Gale Warning 28, NWS Detroit, MI

706 
WHUS73 KDTX 140819
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
419 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...STRONG WINDS TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT...

.ACTIVE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE UNDERWAY IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION OVER 
THE REGION AND WILL BECOME SO IN TERMS OF WIND AND WAVES TODAY. 
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE 
LOWER PENINSULA AS THE REGION MIXES OUT WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR. GALE 
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE 
AND LAKE ST CLAIR. THE SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS LOWER 
MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON REACHING THE SAGINAW BAY REGION BY THIS 
EVENING. THE LOW WILL THEN PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION LEAVING 
GEORGIAN BAY PRIOR TO 12Z MONDAY. AS THIS LOW EXITS...WINDS WILL 
QUICKLY TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST. GALE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED 
FOR MUCH OF THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON TO ACCOUNT FOR THE STRONG 
NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW. FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS...FORECAST PARAMETERS 
SUGGEST THAT WIND GUSTS WILL BE RELATIVELY SUBDUED DUE TO REDUCED 
OFFSHORE FETCH.

LHZ422-142030-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121014T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0085.121014T2000Z-121015T2000Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
419 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EDT MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP 
  TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-462-463-142030-
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0029.121015T0400Z-121016T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
419 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-142030-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0028.121014T1600Z-121015T0000Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
419 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441>443-142030-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121016T0200Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
419 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 34 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

997 
WHUS73 KDTX 142120
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
520 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...

.GALE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN EXTENDED AND EXPANDED WITH THE AFTERNOON 
FORECAST ISSUANCE AS ACTIVE MARINE CONDITIONS CONTINUE DUE TO BOTH 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG WINDS OVER THE REGION. DEEP LOW 
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG SOUTH WINDS SHIFTING TO 
WEST DURING THE EVENING AND THEN NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. THE STRENGTH 
OF THE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS LIKELY OVER ALL 
MARINE AREAS EXCEPT THE MORE SHELTERED NEARSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHERN 
LAKE HURON. OTHERWISE, MATCHING UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS WITH THE 
EVOLUTION OF THE SURFACE PRESSURE FIELD MAKES BELIEVABLE MODEL 
DEPICTIONS OF A STRONG DYNAMIC COMPONENT TO THE WIND SPEED 
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. THIS ALONG WITH INSTABILITY OVER THE WARM 
LAKE WATER AND STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION WILL BE A GOOD 
ENVIRONMENT FOR GALES THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY MORNING AND INTO 
MONDAY EVENING OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON.

LHZ421-441-150930-
/O.UPG.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121016T0200Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0029.121015T0400Z-121015T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
520 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ422-150930-
/O.UPG.KDTX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-121015T2000Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0029.121015T0400Z-121015T1600Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
520 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-150930-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
520 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-462-463-150930-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.121015T0400Z-121016T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
520 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM
EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM
EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-150930-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121016T0200Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
520 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

KURIMSKI

166 
WHUS73 KDTX 150153
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
953 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...

.GALE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN EXTENDED AND EXPANDED WITH THE AFTERNOON 
FORECAST ISSUANCE AS ACTIVE MARINE CONDITIONS CONTINUE DUE TO BOTH 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG WINDS OVER THE REGION. DEEP LOW 
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG SOUTH WINDS SHIFTING TO 
WEST DURING THE EVENING AND THEN NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. THE STRENGTH 
OF THE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS LIKELY OVER ALL 
MARINE AREAS EXCEPT THE MORE SHELTERED NEARSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHERN 
LAKE HURON. OTHERWISE, MATCHING UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS WITH THE 
EVOLUTION OF THE SURFACE PRESSURE FIELD MAKES BELIEVABLE MODEL 
DEPICTIONS OF A STRONG DYNAMIC COMPONENT TO THE WIND SPEED 
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. THIS ALONG WITH INSTABILITY OVER THE WARM 
LAKE WATER AND STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION WILL BE A GOOD 
ENVIRONMENT FOR GALES THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY MORNING AND INTO 
MONDAY EVENING OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON. THE GUSTY
OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LOW WATER CONDITIONS OVER THE
WESTERN SHORE OF LAKE ERIE MONDAY MORNING...THEREFORE A LOW WATER
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED WITH THIS UPDATE.

LEZ444-151400-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.LO.Y.0009.121015T0600Z-121015T1600Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
953 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO NOON EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A LOW
WATER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO NOON EDT MONDAY.

