Small Craft Advisory 44, NWS Cleveland, OH

191 
WHUS71 KCLE 250204
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1004 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

LEZ142>149-251015-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.120625T0800Z-120626T0800Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1004 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO
4 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM
EDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTH OVERNIGHT
  AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND CONTINUE MONDAY BEFORE
  DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 15 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT. WAVES OF 2 FEET OR
  LESS WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET BY MONDAY THEN SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5
  FEET BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE
  SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO TUESDAY AS
  WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET MAY REDEVELOP DURING THE MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOMBARDY

118 
WHUS71 KCLE 250802
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
402 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

LEZ142>149-251615-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120626T0800Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
402 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: MAINLY NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL
  CONTINUE TODAY AND THEN BEGIN TO DECREASE TONIGHT. THE WAVES
  WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET TODAY AND THEN BEGIN TO SUBSIDE
  TONIGHT. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
  WILL NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO TUESDAY AS WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET
  MAY REDEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ON THE EAST END OF
  THE LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

KIELTYKA

636 
WHUS71 KCLE 251343
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
943 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

LEZ142>149-252200-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120626T0800Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
943 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: MAINLY NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL 
  CONTINUE TODAY AND THEN BEGIN TO DECREASE TONIGHT. THE WAVES 
  WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 6 FEET TODAY AND THEN BEGIN TO SUBSIDE 
  TONIGHT. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE SMALL CRAFT 
  ADVISORY WILL NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO TUESDAY AS WAVES OF 3 
  TO 5 FEET MAY REDEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ON THE 
  EAST END OF THE LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN

717 
WHUS71 KCLE 251933
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
333 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

LEZ142>149-260400-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120626T0800Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
333 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: MAINLY NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL
  CONTINUE EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN BEGIN TO DECREASE TONIGHT.
  WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FEET WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT. THERE IS THE
  POSSIBILITY THAT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL NEEDED TUESDAY
  ACROSS A PORTION OF THE LAKE AS WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET MAY
  REDEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EAST END OF THE LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN

594 
WHUS71 KCLE 260159
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
959 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

LEZ146>149-261000-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120627T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
959 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME
  NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 3 TO
  5 FEET OVERNIGHT AND TO 1 TO 3 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ142>145-261000-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120626T1400Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
959 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BEGIN TO
  DECREASE OVERNIGHT. WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3
  FEET TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOMBARDY

095 
WHUS71 KCLE 260802
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
402 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

LEZ142>145-261600-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120626T1600Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
402 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME
  NORTHWEST AND DECREASE TO 5 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET
  WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY NOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ146>149-261615-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120627T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
402 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME
  NORTHWEST TODAY AND DECREASE TO 5 TO 15 KNOTS THIS EVENING.
  WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

416 
WHUS71 KCLE 261344
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
944 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

LEZ146>149-262200-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120627T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
944 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME 
  NORTHWEST TODAY AND DECREASE TO 5 TO 15 KNOTS THIS EVENING. 
  WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3 FEET TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ142>145-261600-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120626T1600Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
944 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTH WINDS OF 5 TO 15 KNOTS WILL BECOME
  NORTHWEST. WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET BY
  NOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN

773 
WHUS71 KCLE 261604
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1204 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

LEZ142>145-261715-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120626T1600Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
1204 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. WAVES EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 FEET...AND SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3 FEET
LATER TODAY.

$$

LEZ146>149-270000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120627T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1204 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS DECREASING TO 5
  TO 15 KNOTS THIS EVENING. WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1
  TO 3 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN

857 
WHUS71 KCLE 261919
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
319 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

LEZ146>149-270200-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120627T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
319 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS DECREASING TO 
  5 TO 15 KNOTS THIS EVENING. WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE 
  TO 1 TO 3 FEET TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN

826 
WHUS71 KCLE 270147
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
947 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

LEZ146>149-270300-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-120627T0200Z/
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
947 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
100 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA WILL SHIFT TO
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TODAY. THIS WILL ALLOW A COLD FRONT OVER
THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
TONIGHT. ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION
FROM THE NORTHWEST THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORKWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

