Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

060 
WWUS54 KCRP 181045
SVSCRP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
445 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

TXC175-469-181115-
/O.CON.KCRP.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120218T1115Z/
GOLIAD-VICTORIA-
445 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 AM CST
FOR VICTORIA AND NORTHEASTERN GOLIAD COUNTIES...

AT 437 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FANNIN...OR 8 MILES EAST OF
GOLIAD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  OAK VILLAGE...
  MISSION VALLEY...
  VICTORIA...

LAT...LON 2901 9682 2894 9680 2885 9670 2882 9671
      2856 9723 2861 9734 2888 9732 2887 9730
      2910 9698
TIME...MOT...LOC 1044Z 224DEG 31KT 2870 9721

$$

JR

155 
WWUS54 KCRP 181100
SVSCRP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
500 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

TXC175-181110-
/O.CAN.KCRP.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120218T1115Z/
GOLIAD-
500 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GOLIAD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 2901 9682 2894 9680 2885 9670 2882 9672
      2868 9715 2874 9718 2877 9716 2880 9718
      2885 9717 2910 9698
TIME...MOT...LOC 1100Z 224DEG 31KT 2880 9710

$$

TXC469-181115-
/O.CON.KCRP.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120218T1115Z/
VICTORIA-
500 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 AM CST
FOR NORTHERN VICTORIA COUNTY...

AT 451 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OAK
VILLAGE...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VICTORIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  VICTORIA RIVERSIDE PARK...
  VICTORIA DETAR HOSPITAL NORTH...
  VICTORIA MALL...

LAT...LON 2901 9682 2894 9680 2885 9670 2882 9672
      2868 9715 2874 9718 2877 9716 2880 9718
      2885 9717 2910 9698
TIME...MOT...LOC 1100Z 224DEG 31KT 2880 9710

$$

JR

033 
WWUS54 KCRP 181114
SVSCRP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
514 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

TXC469-181123-
/O.EXP.KCRP.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120218T1115Z/
VICTORIA-
514 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN VICTORIA COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 515 AM CST...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE 
LIMITS. PEA SIZED HAIL...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND 
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL STILL OCCUR WITH THIS STORM ACROSS CENTRAL 
VICTORIA COUNTY.

LAT...LON 2901 9682 2894 9680 2885 9670 2882 9672
      2868 9715 2874 9718 2877 9716 2880 9718
      2885 9717 2910 9698
TIME...MOT...LOC 1113Z 234DEG 34KT 2886 9693

$$

JR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
413 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

.SHORT TERM (TODAY)...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL QUICKLY COME
TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS MORNING AS THE SURFACE AND 850MB
LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS NORTHEASTWARD...BRINGING DRIER AIR INTO THE
REGION. IN WAKE OF THE PACIFIC FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING...WEST
TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL STRAIGHTEN ALONG THE TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR INLAND AREAS WITH
GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW GUSTS
UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES AND DRY WESTERLY WINDS.

&&

.LONG TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...COOL AND CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT
WITH WINDS DIMINISHING INLAND. SUNNY ON SUNDAY WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL TEMPS...WINDS TURN BACK TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE
CENTER OF THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST. A SHALLOW MOISTURE RETURN
LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL SET UP THE POTENTIAL FOR
PATCHY/SHALLOW FOG MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA.  MODELS IN
AGREEMENT WITH UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
INCREASE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND CLOUDS MONDAY ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS.
THE SHORTWAVE QUICKLY DAMPENS AND MOVES EAST...AND ASSOCIATED WEAK
COLD FRONT ENTERS THE CWA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...BUT STALLS AND
WASHES OUT. AHEAD OF THE WEAK FRONT THERE COULD BE BETTER CHANCES
FOR FOG ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING GIVEN THE WEAK WIND REGIME THAT DEVELOPS. WARMER CONDITIONS
WITH HIGHS INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S ON WEDNESDAY WITH FLOW
TURNING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. KEEPING FORECAST DRY FOR TUE-WED TIME
FRAME FOR NOW. 00Z ECMWF HAS TRENDED TOWARDS THE GFS SOLUTION OF
UPPER LEVEL LOW PINCHING OFF ACROSS NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON
WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVING EAST ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO THURSDAY AND
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS FRIDAY...WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH
THE AREA BEHIND THE SYSTEM FRIDAY. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM HAVE INSERTED
LOW 20 POPS INTO THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...SOUTH WINDS THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT WEST TO NORTHWEST
LATE THIS MORNING AND STRENGTHEN AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN OFFSHORE WINDS OF 20 TO 30
KNOTS WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OUT 60 NAUTICAL
MILES. THIS WILL ALSO RESULT IN ROUGH TO OCCASIONALLY VERY ROUGH
BAYS AND WATERWAYS...AND HAZARDOUS SEAS BY THIS EVENING. WIND
SPEEDS SHOULD BEGIN TO RELAX AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON IN WAKE OF THE PACIFIC FRONTAL PASSAGE. TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM SOME THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...LEADING TO
FALLING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. HOWEVER...DO NOT EXPECT HUMIDITY
VALUES TO REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA. YET...VERY STRONG WESTERLY
WINDS WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 TO 45 MPH WILL STILL CAUSE AN ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER THREAT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND
AND BRUSH COUNTRY WHERE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RANGE
BETWEEN 35 TO 45 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    71  47  66  50  70  /  40   0   0   0  10
VICTORIA          69  45  65  45  69  /  70   0   0   0  10
LAREDO            69  50  71  54  74  /  10   0   0  10  10
ALICE             70  45  68  48  71  /  30   0   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          68  50  63  52  66  /  60   0   0   0  10
COTULLA           65  44  69  47  71  /  30   0   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        72  46  68  48  72  /  30   0   0   0  10
NAVY CORPUS       70  53  62  53  67  /  50   0   0   0  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...DUVAL...
     GOLIAD...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...LA SALLE...LIVE OAK...
     MCMULLEN...NUECES...REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO...VICTORIA...
     WEBB.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO
     PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS
     TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM BAFFIN
     BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT
     ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     GALE WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT
     ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY
     TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS
     TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST
     TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM
     BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS...BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT
     ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR.

&&

RG/82...SHORT TERM
JR/76...LONG TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
458 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-181100-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
458 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD
TONIGHT. GENERALLY 1/2 TO 1 INCH OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.
IN ADDITION...SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE LATE TONIGHT WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS
THAT DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO SATURDAY MORNING
NORTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 37...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY END IN THE
AFTERNOON.

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS BY MIDDAY
SATURDAY...WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. THIS COULD RESULT IN
A WIND ADVISORY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED BEHIND A COLD FRONT
MIDDAY SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS
WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 40 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

RG/JR