* EXPECT WATER LEVELS TO DROP 20 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER DATUM
  AROUND 7 AM MONDAY WITH LOW WATER CONDITIONS PERSISTING FROM 2
  AM TO NOON EDT MONDAY.

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LCZ460-151400-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
953 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ422-151400-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.121015T0400Z-121015T1600Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
953 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441-151400-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.121015T0400Z-121015T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
953 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-462-463-151400-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.121015T0400Z-121016T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
953 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-151400-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121016T0200Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
953 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

KURIMSKI

015 
WHUS73 KDTX 150821
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
421 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...STRONG WINDS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TODAY..

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL EXIT LAKE HURON THIS
MORNING. EXTENSIVE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIED TO THIS SYSTEM WILL
ENSURE STRONGER WINDS PERSIST TODAY. THE BEST WIND FIELD WILL
EXIST ACROSS LAKE HURON...WHERE A GOOD NORTHWEST GRADIENT WILL
COMBINE WITH THE COLD AIR ADVECTION TO GENERATE GALE FORCE GUSTS
THROUGH THE EVENING. EXISTING GALES OVER WESTERN LAKE ERIE WILL
START TO EASE AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES BY THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES
WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE HURON TONIGHT BEFORE
CONDITIONS IMPROVE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR TUESDAY. MODEST
SOUTHERLY WINDS IN PLACE ON WEDNESDAY LOOK TO STRENGTHEN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS ANOTHER STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS
OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

LCZ460-152000-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121015T2000Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
421 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT MONDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-151600-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
421 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT MONDAY. 

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* THE WATER LEVEL AT TOLEDO IS EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 20
  INCHES BELOW CHART DATUM THIS MORNING. AT 348 AM...THE WATER
  LEVEL AT TOLEDO WAS 10 INCHES BELOW CHART DATUM OR 7 INCHES
  ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

LHZ422-151600-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
421 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441-152000-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-121015T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
421 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-462-463-152030-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-121016T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
421 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-152030-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121016T0800Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
421 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  39 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

080 
WHUS73 KDTX 151042
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
642 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TODAY...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL EXIT LAKE HURON THIS MORNING.  
EXTENSIVE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIED TO THIS SYSTEM WILL ENSURE STRONGER 
WINDS PERSIST TODAY.  THE BEST WIND FIELD WILL EXIST ACROSS LAKE 
HURON...WHERE A GOOD NORTHWEST GRADIENT WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD 
AIR ADVECTION TO GENERATE GALE FORCE GUSTS THROUGH THE EVENING.  
EXISTING GALES OVER WESTERN LAKE ERIE WILL START TO EASE AS THE 
GRADIENT RELAXES BY THIS AFTERNOON.  WAVES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED 
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE HURON TONIGHT BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE AS HIGH 
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR TUESDAY.  MODEST SOUTHERLY WINDS IN PLACE ON 
WEDNESDAY LOOK TO STRENGTHEN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS ANOTHER 
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY.

LEZ444-152000-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
/O.EXA.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121015T2000Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
642 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* THE WATER LEVEL AT TOLEDO IS EXPECTED TO DROP TO
  AROUND 20 INCHES BELOW CHART DATUM THIS MORNING. AT 623 AM...
  THE WATER LEVEL AT TOLEDO WAS 17 INCHES BELOW CHART DATUM OR
  RIGHT AT THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. THE GUSTY WINDS
  OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CAUSE THE WATER LEVEL TO DROP SLIGHTLY THIS
  MORNING BEFORE RISING AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ422-151600-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-121015T1600Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
642 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441-152000-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-121015T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
642 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-462-463-152245-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-121016T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
642 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-152000-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121015T2000Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
642 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-152245-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121016T0800Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
642 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
400 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.SHORT TERM... TONIGHT

A STRONG WARM FRONT, STRETCHING FROM LOW PRESSURE OVER THE DAKOTAS
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY DURING THE AFTERNOON, WILL MOVE INTO AND
THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER SE
MICHIGAN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST MID EVENING. THE
FOCUS FOR RAIN WILL THEN SHIFT TOWARD NORTHERN LOWER DURING THE
NIGHT WITH THE SAGINAW VALLEY AND NORTHERN THUMB ON THE FRINGES OF
THE PATTERN WHILE COVERAGE TENDS TO DECREASE TOWARD THE OHIO BORDER.
ALL LOCATIONS WILL NOTICE A SUBSTANTIAL WARMING TREND DURING THE
NIGHT AS THE WARM FRONT USHERS VERY MILD AIR INTO THE REGION AS
READINGS MAKE A RUN INTO THE 60S ALL LOCATIONS BY SUNRISE.

