Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2012

River Flood Warning 38, NWS Kansas City, MO

April 30, 2012Cooper County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Apr 30, 2012, 7:23 AM CDT for Cooper County, Missouri. It took effect at Apr 30, 2012, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 17 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Apr 30, 2012, 7:23 AM CDT (12:23 UTC)
In effect from: Apr 30, 2012, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired: May 1, 2012, 5:35 AM CDT
In force: 17 hr
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity: Minor

County Cooper County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Lamine River near Otterville (OTTM7). The gauge peaked at 16.84 ft at Apr 30, 2012, 11:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 10 ft
Minor stage: 15 ft
Moderate stage: 18 ft
Major stage: 26 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06906800, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

646 
WGUS43 KEAX 301223
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
723 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012
  
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... 

  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-011223-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0038.120430T1800Z-120502T0038Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.120430T1800Z.120501T0000Z.120501T0038Z.NO/
723 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 15.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15    6.8   MON 06 AM   15.3 THIS EVENING

$$
SAW

5 follow-up statements

174 
WGUS83 KEAX 301352
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
852 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE AFFECTING HOWARD COUNTY.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI... 

  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-011352-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0038.120430T1800Z-120502T0038Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.120430T1800Z.120501T0000Z.120501T0038Z.NO/
852 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 15.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15    9.0   MON 08 AM   15.3 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC089-011351-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-120501T1700Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.120430T0535Z.120430T1200Z.120430T1700Z.UU/
852 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FIELDS ALONG MONITEAU CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MONITEAU CREEK
  FAYETTE         16   18.6   MON 08 AM   18.4 LATE THIS MORNING

$$

296 
WGUS83 KEAX 301918
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
218 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE AFFECTING HOWARD COUNTY.

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-011918-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120502T0021Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.120430T2255Z.120501T0000Z.120501T0021Z.NO/
218 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   14.1   MON 01 PM   15.2 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC089-011917-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-120501T2047Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.120430T0535Z.120430T1200Z.120430T2047Z.UU/
218 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FIELDS ALONG MONITEAU CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MONITEAU CREEK
  FAYETTE         16   17.9   MON 01 PM   16.8 LATE THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-011917-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-120502T0954Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.120430T0758Z.120501T0000Z.120501T0954Z.UU/
218 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  1:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   19.0   MON 01 PM   19.5 THIS EVENING

$$

846 
WGUS83 KEAX 010057
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
757 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-020057-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120502T0730Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.120430T1928Z.120501T0015Z.120501T0730Z.NO/
757 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   16.5   MON 07 PM   16.1 EARLY TUE MORNING

$$

MOC053-020056-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-120502T1224Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.120430T0758Z.120501T0030Z.120501T1224Z.UU/
757 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   20.3   MON 07 PM   19.8 EARLY TUE MORNING

$$

931 
WGUS83 KEAX 010707
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
207 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-020707-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120502T1320Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.120430T1928Z.120501T0400Z.120501T1320Z.NO/
207 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   16.6   TUE 01 AM   15.9 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC053-020706-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-120502T2015Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.120430T0758Z.120501T1200Z.120501T2015Z.UU/
207 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.3 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   20.6   TUE 01 AM   21.3 THIS MORNING

$$

887 
WGUS83 KEAX 011035
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
535 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-011105-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120502T1320Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.120430T1928Z.120501T0400Z.120501T0853Z.NO/
535 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* AT  5:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  3:53 AM TUESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY
  MORNING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   13.6   TUE 05 AM   10.7 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC053-021034-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-120502T2222Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.120430T0758Z.120501T0530Z.120501T2222Z.UU/
535 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   20.5   TUE 04 AM   20.2 THIS MORNING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 30, 6:31 AM CDT, 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 6:31 AM CDT, 52 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
631 AM CDT Mon Apr 30 2012

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...

