Severe Thunderstorm Warning 216, NWS State College, PA

972 
WWUS51 KCTP 081801
SVSCTP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
201 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

PAC027-035-061-087-117-081811-
/O.CAN.KCTP.SV.W.0216.000000T0000Z-120908T1830Z/
HUNTINGDON PA-MIFFLIN PA-TIOGA PA-CENTRE PA-CLINTON PA-
201 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CLINTON...CENTRE...TIOGA...
MIFFLIN AND HUNTINGDON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS MOVED OUT
OF THE AREA...THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4156 7633 4131 7660 4117 7667 4117 7673
      4107 7674 4062 7694 4059 7711 4062 7730
      4086 7721 4115 7703 4135 7707 4160 7686
TIME...MOT...LOC 1801Z 280DEG 34KT 4157 7671 4133 7695
          4113 7690 4085 7708 4060 7716

$$

PAC067-081-097-109-113-119-081830-
/O.CON.KCTP.SV.W.0216.000000T0000Z-120908T1830Z/
JUNIATA PA-SNYDER PA-SULLIVAN PA-UNION PA-NORTHUMBERLAND PA-
LYCOMING PA-
201 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT
FOR LYCOMING...NORTHUMBERLAND...UNION...SULLIVAN...SNYDER AND JUNIATA
COUNTIES...

AT 157 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM SHUNK TO COGAN STATION TO ELIMSPORT TO PENNS CREEK TO
MCALISTERVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  LINCOLN FALLS AND MUNCY...
  HUGHESVILLE AND WINFIELD...
  PICTURE ROCKS AND EAGLES MERE...
  MUNCY VALLEY AND LAPORTE...

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...
I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 199 AND 216...I-180 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1
AND 29.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...STATE HIGHWAY
147...ROUTE 11/15...ROUTE 15...ROUTE 220...ROUTE 522...STATE ROAD
14...STATE ROAD 45...STATE ROAD 118.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED ROTATION WITHIN SOME OF THE STORMS IN 
THE LINE. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP. IF A 
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A 
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THE LINE OF STORMS HAS A HISTORY OF CAUSING DOWNED TREES AND POWER 
LINES.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 4156 7633 4131 7660 4117 7667 4117 7673
      4107 7674 4062 7694 4059 7711 4062 7730
      4086 7721 4115 7703 4135 7707 4160 7686
TIME...MOT...LOC 1801Z 280DEG 34KT 4157 7671 4133 7695
          4113 7690 4085 7708 4060 7716

$$

FORECASTER: LA CORTE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
925 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WITH GUSTY WINDS AHEAD OF IT AND BEHIND IT
WILL RUSH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
ESPECIALLY ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL PA...BUT MAINLY FOR THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE STATE. THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE EAST
AS WELL. A MODIFIED CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD INTO
THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH A BRIEF TASTE OF FALL ARRIVING
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A WEAKENING PREFRONTAL TROUGH IS WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO THE
LITTLE RIDGE OVERHEAD. THE FRONT ITSELF SEEMS TO BE INTO FAR NWRN
WARREN COUNTY AT 13Z...AND WILL MOST LIKELY SPELL THE END OF ANY
SEVER THREAT FOR THE FAR WRN PORTION OF THE AREA AS
DESTABILIZATION IN THE HUMID AIR IS GOING TO BE ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE
THERE. SPC MESO DISC ALREADY OUT ALONG WITH PWO...QUITE UNUSUAL
FOR PA...BUT IT HAS ALL THE FORECAST PARAMETERS FOR AN UNUSUALLY
STRONG/WIDESPREAD EVENT FOR THE ERN HALF/THIRD OF THE AREA. MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND A STRONG LLJ SHOULD CREATE
THE LARGE THREAT OF ORGANIZED THUNDER AND SEVERE WX. GUIDANCE
SHOWS 40-60KT OF SOUTHERLY FLOW AT 850 BY 18Z SAT...SOME 3-5 STD
DEV ABOVE NORMAL.

HIGHS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER THAN THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS
OVER ALL BUT THE SERN PART OF THE AREA WHERE THE MOST SUN WILL
HELP BOOST MAX TEMPS INTO THE MID 80S ONCE AGAIN.

