Alert archive / Missouri / Flood Watches in 2012
Flood Watch 1, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this flood watch at Mar 18, 2012, 3:28 AM CDT for 7 counties in Kansas; 37 counties in Missouri. It took effect at Mar 19, 2012, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 51 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 18, 2012, 3:28 AM CDT (08:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 19, 2012, 12:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 21, 2012, 3:24 PM CDT
- In force
- 51 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Flood severity
- None
All 44 counties
Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2040 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -32 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 956 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 54 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 154 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
633 WGUS63 KEAX 180828 FFAEAX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 328 AM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS WEEK... .A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL SHIFT INTO THE PLAINS STATES AT THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL TAP A LOT OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE FROM THE GULF AND EASTERN PACIFIC...BRINGING SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. THIS MAY RESULT IN RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 INCHES OR MORE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH RAIN TO SEND MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE REGION INTO FLOOD...WITH THE LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY FLOODING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-181800- /O.NEW.KEAX.FA.A.0001.120319T1700Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO... ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON... HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS... RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER... RICH HILL...CLINTON 328 AM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN... JOHNSON KS...LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN... CALDWELL...CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON... COOPER...DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON... HENRY...HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE... LINN MO...LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS... PLATTE...PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER... SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION BETWEEN MONDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING. WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM THREE TO FIVE INCHES OR MORE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ CUTTER
11 follow-up statements
711 WGUS63 KEAX 182002 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 302 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS WEEK... .A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AND STALL OVER THE PLAINS EARLY THIS WEEK...STREAMING DEEP MOISTURE INTO THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL YIELD SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY RESULT IN RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 INCHES OR MORE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. DESPITE THE RECENT DRY WEATHER...THIS WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH RAIN TO SEND MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE REGION INTO FLOOD... WITH THE LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY FLOODING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-190415- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.120319T1700Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO... ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON... HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS... RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER... RICH HILL...CLINTON 302 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS... LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI... ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL... CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER... DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY... HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO... LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE... PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF HEAVY AND POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS... CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ BOOKBINDER
793 WGUS63 KEAX 190233 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 933 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS WEEK... .A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AND STALL OVER THE PLAINS EARLY THIS WEEK...STREAMING DEEP MOISTURE INTO THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL YIELD SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY RESULT IN RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OR MORE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. DESPITE THE RECENT DRY WEATHER...THIS WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH RAIN TO SEND MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE REGION INTO FLOOD... WITH THE LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY FLOODING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-191200- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.120319T1700Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO... ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON... HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS... RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER... RICH HILL...CLINTON 933 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS... LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI... ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL... CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER... DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY... HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO... LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE... PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF HEAVY AND POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS... CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ CDB
293 WGUS63 KEAX 190839 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 339 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS WEEK... .A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AND STALL OVER THE PLAINS EARLY THIS WEEK...STREAMING VAST AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL YIELD SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY RESULT IN RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OR MORE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. DESPITE THE RECENT DRY WEATHER...THIS WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH RAIN TO SEND MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE REGION INTO FLOOD...WITH THE LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY FLOODING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-191645- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.120319T1700Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO... ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON... HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS... RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER... RICH HILL...CLINTON 339 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS... LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI... ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL... CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER... DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY... HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO... LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE... PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FOUR INCHES...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ CUTTER
