Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2012
River Flood Warning 12, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 22, 2012, 2:37 AM CDT for Linn County, Kansas. It was in force for 49 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 22, 2012, 2:37 AM CDT (07:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 24, 2012, 4:02 AM CDT
- In force
- 49 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Linn County, KS
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Marais Des Cygnes River at La Cygne (LCGK1). The gauge peaked at 25.94 ft at Mar 23, 2012, 8:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 20 ft
- Minor stage
- 25 ft
- Moderate stage
- 30 ft
- Major stage
- 36 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06915800, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
061
WGUS43 KEAX 220738
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
237 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE AFFECTING LINN COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
KSC107-230737-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0012.120322T0737Z-120323T0839Z/
/LCGK1.1.ER.120322T0726Z.120322T0755Z.120322T0839Z.NO/
237 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 2:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO NEAR 25.2 FEET BY EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATER THIS
MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARMLAND AND OTHER RURAL LAND FLOODS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
LA CYGNE 25 24.9 THU 02 AM 25.2 AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS
MORNING
$$7 follow-up statements
239
WGUS83 KEAX 220739
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
239 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...
BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN AFFECTING CASS...HENRY AND JOHNSON
COUNTIES.
LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.
MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE AFFECTING HOWARD COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...
PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...KANSAS...
BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING JOHNSON AND PETTIS
COUNTIES.
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE
COUNTIES.
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE AFFECTING LINN COUNTY.
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH AFFECTING BATES...CASS AND HENRY
COUNTIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC037-083-101-220809-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120323T0815Z/
/BLRM7.1.ER.120320T0658Z.120321T1400Z.120322T0450Z.UU/
239 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* AT 2:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:50 PM WEDNESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 15.8 FEET BY FRIDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BIG CREEK
BLAIRSTOWN 20 19.6 THU 02 AM 19.1 THIS MORNING
$$
MOC101-159-230738-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120323T1336Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.120320T1051Z.120321T2115Z.120322T1336Z.NO/
239 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 2:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS MORNING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
VALLEY CITY 22 23.8 THU 02 AM 22.4 THIS MORNING
$$
MOC053-195-230738-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120326T0530Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.120321T0636Z.120324T0000Z.120325T0530Z.NO/
239 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 1:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY
FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 26.4 THU 02 AM 27.0 FRIDAY EVENING
$$
MOC053-220809-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120323T0636Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.120321T1600Z.120321T2215Z.120322T0322Z.NO/
239 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* AT 2:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10:22 PM WEDNESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.3 FEET BY FRIDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
LAMINE RIVER
OTTERVILLE 15 12.2 THU 02 AM 10.8 THIS MORNING
$$
KSC107-230738-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120323T0839Z/
/LCGK1.1.ER.120322T0726Z.120322T0755Z.120322T0839Z.NO/
239 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 2:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING
AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.2 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARMLAND AND OTHER RURAL LAND FLOODS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
LA CYGNE 25 24.9 THU 02 AM 25.2 AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS
MORNING
$$
MOC089-220809-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120323T0410Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.120321T1146Z.120321T2015Z.120322T0408Z.UU/
239 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE.
* AT 2:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:08 PM WEDNESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 7.6 FEET BY FRIDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MONITEAU CREEK
FAYETTE 16 12.8 THU 02 AM 12.8 EARLY THIS MORNING
$$
MOC053-230738-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120323T2206Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.120321T1206Z.120322T0515Z.120322T2206Z.UU/
239 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
PETITE SALINE CREEK
BOONVILLE 16 18.3 THU 01 AM 18.2 THIS MORNING
$$
MOC013-037-083-230738-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120324T0840Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.120321T1239Z.120323T0840Z.UU/
239 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 26.9 WED 07 PM 26.0 THIS MORNING
$$470
WGUS83 KEAX 221334
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
834 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...
MISSOURI...
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE AFFECTING LINN COUNTY.
