Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flood Watches in 2012
Flood Watch 1, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this flood watch at Oct 27, 2012, 4:39 AM EDT for 33 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Oct 29, 2012, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 26 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 27, 2012, 4:39 AM EDT (08:39 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 29, 2012, 6:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 30, 2012, 7:48 AM EDT
- In force
- 26 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
- Flood severity
- None
All 33 counties
Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Warren County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -12 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 844 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 68 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 35 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
084 WGUS61 KCTP 270839 FFACTP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 439 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...HEAVY RAIN FROM SANDY WILL BRING THE THREAT FOR FLOODING EARLY IN THE UPCOMING WEEK... .AN EXPANSIVE PLUME OF TROPICAL AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY WILL SURGE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHEAST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY AND ADJACENT PARTS OF THE STATE. PAZ056>059-063>066-280845- /O.NEW.KCTP.FA.A.0001.121029T0600Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 439 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN... LANCASTER...LEBANON...PERRY...SCHUYLKILL AND YORK. * FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER 4 INCHES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ LAMBERT/STEINBUGL
8 follow-up statements
275 WGUS61 KCTP 271906 FFACTP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 306 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...HEAVY RAIN FROM SANDY WILL BRING THE THREAT FOR FLOODING EARLY IN THE UPCOMING WEEK... .AN EXPANSIVE PLUME OF TROPICAL AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY WILL SURGE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHEAST LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY AND ADJACENT PARTS OF THE STATE. PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-281915- /O.EXA.KCTP.FA.A.0001.121029T0600Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- 306 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS EXPANDED THE * FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...CAMBRIA... CAMERON...CLEARFIELD...COLUMBIA...ELK...FRANKLIN...FULTON... HUNTINGDON...JUNIATA...MCKEAN...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHERN CENTRE...NORTHERN CLINTON...NORTHERN LYCOMING... NORTHUMBERLAND...POTTER...SNYDER...SOMERSET...SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON...SOUTHERN LYCOMING...SULLIVAN... TIOGA...UNION AND WARREN. * FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER 6 INCHES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ PAZ056>059-063>066-281915- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0001.121029T0600Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 306 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...LANCASTER...LEBANON... PERRY...SCHUYLKILL AND YORK. * FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER 6 INCHES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ LA CORTE/GARTNER
585 WGUS61 KCTP 280014 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 814 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY... .THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL TRACK WEST INTO PENNSYLVANIA ON MONDAY...SPREADING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-056>059-063>066-290015- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0001.121029T0600Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 814 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...ADAMS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...CAMBRIA...CAMERON... CLEARFIELD...COLUMBIA...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...ELK... FRANKLIN...FULTON...HUNTINGDON...JUNIATA...LANCASTER... LEBANON...MCKEAN...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...CENTRE...CLINTON... LYCOMING...NORTHUMBERLAND...PERRY...POTTER...SCHUYLKILL... SNYDER...SOMERSET...SULLIVAN...TIOGA...UNION...WARREN AND YORK. * FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD FALL DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