592 WGUS63 KEAX 191728 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1228 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS WEEK... .A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AND STALL OVER THE PLAINS EARLY THIS WEEK...STREAMING VAST AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL YIELD SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY RESULT IN RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OR MORE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. DESPITE THE RECENT DRY WEATHER...THIS WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH RAIN TO SEND MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE REGION INTO FLOOD...WITH THE LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY FLOODING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-200130- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO... ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON... HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS... RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER... RICH HILL...CLINTON 1228 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS... LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI... ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL... CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER... DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY... HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO... LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE... PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FIVE INCHES...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$
039 WGUS63 KEAX 200110 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 810 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING LIKELY THIS WEEK... .A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AND STALL OVER THE PLAINS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...STREAMING VAST AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL YIELD SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY RESULT IN RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OR MORE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH TO SEND MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE REGION INTO FLOOD...WITH THE LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY FLOODING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-201100- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO... ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON... HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS... RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER... RICH HILL...CLINTON 810 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS... LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI... ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL... CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER... DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY... HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO... LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE... PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FIVE INCHES...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$
038 WGUS63 KEAX 200902 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 402 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING REMAIN LIKELY THIS WEEK... .A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STREAMING VAST AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO FOR ANOTHER TWO DAYS. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL YIELD SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY RESULT IN RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OR MORE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH TO SEND MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE REGION INTO FLOOD...WITH THE LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY FLOODING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-201715- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO... ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON... HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS... RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER... RICH HILL...CLINTON 402 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS... LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI... ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL... CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER... DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY... HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO... LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE... PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD AREAS OF EASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN FROM THE STORM ACTIVITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS RAIN HAS PRIMED THE REGION FOR MORE FLOODING AS SEVERAL MORE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FIVE INCHES...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ CUTTER
602 WGUS63 KEAX 201714 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1214 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING REMAIN LIKELY THIS WEEK... .A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STREAM VAST AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL YIELD SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS OF THIS MORNING...PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA HAD ALREADY RECEIVED NUMEROUS REPORTS RANGING FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS BY LATE WEDNESDAY MAY REACH 2 TO 5 INCHES OR MORE...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH TO SEND MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE REGION INTO FLOOD...WITH THE LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY FLOODING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-210115- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO... ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON... HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS... RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER... RICH HILL...CLINTON 1214 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS... LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI... ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL... CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER... DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY... HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO... LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE... PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD AREAS OF EASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES OF RAIN FROM THE STORM ACTIVITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS RAIN HAS PRIMED THE REGION FOR MORE FLOODING AS SEVERAL MORE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FIVE INCHES...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS... CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$