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER NEAR TRADING POST AFFECTING LINN AND BATES
COUNTIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
KSC107-231334-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120324T0730Z/
/LCGK1.1.ER.120322T0800Z.120322T1800Z.120323T0730Z.NO/
834 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.7 FEET BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARMLAND AND OTHER RURAL LAND FLOODS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
LA CYGNE 25 25.5 THU 08 AM 25.7 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
KSC107-MOC013-231333-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120323T2230Z/
/TPOK1.1.ER.120322T1304Z.120322T1800Z.120322T2230Z.UU/
834 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER NEAR TRADING POST.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.3 FEET BY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 27.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING FARMLAND OCCURS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
TRADING POST 27 27.0 THU 08 AM 27.3 EARLY AFTERNOON
$$
SAW143
WGUS83 KEAX 230055
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
755 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI AND KANSAS...
BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING JOHNSON AND PETTIS
COUNTIES.
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER NEAR TRADING POST AFFECTING LINN AND BATES
COUNTIES.
PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI AND KANSAS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE
COUNTIES.
GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON
AND LINN COUNTIES.
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE AFFECTING LINN COUNTY KANSAS.
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH AFFECTING BATES...CASS AND HENRY
COUNTIES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH THIS EVENING WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE FORECAST STAGES AND CRESTS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC101-159-230125-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120323T1936Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.120320T1051Z.120321T2115Z.120322T1807Z.NO/
755 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* AT 7:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 17.2 FEET BY SATURDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
VALLEY CITY 22 20.1 THU 07 PM 18.4 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
$$
MOC053-195-240054-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120327T0730Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.120321T0636Z.120323T1800Z.120326T0730Z.NO/
755 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.1 FEET BY
EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 27.0 THU 07 PM 27.1 EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-240054-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0014.120323T0600Z-120324T0649Z/
/SNZM7.1.ER.120323T0600Z.120323T0600Z.120323T0649Z.NO/
755 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.1 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE
RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
SUMNER 26 25.0 THU 07 PM 26.1 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
$$
KSC107-240054-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120324T0730Z/
/LCGK1.1.ER.120322T0800Z.120322T1730Z.120323T0730Z.NO/
755 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARMLAND AND OTHER RURAL LAND FLOODS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
LA CYGNE 25 25.7 THU 07 PM 25.2 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
$$
KSC107-MOC013-230125-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120323T2230Z/
/TPOK1.1.ER.120322T1326Z.120322T1330Z.120322T1337Z.UU/
755 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER NEAR TRADING POST.
* AT 6:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8:30 AM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 22.4 FEET BY SATURDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
TRADING POST 27 26.8 THU 07 PM 26.2 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
$$
MOC053-230125-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120323T1654Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.120321T1206Z.120322T0515Z.120322T1827Z.UU/
755 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT 7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1:30 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 10.6 FEET BY SATURDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
PETITE SALINE CREEK
BOONVILLE 16 14.6 THU 07 PM 13.4 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
$$
MOC013-037-083-240054-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120325T1200Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.120321T1239Z.120324T1200Z.UU/
755 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 26.1 THU 03 PM 25.8 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
$$276
WGUS83 KEAX 230927
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
427 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...
GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON
AND LINN COUNTIES.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...KANSAS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE
COUNTIES.
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE AFFECTING LINN COUNTY.
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH AFFECTING BATES...CASS AND HENRY
COUNTIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-240927-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120327T1108Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.120321T0636Z.120324T0000Z.120326T1108Z.NO/
427 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 3:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.2 FEET BY THIS
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 27.2 FRI 04 AM 27.2 THIS EVENING
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-230957-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120324T0649Z/
/SNZM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
427 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT 3:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 25.1 FEET. THE
RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 22.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
SUMNER 26 24.6 FRI 04 AM 24.5 THIS MORNING
$$
KSC107-240926-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120324T1830Z/
/LCGK1.1.ER.120322T0800Z.120323T0815Z.120323T1830Z.NO/
427 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARMLAND AND OTHER RURAL LAND FLOODS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
LA CYGNE 25 25.8 FRI 03 AM 25.7 THIS MORNING
$$
MOC013-037-083-240926-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120325T1600Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.120321T1239Z.120324T1600Z.UU/
427 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 2:41 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 26.1 THU 03 PM 25.4 THIS MORNING
$$206
WGUS83 KEAX 231506
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1006 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...KANSAS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE
COUNTIES.