OBSERVATIONS AND MODEL ANALYSIS FIELDS INDICATE A FULLY MATURE WARM
FRONTAL RAIN PROCESS UNDERWAY DURING THE AFTERNOON DRIVEN BY STRONG
LOW TO MID LEVEL ISENTROPIC LIFT AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT. THIS
PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY EVENING BEFORE A
DIMINISHING TREND WILL BE NOTICED ON RADAR BY MID EVENING AND
BEYOND. THE DECREASE IN SHOWER COVERAGE WILL BE A SIGN THAT THE LOW
LEVEL THETA-E RIDGE HAS FINISHED BUILDING OVER THE REGION AND THE
RELATIVELY BENIGN WARM SECTOR IS IN PLACE FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.
SHOWER COVERAGE WILL BE LESS BUT THERE SHOULD BE PLENTY OF DRIZZLE
AND LOW CLOUDS AROUND TO KEEP DAMP CONDITIONS IN PLACE THROUGH THE
NIGHT.

WHILE SHOWER COVERAGE DECREASES TOWARD THE OHIO BORDER, AND
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL DECREASES OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, THERE REMAINS
THE CONCERN FOR HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT IN THE SAGINAW VALLEY AND
NORTHERN THUMB. THIS WILL BE AFTER THE WARM FRONT PASSES NORTH WITH
THE SURFACE LOW LEAVING SHOWERS TO CONSOLIDATE ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE TRAILING SURFACE TROUGH. THE THROUGH WILL BE FED DEEP GULF
MOISTURE FROM THE WARM SECTOR TO THE TUNE OF SURFACE DEWPOINT IN THE
MID 60S AS INDICATED BY OBSERVATIONS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY,
850 MB DEWPOINT NEAR 13C, AND 700 MB DEWPOINT IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ABOVE 0C. THESE NUMBERS ARE ALL WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID OCTOBER
AND MERIT CATEGORICAL POPS ALREADY IN THE FORECAST. FOR NOW, WE PLAN
TO MONITOR HEAVY RAINFALL TRENDS RELATED HEADLINES AND TO THE
POSITION OF THE SURFACE TROUGH GENERALLY TO THE NORTH OF OUR AREA
THROUGH SUNRISE SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MID LEVEL LOW SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY APPROACHING THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...IS STILL ON TRACK TO MOVE OVER THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT. WEAK RIDGING WILL THEN PROVIDE SOME RELIEF MON/TUES
BEFORE ACTIVE WEATHER MAKES IT RETURN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AS A
POTENTIALLY MUCH LARGER UPPER LOW/TROUGH DIGS DOWN INTO THE MIDWEST
AND TRIES TO BECOME CUTOFF FROM THE JET STREAM. THIS WOULD PROVIDE
SEVERAL PERIODS OF RAIN TO END THE WEEK /AND LIKELY INTO THE
WEEKEND/.