074 WGUS63 KEAX 210243 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 943 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING REMAIN LIKELY THIS WEEK... .A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STREAM VAST AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL YIELD SEVERAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS OF THIS MORNING...PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA HAD ALREADY RECEIVED NUMEROUS REPORTS RANGING FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS BY LATE WEDNESDAY MAY REACH 2 TO 5 INCHES OR MORE...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH TO SEND MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE REGION INTO FLOOD...WITH THE LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS POSSIBLY FLOODING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-211045- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO... ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON... HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS... RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER... RICH HILL...CLINTON 943 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS... LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI... ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL... CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER... DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY... HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO... LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE... PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING * A LARGE AREA OF RAIN EXTENDED FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH NORTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING...AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE AND EVEN SHIFT BACK TO THE WEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL FALL ACROSS MID MISSOURI OVERNIGHT...WITH ANOTHER INCH TO INCH AND A HALF EXPECTED BETWEEN 7 PM AND DAYBREAK. AMOUNTS WILL DECREASE FURTHER NORTH AND WEST. THE AXIS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL SLOWLY SHIFT WEST ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH STORM TOTALS SINCE MONDAY LIKELY BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF A KANSAS CITY TO MACON LINE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS... CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS VERY CLOSELY INTO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR AREAL FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. FLOODING OF SMALLER CREEKS...STREAMS AND TRIBUTARIES IS LIKELY BASED ON THESE FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ BOOKBINDER
808 WGUS63 KEAX 210902 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 402 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING REMAIN POSSIBLE TODAY... .OCCASIONAL RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FALLING ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. THIS RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SEND SEVERAL STREAMS AND RIVERS INTO FLOOD. MOZ001-002-007-008-011-017-211015- /O.CAN.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ADAIR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE... UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...MOUND CITY...OREGON... KIRKSVILLE 402 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SINCE MONDAY HAVE GENERALLY REMAINED UNDER AN INCH. WHILE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...FLOODING RAINS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. $$ KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ003>006-012>016-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-211715- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS- GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO- MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE- SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY... LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE... GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...PRINCETON... SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN... GREEN CITY...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON... POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...PARKVILLE... PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND... CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY... INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE... NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL... WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON 402 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS... LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI... ANDREW...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL...CARROLL...CASS... CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER...DAVIESS...DE KALB... GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON... JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO...LIVINGSTON...MACON... MERCER...PETTIS...PLATTE...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SULLIVAN AND WORTH. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING ANYWHERE FROM A HALF INCH TO TWO INCHES. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-70. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS... CREEKS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS MAY BECOME INUNDATED AS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD A FLOOD WARNING BE ISSUED. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR AREAL FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. FLOODING OF SMALLER CREEKS...STREAMS AND TRIBUTARIES IS LIKELY BASED ON THESE FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ HAWBLITZEL
931 WGUS63 KEAX 211602 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1102 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...EXCESSIVE RAIN AND FLOODING REMAIN POSSIBLE TODAY... .OCCASIONAL RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FALLING ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. THIS RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SEND SEVERAL STREAMS AND RIVERS INTO FLOOD. KSZ025-102-MOZ003>006-012>016-020>025-033-211715- /O.CAN.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-ANDREW-DE KALB- DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON- LINN MO-MACON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...GRANT CITY...ALBANY... STANBERRY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN... JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...ST. JOSEPH... PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE... BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...MOBERLY 1102 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...RAINFALL RATES AND AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...WHICH WILL PRECLUDE A WIDESPREAD FLOODING THREAT. $$ KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ028>032-037>040-043>046-053-054-220015- /O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY- CARROLL-CHARITON-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO- PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...LEAVENWORTH... KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PARKVILLE... PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND... CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...KANSAS CITY... INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE... NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL... WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON 1102 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...JOHNSON KS...LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...BATES...CARROLL...CASS... CHARITON...CLAY...COOPER...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...PETTIS...PLATTE...RAY AND SALINE. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-70. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS...AND MAY INCREASE ALREADY ONGOING FLOODING ON LARGER RIVERS. * LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS MAY BECOME INUNDATED AS RAIN FALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ANYONE WITH PROPERTY OR LIVESTOCK LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD A FLOOD WARNING BE ISSUED. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR AREAL FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. FLOODING OF SMALLER CREEKS...STREAMS AND TRIBUTARIES IS LIKELY BASED ON THESE FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ DUX