430 WGUS61 KCTP 280841 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 441 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY... .THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL TRACK WEST INTO PENNSYLVANIA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION MONDAY...WELL IN ADVANCE OF SANDYS ARRIVAL. THE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO FLOODING OF STREAMS AND CREEKS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-056>059-063>066-290845- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0001.121029T0600Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 441 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...CAMBRIA...CAMERON... CLEARFIELD...COLUMBIA...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...ELK... FRANKLIN...FULTON...HUNTINGDON...JUNIATA...LANCASTER... LEBANON...MCKEAN...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHERN CENTRE... NORTHERN CLINTON...NORTHERN LYCOMING...NORTHUMBERLAND... PERRY...POTTER...SCHUYLKILL...SNYDER...SOMERSET...SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON...SOUTHERN LYCOMING...SULLIVAN... TIOGA...UNION...WARREN AND YORK. * FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD FALL DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. COLDER AIR SURGING INTO THE COMMONWEALTH FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL LIKELY CHANGE THE RAIN OVER TO PERIODS OF SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF THE STATE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ LAMBERT/STEINBUGL
946 WGUS61 KCTP 282208 FFACTP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 608 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY... .THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL TRACK WEST INTO PENNSYLVANIA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION MONDAY...WELL IN ADVANCE OF SANDYS ARRIVAL. THE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO FLOODING OF STREAMS AND CREEKS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-056>059-063>066-292215- /O.EXT.KCTP.FA.A.0001.121029T1000Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 608 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... ADAMS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...CAMBRIA...CAMERON... CLEARFIELD...COLUMBIA...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...ELK... FRANKLIN...FULTON...HUNTINGDON...JUNIATA...LANCASTER... LEBANON...MCKEAN...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...CENTRE...CLINTON... LYCOMING...NORTHUMBERLAND...PERRY...POTTER...SCHUYLKILL... SNYDER...SOMERSET...SULLIVAN...TIOGA...UNION...WARREN AND YORK. * FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS MOST LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD FALL DURING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
224 WGUS61 KCTP 290829 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 429 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY... .HURRICANE SANDY WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY TONIGHT. THE GRADUALLY WEAKENING STORM CENTER WILL TRACK WEST INTO PENNSYLVANIA EARLY TUESDAY. RAINFALL INTENSITY WILL INCREASE FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE STATE TODAY...WELL IN ADVANCE OF SANDY'S ARRIVAL. THE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO FLOODING OF STREAMS AND CREEKS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-056>059-063>066-301000- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0001.121029T1000Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 429 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...CAMBRIA...CAMERON... CLEARFIELD...COLUMBIA...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...ELK... FRANKLIN...FULTON...HUNTINGDON...JUNIATA...LANCASTER... LEBANON...MCKEAN...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHERN CENTRE... NORTHERN CLINTON...NORTHERN LYCOMING...NORTHUMBERLAND... PERRY...POTTER...SCHUYLKILL...SNYDER...SOMERSET...SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON...SOUTHERN LYCOMING...SULLIVAN... TIOGA...UNION...WARREN AND YORK. * THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS MOST LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL DURING THE DAY TODAY AND TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ LAMBERT
613 WGUS61 KCTP 300244 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1044 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY... .THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY...BRINGING ADDITIONAL RAIN AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING TO THE AREA. PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-056>059-063>066-310000- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 1044 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... ADAMS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...CAMBRIA...CAMERON... CLEARFIELD...COLUMBIA...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...ELK... FRANKLIN...FULTON...HUNTINGDON...JUNIATA...LANCASTER... LEBANON...MCKEAN...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...CENTRE...CLINTON... LYCOMING...NORTHUMBERLAND...PERRY...POTTER...SCHUYLKILL... SNYDER...SOMERSET...SULLIVAN...TIOGA...UNION...WARREN AND YORK. * THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS MOST LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN AS OF LATE MONDAY EVENING...ADDITIONAL LIGHTER RAIN WILL PROLONG THE THREAT OF FLOODING THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