MODELS STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT...AND CONSISTENT FROM YESTERDAYS
RUNS...IN HANDLING THE MID LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW THAT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. THE MID LEVEL TROUGH IS
CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND SFC OBS SHOW A BROAD
SFC LOW RESIDING OVER THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS JUST DOWNSTREAM.
THE SFC FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AND CONSOLIDATE AS THE
SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. TRACK STILL APPEARS TO BE A LINE FROM
QUAD CITY ON SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH CHICAGO AND THEN THROUGH CENTRAL
MICHIGAN LATE SUNDAY EVENING. THE GFS/ECMWF/GEM HAVE ALL BEEN ON
BOARD WITH THIS SOLUTION FOR SEVERAL RUNS NOW. THE NAM IS ONE OF THE
OUTLIERS WITH A TRACK FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MI WHICH
WOULD SIGNIFICANTLY CHANGE THE FORECAST. WILL REMAIN WITH THE
MAJORITY IN THIS CASE AS THE NAM MAY BE PULLED SOUTHWARD TOWARD
PRESSURE FALLS RELATING TO CONVECTION ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THIS
FORECAST WILL BE BASED ON THE LOW PASSING JUST NORTH OF THE SAGINAW
VALLEY. WE MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER EARLY AS THE WARM
FRONT PASSES NORTH PUTTING SE MI SOLIDLY INTO THE WARM SECTOR AND
THE WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. THE LLJ IS QUITE IMPRESSIVE AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT REACHING 50 TO 60 KNOTS AROUND 850 MB AND 40 TO 50
KNOTS AROUND 925 MB. DEEP LAYER OF SW FLOW WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN
SOME OF THESE HIGHER WINDS ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE OHIO BORDER AND
DURING THE AFTERNOON WHEN THE ADDITIONAL LIFT AHEAD OF THE FRONT
DRAWS NEARER. EXPECT SOME WIND GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS DURING THE
AFTERNOON MAINLY SOUTH OF M59. WINDS WILL BE LESS IMPRESSIVE FURTHER
NORTH CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE LOW BUT STILL GUST TO AROUND 25
KNOTS. THE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 00Z AND 04Z
SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING YET ANOTHER PERIOD OF HEAVIER SHOWERS AND SOME
THUNDERSTORMS. NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING SVR BUT STRONG WIND GUSTS
COULD OCCUR AS STORMS TAP INTO THE LLJ. MOST MODELS ARE HOLDING ON
TO SOME MLCAPE OF AROUND 200 TO 500 J/KG. AS THE FRONT
PASSES...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AS THE MAIN DEFORMATION
ZONE ROTATES BACK AROUND AND THROUGH THE AREA...TAPERING OFF THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. AREAS OF THE NORTH WILL LIKELY SEE THE MOST PRECIP
FROM THIS.

TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY WILL SEE HEIGHTS BEGIN TO RISE ONCE AGAIN AS
SHORTWAVE RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
RISE THROUGH THE WEEK...APPROACHING THE NORMAL LOW 60S FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR...BEFORE THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STALLS OVER THE AREA.
THIS TROUGH WILL BRING COOLER AIR AND MORE RAIN TO THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...

ACTIVE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE UNDERWAY IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION OVER
THE REGION AND WILL BECOME SO IN TERMS OF WIND AND WAVES DURING
SUNDAY. THE MAIN CONCERN IS WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST WIND OVER LAKE ST
CLAIR AND LAKE ERIE AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS THROUGH THE NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THAT AREA UNTIL SUNDAY
EVENING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING THE WIND AROUND TO THE
NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. SPEED IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW GALES BUT WAVES WILL BUILD CONSIDERABLY OVER THE OPEN AND
SOUTHERN NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE HURON UNTIL HIGH PRESSURE TAKES
HOLD BY MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...ISSUED 148 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

//DISCUSSION...

A SOGGY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IS IN STORE FOR AVIATION INTERESTS AS
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWEST PULLS A WARM FRONT THROUGH LOWER
MICHIGAN. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL PRECEDE THE FRONT WITH SOME
POCKETS OF THUNDER POSSIBLE. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE FROM
PTK SOUTHWARD WITH LATE AFTERNOON TIMING INCLUDED IN THIS FORECAST
ISSUANCE. SHOWERS REMAINING LATER IN THE NIGHT WILL TEND TO FOCUS
TOWARD MBS MIXED IN WITH AT LEAST A SHORT PERIOD OF IFR CONDITIONS
AT ALL LOCATIONS AS THE SURFACE WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
SOME IMPROVEMENT INTO MVFR IS EXPECTED TOWARD SUNRISE, ESPECIALLY IN
THE DETROIT AREA WHERE WARM SECTOR IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH A
MILD AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WIND THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...

* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CEILING BELOW 5000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT.

* MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN THUNDERSTORM TIMING AND COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.

LAKE HURON...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INNER SAGINAW BAY...UNTIL 8 PM SATURDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...NEARSHORE WATERS FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT
     HURON INCLUDING OUTER SAGINAW BAY...UNTIL 8 PM SUNDAY.

LAKE ST CLAIR...
     GALE WARNING...FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM SUNDAY.

MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...
     GALE WARNING...FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM SUNDAY.

&&

SHORT TERM...BT
LONG TERM....DRK
MARINE.......BT
AVIATION.....BT

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
402 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-140815-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
402 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL ACROSS THE TRI-CITIES AND
NEAR SAGINAW BAY OVERNIGHT. STORMS WILL TRACK TO THE EAST AT 30 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-140815-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
402 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL NEAR SAGINAW BAY
OVERNIGHT. STORMS WILL TRACK TO THE EAST AT 25 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MR

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).