATCH: 12 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY.

* WIND: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH FRIDAY.

* MINIMUM HUMIDITY: FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE MID TEENS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

817 
WWUS84 KEPZ 122057
RFWEPZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
257 PM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING
FOR ALL LOCATIONS EXCEPT THE GILA AND ALSO LEOPOLD WILDERNESS AREAS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY ALL AREAS FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM FOR
THE WEST TEXAS ZONES...


.INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP MINIMUM RH
DOWN TO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOW TO MID TEENS FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT THE GILA WILDERNESS REST OF TODAY. ON FRIDAY CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE AREA...AS 20-FOOT WINDS
STRENGTHEN FURTHER AND MIN RH FALLS SLIGHTLY FURTHER. THE TROUGH
WILL CARRY A WINTER STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE REGION...RESULTING IN
INCREASING MOISTURE OVER MOST AREAS EXCEPT FAR W TEXAS.

TXZ055-056-131400-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0015.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0017.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0016.120414T1700Z-120415T0200Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-120413T0300Z/
EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
257 PM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055 AND
056...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055 AND
056...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 055 AND 056...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM
MDT FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNINGS: UNTIL 9 PM MDT TONIGHT AND 12 PM TO 9
  PM FRIDAY. FIRE WEATHER WATCH: 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY.

* WIND: THURSDAY: WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO 40 MPH. 
  FRIDAY: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. 

* MINIMUM HUMIDITY: FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE MID TEENS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NMZ111>113-131400-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0015.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0017.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-120413T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
257 PM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 111...
112 AND 113...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 111...
112 AND 113...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM
MDT FRIDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNINGS: UNTIL 9 PM MDT TONIGHT AND 12 PM TO 9
  PM FRIDAY.

* WIND: THURSDAY: WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO 40 MPH. 
  FRIDAY: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH FRIDAY. 

* MINIMUM HUMIDITY: FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE MID TEENS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

NMZ110-131400-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0015.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0017.120413T1800Z-120414T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
257 PM MDT THU APR 12 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM
MDT FRIDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING: RED FLAG WARNING: 12 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY.

* WIND: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH FRIDAY.

* MINIMUM HUMIDITY: FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE MID TEENS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

TRIPOLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
316 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS
OF OTERO AND HUDSPETH COUNTIES INTO THE EVENING HOURS. OTHERWISE...
MORE TYPICAL SPRING WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE BORDERLAND...
STARTING WITH STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS OVER NORTHEAST EL PASO
TONIGHT. INCREASINGLY BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AREA WIDE
ON THURSDAY...WITH PARTICULARLY STRONG WINDS AND WIDESPREAD
BLOWING DUST EXPECTED IN THE DESERT LOWLANDS SATURDAY. A FEW
MOUNTAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY OVER THE GILA REGION
AND OVER THE NEW MEXICO BOOTHEEL. COOLER WEATHER WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
IT HAS BEEN AN INTERESTING DAY SO FAR AS IT APPEARS THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CWA WAS A LITTLE DEEPER
THAN THOUGHT. AS A RESULT...LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG THE
DRY LINE IS CURRENTLY STRUNG OUT ALONG THE TULAROSA BASIN AND INTO
EASTERN EL PASO COUNTY. MEANWHILE...WESTERN AREAS HAVE MIXED OUT
WITH LOWER 30S DEW POINTS OVER WESTERN DONA ANA COUNTY...AND 20S
OVER THE GILA REGION. STORMS HAVE FIRED UP ALONG THE DRYLINE...
WITH THE WESTERN RIM OF THE OTERO MESA ADDING A LITTLE EXTRA LIFT.
STORM OF THE DAY SO FAR HAS BEEN THE CELL OVER THE UNPOPULATED AND
SPARSELY TRAVELED AREA BETWEEN OROGRANDE AND TIMBERON. ANOTHER
STORM OVER FAR EAST EL PASO COUNTY IS STRUGGLING...BUT IS MOVING
INTO A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE
CELLS COULD AFFECT EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY AND FAR SE OTERO COUNTY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. LEADING SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO
WESTERN NEW MEXICO LATER THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY HELP THINGS
FURTHER.

OTHERWISE...THE DRY AIR IS DUE TO FINALLY SCOUR OUT THE CWA...AND
WE WILL QUICKLY BE TRANSITIONING BACK TO THE REALITIES OF APRIL...
WITH WIND AND DUST THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

IN THE SHORTER TERM...WE ARE CONSIDERING A WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT
FOR EASTERN EL PASO COUNTY. LOW-LEVEL SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...PARTICULARLY IN THE 850 TO 700 MB LAYER...
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE 30 TO 40 KNOTS AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. INVERSION
SETTING UP AROUND MOUNTAINTOP LEVEL FOR THE FRANKLINS WILL HELP
PROMOTE STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE
FRANKLINS AND ORGANS. WINDS ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
TOWARDS DAWN. THIS WILL HELP TO FINALLY PUSH THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE EAST OF THE AREA...THEN IT IS BACK TO APRIL.

DEEPENING LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL RESULT IN
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. DEEPENING
LEE CYCLONE OVER SE COLORADO WILL RESULT IN A STRENGTHENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT TOMORROW AFTERNOON...BUT NVA IN THE WAKE OF
TONIGHTS SHORTWAVE WILL KEEP WINDS DOWN IN THE BREEZY CATEGORY.
ENOUGH FOR RED FLAG CRITERIA... BUT NOT ENOUGH FOR WIND ADVISORY.

WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER ON FRIDAY...FLIRTING WITH WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO. ON SATURDAY...
CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL SWING ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS...WITH STRONG
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SURFACE PACIFIC COLD FRONT TRAILING INTO
SOUTHERN ARIZONA. LEE CYCLONE WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY...SETTING UP AN
EVEN STRONGER PRESSURE GRADIENT. STRONG PVA AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM
WILL BE WELL TIMED WITH PEAK HEATING/MIXING. LOW LEVEL WINDS
AROUND 45 KNOTS SUGGESTS HIGH-END ADVISORY EVENT WITH EAST-SLOPE
WARNINGS OR PERHAPS EVEN AN AREA-WIDE HIGH WIND EVENT IS IN THE
MAKING FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. BLOWING DUST IS LIKELY AS WELL...
DESPITE RAIN OVER NORTHERN CHIHUAHUA THE PAST FEW DAYS.

NAM/GFS SUGGEST SOME LIMITED MOISTURE WILL ATTEMPT TO MAKE IT
INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO... WITH SCATTERED MOUNTAIN SHOWERS
EXPECTED...AND EVEN AN ISOLATED LOWLAND SHOWER POSSIBLE WEST OF
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

UPPER LOW WILL SLOW DOWN OVER COLORADO THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
KEEPING COOLER TEMPERATURES IN PLACE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A FEW
SPOTTY WRAP- AROUND SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
KEPT THE LOW- END SLIGHT CHANCE POPS GOING FOR NOW. COOLER AIR
WILL RESULT IN SNOW LEVELS DROPPING TO AROUND 7500 FEET POST-
FROPA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
LOOK UNLIKELY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 12/00Z-13/00Z.
VFR WITH SKY THRU PD MOSTLY SCT070 SCT100-140 AND SCT-BKN250.
EXCEPTION E OF A RUIDOSO FT HANCOCK LINE TIL 06Z WHERE ISOLD TO
SCT -TSRAGS BKN050 BKN-0VC100 3-6SM VSBY VRB OUTFLOW WINDS
30-45KTS WITH BLDU VCNTY. BRIEF MVFR/IFR IN TSTMS. GENERAL SFC
WINDS 22020G30KTS TIL APPX 09Z WITH OCNL HIR GUSTS E SLOPES THEN
26012KTS BECOMING AFTER 18Z 24025G35KTS. OCNL MDT TURBC OVR/NR
MTNS/E SLOPES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
RED FLAG WARNINGS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING ALL AREAS
EXCEPT ZONES 113 AND 56. FIRE WEATHER WATCH ALL AREAS THURSDAY.
RED FLAG CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE LIKELY FOR FRIDAY ALL AREAS WITH
EVEN STRONGER WINDS BUT MARGINAL FOR SATURDAY AS HUMIDITY LEVELS
MAY BE A BIT TOO HIGH. AN INCREASING WINDY SPRING-LIKE PATTERN
WILL BE SETTING UP TODAY AND LASTING INTO SATURDAY. WEST SOUTHWEST
WINDS ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE WEST. RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL BE MOSTLY FLUSHED OUT OF THE AREA TODAY AS WESTERLY WINDS
INCREASE FROM THE WEST EASTWARD. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL STILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER OTERO AND
HUDSPETH COUNTIES. WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON AND
AGAIN ON THURSDAY AND VERY WINDY BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE
UPPER LOW OFF THE WEST COAST WILL GRADUALLY MOVE TO OVER ARIZONA.
THIS WILL INCREASE WINDS AND CREATE SOME LOW ELEVATION BLOWING
DUST. THIS UPPER LOW WILL ALSO GIVE AREAS WEST OF DEMING A CHANCE
OF RAIN SATURDAY AND THEN MOST OF THE BORDERLAND A CHANCE OF RAIN
ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL ALL THIS WEEK AND
BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL COOL TO WELL BELOW NORMAL...WITH SOME
LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 60  81  56  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           55  79  53  82  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              54  77  46  79  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              55  78  48  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              41  57  36  59  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   50  75  47  75  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             45  65  40  65  42 /   0   0   0   0  10
DEMING                  48  76  41  77  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               46  74  41  76  42 /   0   0   0   0  10
WEST EL PASO METRO      58  80  56  79  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               53  82  43  83  47 /  10   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            57  83  53  84  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              56  74  52  75  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  56  82  54  82  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            55  80  48  80  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          55  77  54  79  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           48  77  38  78  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   50  76  42  78  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                51  78  46  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               58  81  53  80  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 45  67  39  66  39 /  10   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               43  64  34  66  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                45  67  37  69  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 41  65  39  64  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               48  71  45  71  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               52  76  46  76  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            38  65  31  68  33 /   0   0   0   0  10
HURLEY                  43  67  38  71  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   40  70  36  71  37 /   0   0   0   0  10
MULE CREEK              41  64  33  65  36 /   0   0   0   0  10
FAYWOOD                 42  70  38  71  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  49  75  42  75  43 /   0   0   0   0  10
HACHITA                 43  78  38  78  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          47  77  42  80  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              47  72  41  72  45 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR NMZ110>112.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR NMZ110>113.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ055.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR TXZ055-056.

&&

25-HARDIMAN/20-NOVLAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
635 AM MDT WED APR 11 2012

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-121330-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
635 AM MDT WED APR 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN
HUDSPETH AND OTERO COUNTIES. AFTERNOON WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. OTHERWISE
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

BREEZY AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY. WINDY ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH
AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. CHANCE OF MOUNTAIN SHOWERS SATURDAY AND REST
OF AREA ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

HEFNER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
255 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0249 PM     HAIL             2 SE TIMBERON           32.62N 105.66W
04/11/2012  E0.50 INCH       OTERO              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1200095

TRIPOLI