SEASONABLY STRONG/DEEP SFC LOW /-3 TO -4SD MSLP/ WILL LIFT NWD FM
THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY ACRS SRN QUEBEC TONIGHT. MDLS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT IN SHIFTING CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED FRONTAL RAINS OUT OF
THE FAR SERN CWA BEFORE 03Z. MID-LVL DRY SLOT ALONG WITH ARRIVAL OF
BLW NORMAL PWATS BEHIND THE WELL-DEFINED COLD FRONT SHOULD DRY
THINGS OUT ACRS MOST OF THE AREA AFT MIDNIGHT. LOW CLOUDS SHOULD
MOVE INTO THE NW AFTER SOME CLEARING TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/...
SECONDARY UPPER TROF DROPPING FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST ACROSS THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES FROM NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SHOULD PRODUCE
SC TATTERED LAKE/TERRAIN ENHANCED SHOWER ACTIVITY ON SUNDAY MAINLY
OVR THE WRN PA MTNS. DRIER PWATS AND WEAKER INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT
ANY CONVECTION...AS WELL AS REDUCED DIURNAL HEATING. ANY
PRECIPITATION WILL CEASE AS THE TROF AXIS SHIFTS EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MOST OF THE COMING WEEK WILL BE DOMINATED BY DRY WEATHER THANKS TO A
SPRAWLING/ANOMALOUS RIDGE BUILDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION FROM
THE MIDWEST. THIS FEATURE WILL PROVIDE FAIR AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH
WED. AFTER A BRIEF TASTE OF FALL ON SUN AND MON...RISING H5 HEIGHTS
SHOULD ALSO ALLOW FOR A GRADUAL MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES/HUMIDITY
LEVELS.

LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS STILL SHOW A WEAK TROF PASSAGE BY LATE
IN THE WEEK...WITH MINIMAL PRECIPITATION WITH THE GULF REMAINING
CLOSED. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR NEXT WEEKEND...CONTINUING A
STELLAR STRETCH OF WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE INITIAL SHOT OF CONVECTION HAS FALLEN APART OVER MOST OF THE
AREA. REDUCTIONS OF VSBYS AND CIGS TO MVFR ARE ALREADY OCCURRING
IN THE WEST AND WILL CONTINUE THERE UNTIL LATE MORNING WHEN
CLEARING SHOULD ARRIVE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WHICH APPEARS TO BE
ON KBFD DOORSTEP ATTM. EXPECT THE STRONGER CONVECTION TO ARRIVE
AT FROPA BETWEEN 18-21Z. THIS STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP
THROUGH...WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A LLJ. VFR WILL
DIMINISH QUICKLY TO MVFR/IFR FROM 18Z TO 22Z AS THE COLD FRONT
PASSES WITH SEVERAL HOURS OF REDUCED CONDITIONS. THUNDER MAY LAST
THROUGH 00Z IN KLNS...AND LOW CLOUDS SHOULD RE-ENTER THE NWRN
THIRD OF THE AREA FOR LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
SUN...MVFR EARLY...IMPROVING DURING THE DAY...POSSIBLE AFTN TSRA
ALONG NY BORDER.
MON-WED...NO SIG WX.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DANGELO
NEAR TERM...DANGELO
SHORT TERM...LA CORTE
LONG TERM...DEVOIR/STEINBUGL
AVIATION...DANGELO/LAMBERT/CERU

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1228 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

PAZ004-005-010-091630-
WARREN-MCKEAN-ELK-
1228 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ006-011-017-024-033-091630-
POTTER-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
1228 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...MAINLY FROM DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS WHICH
WOULD OCCUR ALONG A COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ012-018-019-025>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-091630-
NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-
MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
1228 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 636 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

RXR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
937 AM EDT SAT SEP 08 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S GETTYSBURG          39.80N  77.23W
09/07/2012                   ADAMS              PA   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1200426

COLBERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1011 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

PAZ004-005-010-081515-
ELK PA-MCKEAN PA-WARREN PA-
1011 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN WARREN...MCKEAN
AND WESTERN ELK COUNTIES...

