Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2012

Gale Warning 33, NWS Detroit, MI

November 22, 2012

NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Nov 22, 2012, 4:10 PM EST. It took effect at Nov 23, 2012, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 30 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 22, 2012, 4:10 PM EST (21:10 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 23, 2012, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 24, 2012, 1:00 PM EST
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

878 
WHUS73 KDTX 222110
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
410 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...A STRONG COLD FRONT TO BRING GALES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR WILL 
DRIVE A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH LAKE HURON AND LOWER MICHIGAN 
TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GAIN STRENGTH FROM THE SHARP 
TEMPERATURE CONTRAST ACROSS THE FRONT. WIND GUST EXPECTATIONS ARE 
NOW HIGHER AS A RESULT AND GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT STARTING 
FRIDAY MORNING FOR ALL MARINE AREAS. GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED 
EVEN OVER LAND AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN FEEDING INTO LAKE ST
CLAIR AND THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE WIND FIELD WILL THEN REMAIN ELEVATED AS
POLAR AIR DEEPENS THROUGH SATURDAY BUT WITH GUSTS DROPPING BELOW
GALE THRESHOLD. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE
QUICKLY THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF YET
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ARRIVING BY SUNDAY.

LHZ361>363-462>464-230930-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0027.121123T1200Z-121124T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0033.121123T1200Z-121124T1200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
410 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-230930-
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0033.121123T1200Z-121124T0900Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
410 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-230930-
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0033.121123T1200Z-121124T0500Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
410 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
FRIDAY NIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-230930-
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0033.121123T1200Z-121124T0300Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
410 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM
  FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BT
5 follow-up statements
735 
WHUS73 KDTX 230822
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
322 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...WESTERLY GALES DEVELOPING TODAY...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR IS 
SENDING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH LAKE HURON AND LOWER MICHIGAN 
THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GAIN STRENGTH FROM THE SHARP 
TEMPERATURE CONTRAST ACROSS THE FRONT. WIND GUST EXPECTATIONS ARE 
FOR GALES OVER LAKE HURON...WITH EVEN 35 KNOT GALES OVER LAND AREAS 
OF SE MICHIGAN FEEDING INTO LAKE ST CLAIR AND THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF 
LAKE ERIE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE WIND FIELD WILL THEN 
REMAIN STRONG AS POLAR AIR DEEPENS THROUGH SATURDAY BUT WITH GUSTS 
DROPPING BELOW GALE THRESHOLD. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED 
TO MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF YET 
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH ONTARIO ON SUNDAY.

LHZ361>363-462>464-232100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.121123T1200Z-121124T1200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
322 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM
EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM
EST SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441-232100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.121123T1200Z-121124T0900Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
322 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EST SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-232100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.121123T1200Z-121124T0500Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
322 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-232100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.121123T1200Z-121124T0300Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
322 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
551 
WHUS73 KDTX 232045
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...WESTERLY GALES THROUGH TONIGHT...

.NO CHANGES TO REPORT IN THE MARINE WIND HEADLINES FOR TONIGHT AS 35 
KNOT WIND GUSTS PERSIST OVER ALL MARINE AREAS. THE GALES WERE SLOW 
TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEST END OF LAKE ERIE AND WILL BE FIRST TO END 
THERE TONIGHT, AND NOT UNTIL CLOSER TO SUNRISE FOR THE OPEN WATERS 
OF LAKE HURON. THE WIND FIELD WILL REMAIN STRONG AS POLAR AIR 
DEEPENS THROUGH SATURDAY BUT WITH GUSTS DROPPING BELOW GALE 
THRESHOLD. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY 
THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF YET ANOTHER LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH ONTARIO ON SUNDAY. THIS LOW WILL 
BRING MODEST WESTERLY WIND TO THE REGION FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK.

LHZ421-422-240845-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
345 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM TODAY WITH
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST SATURDAY.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* EXPECT WATER LEVELS TO STABILIZE AROUND 24 INCHES BELOW CHART
  DATUM DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THEN SLOWLY
  RECOVER TO RECENT AVERAGE TOWARD SUNRISE SATURDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LEZ444-240845-
/O.EXA.KDTX.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0300Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
345 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A LOW
WATER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* EXPECT WATER LEVELS TO DROP TO ABOUT 40 INCHES BELOW CHART DATUM
  DURING THE EVENING....STABILIZE...AND THEN BEGIN A STEADY
  RECOVER TO RECENT AVERAGE LEVELS BY SUNRISE SATURDAY.