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE AFFECTING LINN COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-241506-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120327T0500Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.120321T0636Z.120323T1445Z.120326T0500Z.NO/
1006 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 27.4 FRI 10 AM 27.3 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
KSC107-241505-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120325T1312Z/
/LCGK1.1.ER.120322T0800Z.120323T1230Z.120324T1312Z.NO/
1006 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARMLAND AND OTHER RURAL LAND FLOODS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
LA CYGNE 25 25.8 FRI 09 AM 25.7 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
ACH338
WGUS83 KEAX 240207
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
907 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE
COUNTIES.
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE AFFECTING LINN COUNTY KANSAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-250207-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120328T0536Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.120321T0636Z.120324T1200Z.120327T0536Z.NO/
907 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.8 FEET BY
SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 28.5 FRI 09 PM 28.8 SATURDAY MORNING
$$
KSC107-250206-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120325T0600Z/
/LCGK1.1.ER.120322T0800Z.120323T1230Z.120324T0600Z.NO/
907 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARMLAND AND OTHER RURAL LAND FLOODS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
LA CYGNE 25 25.3 FRI 08 PM 25.0 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
$$437
WGUS83 KEAX 240902
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
402 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
KANSAS...
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE AFFECTING LINN COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...
LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE
COUNTIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-250902-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120328T0536Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.120321T0636Z.120324T0830Z.120327T0536Z.NO/
402 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 3:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 29.0 FEET...LIVESTOCK IN PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE
ENDANGERED. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ALSO OCCURS TO CROPLAND AND PASTURE.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 29.4 SAT 04 AM 28.8 THIS MORNING
$$
MOC053-250901-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120325T1203Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.120324T0404Z.120324T0815Z.120324T1203Z.NO/
402 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 3:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
LAMINE RIVER
OTTERVILLE 15 15.6 SAT 03 AM 15.0 THIS MORNING
$$
KSC107-240932-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120325T0600Z/
/LCGK1.1.ER.120322T0800Z.120323T1230Z.120324T0700Z.NO/
402 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER AT LA CYGNE.
* AT 3:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 2:00 AM SATURDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 18.7 FEET BY SUNDAY
MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARMLAND AND OTHER RURAL LAND FLOODS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
MARAIS DES CYGNES RIVER
LA CYGNE 25 24.9 SAT 03 AM 24.3 THIS MORNING
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 22, 12:11 AM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 22, 12:11 AM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1211 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012 ...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION... .DISCUSSION... /319 PM CDT Wed Mar 21 2012/ Latest band of rain continues to rotate northward through the CWA this afternoon as closed low over Oklahoma begins to wobble northeast. WV imagery indicates another expansive dry slot beginning to surge in behind this elongated band of precipitation and south of an inverted trough stretching from Manhattan to Springfield. Rainfall rates, absent of any convection, have ranged between .10-.25 in/hr which is precluding much in the way of additional flooding. Through the afternoon and tonight: Initial wave of precipitation lifting into the northern CWA this afternoon. Additional shower activity on the leading edge of dry slot will continue to lift northward through the area this evening, however much of the upper dynamics will shift heavier precipitation in central Kansas and into the mid-Mississippi River valley. The end result will be scattered shower development. Edge of dry slot and surface inverted trough will rotate into northern Missouri by midnight. There could be a brief period of drizzle directly in behind the sfc trough, otherwise expect skies to lift somewhat as we move into daybreak. If skies clear significantly, areas of fog may also develop. Given substantial lull in precipitation this morning along, meager rainfall rates, lower forecast QPF this evening, and the fact that many