CURRENT MESOSCALE ANALYSIS SHOWS STABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE
REGION. DEWPOINTS REMAIN NEARLY STABLE AND HAVE DROPPED IN
INDIANA. SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS OVER LOWER MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST BUT MAY BE MOSTLY VIRGA. CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP
LATER AS THE COLD FRONT OVER UPPER LOWER MICHIGAN TO WISCONSIN
MOVES INTO THE REGION. CURRENT AFTERNOON MAX TEMPERATURE FORECAST
LOOKS REASONABLE WITH A FEW SLIGHT CHANGES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THE FIRST HALF OF
THE NIGHT. EXPECTING A BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE OVER THE
EAST END OF THE AREA WHICH WILL BE UNDER THE MOST FAVORABLE UPPER
DYNAMICS. DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL BE SOMEWHAT LACKING TODAY BUT
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND DRY AIR AT MID LEVELS SUGGESTS THAT DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. THE AREA REMAINS
OUTLOOKED FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND THIS SEEMS REASONABLE. GIVEN WIND
AND THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR BOWING SEGMENTS.
FORTUNATELY...THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT GET GOING TILL AFTER MAX
DAYTIME HEATING HAS ENDED. HAVE BUMPED PRECIP CHANCES UP TO LIKELY
IN NE OH AND NW PA. PRECIP ON THE OPPOSITE END OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BE NO MORE THAN HIT OR MISS. THE FRONT AND PRECIP SHOULD
MOVE OFF TO THE EAST QUICKLY OVERNIGHT AND BY DAYBREAK MONDAY
EXPECT MOST OF THE AREA TO BE DRY. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD
WILL BE QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. TEMPS
ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE COOL WITH SEASONABLE READINGS
RETURNING FOR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
BEGINNING THURSDAY UPPER RIDGE BECOME WELL ESTABLISHED OVER THE AREA
WITH TEMPS CLIMBING CLOSE TO 90 ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH AT
LEAST 90 FOR WESTERN AREAS. WHILE STILL LOW AT THIS TIME MODELS
SUGGESTING BETTER CHANCES FOR SHRA/TS MORE THURSDAY NIGHT SO WENT
WITH THE LOWER POPS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA FOR THEN.
FRONT TO THE NORTH BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTH TOWARD THE AREA FRIDAY...SO
BEST CHANCES OF PRECIP WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA.
BOTH GFS AND ECMWF SHOWING RIDGE BREAK DOWN AND ALLOWING THE FRONT
TO PUSH INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT ALLOWING FOR AT LEAST CHC POPS
FOR SHRA/TS. HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME NOT THINKING THE FRONT WILL HAVE
ENOUGH ENERGY TO CONTINUE PUSHING MUCH FURTHER SOUTH OF THE AREA ON
SATURDAY AND THINKING THAT THE WEAK BOUNDARY MAY LINGER ACROSS THE
AREA ALLOWING FOR CONTINUED CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR SOME PRECIP. MADE
LITTLE CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST TEMPS AS GUIDANCE TEMPS CONTINUE
TO LEAN COOLER THIS FAR OUT. LIKE THE WARMER THAN GUIDANCE TEMPS
ALREADY FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
QUESTION OF HOW WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WILL BE AS COLD FRONT DROPS
ESE ACROSS THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING. STILL FEEL BEST MOVE MAY BE
TO CONTINUE TO JUST MENTION VCSH/VCTS FOR NOW GIVEN SMALL CHANCE FOR
HAVING ENOUGH CONVECTION TO AFFECT CIGS AND VSBYS. AMENDMENTS CAN
LATER BE MADE TO BETTER FOCUS ON TAF SITES WHERE SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION MAY BEGIN TO LOOK MORE POSSIBLE.

THREAT FOR CONVECTION WILL SHIFT SOUTH AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN TAFS
BY LATE EVENING AND SHOULD MOVE SOUTH OF FURTHER INLAND SITES BY
ABOUT 08Z. WITH LACK OF GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND MAV GUIDANCE
MAINTAINING VFR WILL KEEP CONDITIONS VFR EXCEPT FOR ERI WHERE ADDED
LAKE EFFECT MOISTURE IN LOW LEVELS MAY BE JUST ENOUGH FOR MVFR CIGS
TO DEVELOP.

.OUTLOOK...VFR SHOULD PREVAIL EXCEPT IN WIDELY SCT SHRA/TSRA FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE LAKE TODAY WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT WINDS AND
WAVES OVER THE LAKE. FOR THE NEARSHORE...LOOKING FOR SOUTHERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE LAKE...WHILE THE EASTERN HALF MAY SEE
AN ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOP WITH THE WEAK GRADIENT THIS AFTERNOON. BY
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING FLOW OVER THE ENTIRE LAKE SHOULD BE
FROM THE SSW AS THE FRONT GETS CLOSER. COLD FRONT WILL TRACK OVER
THE LAKE TONIGHT SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTH AND INCREASING CLOSE TO
20KT. CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO BUILD ON SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR
TUESDAY ALLOWING FOR QUIETER CONDITIONS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE TURNING MORE SOUTHERLY FOR THE END OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. NO MARINE HEADLINES EXPECTED TUE THROUGH THU AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KUBINA
NEAR TERM...REL
SHORT TERM...KUBINA
LONG TERM...ABE
AVIATION...ADAMS
MARINE...ABE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
435 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-250845-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
435 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF
THIS FRONT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING STRAIGHT
LINE WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.