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM
  TODAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-462>464-240845-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T1200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
345 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM TONIGHT WITH
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST SATURDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ441-240845-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
345 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM TODAY WITH
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST SATURDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-240500-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0500Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
345 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM TONIGHT WITH
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-240300-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0300Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
345 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM
  TODAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BT
779 
WHUS73 KDTX 240243
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
943 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALES WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT...

.NO CHANGES TO REPORT IN THE MARINE WIND HEADLINES FOR TONIGHT AS 35 
KNOT WIND GUSTS PERSIST OVER ALL MARINE AREAS. THE WIND FIELD
WILL REMAIN STRONG AS POLAR AIR DEEPENS THROUGH SATURDAY BUT WITH
GUSTS DROPPING BELOW GALE THRESHOLD. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN
EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF YET ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH
ONTARIO ON SUNDAY. THIS LOW WILL BRING MODEST WESTERLY WIND TO THE
REGION FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK.

LEZ444-240900-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.121124T0243Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
943 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST FRIDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WATER LEVELS FELL TO 27 INCHES BELOW CHART DATUM EARLIER THIS
  EVENING. THE WATER LEVELS ARE NOW RISING AND WILL CONTINUE TO
  RISE THROUGH THE NIGHT...RISING ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR
  NAVIGATION BY 4 AM.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-241445-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.121124T0243Z-121125T0300Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
943 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST SATURDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-240900-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.121124T0243Z-121124T0900Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
943 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST FRIDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-240900-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
943 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST SATURDAY. 

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* THE WATER LEVELS BOTTOMED OUT AT 24 INCHES BELOW CHART DATUM
  THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE BEEN SLOWLY RISING SINCE. WATER LEVELS
  ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO RECENT AVERAGE LEVELS BY 4 AM. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-462>464-241200-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T1200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
943 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST FRIDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ441-240900-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
943 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST FRIDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EST SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
199 
WHUS73 KDTX 240810
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
310 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISHING TODAY...

.WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH TODAY AS A SURFACE RIDGE 
BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING. EVEN SO...LOW 
LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH DUE TO THE COLD POLAR AIR...AND 
WAVES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVER SOUTHERN LAKE HURON. WINDS WILL 
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST TOMORROW MORNING AS THE RIDGE AXIS ADVANCES 
EAST...BUT WILL GENERALLY HOVER AROUND 15 KNOTS FOR THE MAJORITY 
OF THE MARINE WATERS. GRADUAL VEERING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST AS WE 
HEAD INTO MONDAY.

LHZ421-242100-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.CAN.KDTX.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-121125T0400Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-
310 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 8 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ422-241400-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.CAN.KDTX.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-121124T1400Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
310 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 4 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ441-242100-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-121125T0400Z/
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
310 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361-240915-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T1200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
310 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. 

$$

LEZ444-241400-
/O.CAN.KDTX.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121124T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-121124T1400Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
310 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
LOW WATER ADVISORY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 19 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS.
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-462>464-241800-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
310 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-241400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-121124T1400Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
310 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 18 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS.
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-242100-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-121125T0300Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
310 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 9 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
286 
WHUS73 KDTX 241403
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
903 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...WINDS TO SLOWLY DIMINISH TODAY...

.WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH TODAY AS A SURFACE RIDGE 
BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING. EVEN SO...LOW 
LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH DUE TO THE COLD POLAR AIR...AND 
WAVES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVER SOUTHERN LAKE HURON. WINDS WILL 
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST TOMORROW MORNING AS THE RIDGE AXIS ADVANCES 
EAST...BUT WILL GENERALLY HOVER AROUND 15 KNOTS FOR THE MAJORITY 
OF THE MARINE WATERS. GRADUAL VEERING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST AS WE 
HEAD INTO MONDAY.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ422-241515-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-121124T1400Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
903 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

LHZ362-363-462>464-241800-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-121124T1800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
903 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-250215-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-121125T0300Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
903 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 9 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441-250215-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-121125T0400Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
903 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 28 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 9 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST 
  SATURDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 22, 3:51 PM EST, 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 22, 3:51 PM EST, 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
351 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