river points are already in flood will go ahead and cancel flood watch early as areal impacts should be minimal. Thursday: Upper level low is expected to slowly wobble towards lower Missouri. In fact, much of Thursday may end up dry in the majority of the CWA. However, by the afternoon hours forecast soundings suggest steepening lapse rates as upper level cold core approaches from the southwest. Should we see sunshine tomorrow, it's possible to have CAPE values approach 500-800 J/KG. The approaching upper low should provide enough spark for low topped convection in the afternoon and evening. Hail would be the primary threat in convection as the freezing level falls around 7k ft AGL. Thursday night-Friday: Models differ on the track and speed of the upper low, however scattered convection could percolate all night and redevelop again over central Missouri Friday afternoon. Once again, hail would be the primary threat, but will need to keep a closer eye on surface features. Medium Range (Saturday through Wednesday)... Closed mid level vortex will finally depart the region early Saturday, with heights rapidly building ahead of a strengthening shortwave ridge across the western Plains. The transitional speed from cyclonic to neutral to anticyclonic flow aloft is quite impressive, and by Saturday afternoon this process has already completed. Generally stayed the course with a rapid warm up through the weekend into Monday, with Monday and Monday night expected to be the warmest of the days as strengthening southerly winds deliver mid to upper teens air aloft at the base of the EML. This would perhaps suggest that low-mid 80s would be the rule analogous to last week, but abundant boundary layer/ground moisture will likely still be present with light winds in the earlier periods. Still, upper 70s to around 80 degrees will put us again back close to record territory. A weak northern stream trough and associated front will draw toward the area Tuesday. Much like this past Monday, I'm concerned that areas ahead of this boundary could warm up well into the 70s if not around 80 once again and have trended in this direction. This would also tend to increase thunderstorm potential with the arrival of the boundary. Veered warm sector flow and the positive tilt nature to the fast moving upper trough may mitigate the severe potential, but a seasonably moist airmass and strong westerlies aloft warrant at least a closer watch on this system over the coming days. Bookbinder && .AVIATION... For the 06z TAFs: one last band of showers arcing from central through northwest MO will affect KSTJ for several more hours before shifting north. Southern edge of rain may nick KMCI in the first hour of the forecast. The occluded front has lifted north through all 3 terminals and winds will now be predominantly from the southeast for most of the forecast. Surface heating and tightening gradient should result in mid teen winds by mid morning. Some concern for dense fog forming overnight as UPS fog program hints at it for all 3 terminals. However, there is quite a bit of cloud cover still rotating around the closed system over OK that may not allow sufficient clearing to cool the boundary layer. More likely outcome is for MVFR fog/stratus to form. This should break up by mid morning yielding way to VFR conditions for rest of forecast. Next concern is potential for late afternoon/evening convection. As the cold core system heads towards west central MO expect to see scattered afternoon convection form in the eastern/northern quads of the system with activity rotating westward. Have sufficient confidence that feel justified to go with a PROB30 group vs just carrying a CB reference. MJ && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. && WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 21, 6:59 PM CDT, 7 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 659 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-221115- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 659 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG MAY FORM OVER PARTS OF EXTREME EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI TOWARDS SUNRISE WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING AS LOW AS 1 TO 2 MILES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BY MID-THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM ST. JOSEPH TO BOONVILLE. VERY COLD AIR ALOFT COMBINING WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY MAY LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...WITH HIGHER PROBABILITIES OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THE PRIMARY THREAT IN ANY THUNDERSTORM WILL BE HAIL WITH A SECONDARY THREAT FOR GUSTY WINDS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO THURSDAY EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MJ
The office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 6:01 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Linn | 14 hr |
| Mar 22, 4:35 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Atchison, Leavenworth, Wyandotte | 40 min |
| Mar 22, 5:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Atchison, Doniphan | 44 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2012Every river flood warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.