028 WGUS61 KCTP 300845 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 445 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY... .THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL LINGER OVER CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA TODAY...BRINGING ADDITIONAL RAIN AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING TO THE AREA. PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-056>059-063>066-310000- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 445 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...CAMBRIA...CAMERON... CLEARFIELD...COLUMBIA...CUMBERLAND...DAUPHIN...ELK... FRANKLIN...FULTON...HUNTINGDON...JUNIATA...LANCASTER... LEBANON...MCKEAN...MIFFLIN...MONTOUR...NORTHERN CENTRE... NORTHERN CLINTON...NORTHERN LYCOMING...NORTHUMBERLAND... PERRY...POTTER...SCHUYLKILL...SNYDER...SOMERSET...SOUTHERN CENTRE...SOUTHERN CLINTON...SOUTHERN LYCOMING...SULLIVAN... TIOGA...UNION...WARREN AND YORK. * THROUGH THIS EVENING. * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO AND A HALF INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN FROM THIS STORM... ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO AREAS OF FLOODING THROUGH TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
228 WGUS61 KCTP 301148 FFACTP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 748 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH CANCELED... PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-056>059-063>066-301300- /O.CAN.KCTP.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-121031T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 748 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. OCCASIONAL RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TODAY...BUT ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED...AND ANY ONGOING FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPROVING. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Oct 27, 3:24 AM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 3:24 AM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 324 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 .SYNOPSIS... A STALLED COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN DRAPED ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HURRICANE SANDY WILL CONTINUE TO CHURN TO THE NORTH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND PARALLEL THE EAST COAST THIS WEEKEND...BEFORE TAKING A SHARP TURN TO THE WEST TOWARD THE NEW JERSEY COAST THEN INTO PENNSYLVANIA BY LATE MONDAY. SANDY WILL MERGE WITH AN AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH TO FORM A LARGE AND POWERFUL COASTAL STORM...WHICH WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL INCLUDE HEAVY FLOODING RAINFALL AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A COLD FRONT HAS NEARLY STALLED OUT EARLY THIS MORNING JUST TO THE WEST OF THE ROUTE 219 CORRIDOR IN WESTERN PA. HIGH RESOLUTION...SHORT RANGE MODELS INDICATE VERY LITTLE EASTWARD MOVEMENT TO THIS FEATURE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE MID AND UPPER FLOW BACKS A TAD TO THE SOUTH AND WEAK LLVL RIDGING AND SUBSIDENCE NOSES INTO CENTRAL PA AND THE SUSQ VALLEY FROM THE NORTHEAST. REMOVED THE LOW PROBABILITY FOR /MEASURABLE/ -SHRA THROUGH TODAY AND WENT WITH THE CHC OF JUST SOME -DRIZZLE /MAINLY NON- MEASURABLE/ FROM KAOO...KUNV AND KIPT EAST. SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY /IN ASSOCIATION WITH AGEO JET ENTRANCE CIRCULATION AND RESULTING FGEN FORCING SLIDING EAST FROM THE GRT LKS/ WILL AFFECT MAINLY 2 OR 3 OF OUR FAR NW ZONES TODAY...AND RAINFALL OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH IS LIKELY AS FAR EAST AS KBFD. A SHARP GRADIENT TO MUCH LOWER RAINFALL WILL OCCUR TO THE EAST OF ROUTE 219. OTHERWISE...I SEE VERY LITTLE...OR NO CHC FOR EVEN A FEW GLIMPSES OF DIM SUNSHINE TODAY BASED ON THE GRADUALLY THICKENING...AND MULTI-LAYERED CLOUD COVER. TEMPS THROUGH DAYBREAK WILL BE MILD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING LOWS IN THE L/M50S. HOWEVER...THE NCENT AND NW MTNS WILL COOL DOWN BEHIND THE VERY SLOW MOVING FRONT WITH LOWS IN THE M/U40S. 00Z MDL DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE AREA FROM I-80 SOUTH WILL REMAIN IN RELATIVELY MILD...MARITIME AIR MASS WITH EASTERLY FLOW...WHILE NORTHERN PA REMAINS IN CHILLY AIR MASS NORTH OF STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPS BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD ONLY MANAGE TO REACH ARND 50F ACROSS THE N MTNS...WHILE AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF I-80 SHOULD REACH THE 60S. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/... STEADIEST RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS TONIGHT THE NW THIRD OF THE STATE /INVOF OF THE STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND PERSISTENT JET ENTRANCE REGION/...WHILE THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME AND RAINFALL WELL IN ADVANCE OF SANDY STREAMS INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN PA TWD DAYBREAK SUNDAY. THE CHC FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE CENTRAL MTNS AND SUSQ VALLEY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AFTER 04Z SUNDAY. NO MAJOR CHANGES SEEN FOR SUNDAY...WITH THE RAINFALL INCREASE ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF CENTRAL PENN BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY OR SUNDAY EVENING. THE NW AND SE SECTIONS OF PENN /INCLUDING THE LWR SUSQ VALLEY/ WILL SEE THE STEADIEST RAIN SUNDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 0.25-0.50 BY 00Z MONDAY. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 40 IN THE NW TO 50F IN THE SE. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL ONLY RISE A FEW TO SVRL DEG AT MOST ACROSS THE NORTHWEST - REACHING THE LOWER TO MID 40S...WHILE TEMPS IN THE FAR SE CLIMB TO THE MID AND UPPER 50S. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... FOCUS OF THE EXTENDED REMAINS ON SANDY AND ITS POTENTIAL IMPACTS OVER THE REGION. OVERALL...THE SCENARIO REMAINS ONE OF WAITING FOR CONSENSUS ON THE NORTHWESTWARD CURL OF SANDY AFTER IT UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION LATE THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. SIGNIFICANT SPREAD REMAINS IN TRACK AND INTENSITY SOLUTIONS...RANGING FROM LANDFALL AS FAR SOUTH AS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE DEL MARVA PENINSULA TO EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. CLUSTERING OF SOLUTIONS APPEARS TO FAVOR EITHER A CENTRAL MD EASTERN SHORE TO SOUTH CENTRAL PA TRACK...OR COASTAL NJ INTO SOUTHEAST PA TRACK...BUT THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL SHED MORE LIGHT ON THAT. WIND FIELDS SURROUNDING THE LOW CENTER HAVE BEEN IMPRESSIVE... PARTICULARLY SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW CENTER WHERE BOTH OPERATIONAL GFS AND ECMWF DEPICT 80 TO 100 KT 850 MB NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. FRIGHTENING TO SAY THE LEAST. FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING THREAT ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS LEADING TO TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE THE PRIME THREATS...AND THE IMPACT COULD BE AS WIDESPREAD AS WE'VE SEEN FROM ANY STORM IN RECENT MEMORY. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN A HISTORIC STORM...THE DEVIL REMAINS IN THE DETAILS AND REQUIRES GREATER CONSENSUS AND CERTAINTY TO BE REACHED OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS. BEYOND THE MONDAY-TUESDAY TIME-FRAME...A GRADUAL DECAY/FILLING OF THE CYCLONE WILL TAKE PLACE WITH UNSETTLED CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EVENING A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE. && .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... 27/06Z... A COLD FRONT AND ACCOMPANYING N-S BAND OF LGT TO MOD RA WILL BE NEARLY STATIONARY OVER WESTERN PA THROUGH TONIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BETWEEN THE COLD FRONT AND HURCN SANDY WILL KEEP THINGS MAINLY DRY ACRS CENTRAL AND ERN SXNS. LIKE THE LAST FEW DAYS...EXPECT LOW MVFR-IFR CONDS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH ONLY SLGT IMPROVEMENT DURG THE AFTN/EVE. FRONTAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ACRS WRN SXNS WITH POCKETS OF -RADZ ACRS CENTRAL AND ERN SITES. OUTLOOK... SUN-TUE...WDSPRD MVFR/IFR. PERIODS OF MOD-HVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS ASSOC WITH SANDY. RAIN MAY CHANGE TO SNOW IN THE SW PA MTNS ON TUE. WED...MVFR/IFR WITH RA-SN SHOWERS WEST...MVFR CENTRAL AND EAST. BREEZY. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SYNOPSIS...LA CORTE/LAMBERT NEAR TERM...FITZGERALD/LAMBERT SHORT TERM...FITZGERALD/LA CORTE LONG TERM...DEVOIR/LAMBERT AVIATION...STEINBUGL
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 26, 11:06 AM EDT, 17 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1106 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-271515- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND- ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 1106 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. HURRICANE SANDY WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD JUST OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD OVER THE WEEKEND. THE TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL MERGE WITH AN AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO FORM A POWERFUL EAST COAST STORM...WHICH WILL MOST LIKELY IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL INCLUDE HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS. RAIN...POSSIBLY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 10 INCHES IN SOME AREAS WOULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ALONG STREAMS...CREEKS AND EVEN SOME LARGER RIVERS. IN ADDITION...WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS COULD OCCUR WHICH WOULD CAUSE NUMEROUS...POSSIBLY PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES. WHILE IT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT THE AREA WILL BE IMPACTED BY A POWERFUL STORM...THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK. STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE AND NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. LA CORTE
The office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 3:05 PM EDT | High Wind Watch | CTP | Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre and 27 more | 13 hr |
Nearby
Flood Watches in Pennsylvania, 2012Every flood watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.