.SHORT TERM... TONIGHT

AT PRESS TIME, FLINT WAS THE ONLY ONE OF THE BIG 3 CLIMATE STATIONS
IN SE MICHIGAN ABLE TO EXCEED ITS WARMEST THANKSGIVING THRESHOLD,
BUT ALL STATIONS WERE MAKING A STRONG RUN TO DO SO WITH READINGS
SOLIDLY INTO THE LOWER 60S JUST BEFORE PEAK HEATING. SEE THE RECORDS
BELOW AS TABULATED BY OUR MORNING CREW.

THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS DURING THE REST OF THE EVENING WILL MARK
MOISTURE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVING IN FROM THE WEST ON SCHEDULE TO MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA BEFORE
SUNRISE. RADAR COMPOSITES MATCH UP NICELY WITH MODEL ANALYSIS FIELDS
THAT SHOW HIGHER THETA-E AIR POOLING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
AND BEING DRAWN NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE FRONT. DEEP MOISTURE
ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO HELP DESTABILIZE THE 850 TO 700 MB LAYER
AND RESULT IN SHOWERS SPREADING INTO LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE
EVENING. WHILE THETA-E ADVECTION WILL BE THE MAIN DRIVER OF RAIN
EARLY, EXPECT THE MOISTURE AXIS TO INTERACT MORE DYNAMICALLY WITH
THE FRONT AND UPPER WAVE AFTER MIDNIGHT. DCVA AND STRONG CONVERGENCE
BELOW 850 MB WILL HELP FORM A SOLID AREA OF MODERATE RAIN ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WORTHY OF A CATEGORICAL PRECIP FORECAST AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE REGION.

THE FRONT WILL SCOUR THE MOISTURE TO OUR EAST LATE IN THE NIGHT BUT
EARLY ENOUGH TO AVOID ANY INTERACTION WITH THE ADVANCING COLD AIR.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SHARPLY COLDER BUT LIKELY NOT DROPPING BELOW
FREEZING UNTIL SURFACES DRY OUT LATER FRIDAY MORNING. THIS LEAVES
WESTERLY WIND GUSTS AS THE ONLY OTHER CONCERN TO MONITOR. AT THIS
POINT, THERE WILL BE AN ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT TO THE WIND FIELD BUT
NOT QUITE STRONG ENOUGH FOR HEADLINE CONCERNS IN THE NASCENT DRY
SLOT FORCING AND IN THE ABSENCE OF SURFACE HEATING.

RECORD      NOVEMBER      THANKSGIVING
HIGHS         22ND            DAY
-----         ----            ---
DETROIT    69 IN 1913    65 ON 11/26/1986
FLINT      65 IN 1934    61 ON 11/30/1933
SAGINAW    66 IN 1913    64 ON 11/26/1908 AND 11/26/1914

&&

.LONG TERM...TOMORROW THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY

GFS AND NAM NOT TOO DIFFERENT IN THE CHARACTER OF THE DAY ON
FRIDAY...A DAY OF BIG CHANGES. NAM MAY HAVE A SLIGHTLY BETTER HANDLE
ON THE DETAILS...LIKE THE WIND AND LOW LEVEL THERMAL RESPONSE TO OUR
SYSTEM.  THEREFORE WILL FOLLOW THE NAM FOR FRIDAYS WIND GUSTS AND
TEMPERATURE FALL DURING THE DAY.

THREE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS FOR FRIDAY...WINDS...SNOW SHOWERS AND
TEMPS.  THINK WILL HAVE AN OVERACHIEVING WIND DAY.  EVERYTHING IS IN
LINE FOR THAT...DEEPEN SURFACE SURFACE LOW THROUGH THE DAY MOVING
FROM THE NORTHERN LAKES INTO ONTARIO...DRY SLOT FOR THE
MORNING...285K AND 280K ISENTROPIC SURFACES INTERSECTING THE GROUND
WITH SYSTEM RELATIVE DECENT....BOUNDARY LAYER ALLOWING MIXING TO
1KM...925 MB WINDS INCREASE TO 35-40 KTS AND 850 MBS WINDS INCREASE
TO 45-50 KTS. GUIDANCE SUSTAINED WINDS ALREADY HAVE SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 18-24 KTS.  WILL HAVE GUSTS DURING THE DAY UP TO 40 KTS OR 45
MPH...WHICH WOULD BE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. GIVEN THAT IT WOULD BE
A 15Z TO 00Z EVENT...WILL MENTION IN THE HWO AT THIS TIME.