AT 1007 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 12
MILES NORTHWEST OF LIMESTONE TO 6 MILES WEST OF LYNCH TO 18 MILES
WEST OF FREEPORT...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THESE STORMS
WILL AFFECT LUDLOW...WETMORE...AND MARSHBURG...JAMES CITY...
WESTLINE...LEWIS RUN...AND KANE...MOUNT JEWETT...WILCOX AND REW.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 6...ROUTE 219...
STATE ROAD 46...STATE ROAD 59...STATE ROAD 66...STATE ROAD 120...
STATE ROAD 255...STATE ROAD 446.

LAT...LON 4200 7821 4189 7821 4162 7839 4162 7842
      4158 7842 4125 7874 4137 7897 4135 7902
      4134 7910 4142 7910 4143 7907 4145 7907
      4145 7897 4162 7896 4163 7923 4201 7898

FORECASTER: LA CORTE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1107 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

PAZ005-006-010-011-017-024-081600-
CAMBRIA PA-CAMERON PA-CLEARFIELD PA-ELK PA-MCKEAN PA-POTTER PA-
1107 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
CAMERON...EASTERN MCKEAN...ELK...NORTH CENTRAL CAMBRIA...POTTER AND
WESTERN CLEARFIELD COUNTIES...

AT 1101 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
RICHBURG TO KINZUA BRIDGE STATE PARK TO ORCHARD HILLS...MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
THE RAIN WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS...AS WELL AS CAUSE RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.
THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT BROCKPORT...ST. MARYS...ROULETTE...MEDIX
RUN AND BURNSIDE.

THIS WILL IMPACT I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 97 AND 120.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 6...ROUTE
119...ROUTE 219...ROUTE 322...STATE ROAD 46...STATE ROAD 59...STATE
ROAD 120...STATE ROAD 153...STATE ROAD 255...STATE ROAD 446...STATE
ROAD 449.

LAT...LON 4190 7761 4168 7778 4059 7879 4059 7888
      4072 7881 4113 7881 4122 7872 4135 7893
      4201 7838 4201 7761

FORECASTER: LA CORTE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1144 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

PAZ017>019-024>026-033-034-081645-
BEDFORD PA-BLAIR PA-CAMBRIA PA-CLEARFIELD PA-HUNTINGDON PA-
NORTHERN CENTRE PA-SOMERSET PA-SOUTHERN CENTRE PA-
1144 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BEDFORD...BLAIR...
CAMBRIA...NORTHWESTERN HUNTINGDON...SOMERSET...SOUTHERN CLEARFIELD
AND SOUTHWESTERN CENTRE COUNTIES...

AT 1143 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
MAHAFFEY TO NORTHERN CAMBRIA TO ARMAGH TO LAUREL MOUNTAIN TO 8 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BRUCETON MILLS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
THE RAIN WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS...AS WELL AS CAUSE RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.
THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT LUMBER CITY...GRAMPIAN...VINTONDALE...AND
BELSANO...CURWENSVILLE...GLEN HOPE...WESTMONT...AND VINCO...JEFFRIES
AND WALLACETON.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...THE
PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 100 AND 153...I-99 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 0 AND 83.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...THE JOHNSTOWN
EXPRESSWAY...ROUTE 22...ROUTE 30...ROUTE 40...ROUTE 219...ROUTE
220...ALTERNATE ROUTE 220...ROUTE 322...ROUTE 422...STATE ROAD 26...
STATE ROAD 45...STATE ROAD 56...STATE ROAD 350...STATE ROAD 453.

LAT...LON 3971 7939 3973 7941 3981 7937 3985 7942
      3990 7941 4009 7926 4013 7918 4036 7900
      4072 7881 4095 7881 4101 7878 4091 7770
      4041 7803 4008 7832 3972 7872

FORECASTER: LA CORTE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1207 PM EDT SAT SEP 08 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     TSTM WND DMG     DUBOIS                  41.12N  78.76W
09/08/2012                   CLEARFIELD         PA   PUBLIC

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. SHINGLES OFF ROOFS. CALLER
            ALSO REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1200427

COLBERT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1249 PM EDT SAT SEP 08 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     10 SE MANSFIELD         41.70N  76.94W
09/08/2012                   TIOGA              PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1200428

COLBERT