455 WGUS63 KEAX 212024 FFAEAX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 324 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ028>032-037>040-043>046-053-054-212130- /O.CAN.KEAX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-120322T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY- CARROLL-CHARITON-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO- PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...LEAVENWORTH... KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PARKVILLE... PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND... CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...KANSAS CITY... INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE... NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL... WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON 324 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...HOWEVER RAINFALL RATES AND AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE NEW FLOODING. AREA STREAMS...CREEKS...AND LARGER RIVERS MAY REMAIN ELEVATED INTO THIS WEEKEND. $$ 31
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 17, 11:58 PM CDT, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 11:58 PM CDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1158 PM CDT Sat Mar 17 2012 ...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION... .DISCUSSION... Short Term (Tonight through Monday Night)... Center of compact shortwave trough now located near Marshall per visible satellite imagery, with widespread thunderstorm activity largely shifted into east central MO. The best lift remains focused in the southeast quadrant of this system, suggesting the overall convective potential remains quite low over the CWA this afternoon, and have left nothing more than a paltry 15-20% POP for showers over the far eastern counties through 00Z. Elsewhere, day 3 of Kansas stratus has largely burned off into a shallow Cu field yet again, with the greatest coverage over the far SW CWA. We should come close to record highs yet again, but may fall just short. However, record warm minimums for the day should be shattered as breezy south winds persist through this evening (morning lows were in the mid 60s). Sunday looks to be more or less another repeat of today. Certainly could see some stratus develop early tomorrow morning and the backing mid level flow overall should provide an increase in overall moisture, perhaps yielding more clouds and knocking down temperatures a couple degrees. Additionally, water vapor loop suggests another shortwave has emerged across the nrn Mexico mountains into western Texas this afternoon along the northern periphery of the southern stream. Models have done terribly the past few days with these extremely small features, but this is yet another ripple in the flow that could provide a slight chance for thunderstorms across the southern CWA tomorrow. A substantial increase in deep layer moisture will begin to spread into the region Sunday night as a powerful and highly amplified longwave trough shifts into the Rockies. Several shortwave impulses will lift northward out of an intensifying cut-off low anchored at the base of the trough over New Mexico, leading to widespread rain/thunder beginning Monday as large scale height falls overspread the region. These highly meridional, slow moving troughs aren't typically known for producing widespread severe weather, largely owing to deep layer saturation and poor lapse rates. As unusual of a system as this is, the CIPS analogs do fine a few well correlated cases to justify this. Nevertheless, strong vertical shear oriented largely parallel to the approaching surface front, coupled with impressive forcing, could overcome the limited instability and yield some linear type event that is depicted in most of the model solutions. Afternoon/early evening timing may somewhat favor an increased threat of a few damaging wind gusts. The bigger story will likely the potential for excessive rainfall given a slow moving storm system that keeps the region in an area of 99th percentile precipitable waters for a couple of days. Bookbinder Medium Range (Tuesday through Saturday)... Increasing confidence through the beginning of medium range as the GFS/GEM are showing good consistency from run to run and the 00Z EC has now come more in line with those solutions. What this all adds up to is increased confidence of very wet conditions through the middle of the week. By Tuesday a closed cut-off low will develop in the base of the trough over the Red River Valley. An attendant surface cold front will extend from the upper Midwest through central Kansas and into Western Oklahoma. Warm and moist Gulf air will continue to be drawn northward on southerly flow out ahead of the surface front allowing for continued rounds of showers and thunderstorm on the day on Tuesday and into Wednesday morning. The severe weather with this active appears low at this point as instability will be very weak as well as shear being, albeit strong, unidirectional. What will be in abundance is moisture with PWAT values between 1.00"-1.50" across most of the CWA. That being said...minor river and urban flooding may be an issue but widespread flooding is not expected as flash flood guidance numbers are rather high on the order of 2 to 3 inches for 6 hours. Showers will linger into Wednesday as the cut-off upper level low moves from the Red River into the Ozarks. The main question is how long will showers linger as models in some disagreement as to how fast the upper level low move east of the area. The GFS is the slowest of the solutions as it takes a stacked low and and stalls it over the region through the day Thursday before finally moving it east into the Tennessee River Valley by Friday. The GEM and EC are much more progressive in moving the upper low into the lower Tennessee Valley by Thursday night. With the GFS being the outlier, have removed POPs for Thursday night and Friday. On the backside of this system, an upper level ridge will build back into the area and dry conditions out for the end of the week and on into the weekend. 73 && .CLIMATE... Record max temperatures and record high minimum temperatures: Kansas City: Day............Avg High...Avg Low...Record High....Record Max Low Saturday..........56........34......82 in 1894......58 in 1894 Sunday............56........34......85 in 1921......61 in 1903 St. Joseph: Saturday..........55........32......81 in 2009......59 in 1966 Sunday............56........32......84 in 1921......56 in 1968 && .AVIATION... For the 06Z TAFS, low VFR ceilings will persist through the night as clouds have actually expanded in coverage over the last few hours. Ceilings become MVFR through central and western Kansas and it is very possible that these lower ceilings will build/expand eastward with time. It still looks to be around sunrise for development into all three terminals which should then lift into VFR ceilings by the noon hour. Overnight, south winds should occasionally gust but southerly winds will really increase by late Sunday morning as mixing height increases into strong low to mid level flow. Gusts of around 25 to 30 kts are likely by Sunday afternoon. CDB && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. && WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 6:35 PM CDT, 8 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 635 PM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-181200- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 635 PM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM MAY LINGER IN CENTRAL MISSOURI FOR AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNSET. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS ISOLATED ACTIVITY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS WHICH COULD LEAD TO AREAS OF FLOODING. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG OR SEVERE LATE MONDAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT THIS INTENSE STORM SYSTEM WILL STALL OVER THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK...LINGERING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INTO WEDNESDAY AND PERHAPS THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. CDB
Nearby
Flood Watches in Missouri, 2012Flood Watches in Kansas, 2012Every flood watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.