BETWEEN 15Z AND 18Z...THE MAIN UPPER LOW MOVES TOWARD THE REGION AND
PASSES THROUGH FROM 18Z TO 00Z. THERMAL PROFILES BY 15Z TO 18Z WOULD
SUGGEST ALL SNOW FOR THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL BRING DEEP
DEFORMATION FROM AT LEAST 700 TO 500 MBS. THERE IS GOOD LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE WITH CYCLONIC FLOW. MODELS INDICATED A RELATIVELY DEEP
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WITH INVERSIONS UP TO 8K TO 10K FEET AND
SURFACE BASED CAPES UP TO 100 J/KG. AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE THROUGH
THE CONVECTIVE COLUMN. ALL OF THESE FEATURES ARE MORE PRONOUNCED THE
FARTHER NORTH YOU GO ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.  WILL RAISE POPS INTO
THE LIKELY CATEGORY FOR THE TRI CITIES AND THUMB...50 PCT FOR I-69
TO A 30 PCT NEAR THE OHIO BORDER. DO NOT THINK THERE IS MUCH THREAT
FOR ACCUMULATION UNDER THE SNOW SHOWERS. BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS MAY BE
TOO STRONG FOR ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS OR TO KEEP A SNOW SHOWERS OVER ONE
LOCATION TOO LONG. HOWEVER...THE CONVECTION MAY BE JUST ANOTHER
MECHANISM TO BRING DOWN THE WIND FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

WITH THE LOSS OF THE FORCING ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY
MORNING...INVERSIONS LOWER.  THERE IS STILL A CONVECTIVE LAYER
AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THERE...AND WILL GO WITH MORE CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES.

INTO A WINTER A WINTER PATTERN AFTER THAT...TAKES ALL DAY SATURDAY
FOR THE CLOUDS TO BREAK UNDER THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION.  WHEN THEY
FINAL BREAK SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE
ONLY 3 TO 6 HOURS AWAY FROM THE NEXT WEAK SYSTEM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY.  THAT WEAK SYSTEM HAS LITTLE FORCING AND THE BEST LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IS ACROSS LAKE HURON AND NRN LOWER MI.  WILL JUST
HAVE FLURRIES ACROSS THE TRI CITIES AND THUMB.

EXTENDED CONCERNS ARE WITH THE SYSTEM FOR TUESDAY.  WIDE DIFFERENCES
IN THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES.  THERE DOES SEEM TO BE THREE MODES
REPRESENTED BY BOTH THE OPERATIONAL MODELS AND THE ENSEMBLES. THOSE
INCLUDE THE ECMWF LIKE WEAK SYSTEM THAT GOES WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA
AND MEEKLY OUT TO SEA...THE GFS LIKE STRONGER SYSTEM OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY AND UP THE APPALACHIANS...OR THE CANADIAN LIKE EVEN STRONGER
SYSTEM THAT TRAVERSES MI. OF COURSE THE WEATHER WOULD VARY QUITE A
BIT FROM DRY...TO ALL SNOW...TO ALL RAIN.  SINCE WE ARE FIVE DAYS
AWAY...WILL KEEP WITH THE CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MODELS PROBABLY
WILL NOT GET A BETTER HANDLE UNTIL SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN THE
JET ENERGY GETS INTO THE RADIOSONDE NETWORK OVER THE PACIFIC NW.

ONE THING THAT IS CLEAR WHATEVER ROUTE IS TAKEN...IN THE WAKE OF THE
TUESDAY SYSTEM IS EVEN COLDER AIR.  WILL GO COOLER THAN MEX
GUIDANCE...CLOSER TO WHAT THE ECMWF WOULD INDICATE FOR TEMPS.

&&

.MARINE...

LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR WILL
DRIVE A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH LAKE HURON AND LOWER MICHIGAN
TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GAIN STRENGTH FROM THE SHARP
TEMPERATURE CONTRAST ACROSS THE FRONT. WIND GUST EXPECTATIONS ARE
NOW HIGHER AS A RESULT AND GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT STARTING
FRIDAY MORNING FOR ALL MARINE AREAS. GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
EVEN OVER LAND AREAS OF SE MICHIGAN FEEDING INTO LAKE ST CLAIR AND
THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE WIND FIELD WILL THEN REMAIN ELEVATED AS POLAR AIR DEEPENS
THROUGH SATURDAY BUT WITH GUSTS DROPPING BELOW GALE THRESHOLD. WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF YET ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
ARRIVING BY SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...ISSUED 1257 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

//DISCUSSION...

GUSTY SOUTH WIND WILL BE THE ONLY ELEMENT PREVENTING IDEAL AVIATION
WEATHER AROUND SE MICHIGAN DURING THE AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING.
VFR CLEAR CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS BY
SUNSET AND THEN A PATTERN OF SHOWERS TOWARD MIDNIGHT. EXPECT THE
RAIN TO BEGIN FIRST IN THE TRI CITIES AS MOISTURE SPREADS IN FROM
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THEN THE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT
WILL PASS THROUGH ALL TERMINALS BEFORE SUNRISE FRIDAY WITH SOLID
MVFR CONDITIONS IN HEAVIER RAIN AND LOWER CEILING WITH A SHORT
PERIOD OF IFR POSSIBLE JUST PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE FRONTAL
MOISTURE WILL BE EAST OF THE AREA BEFORE ENOUGH COLD AIR MOVES IN TO
MAKE PRECIP TYPE A CONCERN AND MOISTURE WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH
WILL MAINLY AFFECT THE TRI CITIES DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE MAIN
STORY WILL BE THE STRONG WESTERLY WIND GUSTS REACHING THE 30 TO 40
KNOT RANGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR DTW... SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASED WESTERLY WIND GUST POTENTIAL IN
THIS FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE WIND FIELD BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT IS COMING IN MUCH STRONGER IN THE LATEST MODEL DATA.
OTHERWISE, THE GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND IN CONDITIONS LEADING UP TO
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED TO HOLD AND BE PUNCTUATED WITH IFR
CONDITIONS AT THE WIND SHIFT AND SHARPLY COLDER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY
COMPARED TO TODAY. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A SHORT DURATION OF
STRONGER GUSTS JUST BEHIND THE FRONT BUT THIS WILL BE MONITORED IN
OBSERVATIONS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER FOR THE
STRONGER GUSTS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...

* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CEILING BELOW 5000 FT FRIDAY MORNING.

* MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN 270 WIND GUSTS REACHING 30 TO 40 KNOTS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.

LAKE HURON...
     GALE WARNING...LHZ361-LHZ362-LHZ363-LHZ462-LHZ463-LHZ464...FROM 7
     AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM SATURDAY.

     GALE WARNING...SAGINAW BAY AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM PORT
     AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH...FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM SATURDAY.

     GALE WARNING...NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT
     HURON...FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.

LAKE ST CLAIR...
     GALE WARNING...FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 10 PM FRIDAY.

MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...
     GALE WARNING...FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 10 PM FRIDAY.

&&

SHORT TERM...BT
LONG TERM....RBP
MARINE.......BT
AVIATION.....BT

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 22, 3:40 PM EST, 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
340 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

MIZ075-076-082-083-230930-
WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
340 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

TOWARD DAYBREAK THERE WILL BE WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. AN ISOLATED
GUST UP TO 45 MPH IS POSSIBLE AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH
THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BECOME MORE COMMON THROUGH THE DAY ON
FRIDAY AND WILL LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  A WIND ADVISORY MAY
BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-230930-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
340 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

TOWARD DAYBREAK THERE WILL BE WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. AN ISOLATED
GUST UP TO 45 MPH IS POSSIBLE AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BECOME MORE COMMON THROUGH THE DAY ON
FRIDAY AND WILL LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  A WIND ADVISORY MAY
BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-230930-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
340 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY AND INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. PLEASE
SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECAST FOR MORE DETAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RBP

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 22, 4:23 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryDTXLenawee, Monroe, Washtenaw, Wayne6 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.