40-kt low level jet continues to drive a large convective complex
across the Ozarks early this morning with the heaviest convection
shifting well south of the forecast area. This will continue to be
the trend through mid morning as the jet weakens and shifts south and
east. Stratiform rain shield to the north will continue to produce
rainfall rates between one and two tenths of an inch per hour across
the far southern parts of the forecast area for the next few hours.
This may increase some of the runoff occurring across these areas but
in general the threat for any additional flooding rains has ended for
at least the next 12 hours.

Rain shield will gradually exit the area later this morning with dry
conditions overspreading the entire forecast area this afternoon as
a weak upper impulse pushes into the Mississippi Valley. Behind this
wave, sharply veering low level flow will cause a warm front to lift
out of the Ozarks into northern Missouri by late afternoon. This will
bring temps into the 70s across much the forecast area. A weak low
level jet will redevelop across the eastern Plains later tonight and
nose into the southwest forecast area toward 09Z. This combined with
another weak upper level impulse tracking into central and southern
Missouri will likely lead to another round of overnight convection
across the Ozarks and possibly as far north as central Missouri.
Better moisture convergence and low-level moisture transport may stay
focused across southern Missouri, keeping the threat for heavy
convective rains just south of the forecast area. Therefore opted
against a flash flood watch for any of our counties tonight. However,
later shifts may need to consider issuing a watch across the far
southern counties if later model runs indicate thunderstorms could
spread any further north, especially since saturated soils across
those areas can tolerate very little additional moisture.

After tonight's shortwave exits the area on Tuesday, height rises
over the eastern US will allow much warmer temperatures to spread
into the Plains and Missouri Valley while the storm track begins to
shift further north into the Upper Midwest. A continued parade of
weak systems within quasi-zonal upper flow will maintain periodic
thunderstorm chances across parts of Nebraska and Iowa Tuesday night
through Friday. Some of this activity could affect northern parts of
Missouri at any time through this period depending on the strength of
capping this far south. Could see one or more MCSs impact the
northern zones during this time period, particularly Wednesday night
and again Thursday night. Meanwhile, 850 hPa temps are forecast to
rise into the 18C-22C range by Thurs and remain anomalously warm
through the weekend. This will bring much-above average temperatures
by later this week with highs in the mid to upper 80s lasting through
the weekend.

Hawblitzel

&&

.AVIATION...

For the 12Z TAFs...convective line continues to push well to the
south of the western MO TAF sites, with widespread IFR and LIFR cigs
to the north. Warm front to the south will slowly move north today
and reach near an MCI-COU line by mid to late afternoon. Until this
front passes, expect IFR cigs to continue for much of the day
especially given the copious boundary layer moisture in place.
Another convective complex may develop late in the TAF period
impacting parts of western, central and southern Missouri. Currently
expect the heaviest activity to stay south of the KC terminals.

Hawblitzel

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

WFO EAX

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 30, 4:56 AM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
456 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-011000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
456 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF
I-70. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD
LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING PROBLEMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSOURI. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE STORM TRACK WILL BRING THE HIGHEST CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS INTO NEBRASKA AND IOWA TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME
OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY REACH AS FAR SOUTH AS NORTHERN
MISSOURI...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. IT IS
TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF ANY OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

HAWBLITZEL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 29, 10:13 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Carroll, Chariton, Linn, Macon, Randolph	6 hr
Apr 29, 10:41 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Cooper, Howard, Pettis, Saline	3 hr
Apr 29, 10:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Pettis	25 min
Apr 29, 11:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Cooper, Howard, Pettis, Saline	6 hr
Apr 29, 11:53 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Howard	19 hr
Apr 30, 12:08 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Bates, Henry, Johnson	6 hr
Apr 30, 1:00 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Cooper	52 hr
Apr 30, 5:35 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	EAX	Cooper, Howard, Pettis, Saline	10 hr
Apr 30, 7:05 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Johnson, Pettis	8 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2012 Every river flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.